Financial Management: Merger and Takeovers, Investment Appraisal Techniques
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This report discusses the valuation methods for Trojan Plc and the problems associated with valuation models. It also evaluates investment appraisal techniques and provides recommendations.
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INTRODUCTION...........................................................................................................................1 MAIN BODY..................................................................................................................................1 Question 1- Merger and Takeovers.................................................................................................1 1. Calculate the value for Trojan Plc by using various valuation method...................................1 2. Discussed the problems associated with valuation models with the help of evaluating advantages or disadvantages........................................................................................................3 Question 2 – Investment Appraisal Techniques..............................................................................4 1. Calculate following investment appraisal technique and give brief recommendations...........4 2. Critically evaluate the Benefits or Drawbacks of different investment appraisal techniques.8 CONCLUSION..............................................................................................................................10 REFERENCES..............................................................................................................................11
INTRODUCTION Financial management concentrates on proportions ofequity and debt. It is valuable for fund management, income allocation and capital raising, hedging and managing foreign exchange and commodity process volatility(Antonopoulos and Hall, 2016). Financial analysts are the ones who can conduct analysis and determine what kind of resources to rise to finance the company's investments as well as increase the company's worth to all shareholders depending on the study. In this report, two questions required to address that is about merger and takeover and the other one is investment appraisal techniques to evaluate most favourable project to invest. MAIN BODY Question 1- Merger and Takeovers 1. Calculate the value for Trojan Plc by using various valuation method Price earnings ratio: As the P / E ratio has been the most popular indicator of how costly a stock is, knowing the context & value of all its valuation is important. The PEratio usually measures howfrequentthe buyers are willing to pay for the asset. The study of the P / E ratio demonstrates the direct connection between the stock price of a firmand its results. Formula: Price earnings ratio= Net income/total share outstanding ParticularsValue Share price£2.05 Earnings per share£0.27 Price earnings ratio£2.05 / £0.27 = 7.59 Interpretation:abovecalculationrevealsthatTrojanplcreceived7.59asharefor investors.Asaconsequenceofinterestandlossesaccrued,theoverallallottedgross compensation can be split up by an exceptional deal out or just the firm's question of bids. The 1
firm's net payout that year was £ 40.4 million and the absolute exceptional offer is £ 147 million. Value of each share price is£ 2.05 and earning of single share is £0.27. Dividend valuation model: This is a dividend based valuation model which depends on a discounted function to approximate present value of stock price that based on expectations about its potential success in dividends(Brusca, Gómez‐villegas and Montesinos, 2016). This formula is used to calculate the price and buyer will realistically normally pay for a share if each year it pays gradually through dividends. Dividend Discount Model Fair Value:£ 4.774 Calculation: Formula: D1 / (1 + k) + D2 / (1 + k)2+ D3 / (1 + k)3+ D4 / (1 + k)4…………. Herein, D1: Value of dividend for year one D2: Value of dividend for year two D3: Value of dividend for year three D4: Value of dividend for year four K: Expected rate of return Calculation: = 10p (1 + 11%) + 10.5p (1 + 11%)2+ 11p (1 + 11%)3+ 12p (1 + 11%)4 = 10 p (0.11) + 10.5p (0.11)2+ 11p (0.11)3+ 12p (0.11)4 = 11.1 + 10.5 (0.0121) + 11 (0.001331) + 12 (0.000146) = 11.1 + 0.127 + 0.014 + 0.00175 = £11.24 Interpretation: Value of Trojan Plc shares is£11.24 and it is calculated with the help of last 4 years dividend.Free market share prices and beta interest carry on critical roles to assess the conditions; then the exchange rate is regarded as premium or risk prices because competition provides a threat to this added incentive. Free board prices are impossible to hinder, due to the unlikely loss of opportunity for the organizations. Discountedcashflowmethod:Thisvaluationmodelensuresthatorganizationcan represent each spending as a single amount that is totallyopposite of currentcash value(Brooke, 2016). It is applied to all sorts of investment opportunities by investors, analysts and corporate 2
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managers. It alsoinclude acquisitions and expansions that used by the organizations. There arefew excellently-recognized risks to all the benefits it offers. Under this approach, value of share is calculated by applying such formula: CF1 / (1+r)1 + CF2 / (1+r)2 + CF n / (1+r) n r: 5% = £40.4 / (1 + 5%) = £808 Interpretation: Value of shares is£ 808 by using discounted cash flow method. Rate pf discount considered to be 5% and value of profit assumed to be £ 40.4 each year. 2. Discussed the problems associated with valuation models with the help of evaluating advantages or disadvantages Price earnings ratio: Advantages: Examination of the ratio is also critical for financial decisions; because it lets investors realize the true value of their money. P / E ratio is beneficial when the relative attraction of a possible investment is available. It lets investors determine how it that they will pay for a share based on their current profits, and also shows whether the demandoverestimatesorunderestimatesthebusiness.Ithelpsforecastpotential EPSfrom which the shareholders determine whatever the fair market value of the stock will be. Disadvantages: Short-term stock rates are influenced by the rumours and perceptions that cause sentiments(Danes, Garbow and Jokela, 2016). As a result, with time to time, P / E ratios would get out of whack before the truth and rationality returns to the buying public. Be sure thatconsider the amount over time to and the volatility that comes from unjustified elation or fears. Management also tries to equal the financial performance by taking accounting choices that maximize them to satisfy investor needs. Dividend valuation model: Advantages: Dividend valuation concept is verytechnically oriented. The arguments for this are solidand unquestionable. Dividends tend to remain accurate over longer periods. Companies face tremendous variability in metrics such as sales and free cash flow. 3
Organizations usually,ensure that dividend payments are only compensated out of cash that is thought to occur with the company each year. Daily dividend payment is a symbol that a firm is maturing in its business. Its market is stable and, unless anything dramatic occurs, there is not much risk of uncertainty in the future. This knowledge is important for many buyers, who choose consistency to quickness Disadvantages: Thismethod only appealsto largeprosperous businesses that have established track record of regularly carrying out dividends. Although it may seem like a positive idea, manifestly, there is a major trade-off. Investors that invest only in large, profitable companies continue to lose out on fast growth ones. It is filled with so many assumptions. There are conclusions that addressed above about dividends. Also there are theoriesaboutrateofgrowth,interestratesandincometaxes.Anyofthose considerations are just beyond shareholder influence. That factor decreases the model's credibility too. Discounted cash flow method: Advantages: The "most effective and efficient" approach for determining investment decisions is to use a discounted cash flow to declineinvestments to the NPV(Hashim and Piatti-Fünfkirchen, 2018). Assuming that the projections in the equations are somewhat accurate, no other approach performs as well to determine which assets deliver optimum value. Ithas a big advantage that itsometimes decreases a savings to a single number. If the NPV is positive, it is anticipated the investment will be a money maker orif it is negative, the capital expenditure will be a loser. It helps decisions on individual assets to beup-to-down.Additionally,theapproachhelpsyoutomakedecisionsbetween substantially different assets. Disadvantages: Discounted cash flow estimation is just as strong as the figures in it. If those figures are incorrect, then the NPVmay be incorrect and can make poor investment decisions. The model has multiple probability of failure. Thismethod usedto create an enterprise value. They will verify how accurate the figure is by doing a fact check, analyzing whether the interest generated from the discounted cash flow correlates with the market cap of the firm; with the company's stock interest as seen on the balance sheet; or with the valuation of comparable firms. Basically there is no link with the real world. 4
From the above discussion it is recommended that the company will follow the P / E ratio as a value of its shares. It helps the management to make their proposed model to boost the company's profitability or competitiveness. Question 2 – Investment Appraisal Techniques 1. Calculate following investment appraisal technique and give brief recommendations Payback period: It is one of the effective techniques of capital budgeting which are mostly used by the organizations to evaluator recovery period of their investment(Karadag, 2017). It helps toassess the amount of time anticipated to retrieve the proposal's initial cash expenditure. Simply, that is the approach used to measure the time needed by consecutive cash inflows to recoup the costs accumulated in the investments. High payback period is not beneficial or favourable for the organization because it takes more time to recover money. Because of that, low payback period should be selected for the investment. Below mention calculation of new machinery in context of Lovewell helps in evaluating payback period and allows the managers to understand that, it is beneficial to invest or not. Formula: Payback Period = Initial Investment / Cash Inflow = 275000 / 85000 = 3.79 years. Accounting Rate of Return (ARR):ARR valuesrepresented in percentage form that show the anticipated financial return onthe assets that company has acquired(Loke, 2017). It is among the firm's easiest or quickest ways of determining returnswidely used for project selection. It is calculated by the average annual profitfrom the original cost. ARR is the methodology of capital budgeting which doesn't realize all of the period and earnings of money. The increasing the return is safer for the investor, meaning the higher earnings is equally received by the client; the lower return is not competitive. Via this, management determines the advantages of different organizations as well as makes the necessary choices. Calculating ARR for the 6 year duration about which they earn the correct payout as can be seen in the belowtable. Managers of Lovewellmust plan their financial choices properly and make a decision to choose whether or not give priority to this initiative for investing into newmachinery. The following calculations are as follows: 5
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Formula: ARR= Average annual profit / Initial investment * 100 YearCICO (£)Net Cash flowDepreciationNet cash flow Year 0£ 275,000- Year 1£ 85,000(12,500)£ 72,500£ 38,958£ 33542 Year 2£ 85,000(12,500)£ 72,500£ 38,958£ 33542 Year 3£ 85,000(12,500)£ 72,500£ 38,958£ 33542 Year 4£ 85,000(12,500)£ 72,500£ 38,958£ 33542 Year 5£ 85,000(12,500)£ 72,500£ 38,958£ 33542 Year 6£ 85,000(12,500)£ 72,500£ 38,958£ 33542 Net Present Value (NPV): This iskey tools that organizations use when they take decisionsregardinginvestment.Thisincludesthecomprehensiveanalysisofcashinflows happening at various time intervals(Siminica, Motoi and Dumitru, 2017). Cash flow ofnet present value depends on real and future time risk. In comparison, the discounting rateis the most important factor which isnecessary for calculating and measuring the NPVat the point of calculation. When determining the estimated cash balance of each year, NPV assists with the decreased period. Further it helpsmanagement where theyhave to examine or determine to 6
choose whether or not toinvestment inplan. Calculation of NPV for the new machinery is as follow: Formula: Net Present Value (NPV) = Discounted cash inflow / Initial investment Internal Rate of Return (IRR): Most companies may use one of the popular investment appraisal approaches to analyze theirdecisionsand make sure these are either productive or insufficient. IRR based on a shortened duration dictating the present valuation, and thereby determining the company's profits(Skimmyhorn, 2016). Until executives make the final decision on potential spending, it is important to take into account company goals and determine their spending byusing the capital budgeting approach, and take other actions accordingly. In evaluating rational investment decisions, a manager calculates the IRR, which increases the return on the business that maximise productivity or future growth. Business is able to examine the danger with the help of estimating IRR, since higher interest rates suggest a big danger. Low returns present little challenge, and companies may make decisions and develop growth plans as necessary. Its calculations are as follow: Formula: IRR= Lower Discounted Rate + PV of Lower Discounted Rate –Initial investment/ PV of High Discounted Rate – PV of LDR (HDR – LDR) Present value @ 12% 7
Recommendation:From the above calculationit is highly recommended that Lovewell Company’s managers should take initiative to invest in new machinery. Payback period of this project is 3.79 years; it means company recover their initial investment within 4 years and furthest they can invest into new projects(Valencia-Cárdenas and Restrepo-Morales, 2016). Accounting rate of return of new machinery 25.56 % which is not bad, managers can make their buying decision on the basis of it as well. On the other side net present value of this project is 44,033.75 that are good enough to make favoutable decisions. In addition, rate of return of buying new machinery is 17.52 % that is quite enough. From the overall conclusion, it is recommended that managers of Lovewell should invest into purchasing new machinery which helps in maximising production as well as profitability. It also maximise the individual as well as entire business operational performance. 2. Critically evaluate the Benefits or Drawbacks of different investment appraisal techniques Payback period: Benefits: Selectingproposal or not is among the most importantfactor and thisways to determine the proposal is veryhelpful for the organizations. Managers may use this approach to choose the correct amount to pay. Such as a short recovery time would be chosen, as it enables the business to return from of the initial investment more rapidly. Drawbacks:Atthetimeofmakingcriticalchoices,managerswillconsiderthe NPVapproachratherthanthisandwheretheydisregardnegativeNPV,becauseitisnot beneficial. This method does not take the capital time value and would instead be cantered on a set output cycle, although each investment does have the same cash flow as some other decisions. Accounting Rate of Return (ARR): Benefits: ARR lets the businesses make their financial decisions feasible. High return is beneficial for the organizations(Waxman, 2017).Management agrees to make investment 9
decision on the basis ofARR by choosing the most fitting one. This approach recognizes the importance of accounting, which is often found in the decision making process by the managers. Drawbacks: Average return projections neglect the overall portfolio cash flow, which is based on reported revenue as well as typical income forecasts. That will have a more effect on thedifferentissuesthatneedtobetackled.Fortheseventureevaluationmethods,the implications as well as the actual outcome or feasibility of the enterprise are ignored. Net Present Value (NPV): Benefits: NPV is being used by themost businesses to determine their engagement and to evaluate whether or not entities should invest on the project. Positive NPV acknowledged and unfavourable NPV ignored because investment with such a proposal is not valuable to the firm. Management has to make its decisions dependent on the interest in the NPV. Drawbacks: Managers may use this tool to assess their feasibility or equate it with other plans, and that cannot be used only though all thecapital flows are equal. If the initial investment is precise, instead that forecasts need not be tested or rendered as it does not yield correct findings. NPV value isinfluenced by the cost of capital as it changed, which excludes economic factors like inflation. Internal Rate of Return (IRR): Benefits:Thisismainlyusedtounderstandthebenefitsofthecompanyreceives afterspendingparticularproposalandthentakefurtherrequireddecisions(Mitchelland Calabrese, 2019). Itwill encourage rational decision-making to choose the organisation's most effective choice. Supervisors make important return baseddecisions and evaluate which strategy can help businesses toraisetheir earnings. Drawbacks: IRR does not take into account the performance which affects the economics ofscale. It is measured byusing hit & trialprocess, which fails to yield detailed results. Which isalsoimpactscorporatedecision-makingprocesses.There'snoothergapinlendingor borrowings though. Due to reduced cost transition, the program will see different returns, so investment decisions are hard for executives to make. CONCLUSION In the above review, it was stated that planning is very crucial to the organisation's financial scenario.That is the method which is used to identify the profitability of any project where organization wants to invest to maximise their earnings. Management construct legislation by 10
emphasizing organizational efficiency and operational effectiveness. The company embraces the investment appraisal approach to quantify the various criteria for the assessment and make financial decisions. This requires payback time, rate of return accounting, IRR, NPV, etc. These are investment appraisal technique used to evaluate best proposal for business. 11
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REFERENCES Books & Journals Antonopoulos, G.A. and Hall, A., 2016. The financial management of the illicit tobacco trade in the United Kingdom.British Journal of Criminology,56(4), pp.709-728. Brooke, M. Z., 2016.Handbook of international financial management. Springer. Brusca, I., Gómez‐villegas, M. and Montesinos, V., 2016. Public financial management reforms: The role of IPSAS in Latin‐America.Public Administration and Development,36(1), pp.51-64. Danes, S. M., Garbow, J. and Jokela, B. H., 2016. Financial Management and Culture: The American Indian Case.Journal of Financial Counseling and Planning. 27(1). pp.61-79. Hashim, A. and Piatti-Fünfkirchen, M., 2018.Lessons from reforming financial management information systems: a review of the evidence. The World Bank Karadag,H.,2017.Theimpactofindustry,firmageandeducationlevelonfinancial management performance in small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs).Journal of Entrepreneurship in emerging economies. Loke, Y.J., 2017. The influence of socio-demographic and financial knowledge factors on financial management practices of Malaysians.International Journal of Business and Society,18(1). Siminica, M., Motoi, A.G. and Dumitru, A., 2017. Financial management as component of tactical management.Polish Journal of Management Studies,15. Skimmyhorn, W., 2016. Assessing financial education: Evidence from boot camp.American Economic Journal: Economic Policy. 8(2). pp.322-43.\ Valencia-Cárdenas, M. and Restrepo-Morales, J. A., 2016. Evaluation of financial management using latent variables in stochastic frontier analysis.Dyna. 83(199). pp.35-40. Waxman, K. T. ed., 2017.Financial and business management for the doctor of nursing practice. Springer Publishing Company. Mitchell, G. E. and Calabrese, T. D., 2019. Proverbs of nonprofit financial management.The American Review of Public Administration. 49(6). pp.649-661. 12