This article provides an analysis of the session results of a financial market, including the final position, profit or loss, and average rates. It also discusses the errors made during the currency transaction and what was learned from them.
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Running head: FINANCIAL MARKET Financial Market Name of the Student: Name of the University: Authors Note:
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FINANCIAL MARKET 1 Table of Contents SESSION RESULTS:................................................................................................................2 Reference and Bibliography:......................................................................................................4
FINANCIAL MARKET 2 SESSION RESULTS: Final Position: CurrencyNet TradesCurrency Position In AUD AUD143,314,590143,314,590 USD(305,614,927)(392,644,603) EUR17,712,00028,185,869 GBP81,939,581151,026,784 JPY(5,808,161,479)(69,746,760) Final Position(5,870,810,235)(139,864,120) ThefinalpositionofthetradesinAUDcurrencypositionisatthelevelof (139,864,120) which is due to the losses incurred in USD and JPY currency trades. The other currency trades have relevantly provided higher rate of returns from investment. Profit or Loss: After evaluating the trades, the net position of AUD, EUR, and GBP providing a positive cash inflow, while USD and JPY incurred losses from investment. The trades conducted in USD and JPY was more than other currencies, which increased the losses from trades. This led to the increment in losses and wiped out the profit gained from current trades, while making the final position negative -139,864,120. Average rates: CurrencyNet TradesCurrency Position In AUDAUD average rates AUD143,314,590143,314,5901.0000
FINANCIAL MARKET 3 USD(305,614,927)(392,644,603)0.7784 EUR17,712,00028,185,8690.6284 GBP81,939,581151,026,7840.5425 JPY(5,808,161,479)(69,746,760)83.2750 The above table represents the overall average rates for USD, EUR, GBP, and JPY against AUD, which is derived from the net position of the trades. Justifying any errors made, explain what happened and what was learnt from it: The major error that was made during the currency transaction was the valuation of USD against AUD, which were relatively strengthen over the period of time. The rising USD value and declining AUD mainly hampered the currency trade, while reduced the investment capital. The anticipation of JPY currency movement was also not adequate, as the overall trades incurred losses, which declined the invested capital from currency trades. The errors made in the estimation of currency value led to the losses and negative final position from the overall trade. After evaluating all the trades that is being conducted in the above scenario significance of valuation and forecasting is learnt. The currency traders need to evaluate performance of currencies and identify the trend in which they are headed. Moreover, the selection of adequate support and resistance line needs to be detected which might help in improving the level of currency trades, while generating adequate profits. The detection of trend is a viable approach, which needs to be conducted before investing, as it helps in minimising the overall losses from investment. The trend of USD and JPY was relatively strengthening over the period, while the selling process instigated the losses from the trades (Jurek 2014). Hence, with trading needs to be conducted with adequate analysis for reducing the chance of any loss from trades.
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FINANCIAL MARKET 4 Reference and Bibliography: Ito, H., McCauley, R.N. and Chan, T., 2015. Currency composition of reserves, trade invoicing and currency movements.Emerging Markets Review,25, pp.16-29. Jurek,J.W.,2014.Crash-neutralcurrencycarrytrades.JournalofFinancial Economics,113(3), pp.325-347. MacDonald, R. and Nagayasu, J., 2015. Currency forecast errors and carry trades at times of low interest rates: Evidence from survey data on the yen/dollar exchange rate.Journal of International Money and Finance,53, pp.1-19. Menkhoff, L., Sarno, L., Schmeling, M. and Schrimpf, A., 2016. Information flows in foreign exchange markets: Dissecting customer currency trades.The Journal of Finance,71(2), pp.601-634.