Financial Markets and Portfolio Management AAF0406
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This report covers the analysis of the companies from London stock exchange, and based on analysis construction of the portfolio. It includes various statistical tools, CAPM model, mean return of the stock, risk and return of the portfolio mix, minimum variance portfolio, Sharpe ratio and alpha of the portfolio.
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Financial Markets and Portfolio Management AAF0406
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Contents INTRODUCTION...........................................................................................................................3 MAIN BODY..................................................................................................................................3 SECTION A.....................................................................................................................................3 A. Comment on the performance of the business and analyse various statistical tools to determine the performance of the business.................................................................................3 B. Calculate Covariance and correlation between the stocks and comment on the results of the outcome........................................................................................................................................4 C. Using CAPM Model ascertain the beta of the company and its impact on the portfolio.......4 D. Explain the mean return of the stock and state whether the stock is over priced or under priced...........................................................................................................................................6 SECTION 2.....................................................................................................................................6 A. Evaluate the two stocks which will provide more return to the investor................................6 B). Define the risk and return of the portfolio mix and also explain the meaning of Minimum Variance Portfolio........................................................................................................................6 C). Design portfolio with the minimum annual return more than 10%.......................................7 D). Calculate Sharpe ratio and alpha of the portfolio and explain the measures that needs to be taken by the client........................................................................................................................7 CONCLUSION................................................................................................................................7 REFERENCES................................................................................................................................9
INTRODUCTION The financial market is defined as a market in which people trade financial securities at the low transaction cost. This includes any place or a system which provides buyers and sellers the means to trade financial instruments. This facilitates the interaction between those who need capital with those who have to invest in capital. There are various types of financial market such as stock market, bond market, commodities market, derivative market. There are various function of the financial market which provides free and regulated system for the selling and buying the big amount of money. It is very important for the investors to have the knowledge of various aspects in order to invest in the appropriate manner and at the right place. This report will include the calculations of the various aspect which is analysis of the companies from London stock exchange, and based ion analysis construction of the portfolio (Aboussalah,and Lee, 2020). MAIN BODY SECTION A A. Comment on the performance of the business and analyse various statistical tools to determine the performance of the business. From the data calculated in excel it can be seen that the average value of share of Tesco, Tesla, Toyota Motors and Shell Plc are 231.13, 460.62, 149.01 and 42.46. this shows the price which belonged to the stock most of the time in the year. Average return of the stocks shows that the shares of Tesco provides a return of 23.44% which means that over the period of time it had provided a return of more than 23.44%. Tesla's return is more than 14 times which suggest that it can be added to the portfolio to increase the return of the portfolio. Toyota Motors has provided returns of 42.64% in the recent years. Shell Plc shares have shown negative return of the company. Average: Average is the mean of the data given. Average is calculated by adding the values of all the data and dividing it by the total number of observations (Carlei, and et., al., 2020).
B. Calculate Covariance and correlation between the stocks and comment on the results of the outcome. Covariance: In science and insight, covariance is the proportion of the connection between two irregularities. The measure assesses the extent to which factors change together. All in all, it's basically the ratio that fluctuates between two factors. Nonetheless, the measure did not assess dependencies between factors(da Silva, and Vieira, , 2021). In finance, this idea is mostly used in portfolio assumptions. One of its most common applications in portfolio assumptions is the scaling technique involving covariance between resources in a portfolio. Unsystematic gambling can be stifled to some extent by choosing resources that do not have high deterministic covariance with each other. Correlation: Connectivity is a measurable term that describes the degree to which two factors work together. If the two factors move in similar directions, the factors are said to have a positive connection. If they move in opposite bearings, they have a negative relationship. C. Using CAPM Model ascertain the beta of the company and its impact on the portfolio. A venture portfolio is a variety of resources owned by financial backers. The portfolio can contain risk protection such as securities, stocks, shared reserves, benefit plans, land, and surprisingly real resources such as gold (coins or bars). Fundamentally, this encompasses every resource that can increase respect or reward. Many even put resources into important ancient rarities for future benefits(.Hassan, and et., al., 2021). An ideal portfolio consists of a series of shifting speculations. This can range from government bonds to small stocks to foreign currency cash. However, proper handling of your portfolio is crucial. Any other way, you can get a lower return.
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Diversify: When you put your resources into financial exchanges, a decent approach is to diversify your speculation into different market categories. Along these lines, your entire portfolio won't last long, whether or not a few areas of the market are affected by a downturn. Minimum investment cost: A significant cost for financial backers is commission fees and executive costs. This is especially important if you continue to trade stocks. Consider financial planning with a rebate business company. These organizations charge substantially lower fees from customers(Jiang, , Fu, and Ruan, 2019). Likewise, when it comes to financial planning for long-term goals, it's best not to make choices based on temporary changes. So don't sell your stock just for a little dunk just yet. Regular Investment: In order to strengthen your portfolio, it is crucial to contribute consistently. Not only will this help you expand your wealth over a long period of time, but it will also teach you a risk-disciplined inclination. Also, as your compensation level goes up, you can try to build up the sum of your contributions. Follow-up buying: When you put your resources into another stock, you may not know how things are performing. So in order not to take risks, it is very wise to try not to put all the situation in one adventure. All things considered, try to contribute through follow-up techniques. That is, put some in the stock first. If the stock's performance matches your assumptions, you can build your interest in the shock design until you reach your full position. Types of portfolio: Aggressive Portfolio: As the name suggests, a strong portfolio is an ordinary portfolio with a more notable challenge in finding decent returns. Stocks in strong portfolios have higher betas and subsequently experience larger cost changes. In such a portfolio, monitoring risk in a sound manner is critical. To a large extent, success depends on taking calamities and taking profits(Laher, Paskaramoorthy, and Van Zyl, , 2021). Defensive portfolio: A prudent portfolio is one that includes stocks that do not have high betas. The stocks in this portfolio are somewhat disconnected from broader market developments. In this portfolio, the procedure is to reduce the gamble of losing heads. Typically, a significant portion of a prudent portfolio's assets is designated for fixed payment protection. If you have a hunger for total security, you can build a protected portfolio.
Income Portfolio: This is a more typical investment portfolio that focuses on speculation that brings cash from profits or different kinds of grants. Generating positive income, compensation packages invest resources into organizations that return a portion of their earnings to investors, rather than an ideal spending state. It's important to remember that the presentation of stocks in a compensation package depends on the prevailing financial environment. In a downturn, they could take a hit(Lewin, M. and Campani,2020). Hybrid Portfolio: Cross-breed combinations offer a lot of adaptability where you can venture into potential guesswork like workmanship. Typically, in a semi-variety portfolio, the center contains blue-chip stocks and certain senior corporate or government securities. Mixing stocks and bonds to a considerable extent, the cross-variety portfolio offers expansion across several resource classes, followed by lending strength. D. Explain the mean return of the stock and state whether the stock is over priced or under priced. From the calculated return of the stocks it can be seen that the tesla and Toyota Motors have provided most return in the previous 3 years which can be seen from the results calculated in the provided in the excel attached. SECTION 2 A. Evaluate the two stocks which will provide more return to the investor. In the following case the client is required to consider two stocks such as Toyota motors and Tesla which have provided maximum returns in the recent times. Among the two the portion of Tesla will be comparatively more as it can be seen that the it is most return provided in the recent times. Thus it will fulfil the minimum the return of the client of 10%. The client can invest in the ratio of 3:1 in the stocks of Tesla and Toyota Motors which will provide high returns to the client and avoid to invest in the stocks of Shell Plc because it has provided negative returns in the long run (Li, and Teo, 2021). B). Define the risk and return of the portfolio mix and also explain the meaning of Minimum Variance Portfolio. The risk associated with theAn underlying differential portfolio is a variety of safeguards that combine to limit the unpredictability of the value of a general portfolio. Instability is part of
securitycostdevelopment(promisingandnot-so-promisingperiods).Forexample,a fundamental change portfolio might contain a variety of high-risk stocks, but each one is from a different sector, or from a comparatively measured organization, so there is no connection between them. The risk associated with the shares is greater as compared to the other investment options which averse to risk and fluctuations. C). Design portfolio with the minimum annual return more than 10%. Over the period of time it can be seen that the stocks have performed well in order to increase the return associated with the stocks. The client needs to invest in the shares on regular interval to reduce the risk associated with the fluctuations of the shares which will help in average out the price and increase the overall return of the company. In the portfolio, it will consists of the 50% share of Tesla and rest 50% will be of Toyota Motors to increase the return as well as reduce the risk associated with the portfolio the client may invest his amount of $100000 in various stock to reduce the risk associated and maintain the minimum criteria of the client of 10% (Markowitz, and et., al., 2021). D). Calculate Sharpe ratio and alpha of the portfolio and explain the measures that needs to be taken by the client. Sharpe ratio is used to measure the performance of the assets. It is calculated by firstly calculating the expected return and subtracting the standard deviation of the excess return, it measures the volatility. It is calculated in the excel sheet attached. The client may exercise various measures to reduce the risk and increase the return of the portfolio. In order to increase the return the client is requested to purchase the shares when the price is low the financial market which will increase the return of the client. It further needs to study the news related to the companies whether the companies are performing as well in the future and provides greater return. External factors may also affect the return associated with the Share (Mensi, Rehman, and Vo, 2020). CONCLUSION From the above report it has been concluded that the financial market is the most important for the investors and the people who are investing in the various stock market. The most important for the people of the companies is that they invest in the right place. The analysis which is given above shows that the companies investing the stock can help them to invest more
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in further securities which helps the organisation to increase their brand value and revenues. The securities of the company are high then the company need to invest more in the stock market. The various calculations of the companies which is considered on the basis of their share prices suggests that the company have the high marketable securities.The comparison of the two companies which is considered in this report has been created in order to create the portfolio of the company.
REFERENCES Books and Journals Aboussalah, A.M. and Lee, C.G., 2020. Reinforcement Learning with Symmetry Augmentation for Portfolio Management.Available at SSRN 3748132. Carlei, V., and et., al., 2020, June. Portfolio Management via Empirical Asset Pricing Powered by Machine Learning. InThe International Conference on Decision Economics(pp. 121-129). Springer, Cham. da Silva, P.P. and Vieira, I., 2021. On the Effects of Capital Markets’ Regulation on Price Informativeness: an Assessment of EU Market Abuse Directive.Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, pp.1-33. Hassan, M.K., and et., al., 2021. Safe havens in Islamic financial markets: COVID-19 versus GFC.Global Finance Journal, p.100643. Jiang, Y., Fu, Y. and Ruan, W., 2019. Risk spillovers and portfolio management between precious metal and BRICS stock markets.Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications,534, p.120993. Laher, S., Paskaramoorthy, A. and Van Zyl, T.L., 2021, November. Deep Learning for Financial Time Series Forecast Fusion and Optimal Portfolio Rebalancing. In2021 IEEE 24th International Conference on Information Fusion (FUSION)(pp. 1-8). IEEE. Lewin, M. and Campani, C.H., 2020. Portfolio management under multiple regimes: Out-of- sample performance in the Brazilian market/Gestao de carteiras sob multiplos regimes: Performance fora da amostra no mercado brasileiro.Revista Brasileira de Financas, 18(3), pp.52-80. Li, B. and Teo, K.L., 2021. Portfolio optimization in real financial markets with both uncertainty and randomness.Applied Mathematical Modelling,100, pp.125-137. Markowitz, H., and et., al., 2021. Financial anomalies in portfolio construction and management. The Journal of Portfolio Management,47(6), pp.51-64. Mensi, W., Rehman, M.U. and Vo, X.V., 2020. Spillovers and co-movements between precious metals and energy markets: Implications on portfolio management.Resources Policy, 69, p.101836. Mensi, W., and et., al., 2021. Volatility spillovers between strategic commodity futures and stock markets and portfolio implications: Evidence from developed and emerging economies. Resources Policy,71, p.102002. Nanayakkara, S., Wanniarachchi, A. and Vidanagama, D., 2021, December. Adaptive Stock Market Portfolio Management and Stock Prices Prediction Platform for Colombo Stock Exchange of Sri Lanka. In2021 5th SLAAI International Conference on Artificial Intelligence (SLAAI-ICAI)(pp. 1-6). IEEE. Nekhili, R., Sultan, J. and Mensi, W., 2021. Co-movementsamong preciousmetalsand implications for portfolio management: A multivariate wavelet-based dynamic analysis. Resources Policy,74, p.102419. Singh, S. and Yadav, S.S., 2021. Portfolio Management: Process and Evaluation. InSecurity Analysis and Portfolio Management(pp. 295-340). Springer, Singapore. Wang, Z., and et., al., 2021, May. DeepTrader: A Deep Reinforcement Learning Approach for Risk-Return Balanced Portfolio Management with Market Conditions Embedding. In Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence(Vol. 35, No. 1, pp. 643- 650).