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Running head: FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT Financial Risk Management Name of the Student: Name of the University: Authors Note:
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FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT 1 Table of Contents Question 1:.................................................................................................................................3 1. Balance of the account at the end of 45 years:.......................................................................3 2. Amount of money withdraws after retirement each year:......................................................3 3. Amount of money withdraws forever after retirement each year:.........................................3 Problem 2:..................................................................................................................................3 1. Calculating current market value of the company’s debt:.....................................................3 2. Calculating cost of equity:.....................................................................................................4 3. Indicting the significance of beta:..........................................................................................4 4. Calculating cost of preference share:.....................................................................................5 5. Calculating cost of capital without tax:..................................................................................5 6. Calculating cost of capital with tax:.......................................................................................5 Problem 3:..................................................................................................................................6 1. Calculating ARR, Payback period, NPV and IRR of the project:.........................................6 2.a Calculating NPV of the project:...........................................................................................6 2.b Calculating and commenting on EAA of the both project:..................................................7 Problem 4:..................................................................................................................................7 1. Calculating the profit margin at spot rate, while finding the critical AUD/USD value and detecting the ideal rate:..............................................................................................................7 2. Detecting the steps to analyse the needs for this company for hedging, while providing two examples of situations in which the company does not have to hedge its FC risk:...................8 3. Identifying the risk associated with future contracts:............................................................8 4.I Hedge 100 % of the revenues with a forward contract:........................................................9 4.II Hedge 50 % of the revenues with a forward contract and leave the other 50 % unhedged: ....................................................................................................................................................9
FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT 2 4.III Using option hedging:........................................................................................................9 4.IV Worst-case protection:.....................................................................................................10 4.V No hedge at all:.................................................................................................................10 5. Providing two examples of low-cost hedging strategies:.....................................................11 Reference and Bibliography:....................................................................................................12
FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT 3 Question 1: 1. Balance of the account at the end of 45 years: ParticularsValue Amount (A)$10,000.00 Time (B)45.00 Interest (C)13.00% Balance at retirementA*(1+C)^B Balance at retirement10,000*(1+13%)^45 Balance at retirement$ 2,446,414.02 2. Amount of money withdraws after retirement each year: ParticularsValue Balance at retirement (PV)$ 2,446,414.02 Time (n)33.00 Interest (i)8.00% Yearly withdrawalPV/((1-((1+i)^-n)))/i) Yearly withdrawal 2,446,414.02/((1-((1+8%)^-33)))/ 8%) Yearly withdrawal$212,475.05 3. Amount of money withdraws forever after retirement each year: ParticularsValue Balance at retirement (A)$ 2,446,414.02 Interest (B)8.00% Withdrawal foreverA*B Withdrawal forever2,446,414.02 * 8% Withdrawal forever$195,713.12 Problem 2: 1. Calculating current market value of the company’s debt: ParticularsValue Face value (F)$7,500,000.00
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FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT 4 Time (t)15.00 coupon rate5.00% yield year 1 (i)5.50% Coupon payment (C)$375,000.00 Price(C*((1-(1/((1+i)^t)))/i))+(F/((1+i)^t)) Price (375,000*((1-(1/((1+5.5%)^15)))/5.5%))+(7,500,000/ ((1+5.5%)^15)) Price7,123,590.71 ParticularsValue Face value (F)$75,00,000.00 Time (t)14.00 coupon rate5.00% yield year 2 (i)6.50% Coupon payment (C)$3,75,000.00 Price(C*((1-(1/((1+i)^t)))/i))+(F/((1+i)^t)) Price (375,000*((1-(1/((1+6.5%)^14)))/6.5%))+(7,500,000/ ((1+6.5%)^14)) Price6,485,942.74 The value of debt for the organisation declined due to the increment in yield. 2. Calculating cost of equity: ParticularsValue Risk free rate (Rf)5.10% Market return (Rm)9.20% company beta (beta00.68 Cost of equityRf + Beta*(Rm-Rf) Cost of equity5.10% + 0.68*(9.20%-5.10%) Cost of equity7.89%
FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT 5 3. Indicting the significance of beta: The beta of 0.698 indicates that the company’s share price is less volatile against price action of the market. Hence, the company with low beta tends to have small risk from investment for the investors. 4. Calculating cost of preference share: ParticularsValue Preference shares value (p)$1.00 Current value (c)$1.63 Interest (i)11% Cost of preference shares(i*p)/c Cost of preference shares(1*11%)/1.63 Cost of preference shares6.75% 5. Calculating cost of capital without tax: ParticularsValue Cost of equity (e)7.89% Cost of preference shares (p)6.75% cost of debt (d)5.00% Equity (E)$65,50,000.00 Preference (P)$4,07,500.00 Debt (D)$64,85,942.74 Total capital (T=E+P+D)$1,34,43,442.74 Equity weight (WE=E/T)48.72% Preference weight (WP=P/T)3.03% Debt weight (WD=D/T)48.25% WACC(WE*e)+(WD*d)+(WP*p) WACC(48.72%*7.89%)+(48.25%*5%)+(3.03*6.75%) WACC6.46% 6. Calculating cost of capital with tax: ParticularsValue Cost of equity (e)7.89%
FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT 6 Cost of preference shares (p)6.75% cost of debt (d)5.00% Equity (E)$65,50,000.00 Preference (P)$4,07,500.00 Debt (D)$64,85,942.74 Total capital (T=E+P+D)$ 1,34,43,442.74 Equity weight (WE=E/T)48.72% Preference weight (WP=P/T)3.03% Debt weight (WD=D/T)48.25% Tax (T)20% WACC(WE*e)+((WD*d)*(1-T))+(WP*p) WACC(48.72%*7.89%)+((48.25%*5%)*(1-20%))+(3.03*6.75%) WACC5.98% Problem 3: 1. Calculating ARR, Payback period, NPV and IRR of the project: Yea rCash flow (A) Dis-rate (B)Dis-cash flow (A*B)Cum-cash 0$ -1,25,000.001.00$ -1,25,000.00$ -1,25,000.00 1$42,000.000.88$36,842.11$-83,000.00 2$42,000.000.77$32,317.64$-41,000.00 3$42,000.000.67$28,348.80$1,000.00 4$42,000.000.59$24,867.37$43,000.00 5$42,000.000.52$21,813.48$85,000.00 ParticularsValueBenchmark ARR13.60%12.00% Payback period4.03.0 NPV$19,189.40 IRR20.22% 2.a Calculating NPV of the project: YearCash flow (A)Dis-rate (B)Dis-cash flow (A*B)
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FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT 7 0 $ - 1,40,000.001.00$ -1,40,000.00 1$55,000.000.88$48,245.61 2$55,000.000.77$42,320.71 3$55,000.000.67$37,123.43 4$55,000.000.59$32,564.42 NPV$20,254.18 2.b Calculating and commenting on EAA of the both project: ParticularsValue NPV$19,189.40 t5 i14% Project 1 EAANPV/((1-((1+i)^-n)))/i) Project 1 EAA19,189/((1-((1+14%)^-5)))/14%) Project 1 EAA$5,589.56 ParticularsValue NPV$20,254.18 t4 i14% Project 2 EAANPV/((1-((1+i)^-n)))/i) Project 2 EAA20,254.18/((1-((1+14%)^-4)))/14%) Project 2 EAA $6,951.33 According to the EAA project 2 needs to be accommodated, as it has higher value and can generate more income for the organisation.
FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT 8 Problem 4: 1. Calculating the profit margin at spot rate, while finding the critical AUD/USD value and detecting the ideal rate: ParticularsValue Sales (A)$1,00,00,000 Cost of sales (B)AUD88,00,000 Spot rate AUD/USD 20th of August (C)$0.9200 Cost of sales in USD (D=B*C)$80,96,000 Profit (E=A-D)$19,04,000 Profit % at current spot rate (F=E/A)19.04% ParticularsValue Sales (A)$1,00,00,000 Cost of sales (B)AUD 88,00,000 Profit % (C)14% Profit needed (D=A*C)$14,00,000 Cost (E)$86,00,000 Critical AUD/USD (E/B)$0.9773 ParticularsValue Sales (A)$1,00,00,000 Cost of sales (B)AUD 88,00,000 Profit % (C)20% Profit needed (D=A*C)$20,00,000 Cost (E)$80,00,000 Ideal AUD/ USD (E/B)$0.9091 2. Detecting the steps to analyse the needs for this company for hedging, while providing two examples of situations in which the company does not have to hedge its FC risk: The first step is to determine whether payment is to be conducted on different currency, as the home currency of the company. The second step is to detect volatility present within the currency conversion rate. Third step is to detect whether the price action will
FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT 9 benefit or harm the currency conversion value. The two examples in which hedging are not needed is that when the government fixes the currency exchange rate. The second example is when the payments in not made in foreign currency, where the risk from volatile currency market does not affect the company (Clark & Judge, 2017). 3. Identifying the risk associated with future contracts: The future contract is for January, while the actual payment will be conducted on February, which indicates the risk from volatile currency market is high, as adequate hedging will not be conducted for the last month. The future contract with a tenure will 20 February would be beneficial for reducing the risk attributes of the currency market, while the current contract cannot nullify the risk involved in currency conversion (Do & Vu, 2018). 4.I Hedge 100 % of the revenues with a forward contract: 100% Hedged with forward contract ParticularsValueValue Sales (A)$1,00,00,000$1,00,00,000 Expected forward rate of AUD/USD$ 0.9173$ 0.9173 Expected forward rate of USD/AUD1/$ 0.91731/$ 0.9173 Expected forward rate of USD/AUD (B)AUD1.09AUD1.09 Sale (FC=A*B)AUD 1,09,01,351.01AUD 1,09,01,351.01 Cost of sales (D)AUD88,00,000AUD88,00,000 Profit % from hedge (S-D)/S19.3%19.3% 4.II Hedge 50 % of the revenues with a forward contract and leave the other 50 % unhedged: 50% Hedged with forward contract ParticularsValueValue Sales (A)$1,00,00,000$1,00,00,000 Spot rate AUD/USD 20th of February$1.05$ 0.85 Spot rate USD/AUD 20th of February1/ 1.051/0.85
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FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT 10 Spot rate USD/AUD 20th of February (B)AUD0.95AUD1.18 Expected forward rate of AUD/USD$ 0.9173$ 0.9173 Expected forward rate of USD/AUD1/$ 0.91731/$ 0.9173 Expected forward rate of USD/AUD (C)AUD1.09AUD1.09 Sale (FC=A/2*B)AUD47,61,904.76AUD58,82,352.94 Sale (S=A/2*C)AUD54,50,675.51AUD54,50,675.51 Sales (T=FC+S)AUD 1,02,12,580.27AUD 1,13,33,028.45 Cost of sales (D)AUD88,00,000AUD88,00,000 Profit/Loss from 50% hedge (T-D)/T13.83%22.35% 4.III Using option hedging: 100% Hedged with Call option ParticularsValueValue AUD Call (A)$0.8800$0.8800 Premium (B)$0.0200$0.0200 Total call value (C=A+B)$0.9000$0.9000 Spot rate AUD/USD 20th of February (D)$1.0500$0.8500 Spot rate AUD/USD 20th of August$0.9200$0.9200 Profit or loss from hedging (E=D-C)$0.1500$0.0500 Sales (F)$1,00,00,000$1,00,00,000 Sales [G=(F*(1/(-E+D)))] AUD 1,11,11,111AUD1,11,11,111 Cost of sales (H) AUD 88,00,000.00AUD 88,00,000.00 Profit from hedge (I=F-H) AUD 23,11,111.11AUD 23,11,111.11 Profit % from hedge (I/G)20.80%20.80% 4.IV Worst-case protection: 100% Hedged with put option ParticularsValueValue AUD Put (A)$0.7500$0.7500 Premium (B)$0.0005$0.0005 Total call value (C=A+B)$0.7505$0.7505 Spot rate AUD/USD 20th of February (D)$1.0500$0.8500 Spot rate AUD/USD 20th of August$0.9200$0.9200 Profit or loss from hedging (E=D-C)$-0.2995$-0.0995
FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT 11 Sales (F)$1,00,00,000$1,00,00,000 Sales [G=(F*(1/(-E+D)))]AUD74,10,152AUD1,33,24,450 Cost of sales (H)AUD88,00,000.00AUD 88,00,000.00 Profit from hedge (I=F-H)AUD -13,89,848.09AUD 45,24,450.37 Profit % from hedge (I/G)-18.76%33.96% 4.V No hedge at all: 100% Hedged with forward contract ParticularsValueValue Sales (A)$1,00,00,000$1,00,00,000 Spot rate AUD/USD 20th of February$1.05$ 0.85 Spot rate USD/AUD 20th of February1/ 1.051/0.85 Spot rate USD/AUD 20th of February (B)AUD0.95AUD1.18 Sale (S=A*B)AUD95,23,809.52AUD 1,17,64,705.88 Cost of sales (D)AUD88,00,000AUD88,00,000 Profit % from no hedge (S-D)/S7.6%25.2% 5. Providing two examples of low-cost hedging strategies: The two low cost hedging strategies that can be used by the organisation are the currency swaps and future contracts. The currency swaps can allow the organisation to take adequate loans in USA, while transferring the money to Australia on the spot rate and making the payments after receiving the 10 million dollars to the loan-providing bank. The future contracts can be used for minimising the damage conducted from the currency volatility (Álvarez-Díez, Alfaro-Cid & Fernández-Blanco, 2016).
FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT 12
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FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT 13 Reference and Bibliography: Álvarez-Díez, S., Alfaro-Cid, E., & Fernández-Blanco, M. O. (2016). Hedging foreign exchange rate risk: Multi-currency diversification.European journal of management and business economics,25(1), 2-7. Clark, E. A., & Judge, A. P. (2017). The determinants of foreign currency hedging: does foreign currency debt induce a bias?.Evaluating Country Risks for International Investments, 499-536. Do, V., & Vu, T. (2018). The additional cost of hedging in foreign currency loans.Australian Journal of Management,43(2), 305-327. Gotze, U., Northcott, D., & Schuster, P. (2016).Investment appraisal. Springer-verlag berlin an.