The report covers the financial statement analysis of L'Oréal S.A. including industry and competitor analysis, business model, corporate strategy, and key corporate events. It also includes financial ratio calculation and interpretation along with valuation using free cash flow and multiples model.
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FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS - COMPONENT B
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Table of Contents INTRODUCTION...........................................................................................................................3 Analyst’s tear sheet......................................................................................................................3 Company Profile..........................................................................................................................5 Industry Analysis.........................................................................................................................5 Competitors analysis....................................................................................................................6 L’Oréal Business model and corporate strategy..........................................................................7 Analysis of L’Oréal key corporate events and activities.............................................................7 Summary Analysis of L’Oréal Financial statement.....................................................................8 Financial ratio calculation of L’Oréal and Revlon along its interpretation and comparison.......8 Company Valuation using multiples model..............................................................................11 Cash Flow Model.......................................................................................................................12 CONCLUSION..............................................................................................................................13 REFERENCES................................................................................................................................1 Appendix..........................................................................................................................................3 Discounted cash flow value per share.........................................................................................3
INTRODUCTION Financial statement analysis means the process of analysing and identifying the financial health of the business using the financial ratio, free cash flow model, EBITDA multiples and analyst tear sheet. The present report will be based on L’Oréal S.A. and will cover the tear sheet of company along with the stock recommendation to investors. Further, the report will cover the industry analysis, competitor analysis, business model, financial statement & ratio analysis of company Lastly, the report will determine the valuation of L’Oréal business on the basis of free cash flow model and multiples model. Analyst’s tear sheet
L’ORÉAL S.A. ANALYST’s TEARSHEET L’Oréal SA (OREP) Headquarter: Paris 379.40-9.40 (-2.42%) Date: 14/01 – Close EUR Overvalued Current Price: $379.40 Target(intrinsic)Price: $388.80 Day’s Range: 378.90 – 383.40 52 wk Range: 290.10 – 433.65 Prev. close: 379.40 Open: 381.50 Volume: 424,867 Average Vol.(3m): 355,106 1-year Change: 27.14% Market Cap: 211.58B Beta: 0.55 P/E ratio: 51.95 Type: Equity Market: France ISIN: FR0000120321 CUSIP: - Share outstanding: 557,672,360 Revenue: 30.11B Dividend (yield): 4 (1.05%) Div. ex-date: April 27, 2021 Div. pay date: April 29, 2021 Price Volatility Information High: 383.40 Low: 378.90 Bid: 379.00 Offer: 382.00Source: (investing.com) Key Performance Indicators: (Source investing.com) Particulars20202019201820172016 Sales27992.1029876.6026937.4026023.7024916.30 GP Margin73%73%73%72%72% NP margin13%13%14%14%12% Normal EPS43.853.853.553.30 Diluted EPS7.927.147.077.186.16 Share Price251.90210.10183.10168.35157.55 EBITDA45005111482744003964.80 Dividend3.853.853.553.33.1 Free cash flow Yield3.33%2.93%--- Contact Details: Location: 41 rue Martre, Clichy Cedex Clichy 92117 France FRA Phone: +33 147567000 Fax: +33 147568642 Website:http://www.loreal.com
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Company Profile L’Oréal SA is one of the largest cosmetic company of UK having headquarter in Clichy, France with a register office in Paris. The company is basically a French personal care company that focus on various segment products such as hair colour, skin care, sun protection, make-up, perfumes and hair care. The company operates in cosmetic industry and serve its both local as well as international customers. Presently, the company operates in more than 150 countries which is consider as their large geographical segment. The total number of employees work with L’Oréal is around 88000 as per 2020 annual report. Further, in the year 2021, the company has announced the acquisition of Vegan skin care brand in order to increase their business segment and attract more and more customers. The financial health of the company is best and growing day by day. The operating profit, revenue, net profit of the company in the year 2021 is€2672.80 million, 15196.60 million and 2362.60 million respectively which is higher than the previous year i.e., 2020 figures (AREAS, 2018). This means that after Covid-19, company again come on their growing track. The company have various mergers and acquisitions which help them existing their business in the competitive market and taking advantage of higher sales and customer base. Industry Analysis In order to analyse the industry in which L’Oréal company operates, the PEST analysis tool is used. The PEST analysis of cosmetic industry is as follows: Political: This factor denotes the political stability etc. impact over the cosmetic industry. Different country has their own rules and regulation which affects the industry as well as company. Because of brexit and Covid-19, the sales of the company has showed vast decline which also affect its profitability and financial health. The political factor is creating threat for the cosmetics industry and L’Oréal company (Gassama, 2020). Economical: This includes the economic stability and people income factor impact over industry and company. After covid-19, the income of the consumers has shifted their purchasing criteria to basic goods from luxury and unnecessary goods. Along with the trade war between China and USA has also causes decrease in the demand of L’Oréal products.
Social: In the present time, people all over the world love to show off which helps the cosmetic industry in the increase of their demand. The impact of which the sales of the L’Oréal company has also increase because company provides products as per the taste and preference of consumers (Eriksrød, 2018). Technological:The technology is increasing day by day and consumer prefer more digital and online shopping rather than offline shopping. The industry and cosmetics companies such as L’Oréal has adopted digital platform to connect with the customer is an opportunity for them which leads to increase in customer base. Competitors analysis The competitor’s analysis of cosmetics industry using the Porter five forces model are as follows: Buyer Power: The power of buyer over cosmetics is weak because they have little influence on price and products. Thus, L’Oréal are able to offer high price for the products as well negotiate for pricing with other companies. Supplier Power: The bargaining power of supplier over the supply of raw material to cosmetics companies are also weak. It is because the number of suppliers of cosmetics such as beauty and personal care products are high and switching cost is also expensive (Ndirangu, 2019). Threat of new Entrants: The number of firms that produces similar cosmetics products are low in the market thus the threat of new entrants is also low. L’Oréal is highly affected with this factor because their market share will get increase with low threat of new entrants. Threat of substitute: The threat of substitute products is high in cosmetics industry because there are many firms which produces same personal and skin care products which is produces by L’Oréal. The impact of which they are facing the risk of losing their sales and customer base (Galetić and Požega, 2019). Degree of rivalry: The degree of rivalry is high in the case of cosmetics industry because the number of competitors in the industry are increasing day by day. As the switching cost for consumer are quite low thus they can easily shift to new and other competitors which is a risk for L’Oréal.
L’Oréal Business model and corporate strategy The corporate strategy adopted by L’Oréal is unique which is known as Universalization means the company uses the globalization and understand the needs, traditions, desires of its customers before selling any product. The strategy of company is to help millions of women and men in getting their desire skin via their five branches. The company generates 29.9 billion euro sales which is from 35% skincare segment, 26% make-up, 15% hair care, 10% hair collaring and 5% fragrances (Leppänen, George and Alexy, 2021). The business model of L’Oréal is based on five pillars which are as follows: The R&D of company worth around 1 billion euros. The innovation of company contributes 15% annual sales of business. The company release every year a new product for its customers. The company is one of the leading national and international brand. It also focusses on e-commerce to increase its sales. Analysis of L’Oréal key corporate events and activities One of the key and significant event and activities of L’Oréal is announcement of acquisition of vegan skin care brand in the December 2021. The company has signed an agreement to acquire Youth to the People company of California skincare brand. This is an important event for the company because with the help of this acquisition the company able to attract US, Canada, Australia and other European countries customer (Albert and et.al., 2021). The acquisition event is quite profitable to company as they able to provide vegan skin care products to its customers which are highly demanded by customers. Summary Analysis of L’Oréal Financial statement On the basis of the analysis of L’Oréal financial statement, it is identified that company are performing well in the market because from 2016 to 2019, the sales, operating profit as well as net profit of company in increasing. But in the year 2020, the financial health of business is reducing which might be because of Covid-19 and lockdown. But this loss is temporary for the company because as the government lift the lock-down, the sales of company will again increase because of its online presence. With the help of E-commerce, the company have managed its
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operations even in this pandemic situation (AREAS, 2018). Thus, overall financial statement of the company is good. Financial ratio calculation of L’Oréal and Revlon along its interpretation and comparison
LOREALREVLON ParticularsFormula2020201920182017201620202019201820172016 Liquidity Ratios Current Assets14,560.1013,916.5012,466.301101910,045.601,046.401,111.401,193.801,143.201,124.10 Current Liabilities11,130.1010,868.5010,111.609173.49207.3844.20956.901,120.40932.30708.70 Stock2675.82920.82821.92494.62698.6462.6448.4523.2497.90 Prepaid Expenses452.2365.9338.5295.831266.768.971.543.30 Quick assets Current Assets - Stock- Prepaid Expenses11,432.1010,629.809,305.908228.67,035.00517.10594.10599.10602.001,124.10 Current Ratio Current Assets / Current Liabilities1.31.31.2328711581.2011903981.0910473211.2395167021.1614588781.0655123171.2262147381.586143643 Quick Ratio Quick Assets/ Current Liabilities1.0271336291.00.9203192370.8970065620.7640676420.6125325750.6208590240.5347197430.6457148991.586143643 ParticularsFormula2020201920182017201620202019201820172016 Solvency Ratios Debentures8.59.69.98.810.631052906.22727.72653.70 Long term loans0000000000 Eq. Sh. Capital112.1112111.9111.6112.30.50.50.50.50 Pref. Sh. Capital0000000000 Reserves21,271.9022,205.9020,403.8020,680.9019,986.20-2631.7-2012.7-1855-1560.80 Fictitious Assets0000000000 0 Long term Debt Debentures + Long term loans8.59.69.98.810.631052906.22727.72653.70 Shareholders’ Funds Eq. Sh. Cap.+ Pref. Sh. Cap. + Res. - Fictitious Assets21,384.0022,317.9020,515.7020,792.5020,098.50-2,631.20-2,012.20-1,854.50-1,560.300.00
Debt Equity Ratio Long term Debt/ Shareholders Funds0.00.00.0004825570.000423230.000527403-1.18006993 - 1.444289832 - 1.470854678 - 1.7007626740 ParticularsFormula2020201920182017201620202019201820172016 Profitability Ratio Gross Profit20,459.8021,808.9019605.818,664.5017,8481,043.801,367.401,447.501,542.401,416.90 Operating Profit450051114827.344003964.8-183.260.7-85.2-22.3155.3 Net Profit/ Income3563.437503895.43581.43105.7-619-157.7-294.2-183.2-0.42 Net Sales27992.129873.626937.426023.724916.31904.32419.62564.52693.72334 Total Assets43606.943809.838457.535339.135630.22527.72980.63016.83056.93023.5 Current Liabilities11130.110868.510111.69173.49207.3844.2956.91120.4932.3708.7 Equity at beginning Equity at end Average Sh. Equity (Equity at beginning + equity at end)/ 2112.05111.95111.75111.9556.15455.5485.8510.55248.95248.95 EBIT450051114827.344003964.8-183.260.7-85.2-22.3155.3 Capital Employed Total Assets - Current Liabilities32476.832941.328345.926165.726422.91683.52023.71896.42124.62314.8 Gross Profit Ratio Gross Profit/ Net Sales73%73%73%72%72%55%57%56%57%61% Net profit Ratio Net Profit/ Net Sales13%13%14%14%12%-33%-7%-11%-7%0% Operating Profit Ratio Operating Profit/ Net Sales16%17%18%17%16%-10%3%-3%-1%7% Return on Investment Net Profit/ Total Assets8%9%10%10%9%-24%-5%-10%-6%0% Return on Equity Net Profit/ Average Shareholder Equity3180%3350%3486%3199%5531%-136%-32%-58%-74%0% Return on Capital Emp EBIT/ Capital Employed14%16%17%17%15%-11%3%-4%-1%7% ParticularsFormula2020201920182017201620202019201820172016 Efficiency Ratio COGS7532.38064.77331.67359.27068.6860.51052.211171151.3918
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Average Inventory (Opening + Closing Inventory)/ 22798.32871.352658.252596.61349455.5485.8510.55248.95248.95 Average Accounts Receivable (Opening + Closing Receivables)/ 237994034.953953.33932.61970.9387.85427.35438.05222.4222.4 Average Accounts Payables (Opening + Closing Payable)/ 24711.454604.24345.44137.92067.65227.55291.95334.5168.45168.45 Average Total Assets (Opening + Closing Total Assets)/ 243708.3541133.6536898.335484.6517815.12754.152998.73036.851528.451511.5 Net Credit Sales27992.129873.626937.426023.724916.31904.32419.62654.52693.72334 Net Credit Purchases7532.38064.77331.67359.27068.6860.51052.211171151.3918 Net Sales27992.129873.626937.426023.724916.31904.32419.62654.52693.72334 Debtor Turnover Ratio Net Credit Sales/ Average Accounts Receivables7.47.46.86.612.64.95.76.112.110.5 Creditor Turnover Ratio Net Credit Purchases/ Average Accounts Payables1.61.81.71.83.43.83.63.36.85.4 Inventory Turnover Ratio COGS/ Average Inventory2.72.82.82.85.21.92.22.24.63.7 Asset Turnover Ratio Net Sales/ Average Total Assets0.60.70.70.71.40.70.80.91.81.5
Interpretation Liquidity Ratios Liquidity ratios are a form of financial ratios, used by different companies in order to analyse the liquidity state of a company. These ratios are used to determine if the company has sufficient assets which can be used to meet its short-term obligations. From the above calculations of Loreal Paris, it can be stated that the liquidity of the company is increasing little by little, which is a good indicator. The Current ratio of Loreal Paris were recorded to be 1.091 in 2016 which increased to 1.2328 in 2018 and further reaching 1.3 in 2020. Similarly, The Quick ratio of Loreal Paris was 0.764 which increased to 0.9203 in 2018 and reach to 1.027 in 2020. The increasing liquidity ratio gives a feeling of contentment to the shareholders of the company as the company is capable of repaying its short-term liabilities on time. But Loreal Paris can still work on making its liquidity better by repaying its short terms before time, cutting overhead expenses like rent, labour, marketing expenses (Haralayya, 2021). The Loreal Paris is doing better than Revlon as the liquidity ratios of Revlon are constantly decreasing. Solvency Ratios The ratios which helps an organization in identifying its capacity to pay long term debts are known as Solvency ratios. Solvency ratios determines the amount of shareholder’s fund in relation to the long-term debt owned by the company. It can be seen from the above table that the solvency ratio of Loreal Paris is below 1. The debt equity ratio of the company in 2016 was recorded as 0.0005274 and since then it is constantly deteriorating and in the year 2020 it came down to zero. A debt equity ratio lower than 1 states that the company does not trust external borrowings for financing. The ideal debt equity ratio is between 1 to 2. But it can be stated that Loreal Paris has a better debt equity ratio than Revlon as negative debt equity ratio refers more debt than assets (Pascal and et.al., 2021). Profitability ratio The profitability ratio of the company disclose the fact that company could govern an increase rend in its profits. The net profit of the Loreal company could go down in the year 2019
and 2020 alongwith theoperatingprofit margin.Thepandemichashitthe company’s performance which could result into decline in the profits of company. Return on investment could also go down as a result of decrease profitability of the business (Liang, Zhao and Hong, 2019). Efficiency ratio Debtor turnover ratio of the company could go high in the years 2019 and 2020 from the year 2018. Creditor turnover could go down which is a positive indicator for the organization. Inventory and asset turnover ratio both are declining for the company at the same time. This can disclose that organization could face a downfall in its performance in the year 2019 and thereafter in the year 2020 (Zhang and et.al., 2020). Company Valuation using multiples model EBITDA multiples is a valuation model that compares the enterprise value of company to its annual Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization. This multiple is basically used in order to determine the value of a company and compare it to the value of other competitors. In order to identify the firm valuation of L’Oréal business, the multiples model will be used which includes EBITDA multiple. Assumption: It is assumed that only EBITDA multiples will be used to determine the company such as L’Oréal Valuation. Formula of EBITDA multiples = Enterprise value / EBITDA EBITDA Multiples (L’Oréal) = 206.76 / 2.67 = 77.43 EBITDA Multiples (Revlon) = 3.12 / 0.0341 = 91.49 Calculation of Enterprise value = Market capitalization + value of debt + minority interest + preferred shares – cash and cash equivalent L’Oréal = 211.58 billion + 0.0089 billion + 0 + 0 – 4.82 billion = 206.76 billion Revlon = 0.55 billion + 3.30 + 0 + 0 – 0.73 = 3.12 billion Calculation of EBITDA = Earnings before interest and tax + depreciation + amortization L’Oréal = 2.67 billion Revlon = 0.0341 billion
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On the basis of the above calculation, it is identified that the value of the L’Oréal company as compared to its competitor Revlon is poor. It is because of the company low EBITDA as compared to their own enterprise value. So, to further improve this it is advisable to the company that they should opt for best strategy which will improvise their earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization (Cheng, Yuan and Chen, 2021). Cash Flow Model Free cash flow model which is also known as the discounted cash flow model state the value of a company per share. On the basis of the information (attached in appendix), it is identified that the free discounted cash flow of the L’Oréal company is 802.04. It is calculated on the basis of the following assumptions which are as follows: It is assumed that the growth rate expected from its free cash flows in the next five years is 10% (moderate) and between 6thto 10thyear it will be 15% (high) Further, it is also assumed that the terminal rate means the rate projected beyond the forecasting period is 1%. Beside this, the information regarding the L’Oréal share price, market capitalization and net debts is used from the annual report. Lastly, the margin of safety is also assumed in order to compute discounted cash flow per share of company which is 10%. It is also assuming that the annual free cash will remain constant throughout the year which means even cash flow. ParticluarsCrores Initial free cash flow of L’Oréal company503.17 growth rate10% Terminal rate1% Current share price379.4 margin of safety10% Discount rate4% Growth rate (6 to 10 years)15% market capitalization21158 Net debt0.89 Discounted cash flow value per share802.04
Fair value (after margin of safety)721.84 Source: (investing.com) On the basis of the result, it is analysed that the discounted free cash flow per share is good which means that the shares price of L’Oréal is good enough to generate more free cash flow in the future. In simple term, the overall value of the company based on the discounted free cash flow model is positive and best which can attract more and more investors (Chang and et.al., 2019). CONCLUSION The report has concluded the financial statement analysis and interpretation of L’Oréal S.A. The report has concluded that the overall health of the business in the year 2020 is poor which might be because of Covid-19. But the company will have the capacity to drive their business in growth direction because of its e-commerce presence. The report has also determined the value of business using free cash flow model and multiples model. Lastly, the report has also cover the stockrecommendationtoinvestorsbasedonthecompanytearsheet.Thevarious recommendation to L’Oréal company are as follows: Stock recommendation based on tear sheet On the basis of the analysis of the tear sheet of L’Oréal, it is recommended to the inventors is to strongly buy the shares of the company. It is because the intrinsic price per share of the company is higher than the current market price per share is which state the situation of buy (Sun, Fang and Wang, 2018). Thus, the investors have to buy the share. Further, it is also recommended to the company that they have to improve its business financial and operational performance via adopting value-based pricing strategy and training and development to employees despite company is performing well as compared to its competitors Revlon. On the basis of ratio analysis, it is also recommended to the company that they should put their focus on e-commerce because this is highly demanded by the consumers in the
present time. Beside this, the company have to focus on their sales increment and high profitability to give more return to its investors.
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Liang, W., Zhao, G. and Hong, C., 2019. Selecting the optimal mining method with extended multi-objectiveoptimizationbyratioanalysisplusthefullmultiplicativeform (MULTIMOORA) approach.Neural Computing and Applications.31(10). pp.5871-5886. Zhang, X. and et.al., 2020. Source apportionment of cadmium pollution in agricultural soil based on cadmium isotope ratio analysis.Applied Geochemistry.123. p.104776. 2
Appendix Financial statement of L’Oréal company: Income statement 3
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