1ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT Table of Contents Answer to question C.i....................................................................................................................2 Answer to question C.ii...................................................................................................................3 Answer to question C.iii..................................................................................................................5 Reference list...................................................................................................................................6
2ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT Answer to question C.i Prospects of fiscal policy:According to data, the UK economy has been experiencing a downward trend in the RGDP growth. Within last on year, the RGDP growth has been slashed down to 1.24% from 1.39%. Looking forward, the economy is expecting further deterioration in the country’s total output level in the upcoming years. In order to overcome this sluggish economic progress, the UK government must emphasize on the fiscal policy which deals with public expenditure and tax system. Most of the government expenditure in UK has been reported to allocate for the unproductive activity including defense spending as well as governmental aid to other nations. As a result of that, the growing fiscal expenditure has aggravated the fiscal deficit condition instead of improving the economic condition of the UK. In this regard, the expansionary fiscal policy is expected to yield most effective outcome for the ailing UK economy (Bhattarai, Haughton and Tuerck 2015). The expansionary fiscal policy calls for the enhancement in the government expenditure in terms of welfare subsidy or monetary assistance to the general public. The beneficial impact of this policy will be consumed by all people staying in the UK economy. Most importantly, it accelerates the structural development process which can lead the country to gain a sustainable economic growth. Prospects of monetary policy:The UK economy has been observing dwindling economic performance due to the cumulative effect of global economy, uncertainty in the Brexit agreement and impoverished structural development of the national economy. An appropriate economic policy needs to be implemented in order to boost the aggregate demand of the UK economy. The improvement in the cumulative demand will likely to bring immediate impact on the country’s aggregate output level (Bhattarai and Trzeciakiewicz 2017). In respect of UK economy, the expansionary monetary policy should be incorporated to augment the purchasing power of the
3ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT average number of people. This sort of monetary policy increases money supply in terms of printing currency note or reducing interest rate. The cut in interest rate will reduce loan cost, which in turn, will encourage the investors to invest in the production process. Consequently, the economy will gain an advanced output level owing to sharp improvement in the cumulative demand. Growth prospects of the UK economy:The employment growth exhibiting steady trend during the last couple of years. This accelerating growth indicates the UK economy holds a considerable amount of growth prospects in future. The employment rate has been recorded at 74.7% in the lastyear.Moreover,thecountry’simpressiveperformancewithrespecttotheGlobal Competitive Index denotes macroeconomic stability in the UK economy. This remarkable outcome will encourage the foreign investors to invest more in the UK. Subsequently, this assures enough growth in the infrastructure as well as financial system. Moreover, the country’s strong supremacy in the science and research field is expected to accelerate the pace of economic growth. Answer to question C.ii Post-Brexit impacts on Britain’s economy:Uncertainty related to the Brexit deal is the emerging concern for the economy. Brexit stands for the withdrawal of the British government from the European Union. Though the concerned government formally declared this withdrawal in 2017, the deal has not been finalized yet (Dhingraet al.2016). The impact of Brexit depends on the degree of association of the UK economy with the European Union. It has been observed that the EU has been playing an influential role in accelerating the growth of the UK economy. Therefore, the researchers assert that the UK economy will receive detrimental impacts in terms of the per capita income. Brexit will increase restriction on the immigration from the European
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4ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT Economic Area. This results in the decrease in the student enrollment in the education sector as well as a smaller number of skilled workers in the in the domestic workforce. Subsequently, this triggers a serious challenge for the UK economy as lack of skilled workforce has reduced the development process in the production sector(Martinet al.2016). In addition to that, the growth of the education sector will face hindrance in terms of financial assistance for the research and development program. The employability across the economy will be lowering down as a result of long-term effect. As a consequence of that, the UK economy will be operating below its potential level as the real output level moves towards downward trend (Uspenskaya and Alieva 2016). Apart from that, the tourism industry is considered as another important sector which will receive declining impact after Brexit. As per the scholars, the tourist will have to bear a large amount of expenditure whenever the tourists will visit the UK (Jensen and Snaith 2016). This causes complexity in the travel budget for average number of tourists. Hence, a large number of tourists from the European Union will resist themselves from incurring travel cost associated with the UK. Potential on international trade and exchange rate:Post-Brexit poses a serious threat to the trade sector of the UK economy. In terms of the OECD quality, the concerned has slipped in to the 31stposition as compared to the earlier position at 16thplace. The deteriorating position in the OECD quality refers to the country’s decreasing competitiveness with respect to other developed countries. This further denotes that quality of the export goods get aggravated as a result of lack of research and development work (Van Reenen, 2016). The uncertainty in the policy making decision is considered as the key cause of concern for the slow pace in the economic growth. Meanwhile, the falling export earnings will aggravate the country’s balance-of trade condition (Gudginet al.2018). Import expenditure will continue to increase with respect to the sharp
5ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT decline in the export earnings. This will invariably create huge pressure in the foreign exchange reserve. On this account, the apex monetary authority will decide to cut down the interest rate in order to enhance the purchasing power of the national citizens. However, this will lower the currency value of pound at the international rate, which in turn, makes export goods costlier for the overseas consumers and turns the import commodities more expensive for the domestic buyers. Answer to question C.iii Challenge 1 - Threat from competitors:Rolls Royce is a renowned performer in the UK’s aerospace industry. The marker structure for this certain company seems like an oligopoly market. Due to stringent government policy, new entry into the aerospace industry is restricted. The company competes with a limited number of competitors, such that, General Electric (Baines and Shi 2015). Due to lack of potential number of producers, the buyers of the aerospace industry hold significant buying power which implies that the buyer can shift their choices to other company whenever they will not feel satisfied with the service quality of Rolls Royce. Considering the fact, the Rolls Royce authority is expecting a deteriorating sales revenue as negative impact of the Brexit. In order to overcome this challenge, the company should develop a market strategy which will effectively hold the customer strength for the company. Innovative technology is the key point to draw the customer attention for its aerospace products. Challenge 2 – Dearth of skilled workers:A considerable number of people are expected to be jobless owing to the uncertainty related to the Brexit deal. Further, restriction on the work visa for the overseas workers may call for deficiency in the skilled workforce. This will inevitably
6ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT reduce the company’s profit inducing the production cost (McLeay, Radia and Thomas 2014). The production cost of this sort of industry is huge. As per the company’s latest annual report, the company had incurred total adjusted cost of 276 million. It has been reported that the concerned company has devoted 100 million pound due to no-deal Brexit. Consideringthischallenge,thecompanyshouldbringintroduceflexibilityinits employee policy so that no employees need to lose job after the Brexit agreement. In this way. the abrupt growth in the production cost will also be managed and crisis for skilled workers will be countered.
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7ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT Reference list Baines, T. and Shi, V.G., 2015. A Delphi study to explore the adoption of servitization in UK companies.Production Planning & Control,26(14-15), pp.1171-1187. Bhattarai, K. and Trzeciakiewicz, D., 2017. Macroeconomic impacts of fiscal policy shocks in the UK: A DSGE analysis.Economic Modelling,61, pp.321-338. Bhattarai,K.,Haughton,J.andTuerck,D.G.,2015.Fiscalpolicy,growthandincome distribution in the UK.Applied Economics and Finance,2(3), pp.20-36. Dhingra, S., Ottaviano, G.I., Sampson, T. and Reenen, J.V., 2016. The consequences of Brexit for UK trade and living standards. Gudgin, G., Coutts, K., Gibson, N. and Buchanan, J., 2018. The macro-economic impact of Brexit: using the CBR macro-economic model of the UK economy (UKMOD).Journal of Self- Governance and Management Economics,6(2), pp.7-49. Jensen,M.D.andSnaith,H.,2016.Whenpoliticsprevails:thepoliticaleconomyofa Brexit.Journal of European Public Policy,23(9), pp.1302-1310. Martin, R., Pike, A., Tyler, P. and Gardiner, B., 2016. Spatially rebalancing the UK economy: towards a new policy model?.Regional Studies,50(2), pp.342-357. McLeay, M., Radia, A. and Thomas, R., 2014. Money creation in the modern economy.Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin, p.Q1. Uspenskaya, L.I. and Alieva, B.R., 2016. BRITISH MULTINATIONAL CORPORATIONS AT THE PRESENT STAGE.РОССИЙСКОГО ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКОГО УНИВЕРСИТЕТА имени ГВ Плеханова, p.2.
8ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT Van Reenen, J., 2016. Brexit’s long-run effects on the UK economy.Brookings papers on economic activity, pp.367-383.