Forecasting Health Service need | Assessment

Running Head: FORECASTING HEALTH SERVICE NEED
FORECASTING HEALTH SERVICE NEED
Name of the Student
Name of the University
Author Note

Running Head: FORECASTING HEALTH SERVICE NEED1
Table of Contents
ISSUE:.............................................................................................................................................2
DISCUSSION:.................................................................................................................................3
The situation of the issue becoming a matter of concern:...........................................................3
Impacts related to the issue:.........................................................................................................4
Risk of Ramifications:.................................................................................................................7
Scenario Models:.........................................................................................................................8
Recommendations:....................................................................................................................12
References:....................................................................................................................................14

Running Head: FORECASTING HEALTH SERVICE NEED2
ISSUE:
Diseased conditions become a burden in old age. Here the concerned community is the
group of people aged above sixty-five. The disease in concern is Gastrointestinal disorders. This
disease has been a significant cause of expenditure in terms of healthcare in older people.
Gastrointestinal disorders include irritable bowel syndrome, constipation, anal fistulas, perianal
abscesses and colon polyps, including cancer. The human digestive tract begins to deteriorate
when people land on ages above sixty-five (Gan et al. 2019). This condition occurs since as
people age, the intestinal linings wear off due to years of changing in diet, having different kinds
of food, past disease exposures, and others. The gastrointestinal disease has been a matter of
concern in the financial part also. People in old age get unemployed, mostly due to retirement
from their work life. Here the stated age is above sixty-five years of age. This age is the time
when people get retired from their jobs. Financial support from children is not always possible.
Therefore for a patient of gastrointestinal disorder, the cost of treatment becomes a burden. The
primary gastrointestinal disorder which affects older people is hepatitis disease. Hepatitis B and
C becomes the major digestive disorder in the people of Australia at the age of sixty-five to
seventy. Diagnostic tests include different kinds of medical tests that are not always low in cost
(Soenen et al. 2016). The analyses include imaging tests such as endoscopy of the liver,
ultrasonography of the intestinal tract, MRI (Magnetic Resonance Imaging) of the affected
organ. These tests are costly because performing these tests requires a tremendous amount of
effort from the professionals and different equipment uses. Colonoscopy is one of the tests which
falls in the significant expenditure category of older people. Statistical representations show that
expenditures of gastrointestinal disorders fall in the second group of health disorder expenditures
after cardiovascular diseases. People above sixty-five years of age, who are admitted to the

Running Head: FORECASTING HEALTH SERVICE NEED3
hospitals, need additional medical care which needs other monetary investments. Health
insurance renewal and expiry also become a significant cause of expenditure during old ages.
Statistical data proves that the spending is continuously rising and will be very high in the year
2035 if not checked today (Studd et al. 2016). Therefore a reduction in the cost of healthcare
services is essential to reduce the expenditure burden on aged people. This paper will discuss the
expenditures related to gastrointestinal diseases of elderly patients. Later, this paper will talk
about the reasons for concern, the impact of the issue, the risk of ramifications and
recommendations preceded by two scenario models related to the expenditures of gastrointestinal
disease.
DISCUSSION:
The situation of the issue becoming a matter of concern:
Older people from different parts of the world have been found to expend more than ten
per cent of their income in treatment processes. The gross income of older people who are still
employed is not so high to support the treatment processes for Gastrointestinal disorders.
According to Sum et al. (2015), out of pocket medication expenditure method has been used to
compare the expenditure of the disorder treatments with the age of the victims. This study
concluded that the expenses of older adults were four times higher than non-elderly people.
Australians are facing financial difficulties while accessing health services (Gan et al. 2019).
Due to economic problems, Australian older adults had to wait longer in lines for the
appointments, in turn, delaying the starting of the treatment. A line from the above-stated paper
"Affordability was a common problem, compounded by multi-morbidity requiring high health
care use" states that expenditure has a significant impact on the treatment of diseases (Soenen et