Table of Contents GDP and Economic growth in Australia last 5 years.................................................................4 References................................................................................................................................12 2
Essay Topic– “GDP and Economic growth in Australia last 5 years” The main aim and purpose of this essay are to examine the drivers that lead to the economic growth and rise in GDP (Gross Domestic Product) within Australia for the past 5 years. Australia has recorded immense improvements and growth in terms of the international trade. Many of the Australian industries have been booming and are significantly contributing towards the development and growth of nation (Foster, 2015). One of such industry is mining industry and energy exports which have been contributing to a greater extent in the Australian economy. Australia has exhibited and recorded of strong as well as persistent economic growth in the past few years instead of having major challenges at the international level and Oil Crises. The essay is purposed to identifying all of such factors that lead to creating a significant impact on the Australian economy and led to its growth and development. It is also observed from the researches and stats that the Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) also has a great impact on Australia and boosts the economy a lot (Foster, 2015). The report examines overall all such factors along with their percentage contribution in the Gross Domestic Product of the country. For any of the economy, it is significant to have position swing and growth of GDP as it is connected with many other factors also. It is analysed that the level of foreign investments in Australia has increased by $ 220.5b i.e. 8% in order to reach $3,024.4b for the year ending 2015 (Pandya and Sisombat, 2017). These arguments and information have been supported by valid facts and figures. In the essay, the facts and figures have been evidenced with the help of stats and graph so that a clear indication of GDP and economic growth of Australia can be assessed. 3
GDP and Economic growth in Australia last 5 years Growth of Australia According to the views and thoughts of Pandya and Sisombat (2017), it is believed that the FDI has a direct role and relationship in the economic growth and development of a country. FDI refers to as the investment of funds and resources within the enterprise operations of business outside the economy. Many of the evidence reflected has supported that there is a strong and positive relationship in between the FDI and economic growth. Australia has a significant ratio of FDI which helped and contributed a lot to the economic development of the economy. FDI leads to incoming of the cash inflows into the host country. The raw data and figures have been presented below in a graphical format which shows the trends in FDI in Australia. Figure 1: Total FDI, 2001-2015 Source: (Pandya and Sisombat, 2017) From the above graph, it is evident that there is an increasing and decreasing trend been observed in the FDI level of Australia. The total flow of cash has been steadily increased from $120b in 2001 to $500b in the year 2006 however, in the year 2005 the ratio was majorly low due to the crisis that the country is suffering from. Due to the global financial crisis in the year 2008, there are a lot of fluctuations has been made in the FDI level and lead to decrease in the FDIs. However, this situation has been enhanced in the coming years as the year’s passes. 4
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Figure 2: Leading investor countries, 2001-2015 Source: (Pandya and Sisombat, 2017) On the basis of the above figure, it is reflected that the investors are attracted towards the Australian economy and is investing funds in the economy. Some of the factors that lead to contributing to the economic growth are huge market size, stable government, population growth and many others. Due to all such factors, the investors are attracted towards the Australian economy. It is observed that the United States of America is one of the major investor followed by United Kingdom, Belgium, Japan, Singapore, Hong Kong and others respectively. Growth of Australia in past 5 years As per the ideas of Australia Benchmark Report (2017), it is researched that Australia has provided of the greater economic resilience, record of steady growth and others for doing a low risk and safe business ventures. It is estimated that on an average each and every year a percentage of 3.3% growth in the GDP of Australia is measured from stats. Among the other major economies, it is evident that Australia has highest growth rate (Anderson, 2017). 5
Figure 3: Australia GDP Growth Rate Source: (Trading Economics, 2018) From the above figure, it is analysed that there have been advancements been observed in the Australian economy with a percentage of 0.4% in the year 2017. This ratio is expected less than the market consensus of 0.6% expansion. This shows the 0.2% less growth in the Australian economy, however, in the last quarter there is an upward movement in the growth rate i.e. 0.7% is evident. This growth rate has been recorded as the least among the contraction till September 2016. In addition to this, as compared to the past 25 years it is evident that GDP growth rate in Australia has been estimated or averaged at 0.85% until year 1959 to 2017. From all these years the GDP growth rate was atthe highest peak in the year 1976 recorded to be 4.40%. On the other hand, the lowest growth rate recorded was in the year 1974 at -2%. Industry wise economic growth and development of Australia in last 5 years In case of household spending, it has been increased by 1% where, the people are now more often exposed to cafes, restaurants, hotels, and others. Moreover, the government spending has also increased by 1.7% due to the growing of state as well as a local government with a percentageof0.7%andnationalgovernmentby3.1%.Onthecontrary,theprivate investments have been declined in such years with a percentage of 2.2% it is so because of the non-dwelling construction and the public investments have risen to 2.9% due to the local and state government. Furthermore, the exports of goods are down by 1.7% that includes of 6
both the rural as well as non-rural exports whereas, imports of goods is increased by 1.6% due to the rise within the household consumption level. This shows that the net exports of the country are not sound. In context of each and every industry the figures estimated are mining industry increased by 1.3%, construction 0.3%, information, media and telecommunications improved by 2.9%, Financial and insurance services raised by 0.1 per cent, healthcare and social assistance rise by 1.9%, whereas, agriculture, forestry and fishing declined by 2.7%, manufacturing by 1% and Electricity, gas, water and waste services by 0.8% (Trading Economics, 2018). All of these increased and decreased in the past 5 years due to their sub- industries fluctuations that have a great impact on the economic development. In the economic growth and development, all these sectors contribute to a lot extent. However, some of the industries and sector have declined in the past 5 years but when analysing the overall impact of such factors on the Australian economy it is analysed that the economy is growing steadily and rapidly. This argument has been evidenced and supported by the above facts and figures drawn (Anderson, 2017). Figure 4: Australia GDP Annual Growth Rate Source: (Trading Economics, 2018) It is reviewed that the Australian economy has been majorly dominated by the service sector has 65% of share in the total gross domestic product. However, the Australian economic success is also due to the mining (13.5 % of GDP) as well as agriculture (2 % of GDP). Both of these industries are the major exporters of the commodities for the Australian market. 7
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From the historical values and figures, it is observed that there are fluctuations in the gross domestic product of the country. When, comparing this growth and economic status of Australian GDP with other advanced economies it is evident that Australia is placed at 13th position (Australia Benchmark Report, 2017). In the lights and thoughts of Focus Economics (2018), it is assessed that there has been an increase in demand for the raw commodities across emerging countries since the year 2000. This has led to reflecting of a strong rise within the global commodity pricing. The increasing demand for the goods and commodities had played a crucial and important role in the success of Australian economy. It is made possible along with the trade relations, spark in the household expenditure and others. With such success and economic encouragement there are some factors that have played a tremendous role. For calculating the figures and GDP report the government and analysts had used various approaches and methods. Factors that Drives towards success and growth of Australian Economy The growth and advancements in the past 5 years GDP and economy are due to the various industries and economies as a whole. But some of the industries and factors have led to contributing in the GDP to a greater extent. ASEAN free trade agreements – This is known as the trade bloc agreement which has been made by the Association of Southeast Asian Nations with the aim of supporting local manufactures within all ASEAN countries (Association of Southeast Asian Nations, 2018). The introduction of such agreement among the countries has helped in the growth and development of the nation. For Australia, this seems to the economy success driver that has promoted the trade relations and connections of Australia with other economies as well. The improved trade agreement has helped in enhancing the trade relations among the industries and suppliers (Association of Southeast Asian Nations, 2018). Mining Industry – In the words of McHugh (2017), the Australian Mining industry is on its verge in case of booming the mining technology with so-called metals. It is evident that the Australia two most significant mineral commodities are iron ore as well as coals and adds a great value to the manufacturing of different products for the company. Australia is the largest supplier of minerals, hydrocarbon and other non-minerals reserves. Due to the increase in demand in such industry it has 8
led to providing of the tremendous growth and boost to Australian economy as it is the core part of Australia from where, the country is able to generate revenues that add in the gross domestic product (McHugh, 2017). And Others – There are some of the factors due to which the Australia economy is growing and emerging the past few years and is expected to continue the same in coming years also. Some of them are agricultural sector, political stability, attractive investment policies and others (Bayarcelik and Taşel, 2012). For any of the company to establish and operate in the business environment is important to have favourable and flexible political norms, regulations and others so that it becomes easy for them to sustain and manage in the complex business environment. Australia has a stable political environment which encourages the investors to invest their funds and resources in the Australian economy and gain economic advantage. It is not one sector or industry that is the reason behind the success and growth of economy but a combination of them. The foreign investors are attracted towards such political norms and policies so that they can have a sound investment decision. In Australia, USA is one of the major investors as recognised from the stats and data (Bayarcelik and Taşel, 2012). Figure 5: Australia: Real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate from 2012 to 2022 (compared to the previous year) 9
Source: (Statista, 2018) The above statistical graph shows the growth rate of Australia and its real GDP starting from the past 5 years i.e. 2012 to 2017 and also projected growth rate in the coming years till the year 2022. This figure represents that the GDP of Australia has been growing by nearly 2.27% at the end of year 2017. This ratio of growth rate is expected to continue and increase at the same pace for the coming years till 2022. From the comparison of past 5 years data and estimation of GDP and growth are it is expected that in the near future also, the country will grow and prosper subsequently. The increasing trend in the coming five years is majorly due to the foreign direct investment and increasing demand and expenditure in the subsequent industries. GDP is referred to as the primary indicator that is used to reflect and represent the state and health of a country’s economy across worldwide. This is so because a majority of decisions are still dependent on the growth and development of the country in the past five years and projected five years. GDP is known as the total market value of all the goods and services that are consumed and produced within the boundaries of an economy during a specified period of time. The clear statement of GDP helps in knowing the exact position of the economy in a clear and precise way (Statista, 2018). On the contrary, according to the mind-sets and ideas of Janda (2017), it has been analysed that however, the economy of Australia is improving its economic condition but some of the weak consumers are getting disappointed and is being optimistic (Janda, 2017). Hence, it is studied that along with the economic growth of Australia there are some areas which still needed to be improved and require a lot of investments. 10
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On the basis of the above report study, it has been concluded that the Australian economy has been growing for the past 5 years. It is also analysed from the study that foreign direct investment inflows within the Australian economy have a greater impact on the economic growth and GDP. There is a positive relationship in between the FDI and GDP. Moreover, it is also revealed that Australian economy has surrounded with various crisis and challenges in the past few years which has impacted a lot on its economic growth and development. However, in the current 5 years data and stats it is accessed that there are a slight growth and development in the economy but in some of its quarter, the ratio was not appropriate and up to the mark. The study also concluded that mining and agricultural sector is the one which has majorly contributed to the growth of Australia. This seems to be the major growth indicators and driver for the economy. Furthermore, the above drivers mentioned have a perfect correlation with the GDP and economic growth of Australia in last 5 years. The government of Australia is taking various steps and initiatives in order to encourage the industries and sub-sector so that the overall economy can grow and prosper in the coming years with a great percentage. 11
References Anderson,K.,2017.SectoralTrendsandShocksinAustralia'sEconomic Growth.Australian Economic History Review,57(1), pp.2-21. Association of Southeast Asian Nations, 2018. The ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA).[Online]asean.Availableat: http://asean.org/asean-economic-community/asean-free-trade-area-afta-council/ [Accessed: 11 May 2018] Australia Benchmark Report, 2017. WHY AUSTRALIA. Bayarcelik, E.B. and Taşel, F., 2012. Research and development: source of economic growth.Procedia-Social and Behavioral Sciences,58, pp.744-753. Focus Economics, 2018. GDP in Australia. [Online]Focus Economics. Available at:https://www.focus-economics.com/country-indicator/australia/gdp[Accessed: 11 May 2018] Foster, J., 2015. The Australian growth miracle: an evolutionary macroeconomic explanation.Cambridge Journal of Economics,40(3), pp.871-894. Janda,M.,2017.GDP:Australia'seconomicgrowthimprovesbutweak consumersdisappointtheoptimists.[Online]abc.Availableat: http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-12-06/economic-growth-gdp-figures-september- quarter/9231122[Accessed: 11 May 2018] McHugh, B., 2017. Next mining boom in Australia will be driven by tech metals forrenewableenergyandtechnologies.[Online]abc.Availableat: http://www.abc.net.au/news/rural/2017-04-17/next-mining-boom-in-australia-is-tech- metals/8443172[Accessed: 11 May 2018] Pandya, V. and Sisombat, S., 2017. Impacts of Foreign Direct Investment on EconomicGrowth:EmpiricalEvidencefromAustralianEconomy.International Journal of Economics and Finance,9(5), p.121. 12
Statista, 2018. Australia: Real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate from 2012 to 2022* (compared to the previous year). [Online]statista. Available at: https://www.statista.com/statistics/263602/gross-domestic-product-gdp-growth-rate- in-australia/[Accessed: 11 May 2018] Trading Economics, 2018. Australia GDP Annual Growth Rate. [Online]Trading Economics. Available at:https://tradingeconomics.com/australia/gdp-growth-annual [Accessed: 11 May 2018] TradingEconomics,2018.AustraliaGDPGrowthRate.[Online]Trading Economics.Availableat:https://tradingeconomics.com/australia/gdp-growth [Accessed: 11 May 2018] 13