Global Financial Crisis: Causes, Impacts and Reforms
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This article discusses the causes, impacts and reforms of global financial crises. It covers the Great Depression, Great Recession, Credit Crisis 1772, OPEC Oil Price Shock, Asian Crisis, Australia & GFC and necessary reforms. The article emphasizes the need for effective government intervention in financial decisions.
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0 Running head: GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS Name of the Student Name of the University Author’s Note
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1GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS Table of Contents Introduction......................................................................................................................................2 Great Depression.............................................................................................................................2 Great Recession...............................................................................................................................3 The Credit Crisis 1772.....................................................................................................................5 The OPEC Oil Price Shock..............................................................................................................5 The Asian Crisis..............................................................................................................................6 Australia & GFC..............................................................................................................................7 Reforms............................................................................................................................................7 Conclusion.......................................................................................................................................9 References......................................................................................................................................10
2GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS Introduction The collapse of the market of United stated of America was termed as sub-prime mortgage crisis which is one of the example of one of the global financial crisis. The great depression of 1929-1939 is also a reorientation of a form of financial crisis that wreaked havoc throughout the world. Financial crises are found to be quite common in history as they have taken place in the history of mankind due to their misappropriation in the economic activities in simple terms. Financial crises brought forward socio-economic tsunamis that had affected various countries significantly (Balakrishnan, Watts and Zuo. 2016). Great Depression By the year 1929, over nine thousand banks failed to operate successfully due to the sudden stock market crash. It is considered that the stock market crash is the major reason for the great depression though there are many other parametric factors that led to the phenomenon of Great Depression. This are the Roaring 20s, dust bowl, Smoot – Hawley Tariff Act, etc. All this things together caused serious weaknesses within the economy for which the “Black Tuesday” of 29thOctober, 1929 took place (Bénétrix, Lane and Shambaugh. 2015). Nearby 16 million shares of stock were sold rapidly due to the panicking investor’s decisions to pull their money back from the stock market due to their loss of faith over the performance of the American economy. This also led to the global economic collapse for which by 1933 over half of the banks of America became insolvent. Unemployment reached up to 15 million which was nearby 30 % of the total workforce. The commencement of such underperformance was began when a bank from Nashville, Tennessee instigated the occurrence of similar incidence throughout the Southeast. It was been found that a large number of depositors lost their confidence upon the security of the bank and for that reason they withdrew their funds from the banks at once (Bremus and
3GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS Fratzscher. 2015). Similar incidence in different bank also took place simultaneously. Banks in general keep small amount of deposits in the form of cash with them in hand. However, there was requirement for maintaining a level of cash in order to meet the withdrawal demand of the depositors. As the share prices fall and the bank have to sell their assets at low prices, hence these led the banks to become insolvent quickly. The bank panic started as within a point of time multiple banks ran under the same situation eventually. In the time of the roaring 20s, it was been found that the economy has boost with the objective of infrastructural development and building towns from villages followed by urbanization (Brunnet al.2016). The farmers were found to possess less amount of hard money to spend in the towns as the banks began to fail as an alarming rates. On an average nearby 70 banks were failing annually. In the Roaring 20s, banks provided sufficient amount of credits which led to excess expansion in the economy due to over-extension of the banks causing a natural disequilibrium within the money market leading to a boom followed by a bust. People withdrew money from the bank due to their fear that banks may go bankrupt in the near future. Nearby, $ 140 billion disappeared due to bank failures and depositor’s trust upon the performance of the banks were affected significantly (Carson, Fargher and Zhang. 2017). All of this destabilized the economy leading to the incident of Great Depression. Great Recession The great recession is regarded as the sub-prime mortgage crisis that started from the end of 2006 in the market of the United States of America and invigorated a full grown international banking crisis leading to the collapse of the investments banks like Lehman brothers by September 15, 2008. This crisis was followed by the global economic downturn that took place due to the reason that the banks sold too many of their mortgages to inject demand in the market
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4GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS for the mortgage – backed securities which were found to get sold through the secondary market. It was being found that the home prices fell by the year 2006 for which it triggered defaults and risk spread in the segments of mutual funds, banks, insurance companies as well as other segments of the financial corporations that use to own the derivatives (Claessens and Van Horen. 2015). The mortgage-backed securities were created by the hedge funds and the banks. The insurance companies covered these mortgage-backed securities with the credit default swaps. However, the scenario become so worse that the demand for the mortgages led to the creation of the asset bubbles in the housing industry (Ryder. 2016). The derivatives drove the subprime crisis for which the banks inclusive of the hedge funds also made huge amount of funds through the selling of mortgage-backed securities. As a consequence, this created an enormous demand for the mortgages that were underlying. Due to this reason the mortgage lenders continued lowering of the rates as well as standards for the new borrowers (Rey. 2015). This financial deregulation was the primary cause behind the financial crisis that permitted the banks to engage in the trading of hedge funds in exchange of the derivatives. For which the banks demanded more amount of mortgages for supporting the profitable sales of those derivatives. Countries like Denmark, United Kingdom, Venezuela, Mexico, Ireland, Iceland, Spain, etc. were affected due to this financial crisis apart from United States of America (Dijkstra, Garcilazo and McCann. 2015). USA was affected the most as the housing bubbles first occurred in the country as a result the banking system faltered followed by housing market crash and the unemployment increased with a rise in inflationary pressure over the economy. Apart from the great depression of 1929-39 and the recession of 2007-08, there are various other financial crises that took place overtime and thus can be incorporated as follows:
5GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS The Credit Crisis 1772 The crisis have its origin from London in the mid-1760s after which it spread throughout entire Europe. The British Empire was overwhelmed with huge amount of wealth due to their colonial possessions and global trade. This led to over-optimism through a period of rapid credit expansion by many of the British banks. However, this hype went to an abrupt ending by June 8, 1772 when it was found that Alexander Fordyce who was one of the partners of the British banking institution fled to France in order to escape the debt repayments (Lane and Milesi- Ferretti, 2017). This news was found to spread quickly throughout the United Kingdom followed by triggering a banking panic. Creditors were found to form long lines before the British banks in order to demand their cash and deposits back to them from the banks. The withdrawals ensued crisis that quickly spread through Scotland, Netherlands, and British-American colonies as well as in the other parts of Europe. The economic repercussions of this crisis majorly contributed to the American Revolution and the Boston Tea party protests. The OPEC Oil Price Shock The organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries(OPEC) and its member countries that majorly was consisting of the Arab nations took the decision of retaliating against the United States and its allies. It decided to do so USA’s response of sending arm supplies to Israel in the period of the fourth Arab-Israeli Warfare. The OPEC countries declared an oil embargo by abruptly halting exports of oil to the United States as well as its allies (Lennartz, Arundel and Ronald. 2016). This caused substantial oil shortages followed by spiking the oil prices leading to financial crisis in the economy of United States and other developed countries. The uniqueness of this ensuing crisis was simultaneous presence of very high inflation as well as stagnation in the economy. Inflation triggered due to rise in the energy prices and economic
6GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS stagnation was due to the economic crisis. Thus the situation was regarded as stagflation which is the simultaneous presence of inflation and stagnation together within the economy and undertook several years for the inflation to fall within the pre-crisis levels and the output to get recovered followed by balancing the economic disequilibrium. The Asian Crisis This crisis was originated in Thailand by 1997 after which it rapidly spread through the rest of Eastern Asia and its allied trade partners. There was presence of speculative flows of capital from the developed countries to that of the East Asian countries like Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia, South Korea, Hong Kong and Singapore which are often called as the “Asian Tigers”. This aroused an era of optimism resulting in an era of optimism through the excessive extension of credits (Liet al. 2016). This accumulated too much of debt within a short span of time resulting in the economies to lack in foreign currency resources. Finally, by July, 1997 the government of Thailand have to abandon their fixed exchange rates against the U.S. dollars. This created a wave of unnecessary panic for economic slowdown and substantial underperformance of the products and services that are being produced in the South and East Asian counties in the global markets. The panic spread through the financial markets of Asia that was involved in trade with this countries followed by an overspread reversal of billion dollars of foreign investment. Unfurling of this panic forced the investors to fear for the possible bankruptcy in those countries followed by impacting the financial market and injecting an economic meltdown (Mensiet al. 2016). Reviving of the market condition took years after the international monetary fund step inside by creating bailout packages for the majorly affected economies for supporting them and avoiding default.
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7GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS Australia & GFC The effect of the financial crisis are comparatively low in case of Australia as compared to other countries like USA, Mexico, United Kingdom, etc. and many other countries. However, the impact of the financial crisis mostly affected the households of Australia that resulted in a large decline in the equity prices leading to reduction in the wealth of the Australian households by more than 10 % within March 2009. In fact there are different contrasting ways through which the financial crisis affected the manufacturing sector of Australia (Obstfeld, 2015). However, financial crisis rendered a delayed impact upon Australia though it continued through a long-term decline in the manufacturing sectors of the country of nearby 10 years. Notably, the economy of Australia was not spared from the impact of Great Depression. It resulted in rise in unemployment by 32 % and falling price of wheat. Alteration of the policies were made in order to ensure that the country can escape the financial downturn and the banks do not run through bankruptcy. Reforms The following reforms necessitates rapid implementation in order to ensure recovery of the economy after the impact of the global financial crises. Central Bank Policy Provision for liquidity should be created since it have to potential to remove the insolvency of the banks and downside the risks towards stabilizing the prices and supporting the economic activities by reducing the interest rates by suitable basis points. Government Support to the banking system Injection of capital for debt recovery followed by providing guarantees on the new banks debt issuance and assist through the asset relief schemes. Removing impaired assets and creating
8GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS provision for limiting the valuation of losses for such assets will reduce the systemic risks and stabilize the banking system. Monetary policy Easing the monetary policy will contribute in mitigating potential disinflation risks followed by fostering sustained growth and supporting the economy in times of inflation. Fiscal Policy Long term public finances are needed to be maintained as government deficits as well as public debts are found to rise due to the financial crisis. Funding the bank support schemes will inevitably support the economic recovery followed by ensuring sustainability of the public finances followed by balancing it with other government spending (Vazquez and Federico. 2015). Policies for sustained growth Therecoveryoftheeconomyrequiressimultaneousimplementationofthe macroeconomic factors that stimulates aggregate demand and repairs the balance sheets of the banks followed by encouraging credit to the economy. This will prevent potential vicious circle of poverty. Concrete policy reformulation efforts for ensuring more capital flows in the economy followed by revitalizing the trade of goods and services will stabilize the economic downturn and hence should be implemented. Notably, the policy strategies that would be implemented should be uniform and identical across the countries that are similarly affected by the financial crisis. Thus the structural and conjectural patterns of the countries may differ though they will be able to utilize the micro foundation of the macroeconomic stimulus based on the orientation of the countries warranting the consistency of the economic operations within the affected country.
9GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS Conclusion The global financial crises are effective representation of the financial devastations that led to economic slowdown followed by affecting the global business environment as a whole. Thereisrequirementofeffectivegovernmentinterventionwhileincorporatingfinancial decisions as the decision making affects not only the country but also other countries globally. The stock market siphons off the excess money in the economy and hence it should be boosted followed by lowering the debt and mortgages of the banks.
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10GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS References Balakrishnan, K., Watts, R. and Zuo, L., 2016. The effect of accounting conservatism on corporateinvestmentduringtheglobalfinancialcrisis.JournalofBusinessFinance& Accounting,43(5-6), pp.513-542. Bénétrix, A.S., Lane,P.R. and Shambaugh,J.C., 2015. Internationalcurrency exposures, valuation effects and the global financial crisis.Journal of International Economics,96, pp.S98- S109. Bremus, F. and Fratzscher, M., 2015. Drivers of structural change in cross-border banking since the global financial crisis.Journal of International Money and Finance,52, pp.32-59. Brunn, S., Devriendt, L., Boulton, A., Derudder, B. and Witlox, F., 2016. Assessing the impacts of the global financial crisis on major and minor cities in South and Southeast Asia: a hyperlink analysis. InSpatial Diversity and Dynamics in Resources and Urban Development(pp. 135- 155). Springer, Dordrecht. Carson, E., Fargher, N. and Zhang, Y., 2017. Explaining auditors’ propensity to issue going- concern opinions in Australia after the global financial crisis.Accounting and Finance, pp.1-39. Claessens, S. and Van Horen, N., 2015. The impact of the global financial crisis on banking globalization.IMF Economic Review,63(4), pp.868-918. Dijkstra, L., Garcilazo, E. and McCann, P., 2015. The effects of the global financial crisis on European regions and cities.Journal of Economic Geography,15(5), pp.935-949. Lane, M.P.R. and Milesi-Ferretti, M.G.M., 2017.International financial integration in the aftermath of the global financial crisis. International Monetary Fund.
11GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS Lane,P.R.andMilesi-Ferretti,G.M.,2018.Theexternalwealthofnationsrevisited: international financial integration in the aftermath of the global financial crisis.IMF Economic Review,66(1), pp.189-222. Lennartz, C., Arundel, R. and Ronald, R., 2016. Younger adults and homeownership in Europe through the global financial crisis.Population, Space and Place,22(8), pp.823-835. Li,W.Y.,Chow,P.S.,Choi,T.M.andChan,H.L.,2016.Supplierintegration,green sustainability programs, and financial performance of fashion enterprises under global financial crisis.Journal of cleaner production,135, pp.57-70. Mensi, W., Hammoudeh, S., Nguyen, D.K. and Kang, S.H., 2016. Global financial crisis and spillover effects among the US and BRICS stock markets.International Review of Economics & Finance,42, pp.257-276. Obstfeld,M.,2015.AftertheGlobalFinancialCrisis.POLICYCHALLENGESINA DIVERGING GLOBAL ECONOMY, p.383. Rey,H.,2015.Dilemmanottrilemma:theglobalfinancialcycleandmonetarypolicy independence(No. w21162). National Bureau of Economic Research. Ryder, N., 2016. A contemporary and comparative review of the relationship between the global financial crisis, financial crime and white collar criminals in the US and the UK. Vazquez, F. and Federico, P., 2015. Bank funding structures and risk: Evidence from the global financial crisis.Journal of banking & finance,61, pp.1-14.