This article discusses the implementation of monetary and fiscal policy in global macroeconomic policy and how it influences GDP and price level. It also explores whether fiscal policy will be a key policy instrument in the UK in the future.
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Global Macroeconomic Policy
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Contents Contents...........................................................................................................................................2 INTRODUCTION...........................................................................................................................1 PART ONE......................................................................................................................................1 Explaining ways in which monetary as well as fiscal policy is implemented. Use of the policies in influencing GDP and level of price............................................................................1 PART TWO.....................................................................................................................................5 Whether fiscal policy will be key policy instruments in UK in future........................................5 CONCLUSION................................................................................................................................6 REFERENCES................................................................................................................................7
INTRODUCTION In international world, macroeconomic policy is termed to government policy focusing on stabilising economy. It emphasises on limiting impacts of business cycle for achievement of goals for full employment, stability of prices and development. It aims for stable economic situation which is contributing to nurturing influential and sustainable advancement of an economy in which major dependence is of improved living standards, creation of wealth and generation of jobs (Gasparėnienė, Remeikienė and Skuka, 2016). One pillar of the policy is fiscal policy that is termed as changes in spending and taxation of political system. Another pillar is named as monetary policy that is defined to variations in money supply, exchange rates and other economic dimensions. The project is prepared in two parts wherein Part One explains implementation of monetary and fiscal policy as well as usage for influencing price level and GDP. On other hand, part two explains whether fiscal policy will be key policy instrument in countries like UK in adjacent future. PART ONE Explaining ways in which monetary as well as fiscal policy is implemented. Use of the policies in influencing GDP and level of price Monetary policy and fiscal policy are two instruments with goal to create economic environment in which growth rate is stable and positive(Devereux and et. al., 2020). Aim of these policy is to steer underlying economy so it does not practice economic extremities which might be trailed by extended periods of negative growth and high unemployment level. Stable economic situations makes households feel more secure on saving along with consumption decisions, while businesses concentrate towards investment decision for making regular coupon payments to bondholders as well as on making profits for shareholders. Monetary policy is enlightened to demand side of an economic policy which is an action commenced by nation’s central bank for the purpose of controlling money supply addition to attain all macroeconomic goals which stimulates sustainable progress of economy. It is a process to devise, announce and implement an actionable plan taken by central bank, currency board or any competent monetary authority of a nation which have powers for controlling quantity of money in particular economy and channels through which funds are supplied(Mankiw and 1
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Taylor, 2020). Economists, financial experts, investors and analysts across the world eagerly await reports associated to monetary policy and results of meeting comprising decision makers of monetary policy. These have long lasting impacts on whole economy and specific industrial sectors. In UK, implementation of monetary policy is done by central bank that is Bank of England through number of tools. One is buying and selling short term bonds on open market with the help of newly created bank reserves. It is termed to open market operations which targets short term rates of interest that is federal funds rate. In this, central banks add funds into banking system through purchasing assets or removes funds through selling assets. Herein, financial institutions respond through loaning money more easily at lower rates or higher rates till interest rate target of central bank is met. It targets particular increase in money supply in order to get banks to loan in easier manner by making purchase of particular quantity of assets. Another way to implement monetary policy in UK is to change interest rates or require collateral which central banks demand for emergency direct loans to financial institutions in their role as lender of last resort. The rate is discount rate in which central bank charge higher rates as well as require more collateral, as an instance of contracting monetary policy where banks are required to be more cautious with their own risk failure or lending. Figure1: How implementation of monetary policy influences price level and GDP. 2021 2
(Source: How implementation of monetary policy influences price level and GDP. 2021) As per the graph, it can be said that contracting monetary policy reduces supply of money in an economy. With this, central bank decreases money supply within the economy that is mirroredthroughequaldeclineinnominaloutputorinfluencesGDPnegatively(How implementation of monetary policy influences price level and GDP, 2021). Moreover, decrease money supply in an economy results to decreasing consumer spending that shifts demand curve left. Reduction in supply of money in an economy reduces price level and real output because of less availability of capital within the economic system. However, expansionary monetary policy aims to promote aggregate demand through enhancing amount of money within an economy. Herein, central bank enthuses private consumption. Increasing money supply often results in decreasing interest rates that boosts investment and lending that is mirrored through an equal enhancement of GDP. Additionally, increase in supply of money causes increase in consumer spending that shifts aggregate demand curve right along with movement up of aggregate supply curve leading to higher price level and GDP. Reserve requirement is options to implement monetary policy in which funds which financial institutions must retain as proportion of deposits that are made by customers with the hope to ensure that they have potential for meeting liabilities. In case, lowering reserve requirements leads to causing release of more capital for banks so to offer loans or purchase other type of assets. In contrary, increasing reserve requirement have reverse effects as it curtails bank lending together with slow development of money supply(Lopes, Hamdok and Elhiraika, 2017)In response to pandemic of 2020, central bank of UK has implemented unprecedented actions for easing monetary policy for providing ample liquidity for core funding markets as well as maintain flow of credit. In essence, mitigation of stress in currency along with local bond markets, central bank uses international exchange interventions addition to deploy asset purchase programs to influence GDP and level of prices in the economy. Fiscal policy is a mechanism by which adjustment in level of spending along with tax rates are made by government for monitoring as well as influencing nation’s economy. It is related to public money addition to taxes. The Golden Rule for operation of fiscal policy in UK states that over economic cycle, Government will make borrowing for investment rather that funding current spending. It means that in situation of average ups and down of economic cycle, 3
it is important for government to only borrow for making payment for investment which benefits upcoming generations. When inflation is high and economy needs slowdown situation, then fiscal policy is implemented by government for decreasing taxation rates for pulling money out of economy(Han, Qi and Yin, 2016). This reduces decline in government spending and monetary circulation which have great chances to cause sluggish economy which includes high unemployment along with higher price levels. Though, the process continues because fiscal policy is implemented for the purpose of fine tuning taxation and spending level to even out cycle of business in an economy. Key goal of government to implement fiscal policy is to promote sustainable development of economy together with reduce poverty. It is seen that government of a country has two levers at the time of setting and implementing fiscal policy that are discretionary and non-discretionary fiscal policy that can change taxation level, spending level and price level. With fiscal policy, policy makers of a country can influence level of prices by making adjustmentininterestrates,purchasingandsellingsecuritiesaswellasbankreserves requirements. In aspect to UK, discretionary policy is implemented for kick start of an economy during recession. It is action of government to maintain revenue addition to control expenditure. With this, aggregate demand is boosted that increases employment addition to output in the economy. In implementation of the policy, government enhances spending level, reduces taxation rates or combination of two. As spending of government is key element of aggregate demand, increase in spending shifts demand curve right(Hammoudeh, Nguyen and Sousa, 2015). It is because reducing taxes leaves more disposable income together with causes increase of spending and consumption of public that unsurprisingly shifts curve of aggregate demand curve to right which can change GDP along with changes price level. In the case when government increase investment in public work, improve income and create jobs which can influence aggregate demand and supply of resources. However, implementation of non-discretionary fiscal policy is done in the situation of demand pull inflation for pay off of unwanted debts in an economy. Through this policy, government plan speedup or slowdown of growth of economy(Bernanke and et. Al., 2018). To pursue the policy, government can reduce its spending and raise taxes that makes aggregate demand curve shifts to left leading to budget surplus. To expand economy, government executes the policy that can causes effects on real GDP and price level at decline aspects. 4
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PART TWO Whether fiscal policy will be key policy instruments in UK in future In the pandemic of 2020, fiscal policy in UK has taken critical role in macroeconomic stabilisation which delivered unprecedented stimulus in form if cash transfers as well as income support to businesses and households. In the pandemic situation, key goals of fiscal policy are to fight against virus, provide disaster relief and make adjustment in aggregate demand for staying as close to potential output in possible manner(Nassif, Bresser-Pereira and Feijo, 2018). Fiscal policy has resulted in wider enhancement in debt relative to GDP and interest rate remained low for long time. Key options that are available with macroeconomic policy makers in UK includes changing taxation level and spending of government. in future, changing taxation level can impacteconomicgrowththroughdiscouragingentrepreneurialincentivestogetherwith discouraging new investment as tax codes makes certain types of investment more profitable than others or discourages efforts along with workers’ skill acquisition. At same time, changes in government causes effects on saving in the economy that causes increase of interest rates. In future, it can result in less investment by households and business leading to negative influence to output of an economy. Therearetwoleversofmacroeconomicpolicythatareexpansionarypolicyand contractionary policy. In context to expansionary fiscal policy, it should be used for helping UK economy in tough times by increasing spending of government and cutting taxation(Manalo, Perera and Rees, 2015). It can create situation of larger deficits that can cause markets to fear default of debt and push up rates of interest on debt of government. In future, the policy has high potentials for reducing unemployment as the lever increase government spending and decrease taxes to increase real GDP and reduce unemployment. Similarly, in aspect to contractionary policy, it should be used for slowing inflation in UK by decreasing aggregate demand along with money supply that can cause decreased output together with lower price levels. In an economy, monetary policy could be constrained through binding contract that is relative multiplier for outputs as well as inflation exhibit strong non - lineratieties. It is intended for decline of monetary expansion rate for dealing with inflation. It might reduce money supply within the economy so to prevent unsustainable capital investment(Yoshino and Taghizadeh- Hesary, 2015). In case with fiscal policy, it should be altered by lowering taxes and spending so to support economic development in future. This will make people have huge disposable income 5
leading to increased demand for products. For meeting demand, government will spend to organise resources for increasing production and create huge job opportunities. So, it can be said that in Future, fiscal policy will be major policy instrument as it will boost aggregate demand that in turn foster output together with employment opportunities in the economy of UK. CONCLUSION As per mentioned information, it is concluded that macroeconomic policy entails two pillars, named as monetary and fiscal policy. Both these pillars are used for regularisation of economic actions over time. These are often used for keeping growth of an economy stable with stable prices, low inflation addition to low unemployment. Fiscal is about budget and comprises government’s budget. In future, fiscal policy will comprise utilisation of spending, transfer payments and taxation related to government for influencing GDP and price level for economic growth. 6
REFERENCES Books and Journals: Bernanke, B. S., and et. Al., 2018.Inflation targeting: lessons from the international experience. Princeton University Press. Devereux, M. P. and et. Al., 2020. “Discretionary fiscal responses to the COVD-19 pandemic”, Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Volume 36, Number S1, pp. S225–S241* Gasparėnienė,L.,Remeikienė,R.andSkuka,A.,2016.Assessmentoftheimpactof macroeconomicfactorsonhousingpricelevel:Lithuaniancase.Intellectual Economics,10(2), pp.122-127. Hammoudeh, S., Nguyen, D. K. and Sousa, R. M., 2015. US monetary policy and sectoral commodity prices.Journal of International Money and Finance,57, pp.61-85. Han, L., Qi, M. and Yin, L., 2016. Macroeconomic policy uncertainty shocks on the Chinese economy: a GVAR analysis.Applied Economics.48(51). pp.4907-4921. Lopes, C., Hamdok, A. and Elhiraika, A., 2017. Macroeconomic policy and pathways to structural transformation of African Economics. InMacroeconomic Policy Framework for Africa's Structural Transformation(pp. 263-280). Palgrave Macmillan, Cham. Manalo, J., Perera, D. and Rees, D. M., 2015. Exchange rate movements and the Australian economy.Economic Modelling,47, pp.53-62. Mankiw, N. G. and Taylor, M. P., 2020. ‘Economics’, Chapters 24-28, 5th edition, Cengage. Nassif, A., Bresser-Pereira, L. C. and Feijo, C., 2018. The case for reindustrialisation in developing countries: towards the connection between the macroeconomic regime and the industrial policy in Brazil.Cambridge Journal of Economics,42(2), pp.355-381. Yoshino, N. and Taghizadeh-Hesary, F., 2015. Effectiveness of the easing of monetary policy in the Japanese economy, incorporating energy prices.Journal of Comparative Asian Development,14(2), pp.227-248. Online: How implementation of monetary policy influences price level and GDP. 2021.[Online]. Availablethrough:<https://www.economicshelp.org/macroeconomics/monetary- policy/> 7