This essay analyzes the role of media commentators in Russia in influencing government and key decision-makers through disinformation campaigns, especially in hybrid warfare. It also discusses the impact of media on institutions and the paradoxical relationship between media and government.
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GOVERNMENT AND OTHER DECISION MAKERS ARE TOO INFLUENCED BY WHAT MAINSTREAM MEDIA COMMENTATORS HAVE TO SAY: RUSSIAN DISINFORMATION ROLE IN HYBRID WARFARE 1
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Introduction Media commentators often make use of information and then projects half-truth and non-rational arguments for manipulation of public opinion for varied political objectives (Vartanova, 2012, p 130). Such use of disinformation poses a growing threat to the broad public around the world. Especially in Russia, the increasing usage of disinformation has attracted attention from various world countries such as the United States of America and Europe. This growing interest is due to the role of such disinformation in hybrid warfare. Media commentators in Russia have in recent past increasingly used their influence to enhance social division, fear, and resentment amongst its people (National Endowment for Democracy). Media has seen to be gaining a considerable amount of power and influence in the recent time period. Media and its powerful influences are motivating consumers as well as the government towards making key decisions. The impact of media is felt across most countries in the world. Media commentators have a significant role in influencing the government and key decision-makers and the current essay argues in favor of the second topic. Analysis The use of media since traditional times was mainly focused upon providing information to the generalpublicregardingday-to-daynewsandinformation.Mediahasamechanismof institutional evolution hence it has been identified to have three important effects on institutions, such as the government and key decision-makers. In the first type of effect, there is a gradual effect where the media makes marginal changes in the existing institution. In the punctuation effect,themediacatalyzesrapidinstitutionaloverhaul.Inthelasttypeofeffect,the reinforcement effect, the media is said to contribute to the sustainability and durability of the punctuated equilibria. The same media, especially its commentators and journalists such as Aleksandr Dugin and Olga Khvostunova are providing disinformation for a wide variety of purposes (Coyne and Leeson, 2009, p 7). Political actors also from state individuals to agencies are exploiting economics of digital advertisement for political advantage. Appreciation of such problem is from national security threat to political-economic weaknesses. Media commentators use disinformation for 2
obscuring the truth or inspiring consumers in taking a course of action, sometimes it can be a part of a strategy for shaping the information environment where government and key decision- makers undertake new decisions. analysis reveals that there is a paradoxical relationship between media and government, whereby media changes and also reinforces existing institutions. Russia is undertaking various hybrid warfare against Latvia and Estonia. The hybrid warfare techniques make use of violence as well as nonviolent approaches (Gehlbach and Sonin, 2014, p 170). In Baltics, Russia is dividing Russian aggression into categories that are supported by subversion. An example includes when a Russian-backed fighter shot down a commercial airliner in Ukraine. The Russian state media proposed a number of explanation for the plane's crash. In Syria, several Russian media, diplomats intelligence services have given pushed misleading narratives, falsified evidence and spread falsehoods in case of Russia's airstrikes. It was meant to obscure evidence when the Syrian government made use of chemical weapons. The Russian media had also been found to flood information space by drowning discussions while reacting to a crisis. This took place when the opposition protests broke out in 2011, various newly created Twitter accounts started harassment of social media researchers and Syrian users (Mergel and Bretschneider, 2013, p 398). They alleged that the Assad regime was a paid public relations company for flooding opposition hashtags. The Russian media and its commentators have been continuously found to be influencing political views by shaping online conversations. Through distractions, harassment and online trolling of highly automated accounts, the Russian media have emerged as the key component of modern disinformation purveyor's toolkit (Di Tella and Franceschelli, 2011, p 120). They have successfully pushed out independentvoices out of public spacesand currently, they are considered to be a new form of political censorship. The Russian media earlier used manual manipulation, which has been converted to use of automation currently. It is estimated that on Twitter, more than half the tweets are by automated tweets. Bots control most of these accounts that are partially controlled by human users (Grigas, 2012, p 49). 3
There is another formal model that identifies the role of the government in controlling media. This study further analyses variation in media freedom in countries over a time period. It has been identified that the greater media bias is present when the government has particular interests in mobilizing its citizens towards a course of action or political objective. In democracy media markets are diversified, however, in autocracies media has been generally observed to converge as positive externalities. Therefore, in Russia media is more convergent and influences the public towards a political discourse (Zasoursky, 2016, p 99). Russia has a difference in understanding of lobbying as compared to the Western world. While the Western lobbyists believe in convincing people through arguments strengths, lobbyists in Russia see money as a crucial factor inconvincing.Russianmediausesmultipleinstrumentsforconvincingpeople.Russia's credibility might be weak abroad but effective in resource targeting. Russian has a strong message, applying huge resources for higher success. In Kyrgyzstan, Russia was able to understand the way of doing business and led to applying greater influence over its strategic community. Media has been seen to have a dominant influence over Russian political scenario. Through effective disinformation campaigns, Russian media has drawn from preexisting divides in targeted societies, generating content that is in great social demand. Russian media has been known for providing disinformation in a dangerous fashion by amplifying existing political divisions and beliefs. The Russian media is effective due to cognitive biases present and the prevailing low trust in media. Consumers of Russian media prefers partisans to cheerlead in fact- checkers. The extensive research regarding the impact of media on political polarization is still ongoing and states that social media has offered a new platform for news sources that diminishes the traditional powers. The media engage consumers in motivated reasoning with the selected interpretation of information based upon an individual's preexisting beliefs or desires. All these factors taken together provide a suitable condition for disinformation campaigns. Currently, disinformation is used to influence citizens' decisions in voting. Russian media is said to have influenced some key decisions makers in selection of Putin as the country's head again. Media creates political fractions using sophisticated techniques with major media commentators and influential personalities for motivating consumers to undertake certain decision (Lough, Lutsevych, Pomerantsev, Secrieru and Shekhovtsov, 2014, p 84) 4
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Conclusion To conclude, it can be said that the use of media and its commentators needs to be directed for providing information that is fair to the public. Gross manipulation of such information or disruption in such information can create authoritarian propaganda. In Russia media and its commentators are very powerful and their opinions voiced have been found to impact key decisions in the state. Similar is the situation in various other countries of the world, such as Korea, China as well, where the media is using its influence in motivating major government’s decisions. In Trump's administration as well, media has been shaping immigrant as well as climatic policies. The powerful influence of media can be felt in all aspect of lives. The role of media is impacting all aspects of lives starting from climate change to selecting a suitable government. The government due to media’s influence is bound to abide by the motivation given by it. Thus media commentators do have a role and a powerful influence in impacting government and key decision-makers. 5
References Coyne, C.J. and Leeson, P.T., 2009. Media as a mechanism of institutional change and reinforcement.Kyklos,62(1), pp.1-14.doi: 10.1111/j.1467-6435.2009.00421.x. Retrieved on 8th July, 2019, fromhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1467-6435.2009.00421.x Di Tella, R. and Franceschelli, I., 2011. Government advertising and media coverage of corruption scandals.American Economic Journal: Applied Economics,3(4), pp.119-51.doi: 10.1257/app.3.4.119.Retrievedon9thJuly,2019fromhttps://www.aeaweb.org/articles? id=10.1257/app.3.4.119 Gehlbach,S. andSonin,K.,2014. Governmentcontrolofthemedia.Journalof Public Economics,118, pp.163-171.doi: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2014.06.004. Retrieved on 10thJuly, 2019, fromhttps://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0047272714001443 Grigas, A., 2012.Legacies, coercion and soft power: Russian influence in the Baltic States. London:ChathamHouse.Retrievedon8thJuly,2019,from https://www.chathamhouse.org/sites/default/files/public/Research/Russia%20and%20Eurasia/ 0812bp_grigas.pdf Lough, J., Lutsevych, O., Pomerantsev, P., Secrieru, S. and Shekhovtsov, A., 2014. Russian influence abroad: Non-state actors and propaganda.Chatham House,24.Retrieved on 10thJuly, 2019,fromhttps://www.chathamhouse.org/sites/default/files/field/field_document/ 20141024RussianInfluenceAbroad.pdf 6
Mergel, I. and Bretschneider, S.I., 2013. A three‐stage adoption process for social media use in government.Publicadministrationreview,73(3),pp.390-400.doi:10.1111/puar.12021. Retrieved on 8thJuly, 2019, fromhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/puar.12021 National Endowment for Democracy [n.d]. Issue Brief: How Disinformation Impacts Politics andPublics.RetrievedonMay29,2018,from<https://www.ned.org/issue-brief-how- disinformation-impacts-politics-and-publics/> Vartanova, E., 2012. The Russian media model in the context of post-Soviet dynamics.USA: Comparing media systems beyond the Western world, pp.119-142.Retrieved on 9thJuly, 2019, fromhttps://books.google.co.in/books? hl=en&lr=&id=gGy_SqiaBmsC&oi=fnd&pg=PA119&dq=influence+of+media+on+Russia+gov ernment&ots=DWAMRdIDCJ&sig=BM7X8oWgMLDvxY- T5_9KsSseWdA#v=onepage&q=influence%20of%20media%20on%20Russia %20government&f=false Zasoursky,I.,2016.Mediaandpowerinpost-SovietRussia.Routledge.doi: 10.4324/9781315291055. Retrieved fromhttps://www.taylorfrancis.com/books/9781315291055 7