This document discusses various topics related to Health Exercises including Hepatitis A, Chlamydia Infection, Asthmatic Wheeze incidence, Canteen Food and Salmonella based food poisoning. It includes graphs, tables, hypothesis tests and relative risk analysis. References are also provided for further reading.
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Exercise 2: PART 1 The requisite time trend graphs for the two given diseases are as highlighted below. 1
PART 2 Based on the above line graphs it is apprent that the incidence of Hepatitis A in Australia has witnessed a significant fall over the years. The only aberration in this trend was the year 2009. Also, it is clear that over the years the incidence of Chlamydia Infection has increased over the last 20 years. One of the key reasons for the decline in Hepaptitis A notifications in Australia is the targeted Hepatitis A immunisation program which the Australian government has sucessful run over the last two decades. In particular, it is notieable that the governrment extended the national immunisation program for Hepatitis A to the indigenous children in November 2005 with the aim of controllign fresh notifications (Thompson et. al, 2017). Additionally, consdiring that the mechnism of transmission for Hepatitis A is through faecal-oral route and hence through awareness coupled with immunisation program, the deceasing trend of Hepatitis B is on expected lines(Royle and Lambert, 2015). Unlike Hepatitis A, Chlamydia is a sexually transmitted diseases. One of the key reasons for the increasing incidence of this disease in Australia over the last 20 years is the improvement in diagnosis technique on account of advanced technologies (Ketty, 2016). Another key reason for the rise could be rising secual activity that too with multiple partners as a result of which there has been increase not only in Chlamydia but also in other sexually transmitted diseases in Australia (Callander, 2017). Exercise 3: Regression (Simple Correlation) PART 1 Bivariate correlation graph in order to determine the correlation between asthma wheeze incidence and ambient atmospheric particulate matter (PM10) is indicated below. 2
050100150200250300350400 0.0000 0.0100 0.0200 0.0300 0.0400 0.0500 0.0600 0.0700 0.0800 0.0900 0.1000 f(x) = 0.000156571564226158 x + 0.0364368874952524 R² = 0.473730311258432 PM10 vs Asthmatic Wheeze incidence PM10 in μg/m3) Asthmatic Wheeze incidence The correlation coefficient between the above two highlighted variables has come out to be 0.6883. Since, the correlation coefficient is positive, hence it implies that the two variables are directly proportional to each other and hence the direction of the change for both the variables is the same. The regression equation suggests that an increase in PM10 concentration by 1 μg/m3 would lead to higher asthmatic wheeze incidence amongst children by 0.0002. Also, the R2value indicates that about 47.37% variation in the asthmatic wheeze incidence can be explained on account of variation in the PM10 concentration. However, the remaining 52.63% variation in the asthmatic wheeze incidence cannot be accounted to PM10 concentration. PART 2 Pearson’s Product Moment Correlation Coefficient, r r=N∑XY−∑X∑Y √N∑X2−¿¿¿¿ 3
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r=30(174.2408)−{(2819)∗(1.5345)} √30(456821)−¿¿¿ r=901.5185 2399.55∗0.5458 r=0.6883 The value of correlation coefficient using the excel formula and manual computation indicated above yield the same value and no difference has been observed between the two values. Exercise 4: Association Analysis PART 1 4
Contingency table ParticularsOverweightNot overweightTotal Eating Canteen Food43130173 Bringinglunchfrom home 44257301 Total87387474 The relevant hypotheses are as listed below. Null Hypothesis: The eating of canteen food and the prevalence of being overweight or underweight are independent of each other Alternative Hypothesis: The eating of canteen food and the prevalence of being overweight or underweight are not independent of each other Observed frequency table Expected Chi-square computation c2=∑(O−E)2 E 5
X2=3.9836+0.8955+2.2896+0.5147=7.6834 Degree of freedom = (2-1) (2-1) = 1 The p value for the above two inputs comes out to be 0.0056 Considering a significance level of 0.05, it is apparent that the computed p value is lesser than the significance value. As a result, the available evidence is sufficient to cause rejection of the null hypothesis and acceptance of the alternative hypothesis. Hence, it may be concluded that the prevalence of being overweight or underweight is significantly impacted by the habit of eating canteen food.However, it is noteworthy that preference of the student towards canteen food actually leads to higher prevalence of being overweight in comparison to bringing home prepared lunches. PART 2 Based on the above hypothesis test, it is apparent that the canteen food is unhealthy and hence is associated with higher prevalence of being overweight. As a result, the headmaster should ensure that the menu served at the canteens is altered and focus more on vegetables, fruits and salads instead of processed foods. Additionally, an awareness based intervention should also be introduced by the headmaster, which should aim to education the students about healthy food choices besides providing incentives for making healthy choices (Rees Richards and Gregory, 2008). Also, in class competition can be introduced which would aim to acknowledge students who would bring fresh fruits as part of their lunch. Besides, certain sessions for the parents can also be arranged highlighting the healthy dietary combinations as part of the home prepared lunches (Kessler, 2016). Exercise 5: Relative Risk Analysis PART 1 The risk rate for the exposed population for various food items has been computed as indicated below. 6
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From the above table, it is apparent that the two food items with the highest risk are “Foie gras in aspic” and “Glazed fruit tart”.For these two missed foods, there are no common ingredient considering that the main ingredient for the former dish is Foie gras while for the latter, the main ingredient is various fruits. PART 2 Based on the provided information in relation with the symptoms and also the incubation period which was observed in some hours only, it may be concluded that the given food poisoning is Salmonella induced. The major cause of this type of food poisoning is that the meat or the dairy product remaining undercooked. For all the above items, it is apparent that either meat or dairy based product is used for all the above mentioned dishes. Additionally, for the other types of food poisoning, the incubation period is not as short as has been observed in the given case. Thus, considering the above aspects in relation to the food items at risk along with the incubation period, it would be fair to conclude that this is Salmonella based food poisoning (Kunwar et. al., 2013). 7
References Callander, D.(2017)Sexually transmissible infections: Why are STIs on the rise in Australia?, [online] Available athttp://www.abc.net.au/news/health/2017-08-16/why-are-stis-on-the-rise-in- australia/8774378[Accessed April 6, 2018] Kessler, H.(2016) Simple interventions to improve healthy eating behaviors in the school cafeteriaNutrition Reviews,74(3), pp.198-209 Ketty,D.(2016)Chlamydiaisanincreasingproblem[online]Availableat http://www.bodyandsoul.com.au/health/health-news/chlamydia-is-an-increasing-problem/news- story/e4d08afb8ba7da7466249c60438e233f[Accessed April 6, 2018] Kunwar,R.,Singh,H.,Mangla,V.andHirenath,R.(2013)Outbreak investigation:Salmonellafood poisoningMedical Journal Armed Forces India,69(4), pp. 388- 391 Rees G.A., Richards C.J. and Gregory J. (2008) Food and nutrient intakes of primary school children: a comparison of school meals and packed lunchesJournal of Human Nutrition and Dietetics.21(1), pp.420–427 Royle,J. and Lambert, S.B.(2015)Fifty years of immunisation in Australia (1964–2014): the increasing opportunity to prevent diseasesJournal of Paediatric Child Health,51(1), pp.16-20 Thompson, C., Dey, A., Fearnley, E., Polkinghome, B. and Beard, F.(2017)Impact of the national targeted Hepatitis A immunisation program in Australia: 2000–2014Vaccine,35(1), pp.170-176 8