1OIL AND GAS Table of Contents 1: Introduction............................................................................................................................2 1.1: Brief History of Petroleum Industry in Nigeria..............................................................2 1.2: Challenges of Facing Petroleum Industry.......................................................................3 1.2.1: International Oil Companies in Nigeria (IOC):.......................................................3 1.2.2: The Nigeria Petroleum Act:.....................................................................................5 1.2.3: Nigeria Local Content Development Act:...............................................................7 1.2.4 Human Resource Shortfalls in Nigeria Petroleum Industry:.....................................8 2: Factors Affecting Petroleum Industry in Nigeria:................................................................10 2.1: Corruption.....................................................................................................................10 2.2: Oil Pilfering and Pipeline Damage:..............................................................................12 2.3: Government Underfunding:..........................................................................................13 2.4: Inadequate and lack of maintenance refineries status:..................................................14 2.5: Oil spillage/Gas Flaring causing environmental pollution:..........................................16 2.51: Factors effecting on health:.....................................................................................17 2.52: Global warming:.....................................................................................................17 2.53: Effects on the atmospheric layer:............................................................................17 2.54: Effect on Ocean:......................................................................................................18 2.55: Inconsistencies in the oil price in international market:.........................................18 3.0 Factors effecting economy of Nigeria................................................................................19 3.1 Corruption......................................................................................................................19
2OIL AND GAS 3.2 Oil theft and pipeline vandalism....................................................................................22 3.3 Government underfunding.............................................................................................23 3.4 Poor refineries status......................................................................................................26 3.5 Oil spillage/gas flaring causing environment pollution.................................................28 4.0: Solution and Recommendations:......................................................................................31 5.0: Conclusion:.......................................................................................................................32 6.0: References:........................................................................................................................34
3OIL AND GAS 1: Introduction 1.1: Brief History of Petroleum Industry in Nigeria The modern world is dependent on the massive supply of energy to fuel all the economicactivitiesparticularlytransportation,industrialprocedure,communication, education, security, food production and health delivery system. Energy is considered as life forceofeveryeconomiesacrosstheworldandworldwideeconomicdevelopmentis dependent on the reliable, satisfactory and reasonable supply of energy (Monday, 2015). Historical facts have suggested that industrialisation as well as growth rate of any nation is reliant on energy available in that nation and till the extent the energy is used. Nigeriaisgiftedwithhugeamountofenergy“resources, non-renewableand renewable”however most of its economic events involves oil and gas that is finite and not environmentally friendly. For instance, the“oil and gas industry of Nigeria”accounts for 80% of the government revenue while 90-95% of the export proceeds and 90% involves earnings from“foreign exchange”(Owolabi, 2015). Around 64% of the nation’s electricity is produced from oil and gas and the transportation system in Nigeria is wholly reliant on oil and gas. The Nigerian petroleum industry has fallen short of energy security which not only involvesadequateamount of energy reserve but hasalso fallen short of availability, accessibility and affordability. The Nigerian petroleum industry is regularly characterised by unbalanced supply of fuel and fluctuations in prices, epileptic supply of power to around 40% of the population in the country, environmental pollution and imports of greater than 85% of petroleum products due to low refining capacity (Asikhia & Awolusi, 2015). The purpose of this study is to showcase energy challenges in Nigeria and the danger posed to energy
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4OIL AND GAS security within the country particularly being a mono-cultural economy. The paper will also lay down the possible solution to overcoming the challenges in Nigerian petroleum industry. 1.2: Challenges of Facing Petroleum Industry 1.2.1: International Oil Companies in Nigeria (IOC): The sorry state of circumstances relating to lower capacity use that developed and yet existed presently is mainly because of following reasons; a.Poor governance b.No such significant maintenance has been conducted by the government in any of its refineries since 2008. The last time a maintenance conducted by government was in 2000. This must be considered against the recognised best practice across the world that maintenance must be performed on refineries in every two or three years. c.Pipelines that supplies crude oil in refineries and those that convey products from them are vandalized regularly (Nwapi, 2015). This contributes in significant revenue loss and deteriorated the problems of under-recovery of crude price. d.Even though the plants were able to function steadily, the cost of petroleum motor spirit is constantly governed by government, resulting in serious“under-recovery of crude price”. The price of crude oil which involves 90% of the exports and 70% of the Nigeria’s consolidated budgetary revenues has declined by around 70% ever since second half of November 2016 and has pulled down Nigerian economy in recession, crisis in exchange rate and stagflation. Regrettably, this regime of lower prices of oil in Nigerian petroleum continued to last till 2019. As forecasted, the prices of crude oil would remain approximately $50 per barrel by 2020. This cannot be viewed as good news for Nigeria and its petroleum industry as requires serious investment since investors and International Oil Companies
5OIL AND GAS (IOCs) cut down significantly on their CAPEX internationally. At present, Nigeria’s offshore rig count has fallen to simply 7. As estimated byDe Vita et al., (2016) the international upstream investment for 2015 to 2020 has been reduced by US $1 trillion and that 56 international oil companies have cut their E&P spending by 49% or by $230 billion relative to the level set in 2016. The macro and financial impact of lower price of oil pose as a challenge to the Nigerian petroleum industry (Rui et al., 2018). The Nigerian petroleum industry is very much vulnerable to the shocks in the Oil and gas market. Therefore, decline in price of crude oil/gas and quantity generated would result in severe decline in receipts of foreign exchange, larger disproportionatepressure, foreign exchange induced inflation, reduced government revenues, government inability at every levels to meet its objectives, stagflation and stark economic crisis. The NNPC with the help of its pipelines and products marketing company (PPMC) administers the facilities and infrastructure that involves the supply as well as distribution of crude oil and refined petroleum products. This involves 5 terminals, 21 petroleum depots, 750 km crude oil pipelines and 4400 km of products pipeline networks. The crude lines are related to export terminals of major international oil generating companies such as Shell Petroleum Development Company (SPDC) and Chevron Nigeria Limited that accounts for main feedstock for refineries totalling 445,000 bpsd capacity (Onwe, 2014). The SPDC is expected to have more than 6000 km of pipelines and flow lines, 87 flow stations, two terminalsforexportandgreaterthan1000producingwells.Besidesthis,Chevron administers nine oil mining leases (OMLs) and a terminal for export. These two operating companies accounts for large proportion of crude oil requirement for refineries. Hence, unplanned shut down of crude oil pipeline to the terminals has immediate effect on the overall performance of the refineries during that period.
6OIL AND GAS The Nigerian petroleum industry remains vulnerable to the shocks in the oil and gas market. Hence, a decline in the price of crude/gas and quantity generated during the second half of the 2014 will result in severe decline in the foreign exchange receipts, larger amount ofdisproportionatepressureonNiara,foreignexchangeinducedinflation,reduced governmentrevenues,inabilityofgovernmentsateverylevelsto meetsatisfytheir obligations, stagflation and huge economic crisis (Akenbor & Agwor, 2015). A report published in 2014 provided a correlation amidst the effect of lack of feedstock and the poor state of reliable operations of refineries. The Nigerian petroleum industry also faces the issues of supply chain as this issues contributes 53% of the unplanned shut downs whereas equipment failure contributes 47% shut downs. Matters have further been worsened due to the sabotage of crude oil pipelines that feeds the refineries and product evacuation pipelines. As stated byOlu-Daniels & Nwibere, (2014) the major challenges faced by the IOC is breakdown of pipeline with a total of 16,083 breakdowns has been recorded over the last ten years. While 398 pipeline breaks represent 2.4% mainly due to raptures, and the rest of 15,685 breaks have translated from the case of vernalisation. Figure 1: Figure representing Nigerian Petroleum Industry Refinery Categories Source: (Okafor & Aniche, 2014)
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7OIL AND GAS 1.2.2: The Nigeria Petroleum Act: Without any doubt the Nigerian petroleum industry is plagued by several impending problems. The first issue involves the licenses and leases given under the Petroleum Act 1969. As per this act, the petroleum ownership resources within the country is vested in the hands of Nigerian federal government however the Act specifies that the citizens and other firms can be provided rights (Okafor & Aniche, 2014). The oil exploration license is hardly used these days however the act specifies the lease expires on 31 December of the year in which the grant was provided the activities were performed based on this licence comprising of preliminary research by surface, geological and geophysical methods comprising of aerial surveys but excludes drilling lower than 91.44 metres. The oil prospecting license grants exclusive rights to explore and viewpoint for petroleum and its maximum initial term of five years. The act also states that the area applied for is anticipated to have boundaries of straight lines that runs from north to south and east to west directions. The Oil Mining Lease (OML) provides exclusive grants over the lease area and also confers the interests relating to petroleum discovered by the lease. The duration of OML should not exceed twenty years and it can be renewed (Elenwo & Akankali, 2014). There are certain things which is not correct within this act and continues to be the number one legal framework regulating the petroleum industry. The act has only mentioned about licenses and lease but has failed to recognize the contractual rights which is involved in the Nigerian petroleum industry. As participation has resulted in joint ventures and there are risk service contracts and production sharing contracts which is not mentioned within this Act. This somewhat makes the act old since other modern types of licenses and lease are not stated in this act and it is supposed to be the number one legal framework that governs the oil and gas industry.
8OIL AND GAS Another problem is the regimes relating to compensation within this act. Oil is vested within the federal government and they can take the decision of revoking a certification of occupation granted to the person for the purpose of exploration and petroleum resources. However,thelawdemandsthatsuchcompensationshouldbepaidtotheperson. Furthermore, section 36 to Schedule 1 of the Petroleum Act involves the payment of “fair” and “adequate” amount of compensation which involves the rights including and to specific plants. Beside the outside crops and economic trees, oil pollution and activities of oil companies can and may affect the fish ponds, farms, canals, water ways, roads and buildings. In order to solve this problemBello et al., (2016) views that the Act must be reviewed in order to describe the meaning of “fair” and “adequate”. There are other issues relating to pollution and penalties for committing the acts of pollution and this is mainly concerned with The Petroleum (Drilling and Production) Regulations 1969. The Petroleum Act usually empowers the minister under“sec 9 (1)(b) (iii)”to frame regulations involving prevention of pollution of waterways and atmosphere (Akinrele, 2014). The provision which is imposed creates a vague legal duty since the operator is enjoined to take steps to control and possibly end it. It ignores the land pollution while other regulations are not stringent since it comprises of unrealistic and unlikely revocation of penalty, given it is contravened by the operator. Hence, certain part of the Petroleum Act must be reviewed because it does not suit the current state of things within the nation or in the international segment. 1.2.3: Nigeria Local Content Development Act: According toAnifowose et al.,(2014) it should be noted that local content is regarded as standard price which is undertaken by resource rich nation of the world. Some nations may approach it based on the view of economic tool as this will eventually result in creation of local capacity while others view it as protectionist measure to safeguard their service and
9OIL AND GAS technology from disproportionate foreign competition. In context of Nigerian petroleum industry, the local content might not lead to addition of value if certain underlying conditions are not present. For instance, even though exclusive treatment is provided to local service industry for fabrication works, given the local skills and ability are developed and supported and other materials not lowered significantly for local suppliers, it may be representing that the local content is in fact costing an economy more (Saidu & Sadiq, 2014). This is because the money which may have been available for tax purpose or used optimally in other industrial sectors may be spent on supporting the local supply and service industry. As a general rule, local content works optimally to generate value where the required technical and vocational education and training capacity is present. The value of local content with the help of development of Technical and Vocational Education and Training to Nigerian petroleum industry is three-fold. This type of value is mainly derived from certain important capacities and abilities within the Nigerian economy which has noteworthy inter- sectoral applications. The local content can be targeted and used for harnessing a hub of skills and technical competence that can be implemented on wide number of industries. There is hardly any doubt that the Nigerian Local Content Act adds value to Technical and Vocational Education and Training (TVET) in Nigeria. Even though the board is accountable for implementation but has failed to provide TVET institution and personnel with the opportunity of contributing their quota to successful application and sustenance of Nigerian Local Content Act. Hence, the Act is yet to effect favourably on the TVET institutions (Ekhator, 2016). It is imperative for Nigeria to attain the envisioned goals and objectives of the Local Content Act, the government, the stakeholders and board that is in charge of implication and monitoring of Local Content Act.
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10OIL AND GAS 1.2.4 Human Resource Shortfalls in Nigeria Petroleum Industry: The Nigerian petroleum industry suffers from the shortfall of human resource. The industry lacks people inside the labour market that have needed qualifications, training and neededexperience.Thisisworsenedinsidethepetroleumindustrybecauseofthe requirement of highly skilled and highly experienced people within the managerial positions. Additionally, the higher cost involved in training and development of local people acts as a prohibitive. Apart from the technical skills and competencies there are also cultural norms which may not be compatible with the Nigerian petroleum industry needs (Oyewunmi & Olujobi, 2016). The MNCs should take into account the intercultural sensitivities and the local context for competing internationally. With under supply of top talents results in competition for same people within the different companies from numerous sectors. The human resource shortfall in Nigeria and the lack of needed talent is mainly due to the mismatch among the provision of skills by the public education system and the needs within the industry. Furthermore, poor leadership and limited government investment in the alignment education based on the requirement of industry has contributed to such mismatch. As argued byAwuzie, (2014) companies have struggled traditionally to apply successful strategies of localization. This is mainly linked regularly to unsuitable succession planning where employees are promoted at an early stages and to an unsuitable position or at the wrong people are selected. This type of compounds biases inside the MNCs towards employment of expatriates results in the exclusion of local people. AssuggestedbyOzoro,(2016)thelegislativetargetsofgovernmenttowards succession planning timelines can place pressure on the companies to hire and promote very early. It is argued that ambiguous and ineffective localization policy designs can create a negative effect on the Nigerian petroleum industry. As claimed byMiko & Kamardin, (2016) the pressure of localizing the unsuitable individual can arise not only from the government
11OIL AND GAS but might also arise from the local management and parent firms. Wrong selection, training and planning of expatriate workforce is regarded as the most commonly agreed barriers to localization. The attitudes of the local people can impede the localization. For instance, an underestimation by the local people regarding the skills and needed requirement for a specific role. As per the section 30 and 31 it makes an obligation on the operators to offer training to the Nigerians where the Nigerians are employed due to the lack of training and offer a succession plan for the Nigerians to understudy to an expatriate for a maximum time period of 4 years. By virtue of section 32 the expatriate workforce for an operator or project promoter is restricted to a maximum of 5% of the management position as might be approved by Board. With reference to section 33 all the applications for expatriate quota should at first be referred to Board (Aye, 2017). The act imposes a strict measure on expatriate employment in Nigerian petroleum industry. The management position for expatriate is restricted to 5% in regard to every project. The overall objective of the local content act is to safeguard the indigenes in Nigeria to produce job opportunities for the Nigerians by keeping the income and tax within the Nigeria to assure that the international companies does not only focus on the expatriates and indigenes to the detriment of Nigerians. It is very unfortunate that a reverse situation is prevalent in Nigeria. Even though with all types of penalties are put in place and regulations theoverseascompaniesgetawaybynotgivingemploymenttoNigeriansinevery professional level. A large number of Nigerians are found to be employed in the lower level with little emphasis are given in highly specialized levels.
12OIL AND GAS 2: Factors Affecting Petroleum Industry in Nigeria: 2.1: Corruption One of the greatest threats to the economic as well as political development for any country is the corruption. Corruption is recognized as a notable obstacle militating against the rapid growth and development of the Nigerian economy. It weakens good management, basically distorting the policy of public, resulting in misappropriation of resources, troubles the private sector and development in private segment (Hassan & Kouhy, 2015). Following the discovery of petroleum in Nigeria, it resulted in huge corruption in the petroleum industry of Nigeria. The Nigerian petroleum industry is largely plagued by endemic corruption. In the latest scandal that involves the Nigerian national petroleum corporation (NNPC), the nation’s official audit revealed that approximately $19 billion of oil revenues have went missing through oil theft and corruption. As per some estimates, approximately $400 billion has vanished in an identical fashion ever since the country gained independence in 1960. This makes up the second largest crime in the oil industry in country. It is projected that approximately 200,000 barrels per day is stolen by the sophisticated network of previous warlords, corrupt officials and local businessmen. As perSeiyaboh & Izah, (2017) the type of endogenous corruptions in the industry comprises of overpricing, recycling of inventory, syndicated bidding, espionage, collusion and fraud. The corruption in the Nigerian petroleum industry has been going on ever since the discovery of oil in the commercial quantities. During the year 2013, the then president of Nigerian Central Bank wrote to president to describe the condition of Oil Company NPC was unable to remit $20 billion of oil revenue that was owed to state. As per the inquiry the state oil group derived a revenue of $67 billion from the sale of oil in the previous 19 months (Ocheni, 2015). Out of which 10.8 billion was
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13OIL AND GAS unaccounted for. This huge amount of money is yet to be recovered since counter allegations have been made. AsperthereportspublishedbyHouseofRepresentativesCommitteeithas recognized that the shadowy Nigerian National Petroleum Company is ranked in the world as the least transparent company, being the key culprit. The company was single handedly accountable for around half of the siphoned subsidiary funds and was found not to be held responsible to anyone or authority. Around seventy-two fuel importers, some with the allegedly close links to senior officials were also singled out. There was also an instance where the payments amounting to $6.4 million flowed from state treasury to 128 times inside the 25 hours to unknown entities. 2.2: Oil Pilfering and Pipeline Damage: Oil theft can be considered as nefarious commercial craft that is related with the criminal gangs and militants crude from pipelines for the local refining where the stole crude are then where they are sold to produce more money (Oyewunmi & Oyewunmi 2016). While pipeline canalisation is regarded as the determined or a deliberate act of damaging the pipeline with the main objective of stealing crude oil and other related petroleum products. Nigeria presently uses pipeline as the means of transporting oil from one place to another within the nation, the pipeline can be considered as inappropriately secured which makes it prone to constant attack by vandals. In Nigerian petroleum industry the scope of oil theft can be divided in two parts, the small scale and the large scale. At small scale, the illegal refineries which is located in the Niger delta involves crude that are stolen by small traders (Nwagbara & Brown, 2014). While large scale comprises of siphoning oil from the pipeline on land or within water and resulting it in a small barges, through which it is transported to bigger ships in the gulf of guinea which carries the stolen stuff to international refineries.
14OIL AND GAS The oil and vandalisation is viewed as the major problems in Nigerian Petroleum Industry since it lowers the revenue which is needed for the nation and impacts the international image of the nation. Nigeria can be viewed as the nation which is exclusively dependent on the petroleum as the means of economic development and oil is viewed as the basis of economic life (Onyi-Ogelle, 2016). The act of oil theft and pipeline canalisation is viewed as main threat to the survival of Nigeria as a nation. Oil theft and pipeline vandalisation is viewed as practice that is adopted by rich and poor, the rich steal oil for their private purpose and produce them in private refineries to ultimately sell it for their own benefit. The poor seeks to destroy the pipeline by transporting the petroleum and stealing the petrol for their private use (Odetunde & Ufodiama, 2017). The oil theft and pipeline vandalisation can be considered to have encouraged because of the flourishing black market, higher rate of bribery and corruption, foreign buyer of stolen crude and inadequate funding and resources to battle the oil theft and pipeline vandalisation. Figure 2: Figure representing Pipeline Vandalisation in Nigeria
15OIL AND GAS Source: (Adewale & Mustapha, 2015) 2.3: Government Underfunding: Nigeriaisperceivablyasthenationthatisblessed with petrol.TheNigerian Petroleum Industry has been very much vibrant ever since the discovery of crude oil in 1986 by the Shell Group (Adewale & Mustapha, 2015). Nevertheless, in spite of the vibrancy of this segment over the past years, but recently it is noticed that there are several challenges and vices which has caused ambiguities in the smooth organisation of the sector, thereby hindering the growth and expansion of the sector. A regularly faced problem in the Nigerian Petroleum Industry is the inability of the government through the NNPC and national oil company to meet the obligations of funding, particularly to the joint venture operations (Nwapi, 2016). The participation of the federal government, with the help of NNPC over the years has represented a lack of financial ability to fund the projects of Joint Venture among the NNPC and IOC. The present slump in the price of crude oil in the global market has aggravated the situation since it has lowered the revenue for government, weakened its capacity of raising fund for joint venture projects (Appel et al., 2015). As per the chairmen of Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry and Managing Director for Nigeria Mid-Africa the level of funding has not been very much adequate and has hindered the operations in order to pursue the drastic amount of growth opportunities within the crude oil exploration for the nation. The federal government through the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation is facing the challenge of funding that is inhibiting the sectorial growth. The arrangement for joint venture between the NNPC and international oil companies currently accounts for greater than 60 per cent of the Nigeria’s crude oil production however the NNPC has regularly defaulted in the payment of its counterpart funding obligations (Onoh, 2017).
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16OIL AND GAS Certainly, the activities of the petroleum oil sector in Nigeria have been hampered greatly and it is grounded by the challenges that is faced by Nigerian government. 2.4: Inadequate and lack of maintenance refineries status: The Nigerian Petroleum Industry suffers from the issues of refineries which is regarded as the core factor in lack of adequate level of output in crude oil. According to the reports, for more than twenty years the equipment have remained same as it has neither changed nor it has been maintained (Ajonbadi, 2015). There is a rising apprehensions that the sharp drop in the functionalities of domestic refineries might endanger the future of the chemical market which is valued at about $110 million. Figure 3: Figure representing refinery Status of Nigerian Petroleum Industry Source: (Otene et al., 2016)
17OIL AND GAS Figure 4: Figure representing refinery Status of Nigerian Petroleum Industry Source: (Senoo & Armah, 2015) 2.5: Oil spillage/Gas Flaring causing environmental pollution: Environmental pollution can be defined as the substances and activities where both the human and the natural causes pollution and degradation of numerous components in the environment. These components mainly comprises of the soil, fresh water, biodiversity, atmosphere and physical environment (Otene et al., 2016). Oil spills are generally considered accidental or intentionally releasing petroleum hydrocarbon in the air, sea, and land because of the human activity. Oil spills are held as common occurrences in Nigeria, they happen because of the wide number of causes resulting in corrosion of pipeline and tanker. Oil spill has created major effect on the environment. Where oil spills happen in a highly populated area, it destroys the crops and aquacultures by contaminating the ground water and soils. Consuming the dissolved oxygen through bacteria feeding on the hydrocarbons also results in death of fish. The largest contributor of the oil spills is the rupturing or leakage of
18OIL AND GAS theproductioninfrastructureswhichisoldandlacksconstantinspectionaswellas maintenance. Sabotage is considered as the greater contributor of the oil spillage, it mainly happens because of the bunkering where the pipeline is illegally tapped by the saboteur. At times during the extraction of oil, pipeline are damaged and demolished. At times the damaged pipeline goes unnoticed for several days and repairs of those damaged pipelines takes much longer. More gas is flared in Nigeria than anywhere else across the world (Senoo & Armah, 2015). In Nigeria several oil spill degradation has been ongoing threat. For instance, Oil Giant Shell pays an amount of E55m (around N15 billion) as the compensation resident of Bodo area of Rivers state where no oil spills happens in august and December. The smoke released damages the people that are living nearby. The flare which is released creates an impact on the livelihood and exposes them to the increase in the risk of premature deaths, illness in child respiratory system and cancer. Nigerian regulations in the Petroleum Oil Industry is weak and enforcement is stern which in all essential is self-regulating in the industry. The provision and legal statutory obligationpreventstheenvironmentalpollutionandpunishesthosethatbreachesthe provision. 2.51: Factors effecting on health: Oil spills and gas flaring has numerous impact on health. Some of the most important harmfuleffectsareperinatal,infantmortality,disorderinrespiratorysystem,allergy, malignancies, cardiovascular disorder, rise in the stress oxidative and numerous other harmful effects (Wilson, 2014). The industrial machine that is used in production can result in some irreversible loss of hearing.
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19OIL AND GAS 2.52: Global warming: This is regarded as the constant build-up of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere in the Petroleum Oil Industry. This gases that comprises of the carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxid and chloroflurocarbon, blocks some of the heat radiated from the earth to result in the greenhouse effect (Konne, 2014). There are certain important causes that has resulted in the increase in the greenhouse gases are the burning of fossil fuel for energy and transport, the cutting down of trees in forest or deforestation has led to the reduction in the carbon dioxide absorption and usage of techniques which pollutes. 2.53: Effects on the atmospheric layer: The depletion in the ozone layer is considered as another dimension of problem that results in the oil spillage, most importantly the flaring that results in atmospheric pollution. Ozone is considered as the highly vital component in the atmosphere that protects the life of human as well as other life that lives on earth from the harmful effects of the short wave length ultra violet heat from the sum. The constant accumulation of CFCs arising from gas has resulted in thickness of ozone layer to be reduced drastically. This ultimately contributes to the climatic change and depletion in the ozone layer. As per the studies conducted by Kingsley-Akpara & Iledare, (2014) ultra violet radiation creates an impact on certain vital organs of human beings, this namely includes human immune system, skin and eyes. 2.54: Effect on Ocean: When an oil spill happens on water, it spreads immediately. There is also an evaporation of gaseous and liquid components. There may be certain components which gets dissolve in water and even oxidize while some undergoes bacterial changes and eventually sinks into the bottom through gravity. The soil then gets contaminated due to the gross effect on the terrestrial life (Juliet, 2015). The fishing industry is considered as the noteworthy sector in the sustainability of Nigeria since it offers Nigerians with the much required protein
20OIL AND GAS and nutrient for the people. Oil pollution creates an effect on the fish population and creates an effect on the farmers which remain dependent on the fish for supporting their family. 2.55: Inconsistencies in the oil price in international market: The volatility in price of commodities that is made in Nigerian Oil and Gas Industry is making reference to the sudden changes which characterizes the price of these commodities. The volatile oil prices is mainly due to the causative link in fixing the price of oil by collusion in the OPEC cartel and the unrest in the Middle East on numerous occasions (Andrews et al., 2015). Whenever, an OPEC meeting approaches, the volatility in oil price drifts upwards and as a result the frequency of these types of meetings in the recent times has been an important factor. Disagreement on the production quotas and members mistrust have contributed to volatility. In addition to this, just like the stock or bond, the laws of demand and supply results in oil price to change. When the supply exceeds demand, the price fall and the opposite is considered true. The decline in the price of oil is largely because of the decline in demand for oil in China and Europe together with the steady supply of oil from the OPEC nation. The additional supply results in sharp price fall (Ingelson & Nwapi, 2014). The Nigerian industry is the exporter as well as importer of refined petroleum products that has the sustenance currently on the mono-economy. The volatility in the price of oil tends to exercise a positive impact on the growth rate of GDP of net-oil exporting nation and a negative impact on the net-oil importing country. 3.0 Factors effecting economy of Nigeria 3.1 Corruption Corruption in Nigeria has become one of the most concerning issue for the economy. Therearemultidimensionaleffectsofcorruptioninaneconomy.Itaffectsbusiness
21OIL AND GAS investment, public finance and living standard of people living in the nation. The latest scandals of corruption related to Nigerian economy have showed evidence of considerably large sum of money to be stolen or that have been misappropriated. There are different channels through which dynamic effects of corruption can occur (pwc.com., 2020) Lower effectiveness of governance mainly due to smaller tax base and inefficient allocation of government expenditure leading to underfunding of government spending. Tax revenue collected in Nigeria is only 8% of GDP. This is the lowest in comparison to different other countries. Because of highly corruptive economic environment the economy accounts a weak investment particularly in terms of Foreign Direct Investment. This also adversely affects formation of human capital. Because of corruption a relatively less number of people especially the poor get access to proper education and health (Daudu, 2017). One report published PWC have found that by 2030 corruption will cost nearly 37% of GDP of Nigeria. In 2014, the cost of corruption was equivalent to nearly $1000 per person. This is projected to be increased by $2000 per person by the time 2030.The boost in average income with a decline in level of corruption could improve the living standard of people living in the nation. Figure 1: Dynamic effect of corruption (Source:pwc.com., 2020)
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22OIL AND GAS Corruption has a disproportionate effect on household and businesses. In a corrupt economic environment, rich people end up paying lower proportion of tax while poor people are unable to get public goods. In the field of business, big businesses raise entry barriers and Small and Medium enterprises get limited credit access. Figure 2: Comparison of loss in GDP due to corruption in comparison to Ghana (Source:pwc.com., 2020) Figure 3: Comparison of loss in GDP due to corruption in comparison to Columbia (Source:pwc.com., 2020)
23OIL AND GAS Figure 4: Comparison of loss in GDP due to corruption in comparison to Malaysia (Source:pwc.com., 2020) Studies show that Nigeria’s GDP in 2014 could have been higher by USD 113 billion if corruption level was same as Ghana (Umeokwobi Richard, 2019). In corruption was at the level of Colombia, then GDP could have been higher by 93 billion. GDP could have increased by USD 113 billion if corruption was at the level of Malaysia. 3.2 Oil theft and pipeline vandalism Two of most challenging issues hindering growth of oil and gas industries of Nigeria are oil theft and pipeline vandalism. Pipeline vandalism and oil theft especially in the delta region are imposing increasing challenge for the country to address. Arable lands in the affected regions such as Imo River, Okordia-rumuekpe and Adibawa flow stations have been destroyed because of oil theft and pipeline vandalism. This imposes a higher agricultural cost on agricultural products because these products need to be transported from one region to another which are not affected by pipeline vandalism (Adishi & Hunga, 2017). Oil theft and pipeline vandalism have negatively affected Nigeria’s earnings from foreign exchange. This hampers revenue generation of the country leading to a budget deficit. As reported by Managing Director of Shell Petroleum Company, Mutiu Sumonu, because of oil theft there is
24OIL AND GAS an annual loss of 5 billion dollars. There are various reasons for oil theft and pipeline vandalisminNigeria.Onereasonishighunemploymentrate.Highunemployment particularly among the young people becomes a major factor encouraging people to engage in criminal activities such as oil theft and pipe line vandalism. For some people oil theft is an illegal way to accumulate money (Njoku, 2016). The militants in the Nigerian Delta empower these individual to get illegal access to oil and gas and engage in pipeline vandalism. Corruption and bad governance is another factor responsible for such menace in Nigeria. There are several economic consequences of oil theft and pipeline vandalism. There are several economic consequence of oil theft and pipeline vandalism. The economy has to bear a financial loss because of the events. People living in region where these events are more prevalent bear cost in terms of lost in arable lands that can be used for fishing, farming and agricultural purpose because of pipeline vandalism. Oil theft and pipeline vandalism are responsible for environmental damage in the affected regions. Economic studies have found these events as responsible for Nigerian current economic crisis. Oil theft and pipeline vandalism also affects foreign direct investment. Oil bunkering, oil theft, pipeline vandalism has caused withdrawal of some of the invested funds by foreign investors (Okoli, 2019). FDI has found to decline significantly in Delta region of Nigeria, a region particularly exposed to the risk of Oil theft and pipeline vandalism. 3.3 Government underfunding In every nation government has the responsibility to provide people with basic necessities. Government mainly invest in providing public goods. In order to ensure a good living standard for people government spends money on providing health and education facilities. Proper spending on health and education is very important for formation of human capital which contribute to higher productivity and economic growth. These two important sectors however are seriously running with insufficient government spending in Nigeria
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25OIL AND GAS (Okuwa & Campbell, 2017) It is the responsibility of both Federal and State government to properly fund university education system. Despite several intervention program, the state of educational facilities in Nigeria remains at a poor state. Universities in Nigeria are decaying at a faster pace. Facilities required for ensuring a good quality of education are lacking. There exists significant inadequacy in terms of number of lecture halls, student hostels, laboratories, library space and journals and books and office spaces needed for developing educational structure (Agha & Ugu, 2019). One report produced by World Bank in 2009 stated Nigeria seriously lack equipment needed for teaching, learning and research. One main reason for poor structure of university education in Nigeria is the decline government funding for universities. Figure 5: Percentage of budget allocation for education in Nigeria (Source:Agha & Ugu, 2019). This restricted efficient functioning of universities in their roles of providing learning and research opportunities. Education is a key input for making a nation rich in human capital. Poor education structure and lack of university education hampers the process of human capital. Besides physical capital also plays a critical role to boost productivity and output (Omoleke & Taleat, 2017). Because of poor access to education the nation suffers
26OIL AND GAS from inadequacy in the supply of human capital hampering future economic growth of the nation. Another sector in Nigeria suffering from government underfunding is health care sector. Despite government’s intervention in some of the major areas of healthcare such as vaccination program, polio eradication, malaria, HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis, child health and maternal health the sector remains highly dependent on funding from external sources such as foreign donors. Under current budget, government of Nigeria allocates only $5 per person in the nation. Because of dependency on external sector health care financial is subject to high volatility. Figure 6: Source of in Nigerian health care sector (Source:Uzochukwu et al., 2015)
27OIL AND GAS Figure 7: Percentage of total budget allocated to health sector of Nigeria (Source: Uzochukwu et al., 2015) Once the foreign money shifts away the health care sector needs a local replacement which finally leads to great suffering for patients. The economy has already undergone such instances. Oyo State situated in Southwest Nigeria suffered from shortage of anti-malaria drug during October, 2018. As foreign funding in Nigeria has already started to fall and shortfall of government funding for health care sector, the overall state of the sector becomes poor. Poor health condition further imposes an obstacle for development of human capital and hinders further growth. 3.4 Poor refineries status The condition of local refineries in Nigeria began to decline since first half of 1990 afterclosureofNigerianNationalPetroleumCorporation(NNPC)accountsinthe commercial banks and transfer of its autonomy to the central government.
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28OIL AND GAS Figure 8: Average capacity utilization for the three refineries in Nigeria from 1997 to 2005 (Source: Ogbuigwe, 2018) As implied from the above figure there is an overall decline in capacity utilization in the oil refineries of Nigeria. The poor state of oil refineries is a result of number of different factors. Firstly, poor governance has been identified as one of the significant factor causing poor performance of the existing refineries. The refineries are solely owned by government and there is no independent control over their funds. The process of getting approval for refineries is time consuming and has to undergone several process making it difficult to run the refineries reliably (Ogbuigwe, 2018). A second factor that contribute to poor refineries condition is the lack of turnaround of maintenance of the existing refineries. Since 2008, no major turnaround in the maintenance has been initiated in these refineries. Because of unnecessary delay in turnaround maintenance performance of the refineries falls. Another factor leading to poor condition of refineries is the pipeline vandalization. There is a routine vandalization of pipelines connecting oil supplies to the oil refineries and those channel
29OIL AND GAS conveying the refined products from refineries (Okeke et al., 2016). This results in massive revenue loss deteriorating the condition under-recovery of the crude oil cost The poor state of oil refineries in Nigeria is responsible for a drastic setback for the economy given inter-linkage of the sector to other industries as well. The fuel refineries are set up to produce mainly five types of product. These are Liquefied Petroleum Gas or LPG used as cooking gas, Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) used as petrol, Dual Purpose Kerosene (DPK), Fuel oil and Automotive Gas Oil (AGO). Disruptive state of refineries affects supply of these products causing disturbance for industries and household relying on these products. Another consequence of poor status of local refineries is the growth of illegal refineries (Ross, 2020). The working conditions in the illegal refineries are dangerous (Asawo, 2016) Men and women working here has the responsibility to pump crude oils from the barges into the open air pits or tanks, heat the oil to the boiling point and then passing the liquid through the water-cooled pipes with points of condensation and evaporation. They need to be very careful and ensure the waste product (gas) does not explode which can lead to big explosion. The working state bears the risk of death and other health issues and pollution. These illegal refineries are also responsible for oil theft in the region (Vidal, 2013). The authorities in Nigeria has provided an estimation of nearly 150,000 barrels stolen oil in the delta region of Nigeria. 3.5 Oil spillage/gas flaring causing environment pollution Oil spill refer to the discharge of liquid petroleum hydrocarbon into environment particularly into the marine ecosystem because of human activity. Gas flaring refers to the event of burning natural gas which is associated with pumping of crude oil from the ground. In regions where infrastructure is inadequate for utilizing natural gas, the technique of gas flaring is adapted to dispose the natural gas. Both oil spillage and gas flaring are common
30OIL AND GAS events in Nigeria. Both the evens have serious consequences on environment and health of people. 3.5.1 Effect on health Gas flaring adversely affects the human health through emission of air pollutant hazardous for health discharge during incomplete combustion. These pollutants cause several adverse impact on health. The adverse impacts are related to disease such as neurological disease, cancer along with adverse effect on reproduction and human development. People leaving nearby regions of the gas flaring also report problems such as damaging lungs, skin problem and others. Hydrocarbon released during gas flaring are brings adverse changes to the hematological parameters (Udok & Akpan, 2017). This negatively affects blood forming cells giving rise to problem such as leukemia, pancytopenia and anemia. Like gas flaring oil spillage has similar effect on human health exposing people to the risk of breathing problem and different skin problems. 3.5.2 Global warming Gasflaringisresponsibleforchangingconditionofclimatehavingaserious consequence both for Nigeria and for the rest of world. There is massive burning of fossils fuel especially coal during gas flaring. Because of fossils fuel burning different green-house gas are emitted which contribute to global warming. As reported by ‘Inter-government panel on climate change’ the condition of global warming in twenty first century is worse than the expectation (Abdulkareem et al., 2012). Gas flaring thus causes global warming by release of main green-house gas that is carbon di oxide. Venting of gas which synonym for gas flaring produces methane which is the second greenhouse gas. These gases today account for nearly 80 percent of global warning. 3.5.3 Effect on Atmospheric layer
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31OIL AND GAS The hazardous substances released during gas flaring cause erosion of ozone layers. ‘Greenhouse effect’ which is one of the most frightening phenomenon of modern data is aggravated by gas flaring. Ozone layer is served as a blanket on earth’s surface protecting it from direct heat of sun. The ozone layer helps to regulate temperature in the earth. Depletion of ozone layer because of emission of greenhouse gases during gas flaring makes the earth exposed to direct heat of sun (Elum, Mopipi & Henri-Ukoha, 2016). This is responsible for increase in temperature on earth, a phenomenon called ‘global warming’. 3.5.4 Effect on ocean Oil spillage in ocean has significant adverse consequences for fishing and fisheries based on both coastal and deep water. As an immediate effect, it causes contamination and mortality of fish and other marine species. It also destroys different food species into the ocean harming the marine eco-system. It destroys different coastal and marine organic substrate, interrupts the food chain of marine eco-system and hampers reproduction. By the oil spill species such as mammals, amphibians and birds living near or in the ocean gets adversely affected. The damaging effect on wildlife include toxic impact of ingestion, injuries including smothering or worsening condition of thermal insulation, hazardous effect on reproduction system (Ejiba, Onya & Adams, 2016) Ecological effect of oil spill in the long term include interruption of food chain that is harmful for wildlife causing disappearance or change of some species. Oil wastes cause pollution to coastal area that are attractive for several recreational activities. Pollution of coastal areas has further negative effect on the society and on the local economy. 3.5.5 Inconsistencies in the oil price in international market Oil price in the international market is determined from global supply and global demand of oil. Like any other market fluctuation in demand and supply adds to volatility in
32OIL AND GAS global oil prices. The event of oil spill is related to supply of oil. Because of oil spill, there is a loss of reserved oil affecting current and future supply of oil (Seiyaboh & Izah, 2017). Because of the supply shortage price tends to increase. The final impact on international oil price however depends on the state of global demand. If global demand decline with supply, then oil price may not increase much. However, if global demand remains same or increases then wasted oil due to oil spill causes oil price to increases. Oil spill thus hampering oil supply adds to uncertainty in oil prices.
33OIL AND GAS 4.0: Solution and Recommendations: Corruption in Government: There must be an effectiveoversight of the responsibilityinstitutionwhich is considered important in stemming the corruption in oil sector of Nigeria. There should be repatriation of asset, the prosecuting of money laundering and rooting the corporate corruption will help in making difference if pursued thoroughly and will also act as the deterrent for others. There must be a public responsibility of the NNPC and other subsidiaries must be encouraged to foster transparency in the sector. Nigerian human resource: It is important for the Nigerians to make an effort in specializing their university level furthermore so that their workforce can be trained properly and be competent in their job. The reason is that if there is no able person then the service of expatriate will be sought to hold office or fill up the vacancy. Constant changes in the management of NNPC: The appointment of the GMD should be on the basis of fixed tenure system as this will allow in constantly driving up the policy as it is applicable in other state owned parastatals. The NNPC must have certain degree of autonomy from the federal government to avoid the unnecessary interferences which will create an effect on their policy development. Oil theft and pipeline vandalisation:
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34OIL AND GAS Awareness must be created among the public regarding the theft of oil and promoting cooperation amid the public, stakeholders and international agencies. Supporting swift prosecution of the offenders and their backers that are found to give warning in order to eliminate theft and vandalisation of pipeline. Government underfunding: It is recommended that underfunding of government in joint ventures is required to be addressed by exploring as well as implying alternative funding models tomake sure that sufficient resourcing of exploration initiative and rise in funding takes place for sectorial growth. 5.0: Conclusion: On arriving at the conclusion it can be stated that there cannot be any opposing fact that Nigeria has huge amount of oil and gas history. It is potentially regarded as the one of the biggest in the world. Irrespective, this industry is rather than attaining the lofty heights is bedevilled by wide number of problems. The overall dependence on the Nigerian economy in this sole product demands an urgency and speedy resolution of the issues because oil produces more than 90 per cent of the nation’s revenue. Preceding from the above paragraph despite the challenges, there are opportunities for the investors that are interested to venture in the refining of petroleum products in Nigeria. Despite the fact that if all the current refineries operates at maximum capacity, there is still the existent of healthy demand for the petroleum products in Nigeria. By the year 2028, the shortfall in the refinery capacity would rise by 550,000 bdsp based on the assumed growth rate of 3 per cent per annum. In addition to this, Nigeria also supplies its petroleum products in neighbouring African nations with the help of informal channels. Therefore, an investor may target to formalize the Nigerian petroleum industry.
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36OIL AND GAS 6.0: References: Abdulkareem, A. S., Afolabi, A. S., Abdulfatai, J., Uthman, H., & Odigure, J. O. (2012). Oil exploration and climate change: A case study of heat radiation from gas flaring in the Niger-Delta Area of Nigeria.Sustainable Development—Authoritative and Leading Edge Content for Environmental Management, 1-28. Adewale, O. O., & Mustapha, U. (2015). The impact of gas flaring in Nigeria.International Journal of Science, Technology and Society,3(2), 40-50. Adishi, E., & Hunga, M. O. (2017). Oil Theft, Illegal Bunkering and Pipeline Vandalism: It’s Impact on Nigeria Economy, 2015-2016.International Journal of Economics and Business Management,3(2), 47-65. Agha, N. C., & Ugu, G. O. C. (2019). Quality and relevance of tertiary education trust fund interventionresearchesintertiaryinstitutionsinsoutheastNigeria(2010- 2015).International Journal of Development and Management Review,14(1), 85-95. Ajonbadi, H. A. (2015). The dynamics of policies and practices of labour contracting in the Nigerian oil and gas sector.Open Access Library Journal,2(09), 1. Akenbor, C. O., & Agwor, T. C. (2015). Standard Costing and Cost Control in Nigerian Oil and Gas Industry.Journal of Modern Accounting and Auditing,11(4), 185-193. Akinrele SAN, A. A. (2014). Transparency in the Nigerian oil and gas industry.Journal of World Energy Law and Business,7(3), 220-235. Andrews, P., Playfoot, J., & Augustus, S. (2015).Education and Training for the Oil and Gas Industry: The Evolution of Four Energy Nations: Mexico, Nigeria, Brazil, and Iraq. Elsevier.
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37OIL AND GAS Anifowose, B., Lawler, D. M., van der Horst, D., & Chapman, L. (2016). A systematic qualityassessmentofEnvironmentalImpactStatementsintheoilandgas industry.Science of the Total Environment,572, 570-585. Appel, H., Mason, A., & Watts, M. (Eds.). (2015).Subterranean estates: Life worlds of oil and gas. Cornell University Press. Asawo, S. P. (2016). Management of Entrepreneurial Orientation Tendencies in Artisanal Oil Refineries and Nigeria's National Growth.European Scientific Journal,12(25). Asikhia, U. O., & Awolusi, D. O. (2015). Assessment of critical success factors of business process re-engineering in the Nigerian oil and gas industry.South African Journal of Business Management,46(2), 1-14. Awolusi, O. D., & Onigbinde, I. O. (2014). Assessment of Critical Success Factors of Business Process Re-Engineering In Nigerian Oil and Gas Industry.International Journal of Empirical Finance,3(3), 104-120. Awuzie, B. O. (2014).A viable infrastructure delivery systems model for achieving socio- economicbenefitsintheNigerianoilandgasindustry(Doctoraldissertation, University of Salford). Aye,B.(2017).NUPENGASSAN’:CombattingPrecariousWorkintheNigerianOil Industry. Working Paper 50, Geneva: International Labour Office. Bello, U., Ahmad, H. S., & Aliyu, A. A. (2016). The impact of lease financing on financial performance of Nigerian oil and gas industry.Research Journal of Finance and Accounting,7(4), 28-34. Daudu,B.(2017).Law,theNigerianEconomyandCorruption.International Relations,5(12), 717-727.
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40OIL AND GAS Odetunde, O. J., & Ufodiama, N. M. (2017). Transformational leadership and organisational culture as predictors of employee creativity and innovation in the Nigerian oil and gas service industry.IFE PsychologIA: An International Journal,25(2), 325-349. Ogbuigwe,A.(2018).RefininginNigeria:history,challengesandprospects.Applied Petrochemical Research,8(4), 181-192. Okafor, J., & Aniche, E. (2014). A critical appraisal of enforcement of Nigerian oil and gas industry content development (NOGICD) act, 2010.JL Pol'y & Globalization,31, 82. Okeke, O. C., Emeruem, U. C., Atama, E. O., & Ekere, J. T. (2016). Environmental Problems of Hydrocarbon Exploration and Production in Nigeria: An Overview.International Journal of Geography and Environmental Management,2(1), 27-40. Okoli, A. C. (2019). Oil pipeline vandalism in the Niger Delta: need, greed and grievance factors.conflict trends,2019(2), 12-19. Okuwa, O. B., & Campbell, O. A. (2017). Financing Higher Education in Nigeria: A Demand Perspective. InSustainable Transformation in African Higher Education(pp. 159- 171). Brill Sense. Olu-Daniels, S. O., & Nwibere, B. M. (2014). Trust and organizational resilience in the Nigerianoilandgasindustry.InternationalJournalofBusinessand Management,9(2), 291. Omoleke, I. I., & Taleat, B. A. (2017). Contemporary issues and challenges of health sector in Nigeria.Research Journal of Health Sciences,5(4), 210-216. Onoh, J. K. (2017).The Nigerian oil economy: From prosperity to glut. Routledge.
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43OIL AND GAS coverage.NigerianJournalOfClinicalPractice,18(4),437.doi:10.4103/1119- 3077.154196 Vidal,J.(2013).Nigeriansriskdeathworkingatillegaloilrefineries.theGuardian. Retrieved14March2020,from https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2013/oct/16/poor-nigerians-risk- refining-stolen-oil Wilson,G.(2014).TheNigerianstateandoiltheftintheNigerDeltaregionof Nigeria.Journal of Sustainable Development in Africa,16(1), 69-81.