How number of migrants can possibly affect UK Economy
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This essay discusses the impact of the number of migrants on the economy of the United Kingdom. It explores the effects on the circular flow of income, GDP, unemployment, and the labor market. The positive and negative aspects of immigration are analyzed, highlighting the contributions and challenges it brings to the UK economy.
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How number of migrants can possibly affect UK Economy
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Table of Contents INTRODUCTION...........................................................................................................................1 MAIN BODY...................................................................................................................................1 Impact of immigration on circular flow of income................................................................1 Impact of immigration on Gross Domestic Production (GDP)..............................................3 Impact of immigration on unemployment..............................................................................5 Impact of immigration on labour market................................................................................5 CONCLUSION................................................................................................................................6 REFERENCES................................................................................................................................7
INTRODUCTION Immigration can be referred to as the terminology for international mobility of people from their place of birth onto a selected nation for the purpose of earning a livelihood in the long run. This tends to highly place impact over the labour market through the supply of a set of workers within some sectors (Doyle, 2018). With the increment in the demand of immigrant labourers, all the sectors avail the benefit of coming up with innovative as well as unique ideas together with specialised initiatives for converting them into effective production. The present report seeks to present an essay upon the positive as well as negative aspects of the impact of the number of migrants upon the economy of United Kingdom. In this relation, primary emphasis is placed upon facets of an economy like circular flow of income, unemployment, gross domestic product and labour market. MAIN BODY Impact of immigration on circular flow of income National income, output along with expenditure generated as a result of execution of a number of activities, together regarded as the most crucial elements of the economy of a nation. In this relation, national outcome can be referred to as the total output value which is generated by the set of firms, altogether (Konitzer and et. al., 2019). On the other hand, national income is acknowledged to be the aggregate income which is received by individuals of any nation. For an instance, the wage rates provided by the companies to its labour force for production of output is called national income, that is acknowledged to flow via sectors towards the households. In the same manner, national expenditure can be comprehensibly said to be the overall capital spent upon the production as well as distribution of goods as well as services. This tends to encompass labour cost along with the overall amount incurred by the households over purchase of products, thus this represents the flow of income via the households towards the companies. So, all such factors exhibit the manner in which income flow within the confines of a closed economy, without any kind of interference on the part of government. 1
Immigrationcanbecomprehensiblysaidtobeprocedureinvolvingmovementof individuals from their native place to any other nation for the intent of earning money. This concept tends to place a substantial impact over the circular flow of income within the boundaries of an economy. With the increment in labour supply as a result of immigration, the companies of United Kingdom along with other nations tend to set agenda in their favour or against. In this relation, taking into consideration the diverse set of tax contributions that are made by the migrants in terms of cost benefits, public finances, public facilities etc. indicate positive opinion. In this relation, the estimation has been said that the fiscal effect of increment in immigration within the confines of UK, accounting to almost 1% of the overall GDP (Rutter and Carter, 2018). With respect to the individualistic characteristic of migrants of UK, it has been seen that youngaswellashighlyskilledindividualstendtoworkuponhighpaidemployment opportunities. As a result of this, they are able to make a relatively larger contribution to the economy of United Kingdom. In accordance with the picture given beneath, it can be seen that the working age individuals who have their native place as UK has given a positive contribution in terms of fiscal aspect. Further, it has been acknowledged that the same population of the migrants have placed a negative influence also (Leruth and Taylor-Gooby, 2019). Now, as per OBR (Office for Budget Responsibility), it is recognised that high extent of immigration has led tothereductionofpressuregovernmentaldebt,wherebyextensivenumberofmigrants 2
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comprising the young age individuals pertaining to the nations except UK tend to assist UK in giving fiscal and economic contribution. In addition to this, it has also been noted that post the elapse of next 50 years, such people get retiredleading to placement of age related pressures over the government. Thus, it may result into emergence of fiscal issues in front of policy makers for the country together with influencing the circular flow of income in a negative way. Impact of immigration on Gross Domestic Production (GDP) The increment in the manpower also leads to increase in the overall output levels of any nation.Thisconsequentlyresultsintoanenhancementofpercapitaincomeaswellas 3
acceleration of economic growth (Lomax, Wohland, Rees and Norman, 2020). Thus, in technical terms, it is estimated that immigration not just provides assistance in supply of worker but also the acceleration of economy of a country through the provision of contribution within facilitating an increment in production of offerings to fulfil the demands and needs of customers. With respect to the marketplace of United Kingdom, several economists have together put forth the premise that in an instance whereby continuous incoming of migrants does not take place from last 3 decade, then the economy of the respective nation would be worse than the present state. Since such a time period, the rate of immigrants has encountered an increment of two times as opposed to people having UK as their native place. Majority of the immigrants are acknowledged to be educated and visit the nation for the purpose of attaining qualified jobs, however they leave such nation prior to the time of their retirement for sustaining the remaining part of their lives at their native location or any other place. Thus, this factor has a substantial impact over the fiscal policies, where give more relatively in public finances, than receive benefits. They are also propelled as most productive ones, which help industries especially that trade at international level, to meet higher demands of people by offering innovative and fast supply of goods or services. It has further claimed that immigrants cover near about 8% of UK-born population but contribute 10% to increase GDP (Valentino and et. al., 2019). In accordance with a recent survey conducted by Government Actuaries Department (GAD), it is estimated as per the principal projections i.e. 130k per year net migration in the time period between 2003 and 2031, this migration within the boundaries of United Kingdom will add approx. 5.2 million to the total population of the country of which around 3.8 million individuals would pertain to the working age group (McLaren, Boomgaarden and Vliegenthart, 2018). Thus, this condition equals to the average compound growth rate of more than 0.34%. This means that increment of 0.3% in immigrations would imply that they contribute only 0.34% for enhancing the GDP growth on an annual basis. This tends to indicate benefit for the economy as per head per annum, equals to approx. 0.04%, with working ones 7 per head on an annual basis. So, this outcome reflects that neither extra infrastructural costs nor the congestion costs are something which can be seen as the positive impacts of immigration. However, it is further claimed that nearly 15% of the trend growth of the respective nation is dependent over immigration which approximates 2.75% (0.4 is 15% of 2.75). Thus, on the basis of the discussion executed over the 4
subject matter, it can be said that GDP of UK has enhanced as a result of immigration (Ottaviano, Peri and Wright, 2018). Impact of immigration on unemployment Even though immigration of people from different nations is providing range of benefits to the businesses but at the same time it increases unemployment rate within their own nations. This is so because these immigrants agrees to work at low wage rate in order to get job in UK which is ultimately snatching opportunity from localise people of UK as they are not getting good jobs with higher pay scale in their own country only. From the views expressed by Britain economist, it has been analysed that increasing movement of people from one place to another directly leads to globalisation which enforces businesses to generate job for the people worldwide in the name of workplace diversity (Blinder and Jeannet, 2018). It has also been analysed that with the motive of increasing production rate businesses are approaching immigrant labours as they agrees to work at low wage rate which is ultimately affecting job of localise people as they are losing their job at constant basis. Impact of immigration on labour market Immigration of labour market has been influenced by wages as well as employment outcome. It has also been seen that these immigrants has higher knowledge as well as quality skills which ultimately helps them out in maximising their productivity in the rapid manner. This simply results in the increase labour market productivity. In addition to this, it can be further said that main of UK businesses is to maximize their productivity along with the higher quality by simply making use of labours from the international markets. On the basis of viewpoints expressed by several economists, it has also been said that impact of labour market over the population of UK can be seen in negative form. This potential negative impact over UK population can be acknowledged in the form of employment generation and wages. Away with this, it has been determined that constantly developing consequences related to the immigration are acknowledged as the higher in the firm of enhancing productivity as well as growth of the same sector (Valentino and et. al., 2019). It can be said that constantly increasing productivity of the company helps it in improvising its performance which ultimately leads to attainment of their domestic as well as international objectives. This is so because these businesses are able to mould their products and services as per the core requirement of different customers which ultimately satisfies them at extensive level and also influences them to make purchase from the 5
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same company at constant basis. This ultimately increases their sales performance as well as profitability in the rapid manner. Apart from this, it can be said that effective skills as well as knowledge acquired by immigrants directly helps UK businesses in bringing innovations in their product and services with the support efforts placed by these immigrants in the form of business ideas and efforts placed by them. This also results in the gaining of competitive advantage at marketplace with the effective support of skilled human capital in rightful manner. CONCLUSION On the basis of above discussion, it can be said that there are positive as well as negative aspects linked to immigration within a country. The positive impacts in this relation comprise of development of skill set as well as competency levels of local workers. Besides this, the negative impacts include reductionin employment for semi skilled or unskilled individuals creating challenge for the policy makers to render jobs to them. Furthermore, it has been acknowledged that immigration has also led to increment in GDP of UK. Along with this, it has also been analysed that impact of immigrant on labour market can be seen in the form of increasing opportunity to the localise people of UK to develop their skills as well as knowledge with immigrants which will ultimately improvises their performance in appropriate manner. With the analysis of the overall discussion it can be said that overall impact of immigration on labour market is positive. 6
REFERENCES Books and Journals Blinder, S. and Jeannet, A. M., 2018. The ‘illegal’and the skilled: effects of media portrayals on perceptions of immigrants in Britain.Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies.44(9). pp.1444-1462. Doyle, C., 2018. Housing in UK New Immigration Destinations: Planning, houses of multiple occupation and the challenges of uncertainty.Journal of Rural Studies.64. pp.276-288. Konitzer,T.B.andet.al.,2019.Ethnocentrismversusgroup-specificstereotypingin immigrationopinion:cross-nationalevidenceonthedistinctivenessofimmigrant groups.Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies.45(7). pp.1051-1074. Leruth, B. and Taylor-Gooby, P., 2019. Does political discourse matter? Comparing party positions and public attitudes on immigration in England.Politics.39(2). pp.154-169. Lomax, N., Wohland, P., Rees, P. and Norman, P., 2020. The impacts of international migration on the UK’s ethnic populations.Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies.46(1). pp.177- 199. McLaren, L., Boomgaarden, H. and Vliegenthart, R., 2018. News coverage and public concern about immigration in Britain.International Journal of Public Opinion Research.30(2). pp.173-193. Ottaviano, G. I., Peri, G. and Wright, G. C., 2018. Immigration, trade and productivity in services: Evidence from UK firms.Journal of International Economics.112. pp.88-108. Rutter, J. and Carter, R., 2018.National Conversation on Immigration. British Future. Valentino, N. A. and et. al., 2019. Economic and cultural drivers of immigrant support worldwide.British Journal of Political Science.49(4). pp.1201-1226. 7