ECO-6005B Advanced Macroeconomics: Analyzing German Hyperinflation

This essay provides an in-depth analysis of the hyperinflation that occurred in Germany from 1919 to 1923, examining its causes, consequences, and the lessons learned. It discusses the impact of World War I, the Treaty of Versailles, and the Ruhr crisis on the German economy. The essay explores the short-run and long-run effects of hyperinflation, including the devaluation of currency, shortage of goods, and the weakening of the Weimar Republic. It also highlights the strategic plans implemented to counter the problem, such as the introduction of Rentenmark and the negotiation of the Dawes Plan. The essay concludes by discussing the modern institutions and the significance of the Central Bank in maintaining economic stability.

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Running head: HYPERINFLATION
HYPERINFLATION
Name of the Student
Name of the University
Author’s Note

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Table of Contents
Introduction......................................................................................................................................3
In-depth Analysis of the describe causes and consequences” of hyperinflation in Germany.........3
Short run......................................................................................................................................4
Long run.......................................................................................................................................6
Consequences..................................................................................................................................8
Learned lessons to counter the problems in Germany 1923............................................................9
Discussing Modern Institutions.....................................................................................................11
How the role of Central Bank is Significant..............................................................................15
Conclusion.....................................................................................................................................16
References......................................................................................................................................18
Appendix........................................................................................................................................19

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List of tables & Figures
Figure 1: The course of Germany's Hyperinflation Figure 2: Wholesale price index
(Source; World Bank Data).............................................................................................................3
Figure 3: Understanding Inflation...................................................................................................4
Figure 4: The step by step movement of the economy towards the state of hyperinflation 1923...5
(Figure 5: Data on hyperinflation of Germany from Source: World Bank, 2019)..........................7
Figure 6: World Bank data 2019 regarding different hyperinflation and their respective
proportional estimates....................................................................................................................11
Figure 7: A Healthy Growing Economy through the Equilibrium Points.....................................14
Figure 8: Expansionary Fiscal Policy Figure 9: Contractionary
Fiscal Policy...................................................................................................................................15
Figure 10: Lining up early at the bakery before the prices went up in Germany, 1923................20
Figure 11: Prices of bread & butter before and after Rentenmark................................................21

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Introduction
The world economy have confronted with various form of inflationary situations at
different point of time. Notably the case of Germany’s hyperinflation, is one of the cases in the
history of mankind that requires substantial understanding regarding the performance of the
financial institutions as well as the entire economy from a global perspective.
In-depth Analysis of the describe causes and consequences” of hyperinflation in Germany
There are various aspects of concern in the process of understanding the state of
hyperinflation that took place in Germany by the Era of 1919 to 1923. After the WW1, the
historical data regarding changes of the wholesale price index in that period can be incorporated
as follows:
Figure 1: The course of Germany's Hyperinflation Figure 2: Wholesale price index (Source; World Bank Data)
The data clearly reflects the changes in the price indices which was caused due to the
tendency of the economy to cope up with its instability after the WW1 (Feldman. 2015). The
country was in a pressure of returning its debts that it have taken from its allies. Along with that

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the country have utilized its gold reserves to fund World War I. As per the Treaty of Versailles,
Germany lost its key industrial areas like Silesia which itself was an important base for
generating income and ensure rise in their national income.
Short run
Figure 3: Understanding Inflation
Notably, GDP deflator gives a measurement of inflation. The aforementioned diagram
shows that, it is meaningless to increase money supply without balancing it with the total output
Moreover, an extra unit of currency should not be produce if there is not an equivalent increase
of real GDP. As the money value of the GDP is increased but not it real value, it leads to
devaluation of the currency and the exchange value of the currency too gets lowered. Apart from
that, the aspect of reparation bill that the country have to cover, amounted 6.6 billion pounds
which was very heavy to repay simultaneously to the allies (Gallegati, Giri and Fratianni. 2019).
All this resulted the country to get bankrupted by the year 1923. The very first crisis that the
country confronted by the year 1923 was that of the Ruhr regime. Germany stopped paying their

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reparation by 1922 to countries like France, which themselves were in debt to countries like the
United States. As a result of the fact the forces like France, Belgium invaded the Ruhr region for
capturing back what was owed to them in kind from Germany. Mreover, the invasion was
completely legal as per the Treaty of Versailles.
Figure 4: The step by step movement of the economy towards the state of hyperinflation 1923
The Ruhr region was an important region of Germany from where the invading country
undertook industrial machineries, manufacturing goods and confiscated raw materials. German
responded back by encouraging riots within the people that dwelled there for creating a passive
resistance. France countered it by arresting the people that obstructed their legal invasion and
brought back the French people who were victimized due to the phenomenon. The Weimer
Republic started to weaken as Germany failed to resist the invasion of France and Belgium in the
region of Ruhr. Due to the Treaty of Versailles, the German government have no choice but to
allow countries like France and Belgium to invade the Ruhr region. The army strength of France
was higher and after WW1, the Germans could not risk another war as the country itself was
struggling to survive.

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Long run
The Germany economy crippled as the major factory base was occupied where 80 % of
the country’s lumber, gold, coal, coke, steel, and iron base was there in the Ruhr region. This
also resulted in increase of the amount of debt as income was not generated any more from the
region of Ruhr. The production of goods and services also reduced rendering a clear shortage of
commodities. Due to this shortage the prices of goods and services already present in the
economy went up triggering the possibility of inflation and lowering employment. As per the
Phillip’s curve with rise in unemployment, inflation in the economy of Germany also took place
as a consequence (Gómez et al.2018). When there is fewer things to buy, automatically the
prices of the goods and services goes up. The Germans have to spent more in order to keep
themselves at the level of same standard of living. On the other hand, the German Government
was confronted with debt that they took in the time of WW1 and hence they have to return them
back. But with the state of continuous downfall in production and rise in factories that failed to
operate. This resulted in unemployment and hence inflation too went up. Moreover due to this
situation, the country was not able to acquire higher taxes to cover up their debt and pay the
money back (Hanke and Bushnell. 2017). The government decided not to pressurize the
countrymen rather to produce more amount of money and circulate that into the economy. As a
result the value for money decreased resulting in the 2nd state of crisis which is hyperinflation.
For sustenance of an economy in the long run it is important that the sum of values of all the
goods and services produced within the economy should be equal to the sum of all the currency
present within the economy. As this balance is not maintained, it automatically resulted in
generating inflationary pressure. Same happened with Germany where the price of goods
continued to rise simultaneously allowing to the value of money to continue to fall down, this

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broke the macroeconomic balance. A loaf of bread which might have cost 60 marks by 1918, by
the year 1923 the same loaf of bread was of 201 trillion marks. This clearly reflects that the value
of money has so fallen enormously that it can be regarded useless (Hartwell. 2018). Moreover,
the value changes so quickly that hyperinflation was a common consequence.
(Figure 5: Data on hyperinflation of Germany from Source: World Bank, 2019)
German was in debt to France and Belgium which took its major industrial region. This
siphoned off the revenue generation from those region to the invading countries and cut the
national income of the country. The production of goods and resources for the country got
restricted and simultaneously the government decided not to increase tax for collecting the
national earning from the country people rather encourage in production of more currency
(Holtfrerich. 2017). However, production of goods and service was limited and the output was
already maximized for which rise in the production of currency lowers the value of the monetary
unit of the country resulting in devaluation of the currency that made the value of the currency
worthless. All this together led to the consequence of hyperinflation where the purchasing power

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of the country people increased greatly but at the cost of, limiting the production of goods and
services.
Consequences
There are various benefits as well as problems due to the incident of hyperinflation. The
flaws and fortes as the consequence of hyperinflation can be incorporated as follows:
 Farmers were found to profit from the rise in the food prices
 Some businesses were found to pay off their loans and some were able to buy up the
failed businesses
 The most affected were not the poor or the rich but the middle class due to the reason
that the poor have almost nil propensity to save whereas the rich have higher propensity
to save but the middle class have average propensity to save money for securing there
future. However money itself was significantly devaluated which resulted with the fact
that the saved money will almost have lesser or almost no exchange value for buying
goods and services (James. 2018)
 There were shortage of goods and services since comparatively less amount of
commodities were being produced due to scarcity of resources as per demanded which
was assisted by the rise in price of those goods and services as a consequence
 There was difficulty in buying the basic needs of the country people as people realized
that money was devaluated so much that their value of saving also reduced in valuation
than it was valued before and hence savings became worthless
 Small businesses as well as farmers were benefitted as they were able to buy bigger
businesses at cheaper cost

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 Foreign buyers and suppliers refuse to accept mark as the exchange value of currency of
the country lowered with respect to other foreign currency. Hence supply of resources
dried up and balance of trade lowered
 Trade of goods in exchange of other goods were encouraged in the economy but
exchange in terms of money was not preferred by suppliers of raw materials as money
lost its value
 Hyperinflation fatally weakened the political as well as economic stability of Weimar
Republic
 Inflation benefitted only few of the profiteering industrialists though it took place by
stripping the savings of the middle class as well as expropriating the significant
contribution to the rise of Hitler (Kindleberger. 2015)
 The inflationary policies boosted employment that may have postponed the post war
recession temporarily but at the cost of social and political instability for which the fortes
inflation were cut down by its flaws that injected instability within the economy
 Bundles of money were exchanged in baskets as people have to pay more for the same
goods and services
 Workers have to be paid doubled sometimes in order to acquire more goods before the
price of the goods and services get increased even further.
Learned lessons to counter the problems in Germany 1923
Alleviation of the process took place when Strategic plans were implemented by Foreign
Secretary and ex-chancellor Gustav Stresemann to counter the problem.
The solution to hyper-inflation was Rentenmark which was a temporary currency that
was introduced by October 1923 and replaced the useless existing currencies. The existing

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currencies were based upon the gold reserve while Rentenmark was based upon real estate
(Braskén. 2015). It was later replace on August 1924 with new currency Reich mark. The central
bank of Germany, Reichsbank controlled the currency that enhanced the confidence upon it
which was beneficial for the economy.
The next barriers to economic stability of the country were the stoppage of reparation
payments and the solution for it was to negotiate the Dawes Plan by April 1924. This helped to
reduce the annual payment to an affordable amount and France left the Ruhr region. Germany
resumed their remaining reparation payments while US invested 800,000,000 marks within the
industries of Germany. The economy of the country began to recover though it was reliant on US
loans which was a cause of annoyance for the right Wing Germans as if anything happens to the
US economy it may drastically impact the German economy again (Peel and Spiru. 2018).
Moreover the Locarno Pact of 1925 was important to be established as the country was a
pariah on the international sphere. It agreed to keep the new 1919 borders with countries like
France and Belgium. Germany entered into the League of Nations (September 1926) as the
country was seen as equal with other countries and the allies’ troops left Rhineland. As per the
Kellogg – Briand Pact 1928, countries together decided not to use war as a medium of achieving
their foreign policy plans as it drastically affects the overall economic system.
The next plan to counter reparation which was 6.6 billion pounds was through the young
Plan by 1929. With implementation of this plan, the reparation was cut down to 2 billion from
6.6 billion and 59 more years were permitted until 1988 to pay the reparation payments back to
the allies (Braskén. 2015). This strengthened the Weimar Republic upon which people trusted
and the aspect of hyperinflation was gradually reduced to a feasible level.

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Discussing Modern Institutions
The results of the state of hyperinflation in Germany by the 1920s as compared to other
similar financial crises like that of Russia in 1990s, Greece in 1944, Yugoslavia 1994, Zimbabwe
2008, Hungary 1946, provide historical evidence in support of the financial anomalies. All of the
incidence highlighted the fact that only the government is unable the control the economy and
there is necessity of incorporation of a central bank that is able to regulate the money supple
followed by balancing it with the means of production as per John Maynard Keynes who
depicted the hyperinflation and the consequent Great depression that occurred by the period
1929-39.
Figure 6: World Bank data 2019 regarding different hyperinflation and their respective proportional estimates
At different scenarios it is been seen that different countries have implement significant
measures to combat with the state of hyperinflation. In case of Germany, Reich bank, which is
the central bank of the country, introduced Rentenmark as temporary currency and counter the
situation of Paper mark. By 1914, the German currency was 4.2 times compared to 1 dollar while
by early 1922, 160 mark of German currency was equivalent to one dollar and by November
1923 it was 4.2 trillion marks respectively (Lopez and Mitchener. 2018). The threats of currency