INFORMATION SYSTEM IN BUSINESS2 Executive summary There has been many discussions surrounding the design and implementation of autonomous vehicles. One major topic of discussion is brought as an ethical dilemma by a phenomenon known as the trolley problem. It is a problem which comes about as a result of the autonomous cars ability to make rational decisions, more so when it comes to the aspect of life. This report attempts to explore the trolley problem by delving into some of the challenges of the trolley as well as the opportunities. From the findings, the trolley problem is an issue that seems to be far much from reality, and other approaches have such as the theory of utilitarian, one line of code, Use of vehicle dynamics, and the Use of risk theory be adopted have been recommended to address the ethical dilemma in design of autonomous vehicles.
INFORMATION SYSTEM IN BUSINESS3 Table of Contents Executive summary.........................................................................................................................2 Introduction......................................................................................................................................4 Background information..............................................................................................................4 Ethical dilemma: Trolley prolem.................................................................................................4 Discussion........................................................................................................................................5 Trolley problem in the context of designing software for autonomous vehicles........................5 Benefits of the trolley problems in designing software's.............................................................6 Risks............................................................................................................................................6 Importance of ethical issues consideration..................................................................................8 Reflective statement on 'autonomous vehicles will be ubiquitous.'...............................................11 Conclusion.....................................................................................................................................13
INFORMATION SYSTEM IN BUSINESS4 Introduction Background information People are faced with multiple moral issues, which calls for decision making on a day-to- day basis. In recent times, a major topic of investigation has been associated with people concerned with moral decision-making. The cognitive processing of moral judgment, including the factors behind the same judgments, has puzzled both the philosophers and the psychologist. Initially, the process was purely based on logical reasoning and excluded psychological elements such as emotions and intuitions (Wilson & Scheutz, 2015).However, this status has been challenged, giving rise to two schools of thought: utilitarianism and intuitionism. However, the two approaches emphasize on avoiding harm to innocent persons. In this context, we are faced with an ethical dilemma in the design of an autonomous system. Numerous debates have been held on the trolley problem, and our intention is to review and provide a future direction to the problem. Ethical dilemma: Trolley prolem A ‘trolley problem’ is an ethical dilemma based on assumptions that the autonomous cars have the ability to make decisions, which will result in a certain outcome. Despite the trolley problem raising a lot of concerns, design engineers can make use of it to come up with systems which are ethically oriented. Other approaches can also be applied in addressing ethics in design software’s. In this research, the major focus will comprehensively be on exploring the trolley problem and providing a justification for the future of self-driving cars. Further, an exploration of other additional approaches which can be easily applied in the design of autonomous cars to address the ethical dilemma is done.
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INFORMATION SYSTEM IN BUSINESS5 Discussion Trolley problem in the context of designing software for autonomous vehicles. A trolley problem is an ethical dilemma which presents itself as a thought experiment (Holstein &Dodig-Crnkovic, 2018). Most of the decisions made by the design software’s go contrary to the established ethics, as all humans are equal. It further implies that the decision making in autonomous cars does not incorporate the personal details as well as personal attributes. If in case the personal details would be allowed, then some challenges that would still be experienced include privacy and data protection problem. This will entail requiring all the personal data, including medical and police data (Bonnefon, Shariff & Rahwan, 2016). Further, it is established that the sensing technologies may not be able to precisely detect the kind of objects which are being displayed on the screen. They only detect the objects based on different sizes and types, vis-à -vis the object distance. By extension, the quality of detection is not similar, making the labeling of an object as human or not-human sophisticated (Bruers & Braeckman, 2014). The measurements of the sensor are also not comprehensive enough to differentiate a collection of people with regards to their actual number but on the basis of the volume of space which they occupy. Another problem from the trolley in regards to the design of the autonomous vehicles is the fact that they have no ability to count the number of the persons in the other cars, a problem which is experienced even in building designs. There is also the aspect of the mixed environment of the autonomous cars with/without the v2x technologies. This is because mixed environment of the autonomous cars is not taken into account unless the sensors technology exists or is highly advanced (Cathcart, 2013).
INFORMATION SYSTEM IN BUSINESS6 In other words, the main issue of the trolley problem in the design of the autonomous cars is hitting an object which has not been identified or wrongly identified, or hitting an object which has been correctly identified. Further, it becomes more unrealistic to make assumptions that the autonomous car will be aware of whether a human is in critical condition or is dead (Di Nucci, 2013). Benefits of the trolley problems in designing software's The trolley problems present itself as a significant a challenge more so in the self- driving cars. However, the problems can be viewed as an advantage when it is applied to the designing software. Most of the designing software's have algorithms, which make them make decisions in milliseconds. These decisions are likely to have a negative effect on the people around the designed equipment. Thus, when the trolley problem is incorporated, it will integrate the aspects of ethics and how it can be solved, without breaching the ethics (Edmonds, 2013). When the software engineers apply the appropriate operands, there is likeliness of saving more lives and making the correct decision's, based on the prior assumptions during the incorporation of the trolley problem. Additionally, incorporating the trolley problem in design software's help in ensuring that the software's engineers utilize the operands which will result into a positive decision which in one way will not interfere nor jeopardize the ethical basics of design machines vis-à -vis humans (Fagnant & Kockelman, 2015). Risks Safety risks
INFORMATION SYSTEM IN BUSINESS7 The incorporation of the trolley problems I design software's is with regards to making various assumptions and philosophical decisions. The assumptions generally foresee a problem and attempt to provide a solution to it in prio. However, the foreseen problem might not be solved in the pre-thought decision which, becomes a safety risk on the side of the users. The fact that most of the prospects of the trolley problem are based in idealness and not reality makes it complicated and unreal(Fagnant & Kockelman, 2014).Technical risks There is likeness that in the design of autonomous systems, detailed comprehension of how such systems operate may not be fully gained. The reason is because the trolley problem will actually divert the attention and put more concentration on how the ethics need to be applied on every aspect instead of just understanding the basics and complexities of such an autonomous system. Alternatives to the trolley problems in addressing the design ethics of autonomous cars The trolley problem possibly does not seem to offer a solution, and ends up placing us in an ethical dilemma.it is more of focusing on making options between doing and allowing harm to occur. However, for the autonomous cars to be implemented, a solution/decision has to be made at the end of the day (Frison, Wintersberger & Riener,2016). There are various alternatives which can be applied in addressing the ethical issue of the autonomous car design. Among them includes using the theory of utilitarian, one line of code (random approach), Use of vehicle dynamics, and the Use of risk theory.Utilitarian approach Despite the utilitarian approach being constrained to hitting of a pedestrian, one possible technique is that citizen score can be established such that the design of such autonomous cars has the ability to sense the score of the pedestrians and hit the one with the least score. Here
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INFORMATION SYSTEM IN BUSINESS8 comes a situation where, there is a minimal connection between the citizen's scores; thus, the zip code scores can be used where the score of an individual is assumed to be relating to the average score of that area (Gerla, Lee, Pau & Lee, 2014).One line of code (random approach) In cases that the scores seem to be equal, the choice can be randomly by the autonomous cars, whereby the survival of an individual will rely just on luck. Various random algorithms can be applied to the sensing techniques so that the vehicle exhibit arbitrary decision when faced with an ethical dilemma (Goodall, 2016).Use of vehicle dynamics Most of the ethical dilemmas occur as a result of increased speed that might make the braking and control of the autonomous cars inevitable.Thisimplies that the dynamic of speed, motion among others needs to be modified such that they will be able to detect and prevent imminent accidents, as well as maintaining the same line of action instead of swerving off and heating innocent pedestrians (Greene, 2016).Use of the risk theory The risk theory tends to evaluate the possibilities of extents of harm that might be experienced in making decisions when in an ethical dilemma. Various algorithms can be installed to help determine the percentage of risks for any decision made, and the one with the least risk be chosen. However, multiple factors need to be considered, and the automatic generation of algorithms be performed to determine the levels of risk likely to occur (Kamm, 2015). Importance of ethical issues consideration To have a clear comprehension of the ethical challenges by the business models, it is imperative first to understand what these challenges represent. Most of the challenges
INFORMATION SYSTEM IN BUSINESS9 concentrate on human life and its value. It looks onto how the decision making concerning the importance or significance of living is calculated. In case a mistake is made by an autonomous vehicle, quite a lot of consequence can result; either loss of life or leaving of a person with critical conditions (Krueger, Rashidi, & Rose, 2016). Why ethics matters for autonomous vehicles To fully understand the autonomous vehicles, it is essential to offer an illustrative scenario. Consider a situation whereby a car opts to swerve in the right direction and kill a nine- year-old boy or swerve in the left path and kill an eight five-year-old granddad. Given the velocity of the car, it is absolutes that one person has to be killed. Either way, a decision can be made, or the car does not swerve, and automatically, all the victims will perish in such a situation. Hence, in such circumstance, what would be the ethical decision to make? One can choose to swerve on the direction of the grandfather and kill him and save the rest, including the nine-year-old boy. Morally, it might be right as one can reason that probably the young boy has got the whole of his life ahead of him. However, it is not fair to kill based on the fact of age, and the IEEE standards prohibited this (Litman, 2015). It merely implies that in a crash scenario, whether one is has a different age, gender, race, religion, nationality, or disability, it is not fair enough to prefer one group over another. And in fact, the leading producers of autonomous vehicles: Germany and united states have stipulated the laws protecting the lives of human, and would not stand to allow any other production that puts the life of humans to jeopardy (Menze & Geiger, 2015). In such a situation, it may sound ethical not to swerve, but outrightly, the passengers will get killed, which is a bit ambiguous. Also, a solution will be to select a path without human, a
INFORMATION SYSTEM IN BUSINESS10 decision which is also disturbing. This kind of dilemmas is what brings the need for the business to understand the need for ethics in developing autonomous cars (Nyholm & Smids, 2016).Beyond crash avoidance In the current research, much focus has been shifted to relinquishing control and braking when it comes to autonomous cars. However, beyond the crash avoidance scenario will be more practical in areas with an abundance of highways. Areas with limited highways will require additional response measures. There are various scenarios which make the practicality go beyond the brakes and self-control. For instance, a wet road will make it impossible for the brakes; similarly, self-driving cars do not have the ability to detect smaller objects such as kittens, potholes, among others. These objects may likely result in equipment failure, in the form of deviations, sensor errors, and blowouts. Such situations and many other situations will definitely lead to the occurrence of an accident, which might not be avoidable (Shah, Dey, Lovett & Kapoor, 2018). The braking emergency, however much the robot car can be able to handle them, the errors might lead to unavoidable accidents. This, therefore, calls for what is known as crash- optimization, whereby, a course of action is chosen, which will most likely results in the least amount of harm. Thus implies that a choice needs to be made between two evils just like the first case above. Thus, the aspect of ethics comes into the light, and the business needs to comprehend it as well.Crash-optimization means targeting The optimization measures may result in creating a discriminative algorithm, which tends to choose one of the other. For instance; say that if the self-driving cars were more interested in protecting the occupants, it would wither hit the boy as he is a lighter object. Assume that the choice to be made was between two vehicles, it would instead opt to choose a Collison with a
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INFORMATION SYSTEM IN BUSINESS11 lighter vehicle rather than a heavy one. This strategy, in a sense, is ethically and legally better; however, it results in a discriminative action. The ethical basis in such a situation is that a choice has to be made which affects the presence of the other, no matter the strategy which is adopted. The manufactures thus need to factor the aspect of ethics and be aware of, hence the need for ethical knowledge (Talebpour & Mahmassani, 2016).Beyond harm There is also an ethical problem arising from similar scenarios with few distinct characterizes. Say, for instance, that an autonomous car is facing two motorists, one with a helmet and the other one without a helmet. The autonomous car is programmed to swerve into the one wearing a helmet as the chances of Collison impact may not be severe, and the motorist is likely to survive. Other people may argue that the motorist without a helmet is the one that the autonomous car ethically should swerve onto as he is probably irresponsible and did not take the appropriate driving precautions. This implies that a decision has to be made, which calls for cost algorithms which determine the anticipated costs in various probable options, choosing the one with fewer expenses. This is also an ethical issue, relating the damage to be incurred and needs that the businesses be aware of the ethical prospects (Trepagnier et al., 2013) Reflective statement on 'autonomous vehicles will be ubiquitous.' The article attempt to examine how the autonomous vehicles would be ubiquitous in the near future by first looking at how it has progressed from the infancy stage to where it is now. The article elaborately gives a stepwise explanation of the various reasons why we are heading to where the self-driving cars will be ubiquitous (Wilson & Scheutz, 2015). From my analysis, the author is keen to note that however, much time the implementation of the self-driving cars will take, the bottom line is that they will become indispensable and
INFORMATION SYSTEM IN BUSINESS12 ubiquitous. Further, the futurists extrapolate that by 2030, $87 billion worth of opportunities will be created for the developers and automakers, as reported by Boston lux research. I believe this will be possible, on the existing grounds of systems relying on the sensor-based technology, map information and as well as networking. It majorly banks on the drastic changes that have been brought as a result of technological advancements, the revolution in the manufacturing industries, the transformation in infrastructures, the safety dividend, the associated risks as well as the changing oil demands. From my point of view, the dream is so much achievable; however, it might take a longer time than the estimated. It also requires intervention from a global perspective for autonomous vehicles to become a reality, as there are many challenges which are associated with achieving the ubiquity.
INFORMATION SYSTEM IN BUSINESS13 Conclusion This research paper investigated one of the contentious issue that have been debated upon over a longer period: the trolley problem. As documented above, this is a problem, which raises ethical questions in the context of design of autonomous systems. Further, there exists a lot of theories and risks, which is surrounding the possibilities, and future of autonomous vehicles. These theories tends to answer the ethical concerns of safety, and intelligence of the self-driving cars. However, as can be seen, the trolley problem seems not to offer any reliable solution, as it relies on idealistic situations as opposed to practical events. By extension, with the trolley problem, the future of the autonomous cars seems to be oblique, and thus calls for other theories, which might take care of the ethical concerns.Thus, it is recommended that possible alternatives such as the theory of utilitarian, one line of code, Use of vehicle dynamics, and the Use of risk theory be adopted to address the ethical dilemma raised by the trolley problem. In addition, from my reflection above, it might take a longer time to achieve ubiquity with the autonomous vehicles. The reason is because it not only faces a variety of challenges but also needs a global intervention to become a reality.
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INFORMATION SYSTEM IN BUSINESS14 References Bonnefon, J.F., Shariff, A., and Rahwan, I., 2016. The social dilemma of autonomous vehicles. Science,352(6293), pp.1573-1576. Bruers, S., and Braeckman, J., 2014. A review and systematization of the trolley problem. Philosophia,42(2), pp.251-269. Cathcart, T., 2013.The Trolley Problem, or Would You Throw the Fat Guy Off the Bridge?: A Philosophical Conundrum. Workman Publishing. Di Nucci, E., 2013. Self-sacrifice and the trolley problem.Philosophical Psychology,26(5), pp.662-672. Edmonds, D., 2013.Would you kill the fat man?: The trolley problem and what your answer tells us about right and wrong. Princeton University Press. Fagnant, D.J., and Kockelman, K., 2015. Preparing a nation for autonomous vehicles: opportunities, barriers, and policy recommendations.Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice,77, pp.167-181. Fagnant, D.J., and Kockelman, K.M., 2014. The travel and environmental implications of shared autonomous vehicles, using agent-based model scenarios.Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies,40, pp.1-13. Frison, A.K., Wintersberger, P., and Riener, A., 2016, October. First-person trolley problem: Evaluation of drivers' ethical decisions in a driving simulator. InAdjunct proceedings of the 8th international conference on automotive user interfaces and interactive vehicular applications(pp. 117-122). ACM. Gerla, M., Lee, E.K., Pau, G., and Lee, U., 2014, March. Internet of vehicles: From intelligent grid to autonomous cars and vehicular clouds. In2014 IEEE world forum on the internet of things (WF-IoT)(pp. 241-246). IEEE. Goodall, N.J., 2016. Away from trolley problems and toward risk management.Applied Artificial Intelligence,30(8), pp.810-821. Greene, J., 2016. Solving the trolley problem.A companion to experimental philosophy, pp.175- 178. Holstein, T., and Dodig-Crnkovic, G., 2018, May. Avoiding the intrinsic unfairness of the trolley problem. In Proceedings of the International Workshop on Software Fairness (pp. 32-37). ACM Kamm, F.M., 2015.The trolley problem mysteries. Oxford University Press. Krueger, R., Rashidi, T.H., and Rose, J.M., 2016. Preferences for shared autonomous vehicles. Transportation research part C: emerging technologies,69, pp.343-355. Litman, T., 2015.Autonomous vehicle implementation predictions: Implications for transport planning(No. 15-3326). Menze, M., and Geiger, A., 2015. Object scene flow for autonomous vehicles. InProceedings of the IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition(pp. 3061-3070). Nyholm, S., and Smits, J., 2016. The ethics of accident-algorithms for self-driving cars: An applied trolley problem?.Ethical theory and moral practice,19(5), pp.1275-1289. Shah, S., Dey, D., Lovett, C., and Kapoor, A., 2018. Airs: High-fidelity visual and physical stimulation for autonomous vehicles. InField and service robotics(pp. 621-635). Springer, Cham. Talebpour, A., and Mahmassani, H.S., 2016. Influence of connected and autonomous vehicles on traffic flow stability and throughput.Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies,71, pp.143-163.
INFORMATION SYSTEM IN BUSINESS15 Trepagnier, P.G., Nagel, J.E., Kinney, P.M., Dooner, M.T., Wilson, B.M., Schneider Jr, C.R. and Goeller, K.B., Gray and Co Inc, 2013.Navigation and control system for autonomous vehicles. U.S. Patent 8,346,480. Wilson, J.R., and Scheutz, M., 2015, September. A model of empathy to shape trolley problem moral judgments. In2015 International Conference on Affective Computing and Intelligent Interaction (ASCII)(pp. 112-118). IEEE.