Stock Market Performance and Economic Growth

This assignment delves into the complex relationship between stock market performance and economic growth. It examines various factors influencing this connection, drawing upon academic research, real-world examples, and historical data. The analysis includes case studies of specific economies like China, Australia, and the Philippines to illustrate the interplay between stock markets and overall economic development. Additionally, it explores the impact of marketing spending, CEO ownership, and brand value on stock market performance.

Running head: INTERNATIONAL FINANCE
International Finance
Name of the Student:
Name of the University:
Author’s Note:

1INTERNATIONAL FINANCE
Table of Contents
Portfolio Details:........................................................................................................................2
Evaluation:.................................................................................................................................2
Requirement 1.a:....................................................................................................................2
Requirement 1.b:....................................................................................................................6
Requirement 2:.......................................................................................................................6
Requirement 3.a:....................................................................................................................8
Requirement 3.b:....................................................................................................................9
Requirement 3.c:..................................................................................................................10
Requirement 4.a:..................................................................................................................11
Requirement 4.b:..................................................................................................................12
Requirement 5.a:..................................................................................................................13
Requirement 5.b:..................................................................................................................14
Reference and Bibliography:....................................................................................................15

2INTERNATIONAL FINANCE
Portfolio Details:
Australia-based MNC
Name of the
Company Ticker Symbol
Amount of
Investment
Price per Share at
Purchase (17 Nov
2017)
Commonwealth Bank
of Australia CBA.AX A$10,000 80.92
AGL Energy Limited AGL.AX A$10,000 24.93
Foreign stocks (ADRs)
Name of the
Company Ticker Symbol
Amount of
Investment
Price per Share at
Purchase (17 Nov
2017)
CYBG Plc. CYB.AX A$10,000 5.43
Air New Zealand
Ltd. AGL.AX A$10,000 2.84
Evaluation:
Requirement 1.a:
WEEK 1 - 18/11/2017 to 24/11/2017
Name of the
Company
Stock Price at end
of the week
Percentage change
in stock price Primary Reason
Commonwealth Bank
of Australia 80.57 -0.43%
Share delcine in
broker down grade
AGL Energy Limited 23.9 -4.13% influenced by market
CYBG Plc. 5.5 1.29%
Changes influenced
by market
performance
Air New Zealand
Ltd. 2.9 2.11%
Air NZ wet-leases to
cover 787
maintenances
WEEK 2 - 25/11/2017 to 1/12/2017
Name of the
Company
Stock Price at end
of the week
Percentage change
in stock price Primary Reason

3INTERNATIONAL FINANCE
Commonwealth Bank
of Australia 79.17 -1.74%
Decline due to fall in
banking sector
AGL Energy Limited 25.22 5.52% influenced by market
CYBG Plc. 5.73 4.18%
Changes influenced
by market
performance
Air New Zealand
Ltd. 2.88 -0.69%
influenced by market
WEEK 3 - 2/12/2017 to 8/12/2017
Name of the
Company
Stock Price at end
of the week
Percentage change
in stock price Primary Reason
Commonwealth Bank
of Australia 79.62 0.57%
influenced by market
AGL Energy Limited 25.82 2.38% influenced by market
CYBG Plc. 5.76 0.52%
Changes influenced
by market
performance
Air New Zealand
Ltd. 2.95 2.43%
Air NZ to test google
translation tech
WEEK 4 - 9/12/2017 to 15/12/2017
Name of the
Company
Stock Price at end
of the week
Percentage change
in stock price Primary Reason
Commonwealth Bank
of Australia 79.94 0.40%
influenced by market
AGL Energy Limited 24.52 -5.03%
influenced by the
declining oil prices
CYBG Plc. 5.66 -1.74%
Changes influenced
by market
performance
Air New Zealand
Ltd. 3 1.69%
influenced by market
WEEK 5 - 16/12/2017 to 22/12/2017
Name of the
Company
Stock Price at end
of the week
Percentage change
in stock price Primary Reason

4INTERNATIONAL FINANCE
Commonwealth Bank
of Australia 80.39 0.56%
influenced by market
AGL Energy Limited 24.39 -0.53%
influenced by the
market
CYBG Plc. 5.8 2.47%
Changes influenced
by market
performance
Air New Zealand
Ltd. 2.93 -2.33%
Decline due to
increment in oil
prices
WEEK 6 - 23/12/2017 to 29/12/2017
Name of the
Company
Stock Price at end
of the week
Percentage change
in stock price Primary Reason
Commonwealth Bank
of Australia 80.34 -0.06%
Ausi banks blocking
bitcoin transfers
AGL Energy Limited 24.36 -0.12%
influenced by the
market
CYBG Plc. 5.79 -0.17%
Changes influenced
by market
performance
Air New Zealand
Ltd. 2.89 -1.37%
influenced by the
market
WEEK 7 - 30/12/2017 to 5/1/2018
Name of the
Company
Stock Price at end
of the week
Percentage change
in stock price Primary Reason
Commonwealth Bank
of Australia 81.16 1.02%
Increment due to
successful low cost
funding via tier
bonds
AGL Energy Limited 24.32 -0.16%
influenced by the
market
CYBG Plc. 5.64 -2.59%
Changes influenced
by market
performance
Air New Zealand
Ltd. 2.88 -0.35%
influenced by the
market
WEEK 8 - 6/1/2018 to 12/1/2018

5INTERNATIONAL FINANCE
Name of the
Company
Stock Price at end
of the week
Percentage change
in stock price Primary Reason
Commonwealth Bank
of Australia 80.88 -0.34%
influenced by the
market
AGL Energy Limited 24.25 -0.29%
influenced by the
market
CYBG Plc. 5.56 -1.42%
Changes influenced
by market
performance
Air New Zealand
Ltd. 2.76 -4.17%
influenced by the
market
WEEK 9 - 13/1/2018 to 19/1/2018
Name of the
Company
Stock Price at end
of the week
Percentage change
in stock price Primary Reason
Commonwealth Bank
of Australia 79.83 -1.30%
Rate rigging by the
bank
AGL Energy Limited 23.67 -2.39%
UBS downgrades of
two stock after their
30% surge in 2
months
CYBG Plc. 5.76 3.60%
Changes influenced
by market
performance
Air New Zealand
Ltd. 2.68 -2.90%
influenced by the
market
WEEK 10 - 20/1/2018 to 26/1/2018
Name of the
Company
Stock Price at end
of the week
Percentage change
in stock price Primary Reason
Commonwealth Bank
of Australia
78.65 -1.48% Rate rigging by the
bank
AGL Energy Limited
23.47 -0.84% influenced by the
market
CYBG Plc.
5.72 -0.69% Changes influenced
by market
performance
Air New Zealand
Ltd.
2.7 0.75% Air NZ to experiment
with translation tech

6INTERNATIONAL FINANCE
Requirement 1.b:
PORTFOLIO RETURN:
Name of the
Company
Ticker
Symbol
Opening
Value
Closin
g
Value
Opening
Portfolio
Value
Portfoli
o
Return
Closing
Portfolio
Value
Return
in %
Commonwealth
Bank of Australia CBA.AX $ 80.92 $ 78.65
$
10,000.00
($
280.52) $ 9,719.48 -2.81%
AGL Energy
Limited AGL.AX $ 24.93 $ 23.47
$
10,000.00
($
585.64) $ 9,414.36 -5.86%
CYBG Plc. CYB.AX $ 5.43 $ 5.72
$
10,000.00 $ 534.07
$
10,534.07 5.34%
Air New Zealand
Ltd. AGL.AX $ 2.84 $ 2.70
$
10,000.00
($
492.96) $ 9,507.04 -4.93%
TOTAL
$
40,000.00
($
825.05)
$
39,174.95 -8.25%
The above table mainly indicates the overall return that is provided by the created
portfolio. However, portfolio mainly provided a negative return of -8.25%, which is due to
the problems in selecting the overall stocks. On the other hand, other students mainly got the
overall return of 20.37% and 171.22%, which depicts effectiveness of the portfolio. The
diversified returns provided by the portfolio is mainly due to market conditions, which
influenced the return provided from investment.
Requirement 2:

7INTERNATIONAL FINANCE
Figure 1: Comparison between CBA and Australian market1
From the overall evaluation of the above figure it is detected that share price
movement of the company is mainly influenced by the market. The pattern of the share price
and Australian index are relatively same. However, the returns provided by the company is
relatively higher than the Australian index. Thus, it could be understood that the Australian
market drives the returns of the company
Figure 2: Comparison between AGL and Australian market2
The overall share price movement of AGL is relatively not synchronized with the
Australian market, which is adequately depicted in the above figure. In addition, the
companies share price is relatively volatile in comparison to the Australian index. Therefore,
it could be understood that share price movement of AGL is not influenced by the Australian
market.
1 CBA.AX Interactive Chart | CWLTH BANK FPO Stock – Yahoo Finance (2018)
Au.finance.yahoo.com <https://au.finance.yahoo.com/quote/CBA.AX/chart?p=CBA.AX=>
2 AGL.AX Interactive Chart | AGL ENERGY FPO Stock – Yahoo Finance (2018)
Au.finance.yahoo.com <https://au.finance.yahoo.com/quote/AGL.AX/chart?>

8INTERNATIONAL FINANCE
Requirement 3.a:
Figure 3: Comparison between AIZ and New Zealand index3
From the evaluation it could be understood that stock price pf AIZ is not influenced
by the New Zealand index. Hence, it is detected that increment in value of New Zealand
index is not complemented with the AIZ share price, instead the company share value are
falling. This directly indicates that the share price of AIZ is not driven by the New Zealand
index.
Figure 4: Comparison between CYB and UK index4
3 AIZ.AX Interactive Chart | AIR N.Z. FPO NZX Stock – Yahoo Finance (2018)
Au.finance.yahoo.com <https://au.finance.yahoo.com/quote/AIZ.AX/chart?p=AIZ.AX=>

9INTERNATIONAL FINANCE
The evaluation of above figure indicates the overall linkage between CYB and UK
index, where the company operates. There is no linkage between the UK index and CYB, as
share price value of CYB is relatively volatile in comparison to the FTSE 100. Thus, the
share price movement of CYB is not influenced by UK capital market.
Requirement 3.b:
Figure 5: Comparison between CYB and AIZ56
The negative correlation between CYB and AIZ is mainly detected from the overall
figure, where rising value of CYB was not complemented by AIZ share price. In addition,
when value of AIZ rose the value of CYB declined and vice versa. This directly indicates the
negative correlation between both the stocks.
4 CYB.AX Interactive Chart | CYBG PLC CDI 1:1 Stock – Yahoo Finance (2018)
Au.finance.yahoo.com <https://au.finance.yahoo.com/quote/CYB.AX/chart?p=CYB.AX=>
5 CYB.AX Interactive Chart | CYBG PLC CDI 1:1 Stock – Yahoo Finance (2018)
Au.finance.yahoo.com <https://au.finance.yahoo.com/quote/CYB.AX/chart?p=CYB.AX=>
6 AIZ.AX Interactive Chart | AIR N.Z. FPO NZX Stock – Yahoo Finance (2018)
Au.finance.yahoo.com <https://au.finance.yahoo.com/quote/AIZ.AX/chart?p=AIZ.AX=>

10INTERNATIONAL FINANCE
Requirement 3.c:
Figure 6: Comparison between CYB and Australian market7
Relevant comparison between the share value of CYB and Austrian market is also
conducted to identify, where the increment in derived by the Australian market. However, no
such indication is derived from the above figure, as the shar price of CYB is not influenced
by the Australian market.
Figure 6: Comparison between AIZ and Australian market8
7 AIZ.AX Interactive Chart | AIR N.Z. FPO NZX Stock – Yahoo Finance (2018)
Au.finance.yahoo.com <https://au.finance.yahoo.com/quote/AIZ.AX/chart?p=AIZ.AX=>

11INTERNATIONAL FINANCE
The share price value of AIZ has mainly declined, while increment in value of
Australian market can be seen. This indicates that share price of AIZ is not driven by the
ASX market.
Requirement 4.a:
Figure 7: Comparison between AUD and USD9
The operation of CBA in foreign are mainly conducted on USD, where the value of
USD against AUD mainly declined over the past trading day. On the other hand, the
company mainly provided fair return during the trading period, which indicates that currency
volatility influences share price of CBA.
8 AIZ.AX Interactive Chart | AIR N.Z. FPO NZX Stock – Yahoo Finance (2018)
Au.finance.yahoo.com <https://au.finance.yahoo.com/quote/AIZ.AX/chart?p=AIZ.AX=>
9 Historical Currency Converter | OANDA (2018) Oanda.com <https://www.oanda.com/fx-
for-business/historical-rates>

12INTERNATIONAL FINANCE
Requirement 4.b:
Figure 8: Comparison between AUD and USD10
The decline in value of USD in comparison to AUD has can be seen in the above
figure, whereas the performance of AGL has also declined indicating the involvement of
currency exchange. Hence, it could be understood that the currency volatility market
influences share price of the company.
Requirement 5.a:
10 Historical Currency Converter | OANDA (2018) Oanda.com <https://www.oanda.com/fx-
for-business/historical-rates>

13INTERNATIONAL FINANCE
Figure 9: Comparison between AUD and New Zealand Dollar11
The overall evaluation indicates that share price of AIZ is influenced by the currency
fluctuations in AUD and New Zealand dollar. The strengthening of AUD against New
Zealand dollar is weakening the overall performance of AIZ during the trading period.
Hence, it could be understood that the share price of AIZ is directly influenced by currency
market.
Requirement 5.b:
Figure 10: Comparison between AUD and GBP12
From the evaluation it could be understood that the no impact of currency volatility is
affecting the share price valuation of CYB. This is mainly since the company’s share price
rise during the trading period, while AUD strengthened against GBP. This indicates that no
11 Historical Currency Converter | OANDA (2018) Oanda.com <https://www.oanda.com/fx-
for-business/historical-rates>
12 Historical Currency Converter | OANDA (2018) Oanda.com <https://www.oanda.com/fx-
for-business/historical-rates>

14INTERNATIONAL FINANCE
intervention of the currency market can be seen, while evaluating the share price of the
organisation.

15INTERNATIONAL FINANCE
Reference and Bibliography:
AGL.AX Interactive Chart | AGL ENERGY FPO Stock – Yahoo Finance (2018)
Au.finance.yahoo.com <https://au.finance.yahoo.com/quote/AGL.AX/chart?>
AIZ.AX Interactive Chart | AIR N.Z. FPO NZX Stock – Yahoo Finance (2018)
Au.finance.yahoo.com <https://au.finance.yahoo.com/quote/AIZ.AX/chart?p=AIZ.AX=>
Allen, Franklin, et al. "Explaining the disconnection between China’s economic growth and
stock market performance." China International Conference in Finance, July. 2015.
CBA.AX Interactive Chart | CWLTH BANK FPO Stock – Yahoo Finance (2018)
Au.finance.yahoo.com <https://au.finance.yahoo.com/quote/CBA.AX/chart?p=CBA.AX=>
Currim, Imran S., Jooseop Lim, and Yu Zhang. "Effect of analysts’ earnings pressure on
marketing spending and stock market performance." Journal of the Academy of Marketing
Science (2017): 1-22.
CYB.AX Interactive Chart | CYBG PLC CDI 1:1 Stock – Yahoo Finance (2018)
Au.finance.yahoo.com <https://au.finance.yahoo.com/quote/CYB.AX/chart?p=CYB.AX=>
Dutta, Avijan, Gautam Bandopadhyay, and Suchismita Sengupta. "Prediction of stock
performance in indian stock market using logistic regression." International Journal of
Business and Information 7.1 (2015).
Frijters, Paul, et al. "A lifecycle perspective of stock market performance and
wellbeing." Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization 112 (2015): 237-250.
Historical Currency Converter | OANDA (2018) Oanda.com <https://www.oanda.com/fx-for-
business/historical-rates>

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LILIENFELD‐TOAL, ULF VON, and Stefan Ruenzi. "CEO ownership, stock market
performance, and managerial discretion." The Journal of Finance 69.3 (2014): 1013-1050.
Major Australia & NZ Indices - Yahoo7 Finance (2018) Au.finance.yahoo.com
https://au.finance.yahoo.com/world-indices
Raman, R. Venkata, V. R. Srinidhi, and A. S. Chandramouli. "Measuring Indian economic
progress: An analysis of national leadership through stock market performance." Indian
Journal of Finance 10.8 (2016): 11-23.
Sobrecarey, Jerome, Willam Sucuahi, and Adrian Tamayo. "Stock market performance and
the economic growth of the Philippines (1990-2011)." Singaporean Journal of Business,
Economics and Management Studies 51.2681 (2015): 1-10.
Talay, M. Berk, M. Billur Akdeniz, and Ahmet H. Kirca. "When do the stock market returns
to new product preannouncements predict product performance? Empirical evidence from the
US automotive industry." Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science 45.4 (2017): 513-
533.
Von Lilienfeld-Toal, Ulf, and Stefan Ruenzi. "CEO ownership, stock market performance,
and managerial discretion." Journal of finance 69.3 (2014): 1013-1050.
Voss, Kevin, and Mayoor Mohan. "Good times, bad times: the stock market performance of
firms that own high value brands." European Journal of Marketing 50.5/6 (2016): 670-694.

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