TABLE OF CONTENTS INTRODUCTION...........................................................................................................................1 Part A...............................................................................................................................................1 Part B...............................................................................................................................................2 CONCLUSION................................................................................................................................4 Appendix..........................................................................................................................................5 REFERENCES................................................................................................................................9
INTRODUCTION This report is prepared on investment and fund management in which investment is done in various investment avenues. Recently, an individual earns a lottery in which he receive £1 million amount. In order to earn good return he wants to create a portfolio. Portfolio is a basket of investments in which entire corpus is invested. As per discretion of an individual, investment is made in 6 different instruments. Companies in which investment will be made Associated British foods Berkeley group holdings Barratt developments Intercontinental hotel Intercontinental consolidated airline Sage group Morrison Admiral group Inmarrat group Mark & Spencer group Part A Investor is risk averse and to minimize a risk it is decided to prepare a diversified portfolio. In respect to this it is decided that corpus will be divided among six investment avenues namely liquidity funds, fixed deposits, equity real estate, commodity (gold) and shares that are listed in other countries stock exchanges. As mentioned in the case study that investor is risk averse and he wants return which increase according to increase in inflation rate. Hence, it is decided that majority of amount will be invested in shares and remaining corpus amount will be invested in other investment domains. Shares is a instrument that has capability to give inflation adjusted return (Jorion, 2007). It is a instrument that give high return if higher risk is taken. Thus, share is a prominent instrument which we think will help an individual in achievement of target return. 1
Part B As per mentioned in question file investment is made in following domains.Liquidity-Seven percent of total corpus is invested in liquidity funds. As mentioned in question file that investor is risk averse and by keeping his profile in mind liquidity funds are taken in portfolio. Return on liquid funds is very low and from last two years its return is declining steadily. Due to this reason, proportion of this fund in portfolio is just 7%. On the basis of past four years return on this instrument is anticipated as 0.04%. Hence, due to low return and risk averse investment behavior of investor this instrument is taken in portfolio and its proportion in same is taken as 7%.Fixed interest– Proportion of fixed interest in the portfolio is 23.75% and such a large proportion to this instrument is given because investment in this security is safe. Returns on this sort of deposit are also not affected market fluctuations like we see in case of shares and bonds. In order to protect substantial portion of invested corpus in a safe zone 23.75% of corpus is invested in fixed deposits. Prices of stocks and commodity are fluctuating very quickly when any data is released (UK bank interest rates. 2015). Due to fluctuation turmoil happens in market and investors lose their money. But in case of fixed deposits situation of turmoil does not comes in existence. Even Bank of England makes changes in its interest rate structure then also return on fixed deposit will not changed. Hence, by considering investor investment nature 23.75% of corpus is invested in fixed deposits.Equity-This instrument has only 24.02% share in entire portfolio. Good returns cannot be earned merely by making investment in debt securities. Hence, investment is made in shares. By considering investor investment behavior investment is made only on those sector companies which will heavily benefit from growth of UK. Returns and beta values as well as sector to which they belong is considered while allotting them weight agein an amount that is allocated for investment in equity. In this way an attempt is made for maximizing profitability of investor.Real estate-Investment in real estate is made because values of real estate increase by 11% on year on year basis (London rents map,2015). This trend is expected to continue because UK GDP is growing and its PMI is above 50 at the level of 55. On other hand, its unemployment rate also decline substantially with increase in wage rate. This increase 2
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income level of savings and expenditure capability of the people of UK. Due to this reason demand for real estate increased. Growth rate of 10% is anticipated in case of this investment avenue. Due to very much strong positive outlook, its share in portfolio is kept at 25.02%.Commodities-In commodities investment is made in gold. In past 7-8 months prices of yellow metal is fluctuating and sharp downside is observed in this metal. Fall of stock indices does not cushion price of gold in international market (Live data gold.2015). Hence, proportion of this commodity in portfolio is just 9.22%. It is expected that in case of positive movement in its prices a sharp uptrend can be seen as seen in past one year. Due to this reason, proportion of yellow metal is selected in portfolio but its proportion is kept very low in the portfolio. Overseas– In case of overseas investment is made in Indian companies that are fundamentally very strong. Investment is made in India because nation is growing continuouslyandreformsareimplementedveryquicklybynewgovernment.FII sentiments about investment in the mentioned nation are also positive for long term (Mindtree. 2015). Cipla recently acquire two companies and it has strong presence in USA which is largest market for pharmacy companies in terms of sales. Technology or IT sector of India is very strong and Mindtree is known for its low cost services and its share also performs well in entire fiscal year. HDFC and Lupin are giant companies in relevant sectors and their fundamentals are very strong (Lupin.2015). Hence, these four companies are selected for overseas investment. Table1: Portfolio performance AmountIncomeCapital gain Liquidity7000070280280 Fixed interest23754223757836 Equity24020230126861066 Real estate2501862540243838 Commodities (Gold)9218510785715672 Overseas (Stock market)10988513109221207 Results10000001102099102099 3
CONCLUSION On portfolio as per requirement return of £ 1,00,000 is earned and it is recommended to strictly comply with this portfolio while making investment of one year. 4
REFERENCES Jorion, P., 2007.Value at risk: the new benchmark for managing financial risk. New York: McGraw-Hill. Live data gold.2015. [Online].Available through: < http://info.sharpspixley.com/data/gold/>. [Accessed on7thNovember 2015]. Londonrentsmap.2015.[Online].Availablethrough:< https://www.london.gov.uk/priorities/housing-land/renting-home/rents-map>. [Accessed on7thNovember 2015]. Lupin.2015.[Online].Availablethrough: <http://markets.ft.com/research/Markets/Tearsheets/Summary?s=LUPIN:NSI>. [Accessed on7thNovember 2015]. Mindtree.2015.[Online].Availablethrough:< http://markets.ft.com/research/Markets/Tearsheets/Summary?s=MINDTREE:NSI>. [Accessed on7thNovember 2015]. UK bank interest rates.2015. [Online].Available through: < uk.deposits.org>. [Accessed on7th November 2015]. 5
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Appendix Initial investment1000000 Proportion to II Real estate25018625.02% Equity24020224.02% Liquidity700007.00% Fixed interest23754223.75% Commodities (Gold)921859.22% Overseas (Stock market)10988510.99% Total1000000100.00% S.NOCompaniesPrice Return (%) y-o-yBetaIndustry 1 Associated british foods (ABF)348224.00%0.88Tourism 2Admiral group (ADM)163328.00%0.78Car insurance 3Barclay group (BKG)314840.00%0.71Home construnction 4 Barratt development (BDEV)58441.00%1.51Home construnction 5 Intercontinental hotels (IHG)261210.00%1.04Tourism 6 International consolidated airlines (IAG)58041.00%0.49Airlines 7Sage group (SGE)54543.00%1.04 Buisness support softwares 8Mark & Spencer (MKS)54032.00%0.92Retailer 9Inmarsat (ISAT)97344.00%0.49 Mobile settelite cmuunication 6
10Morrison (MRW)16716.00%0.37Retailer CompaniesPriceStocks Total investment Expected returnWeight International consolidated airlines (IAG)580201160020.12%4.83% Barclay group (BKG)3148206296028.41%26.21% Admiral group (ADM)1633152449521.85%10.20% Morrison (MRW)1672033405.95%1.39% Associated british foods (ABF)3482155223021.13%21.74% Intercontinental hotels (IHG)2612102612010.40%10.87% Barratt development (BDEV)584201168061.88%4.86% Sage group (SGE)545251362544.72%5.67% Mark & Spencer (MKS)540201080029.44%4.50% Inmarsat (ISAT)973242335221.59%9.72% Total investment240202100.00% CompaniesPrice Expecte d returnStocks Expecte d price Capita l gain Total value at end Total capital gain International consolidated airlines (IAG)58020.12%20697116.6713933.402333 Barclay group (BKG)314828.41%204042894.4980849.7717890 Admiral group (ADM)163321.85%151990356.8329847.405352 Morrison (MRW)1675.95%201779.943538.78199 Associated british foods (ABF)348221.13%154218735.6163264.1111034 7
Intercontinental hotels (IHG)261210.40%102884271.6028835.962716 Barratt development (BDEV)58461.88%20945361.4118908.117228 Sage group (SGE)54544.72%25789243.7119717.836093 Mark & Spencer (MKS)54029.44%20699159.0013979.953180 Inmarsat (ISAT)97321.59%241183210.0328392.655041 Total capital gain 61065.952 21 New value 301267.95 221 Overseas (Shares) S.NOCompaniesPrice Return (%) y-o-yBetaIndustry 1Cipla (CIPLA)6580.15%0.52Pharmaceutical 2Mindree(MINDTREE)149838.11%0.74IT 3HDFC(HDFC BANK)108018.48%1.11Bank 4Lupin(LUPIN)185734.24%0.24Pharmaceutical Overseas (Shares) CompaniesPriceStocks Total investment Expected returnWeight Cipla (CIPLA)658250016450003.49%15.06% Lupin(LUPIN)18571600297120013.61%27.19% Mindree(MINDTREE)14982600389480030.05%35.65% HDFC(HDFC BANK)10802236241488019.73%22.10% Total investment10925880100.00% 8
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CompaniesPrice Expecte d returnStocks Expecte d price Capita l gain Total value at end Total capital gain Cipla (CIPLA)6583.49%2500681 22.937 881702345 57344.699 9999999 Lupin(LUPIN)185713.61%16002110 252.80 45523375687 404487.28 32 Mindree (MINDTREE)149830.05%26001948 450.11 00525065086 1170286.1 352 HDFC(HDFC BANK)108019.73%22361293 213.10 3442891379 476499.29 184 Total capital gain 2108617.4 1024 New value 13034497. 41024 S.NOLiquid fund1234 CAG RValue at end Capi tal gain 1 Premier UK money market fund0.50.80.20.10.470280280 S.NORentAreaCAGRCMPForecast price Total benef itCapital gain 1299Soth wark 10.00%2501 86 2504362540 24.18 3838.186 9