Macroeconomics: Unemployment and Equilibrium Output
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This article covers topics such as the Okun relation, planned aggregate expenditure, equilibrium output, demand and supply of cars, and government budget surplus in macroeconomics. It also discusses the effects of trade policies on domestic consumers and producers.
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Running Head: MACROECONOMICS Macroeconomics Name of the Student Name of the University Student ID Course ID
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2MACROECONOMICS Question 1 YearActual Unemployment Rate (%) Natural Unemployment Rate (%) Potential GDP Real GDP 20016580007872 20025581008100 200344.582008266 20044582508382 The relation between unemployment gap and output gap as proposed by Okun is obtained as(Ball, Jalles and Loungani 2015) PotentialGDP−RealGDP PotentialGDP×100=β(actualunemployment−naturalrateofunemployment) The value ofβ is given as 1.6. For given β value and Okun relation figures for different years is obtained as 2001 Natural rate of unemployment = 5%, Potential GDP = 8000 Real GDP = 7872 Putting the given values in Okun relation, actual unemployment is obtained as PotentialGDP−RealGDP PotentialGDP×100=β(actualunemployment−naturalrateofunemployment) ¿,8000−7872 8000×100=1.6(actualunemployment−5) ¿,128 8000×100=1.6(actualunemployment−5) ¿,1.6=1.6(actualunemployment−5) ¿,1=actualunemployment−5 ¿,actualunemployment=5+1
3MACROECONOMICS ¿,actualunemployment=6 2002 In 2002, as real GDP equals potential GDP, natural unemployment rate should be equal to actual unemployment. Therefore,natural unemployment rate = 5%. 2003 Given, Actual Unemployment Rate = 4% Natural Unemployment Rate = 4.5% Real GDP = 8266 As actual unemployment rate is less than natural unemployment rate, real GDP should be greater than potential GDP. PotentialGDP−RealGDP PotentialGDP×100=β(actualunemployment−naturalrateofunemployment) ¿,PotentialGDP−8266 PotentialGDP×100=1.6(4−4.5) ¿,PotentialGDP−8266 PotentialGDP×100=−0.8 ¿,PotentialGDP−8266 PotentialGDP=−0.008 ¿,1.008×PotentialGDP=8266 ¿,PotentialGDP=8200 2004 Actual Unemployment Rate = 4% Natural Unemployment Rate = 4.5% Potential GDP = 8250
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4MACROECONOMICS Potential−RealGDP PotentialGDP×100=β(actualunemployment−naturalrateofunemployment) ¿,8250−RealGDP 8250×100=1.6(4−5) ¿,8250−RealGDP 8250×100=−1.6 ¿,8250−RealGDP 8250=−0.016 ¿,8250−RealGDP=−132 ¿,RealGDP=8250+132 ¿,RealGDP=8382 Question 2 Question a Planned aggregate expenditure is the sum of expenditures incurred in various purposes. Various components of planned expenditures include consumption, investment, government expenditure and net export. Given that, Cd=14400+0.5(Y-T)-40000r Ip=8000-20000r G=7800 NX=1800 T=8000 PlannedAggreagteExpenditure(PAE)=Consumption(C)+Investtent(I)+Governnmentexpenditure(G)+NetExpo
5MACROECONOMICS ¿14400+0.5(Y−T)−40000r+8000−20000r+7800+1800 ¿14400+0.5(Y−8000)−40000r+8000−20000r+7800+1800 ¿14400+0.5Y−4000−40000r+8000−20000r+7800+1800 ¿28000+0.5Y−60000r Question b The equilibrium output is obtained where actual expenditure equals planned aggregate expenditure (Y). The real interest rate is given as 0.133. From the equilibrium condition, the short run equilibrium output is Y=PAE ¿,Y=28000+0.5Y−60000r ¿,Y=28000+0.5Y−(60000×0133) ¿,Y−0.5Y=28000−7980 ¿,0.5Y=20020 ¿,Y=20020 0.5 ¿,Y=40040 Output corresponding to short run equilibrium is 40040. Question c Potential output (Y*) is given as 40,000. To find out real interest rate corresponding to potential output, equilibrium condition needs to be checked at potential level of output. Y∗¿PAE ¿,40000=28000+0.5Y−60000r ¿,40000=28000+(0.5×40000)−60000r ¿,40000=28000+20000−60000r
6MACROECONOMICS ¿,60000r=28000+20000−40000 ¿,60000r=8000∨,r=8000 60000 ¿,r=0.1333 Reserve bank should set a real interest rate of 0.1333 in order to bring the economy to full employment. Question 3 Question a Demand for car in the country is given as D=12000−200P Supply of domestic car production is S=7000+50P Equilibrium price and output is obtained where demand in the country matches with domestic car production. Demand=Supply ¿,12000−200P=7000+50P ¿,200P+50P=12000−7000 ¿,250P=5000 ¿,P=5000 250 ¿,P=20 At equilibrium price of 20, production of car is obtained from the supply function S=7000+50P ¿7000+(50×20)
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7MACROECONOMICS ¿7000+1000 ¿8000 Question b World price of car is 18. World price of car is lower than domestic price. At world price domestic demand is obtained as D=12000−200P ¿12000−(200×18) ¿12000−3600 ¿8400 At the world price, domestic supply is S=7000+50P ¿7000+(50×18) ¿7000+900 ¿7900 Corresponding to world price, domestic demand for car is 8400 units while domestic supply is 7900. The difference between domestic demand and domestic supply is imported. Importquantity=8400−7900 ¿500 After trade, domestic consumer benefits from lower price. Domestic producers suffer from lower profit because of a lower price. Domestic producers face an increased competition after opening to trade (Feenstra 2015). Domestic consumers therefore favors trade while domestic consumers oppose this. Question c
8MACROECONOMICS Government imposes a tariff of one unit per car. World price of car is 18. Therefore, after tariff price increases to (18+1) = 19 unit. After tariff, demand for cars in the domestic market is Demand=12000−200P ¿12000−(200×19) ¿12000−3800 ¿8200 Production of cars in the domestic market is Supply=7000+50P ¿7000+(50×19) ¿7000+950 ¿7950 After tariff, following a high demand of car reduces to 8400 to 8200 while domestic production increases to 7950 from 7900. Quantity of import after imposition of tariff reduces to (7950-8200) =250 units from 500 units under free trade situation.The reduced demand for import increases demand for domestic cars benefitting the domestic producers. Domestic producers therefore favor tariff while domestic consumers oppose it. Question 4 Question a PrivateSaving=HousholdSaving+BusinessSaving ¿20+40 ¿60 PublicSaving=Tax−(Governmentpurchase+Governmenttransfer∧interestpayment) ¿Tax−Governmentpurchase−Governmenttransfer∧interestpayment
10MACROECONOMICS References Ball, L., Jalles, J.T. and Loungani, P., 2015. Do forecasters believe in Okun’s Law? An assessment of unemployment and output forecasts.International Journal of Forecasting,31(1), pp.176-184. Feenstra, R.C., 2015.Advanced international trade: theory and evidence. Princeton university press.