1 Macroeconomics Table of Contents Assignment 1...................................................................................................................................2 Assignment 2.................................................................................................................................11
2 Macroeconomics Assignment 1 Question 1: Meaning of the LM curve and the describing the factors that is impacting on the positive slope of the LM curve The term LM curve is standing as the liquidity money. The main responsibility of the LM curve is to bring the equilibrium in the money market. Through the incorporation of the LM curve, the economy will be able to bring in the equilibrium in the rate of interests and the demand of money by the consumers. In other words, the demand for the money in every customer depends entirely on the income of the customer, as income will determine the amount of the money the consumer is willing to spend (Büntgen et al.2016).On the other hand, the slope and the curvature of the LM curve also depends on the rate of interests as the LM curve also highlights the opportunity costs that the customer is losing instead of investing the money. The LM curve is always positively sloped in nature as the demand of the money is directly proportional with the income of the customers. The equation of the LM curve is L=kY- hI. In the above equation, the L = demand for real money. Both the k and h are the sensitive components and both of these variables are >zero. K is the sensitive component of income and h is the sensitive component of interest rate. Y is the rate of income and I is the interest rate that is prevailing in the economy. Some of the factors can be identified as the mitigating factor for the development of steepness of the LM curve. One of the major factors for the development of steepness or flatness of the LM curve is the elasticity or inelasticity of demand of money. If the demand for money is highly interest inelastic in nature then the LM curve will be steep and if the demand is interest elastic in nature, then the LM curve will be flatter.
3 Macroeconomics Question 2: Using the IS-LM curve, determine the effects on the equilibrium level of income (output) and the interest rate of an increase in the money supply Figure 1: Effects on the equilibrium level on the IS-LM curve (Source: Created by Author) In the above diagram, the increase in the money supply within the economy will automatically shift the Lm curve towards right. The immediate effect of this increased amount of the money supply in the economy of Canada will bring the interest rate down.The immediate effect that the low interest rate will be bringing in the economy is that it will definitely increase the demand of the loans that the business units will be taking so that they can invest (Blauveltet al.2017). The immediate effect of the low interests’ rate is that the consumers will not stock the money rather they will spend the money on the investments. Through the increased amount of the level of the investment, the economy of Canada will grow by heavy margin.
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4 Macroeconomics Income and interest rates are going in the opposite directions. This is important in the sense that if the income is increasing then the consumers will be willing to invest the money in any kind of business. This is because with the increase in the income of the customers, the demand of the money will increase and that is going to increase the spending of the customers. On the other hand, if the interest rate is increasing then the loan making ability of liquid money will be erased. This will have deep impact on the growth of the economy of Canada, as the investment in the economy will fall by huge margin.The horizontal axis is measuring income and vertical axis is measuring interest rate. Now with the increase in the money supply will definitely allow the LM curve to shift towards right. Due to this the interest rate is falling that will lead to more and more level of investment within the economy. The income will shift from Y1 to Y2 and the interest rate is falling from I1 to I2. Question 3: How is theLMcurve altered by introducing international trade? How is it altered under fixed exchange rates? How is it altered under flexible exchange rates? What is the effect on theLMcurve of an increase in foreign exchange reserves? Any alteration in the international trade will obviously bring in changes in the exchange rate that is going to make an impact on the LM curve. Previously before the formation the BRICS country (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) and before the launch of these countries the exchange rate was showing huge debacles.
5 Macroeconomics Figure 2: Exchange rate of the US to India currency (Source:Corporate Finance Institute, 2019) The above diagram, is showing the monthly exchange rate of the US and India. Before the development of the Brics the Indian exchange rate was about Rs 48 per dollar and with the formation of the BRICS the exchange rate was about Rs 45 per dollar. This will definitely make an impact on the shift of the LM curve. This is important in the sense that through the impact on the shift of the interest rate, the exchange rate will be looking for the development in the above LM curve. Considering the flexible exchange rate, the effect on the LM curve is clearly getting reflected in the movement of the curves. Under flexible or volatile exchange rate if the domestic rate of interest lies above the world interest rate then the foreigners will be willing to invest in the domestic country. Due to increased inflow of capital to the home country will force the home country to depreciate the rate of interest back to the previous position. On the other hand, the outflow of the money will bring the equilibrium back to the normal position. The Mundel- flaming model in case of the open economy is like Y = C(Y – T) + I(r*) + G + NX(e). In the given equation the level of the investment is depending on the interest rate that is prevailing in
6 Macroeconomics the economy. The alteration of LM curve will be depending on the development of the exchange rate and the economy is actually responding to the situation. However, the situation is quite different in case of the fixed exchange rate. Under these circumstances, the development of trade will not be a factor. This is because, the shift in the LM curve will not be a factor in the sense that it will not have any impact on the shift in the LM curve. Question4:DefinetheMarshall-Lernercondition.Whatarethelikelyeffectsof devaluation on a small country that purchases imports in a large world market and sells its exports in such a market? TheMarshall-Learnerconditionissuchaconditionthatdefinesthatthroughthe devaluation of the currency, the improvement in the balance of trade if the sum of demand elasticity of both imports and exports is greater than one. This condition highlights the impact of thedevelopmentoftheinternationaltradethatwilldefinitelyincreasethelevelofthe innovations. It is important for international trade to deal with demand elasticity of both imports and exports that will easily indulge the development of trading. The scenario is quite explanatory and through the devaluation of the currency the effects on the trade is quite possible. In the given case study, a small country is making trade with a big country and is indulging in both imports and exports. Now the small country will be looking to increase the trading with the big country by making their products cheaper in the international market. Through the devaluation of the currency of the small country will make their currency against the big country currency cheaper and that will easily boost up the trade balance. This is important for the small country to improve the development of trading and commerce that will
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7 Macroeconomics definitely allow them to increase the revenue as well as the foreign reserve of the country. Through the devaluation of the currency in the small country, the price of the products will be cheap in the international markets. This will allow the small country to deal with better resource allocations that will allow better development in the trading with the big country. Question 5: Explain the J-curve phenomenon. Consider an economy with a fixed exchange rate with a fixed price level. What is the effect of depreciation on equilibrium income and trade balance after the first six months of depreciation? The J curve is one of the curves that are showing the fact that in the initial phase the points plotted in the graph will fall and points that have been plotted in the graph will increase as more points are being plotted. Figure 2: J curve phenomenon (Source:Corporate Finance Institute, 2019) The above figure is showing the fact that net cash portfolio is gaining an upward trend over the years as the cash outflow and cash inflow variable has been put over many years. The given
8 Macroeconomics curve will be taking shape of the J curve that will allow the increase in the allotted points in an increased manner after a certain point of time. Africa is one of the countries that is having fixed exchange rate. This is because of the fact that due to the lack of the developmentwithin the economy,government is not allowingthe increase or decrease of the international and business organizations are not at all investing in the African economies. In the modern business world, the impact or the consequence of depreciation is having strong impact on the development of the business. In order to identify the effect of the depreciation it is important to identify the effect of depreciation on the country having fixed exchange rate. After having six months of depreciation, the equilibrium income will definitely going to fall for the country like Africa that is having fixed exchange rate. On the other hand, through the fixed rate of exchange rate the country will be facing problem in doing the required amount of trade.The decreasing amount of trade balance will be affecting the country like Africa significantly and this will make investment in long run slow in nature. The decreased number of trade balance will have an impact on the current account and capital account balance.Through the improvement in the industry, and investment the capital account balance will bring better level of growth in GDP. In order to highlight the importance in the financial market, the development of fixed exchange rates will be beneficial for the better resources capitalization.
9 Macroeconomics Question 6: The uncovered interest rate parity or UIP is the theory that claims that difference of the interest rates among two countries will be equal to the relative changes in the foreign exchange rate of currency in the same period.Forward exchange rate is determined by a steady relationship among the spot exchange rate and nominal exchange rate. Question 7: Define the real exchange rate. Suppose that the cost of the market basket in Canada is PCA= $190 Real Exchange rate or REE is the relative price of trade that happens because ofUK and USA. The real interest rate is going to highlight the peg of interest rate that will develop the international trades and commerce. Through the development of the real exchange, rate the trade and commerce that will develop the incorporation of the trade and commerce that will allow the development. Cost of market basket in the Canada is Pc =$190
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10 Macroeconomics Question 8: Z=C+I+G+ (X–Q) C= 120 + 0.80(Y–T) I= 210 G= 500 X= 300 T= 50 + 0.25Y Q= 30 + 0.1Y whereYis the domestic income a)The above equation can be solved in the following way. Putting the value will be focusing in the above equation will give the following solutions Z= 120+0.80(Y-T) +120+500+ (300-30-0.1Y) Z= 120+ 0.80(Y-50-0.25Y)+120+500+(300-30-0.1Y) Z= 120+ 0.80(0.75Y-50)+ 120+ 500+ (270-0.1Y) Z= 120+ 0.6Y-40+ 120+500+270-0.1Y Z= 970+0.6Y-0.1Y Z= 970+0.5Y
11 Macroeconomics Figure 3: Keynesian Cross diagram (Source: Created by Author) b)The equilibrium level of the income is 1940 c)The amount of taxes will be 535 and the government is in surplus by 35 d)The level of the net exports is 76.
12 Macroeconomics Assignment 2 1)Natural rate of unemployment The natural rate of unemployment is the rate of the unemployment that actually determines the rate of the unemployment that will be prevailing in the economy apart from the cycle of the unemployment that is prevailing in the economy. The economy is not at all concerned about the natural rate of unemployment. The wage equation is W=PeF(U,Z). The price level Pe is the expected price level that is determining the nominal wage. The factor U is the unemployment rate that is inversely related with wage. The labour production function is Y=AN. The output is Y. A is the labour productivity and N is the rate of unemployment. P = (1+m)W m= mark-up of price over cost (equal to 0 in perfectly competitive markets) in this simplified situation, labor considered to be only factor of production wage-setting relation- W/P = F(u,z) price-setting relation- W/P = 1 / (1+m)
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13 Macroeconomics Figure 4: Natural rate of unemployment due to price and wage setting (Source: Created by author)
14 Macroeconomics Question 2: shape of the aggregate supply (AS) Shape of the AS curve When the nominal price and the wage is flexible and are competitively determined then it will be giving an upward sloping AS curve. This is because of the fact that through the flexibility in the level of the price through the incorporation of the perfectly competitive markets that will definitely increase the demand of the income of the employees. Figure 5: AS curve due to flexible wage and price (Source: Created by Author)
15 Macroeconomics ii) Down ward rigid of nominal wage Figure 6: Shift in the AS curve If the nominal wage is downward rigid in the sense that the labour production ability will not be valued any more. The downward trend of the nominal wage is going to highlight the development of more demand of money and the income will not increase upto that point of time. Through the innovation of the nominal price, the demand of the labor will be depending. b) if the AS curve is more or less elastic then the development of AS curve will be mainly looking for the development of the elastic supply curve. On the other hand, through the development of elastic demand, the supply curve will be increasing.
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16 Macroeconomics Question 3: derivation of AD in IS LM model Figure 7: derivation of the AD in IS-LM model (Source: Created by Author) (a) Suppose the nominal money supply is constant and this will automatically make the price level P to rise the supply of real money balance will fall. This will make the LM curve to shift upward. Price level is increasing from P0 to P1 and the income level will fall from Yo to Y1.In order to determine the aggregate demand from the intersection of IS-Lm curve, the equilibrium plays a big role. Now if the price of the goods are increased then the LM curve will shift towards left and income will fall Y1. Again if the price of the goods fall increase in demand will shift the LM curve down making the income to shift at Y2. Joining the newly developed equilibrium point will give downward sloping demand curve. The reason behind the negative or downward sloping of the AD curve is with the increase in price the quantity demanded of any goods are definitely going to decrease.
18 Macroeconomics Question 4: Effect in AD 1.an increase in immigrant labor due to war in Syria under flexible exchange rates with downwardly rigid wages and prices will allow the economy to indulge will allow the shift in the AD in the rightward direction. This will allow the incorporation of less demand of the employees by the companies.Downward rigid wage and price are going to be one of the unavoidable situations in the whole world. The situation is compared more or less with the sticky wage situation. Now in the given scenario since due to war, the number of immigrant labor have increased by huge margin. `This will bring huge pressure on the supply of labors in the economy. There will be increased level of involuntary unemployment. This kind of scenario mainly arises due to the fact that there is excess supply of labor force compared to the demand of the labor. The wage and price will not increase as both of them will be having sticky like situations. The real wage will tend to be decreasing nature and so does the standard of living. Those people who are being unemployed will be willing to work but will not be getting jobs as per their skillset and requirements. It will be beneficial for them to work in low wage compared to being unemployed. 2.Competitive price of wage will also not improve the situation because of the fact that it will not allow the company to demand labor.Under given scenario, the competitive wage will not be able to improve the situation because of the fact that competitive price and wage will be determined only with the interaction of demand and supply. However, thecompetitivepricesettingwilldependentirelyonthedevelopmentofmarket
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19 Macroeconomics equilibrium based on the invisible hand of the economy. However, the competition will be fair one if the equilibrium is having within the economy. Question 5: Consider the Phillips curve πt = πt-1 – 0.5(ut – 0.03) I)The natural rate of unemployment is basically the rate of unemployment that actually prevails in the economy. Figure 8: Short and long run relationship among unemployment rate & inflation rate (Source: Created by author) b) Phillips Curve is πt = πt-1 – 0.5(ut – 0.03) πt- πt-1= 0.05(ut-0.03) or 5= 0.5ut-0.15 or 5.15=0.5ut or ut= 5.15/0.5 = 10.3.
20 Macroeconomics It is required to have unemployment of 10.3 to reduce the inflation rate of 5%. Now in order to calculate the sacrifice ratio, the incorporation of Okun’s law is important Now 1% of unemployment =2% loss in loss in GDP. Now from the given data, the loss in GDP us 20.6. The sacrifice ratio is 20.6/5 and the sacrifice ratio is 4.12. c) Flexible exchange rate does not allow the country to pick up unemployment inflation trade off. This is because the fact that inflation rate to some extent depends in economy and monetary controls of government.Now unemployment rate is going to have deep impact on the economic activities in the presence of flexible exchange rate. The Philips curve is showing the relationship among the inflation rate and the unemployment rate. The long run Philips curve is vertical and is fixed in nature. Now flexible exchange rate is something that changes with change in the rate of inflation.
21 Macroeconomics Reference list Blauvelt, A., de Bruin-Weller, M., Gooderham, M., Cather, J.C., Weisman, J., Pariser, D., Simpson,E.L.,Papp,K.A.,Hong,H.C.H.,Rubel,D.andFoley,P.,2017.Long-term management of moderate-to-severe atopic dermatitis with dupilumab and concomitant topical corticosteroids (LIBERTY AD CHRONOS): a 1-year, randomised, double-blinded, placebo- controlled, phase 3 trial.The Lancet,389(10086), pp.2287-2303. Büntgen, U., Myglan, V.S., Ljungqvist, F.C., McCormick,M., Di Cosmo, N., Sigl, M., Jungclaus, J., Wagner, S., Krusic, P.J., Esper, J. and Kaplan, J.O., 2016. Cooling and societal changeduringtheLateAntiqueLittleIceAgefrom536toaround660AD.Nature Geoscience,9(3), p.231. Corporate Finance Institute. (2019).J Curve - Understanding How J Curve Works in PE and Economics.[online]Availableat: https://corporatefinanceinstitute.com/resources/knowledge/economics/j-curve/ [Accessed 5 Apr. 2019]. Economics Discussion. (2015).Derivation of Aggregate Demand Curve (With Diagram) | IS-LM Model. [online] Available at: http://www.economicsdiscussion.net/demand/aggregate-demand- curve/derivation-of-aggregate-demand-curve-with-diagram-is-lm-model/15826 [Accessed 5 Apr. 2019]. Economics Discussion. (2015).Nominal and Real Exchange Rates of an Open Economy (With Formula). [online] Available at: http://www.economicsdiscussion.net/exchange-rate/nominal- and-real-exchange-rates-of-an-open-economy-with-formula/15490 [Accessed 5 Apr. 2019].
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22 Macroeconomics Hong, S., Beja-Glasser, V.F., Nfonoyim, B.M., Frouin, A., Li, S., Ramakrishnan, S., Merry, K.M., Shi, Q., Rosenthal, A., Barres, B.A. and Lemere, C.A., 2016. Complement and microglia mediate early synapse loss in Alzheimer mouse models.Science,352(6286), pp.712-716. Paller, A.S., Tom, W.L., Lebwohl, M.G., Blumenthal, R.L., Boguniewicz, M., Call, R.S., Eichenfield, L.F., Forsha, D.W., Rees, W.C., Simpson, E.L. and Spellman, M.C., 2016. Efficacy and safety of crisaborole ointment, a novel, nonsteroidal phosphodiesterase 4 (PDE4) inhibitor for the topical treatment of atopic dermatitis (AD) in children and adults.Journal of the American Academy of Dermatology,75(3), pp.494-503. Winblad, B., Amouyel, P., Andrieu, S., Ballard, C., Brayne, C., Brodaty, H., Cedazo-Minguez, A., Dubois, B., Edvardsson, D., Feldman, H. and Fratiglioni, L., 2016. Defeating Alzheimer's diseaseandotherdementias:apriorityforEuropeanscienceandsociety.TheLancet Neurology,15(5), pp.455-532. .