Financial and Operating Environment Analysis of Mercury NZ International
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The report analyzes the financial and operating environment of Mercury NZ International, a utilities company in New Zealand. It includes a review of the company's financial performance, ratio analysis, and discussion of external factors.
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MERCURY NZ INTERNATIONAL FIN600 TX YYYY NAME: STUDENT ID:
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Student name – IDFIN600 TX YYYY Assignment –Mercury NZ International Executive Summary- The report takes into account financial and operating environment analysis of an ASX listed company Mercury NZ International having its headquarters in New Zealand. It operates as a utilities industry providing electricity services to the consumers. Through the analysis, an overview of the company and its financial performance over the last two years has been established. Annual report for the year 2018 and 2017 of Mercury NZ are being considered for such analysis. For the purpose of establishing the future growth potential and continuity of the company, ratio analysis considering the factors of profitability, efficiency, liquidity etc has been undertaken along with comparison with the industry averages for certain ratios. At last, external factors such as political and social factors along with ethical issues faced by the company during the years have been discussed to elaborate the position of the company. Overall, the assignment provides an understanding of the various aspects of financial as well operating environment of a real existent company whilst applying the accounting knowledge and skills. 1
Student name – IDFIN600 TX YYYY Assignment –Mercury NZ International Contents Page Number 1Introduction3 1.1Background and Business 2Company Analysis 2.1Analysis of financial statements of the business3 Current Financial performance, economic outlook 3Ratio Analysis 3.1Profitability ratios4 3.2Efficiency ratios5 3.3Liquidity ratios6 3.4Gearing ratios7 4Recommendations and overall assessment8 5References/Bibliography9 Appendices – attached Excel Spreadsheet 2
Student name – IDFIN600 TX YYYY Assignment –Mercury NZ International 1Introduction- 1.1Background and Business Mercury NZ International is a government owned company, headquartered in Auckland however listed on both Australian as well as New Zealand Stock exchanges. It was earlier known as Mighty River Power Limited and believes in making the world better, energy-efficient and wonderful. The logo with which the company swears by is “Bee” symbolizing constant life and energy generation. The company is engaged in retail trading of electricity for both domestic and commercial usage across the country through its 100 percent renewable energy sources of power generation. It generates electricity through its nine hydro generation and five geothermal plants located mainly in the North Island of the country and retails the energy so generated in form of electricity through various brand names such as Tiny Mighty, GLOBUG and Bosco. These remain fully functional throughout the year considering huge resource potential with the country and Mercury’s constant efforts to keep them sustainable. This not only provides the advantages of being at the lowest cost electricity providers but also makes them one of the largest electricity suppliers and generators in thecountry.Apartfromitsenergymarketsegment,thecompanyalsoprovidesmetering infrastructure and solar power installation services to the industries across the country. 2Company Analysis- 2.1Financial statements, Current Financial performance, economic outlook In order to obtain an understanding of the company; Mercury NZ and the financial and economic scenario prevalent, annual reports for the year 2017 and 2018 have been taken into consideration. An analysis of the financial statements comprising income statement, balance sheet, cash flow statement and other notes attached to them gives an insight of its operations over the years and helps in evaluating its financial performance. The year 2018 was marked as another record setting year for the company with core earnings of $561 million, an expansion of $38 million on the past budgetary year. Accordingly, the net profits for the company increased and stood at $ 234 million providing an increase of around $ 50 million. This is due to the efforts of the company in keeping its operating costs at standstill of $ 214 million over the last five years with a constant increase in its revenue. Apart from this, increased hydro power generation during the year 2018 pinned the growth in profits. The company provided an increase in its asset base by over $ 945 million due to the healthy acquisitions made during 2018 of Tilt Renewable in NZX. Buy-back of $ 50 million provided a flexible balance sheet with treasury stock along with reduced gearing levels as the debt portion increased by $ 211 million during the year. The company has started FY 2019 on a strong note with hydro power generation at 84th percentile 3
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Student name – IDFIN600 TX YYYY Assignment –Mercury NZ International and sustained heavy competition with incarsed churn for the quarter ending September 2018. Thus, overall the current financial performance of the company is healthy and positive looking. The indicators of growth are being clearly visible from its financial position. The outlook of the company is clear as it continues to deliver positive results for its first quarter of FY 2019. The forecasted statements for the next five years established the fact of ongoing growth and justified execution of plans being made. The company aims at delivering more meaningful growth for its stakeholders considering the competition at retail levels. It highlights key activities for the years coming forth with continual promotion of low-cost product along with development of its brand name and loyalty of customers. A road show evaluating the economy for New Zealand provides clear indication of competitive prices and thus the dependence on renewable sources is advantageous to the company. 3Ratio Analysis- 3.1Profitability and Market ratios (seeappendixfor calculations) 20182017Industry average Return on assets3.87%3.07%3.69% Return on equity7.10%5.56%10.85% Net profit margin13%12%20.70% Gross profit margin43%46%31.12% Expense ratio/Cost to Income ratio 82%81%-- Cash return on sales21%24%-- Earnings per share17.02 cents per share13.37 cents per share-- Price earnings ratio20.15 times25.21 times15.81 times Earnings yield4.96%3.97%-- Dividends per share15.1 cents per share14.6 cents per share-- Profitability refers to the net positive results of operations undertaken by the company for over a period of time. It can be derived/ analyzed through ratios such as net profit margin, return on assets, return on equity etc. These ratios determine the performance of the company and thus, the higher these ratios are the netter it is considered to be. Profit margin: It is calculated by dividing the profit generated by the company with the net sales for a particular period. Such profit can be gross profit or net profit as the case may be. Accordingly, the gross profit margin ratio for Mercury NZ has declined from 46% to 43% during the year majorly due to increase in energy costs during 2018 which in turn increased the cost of revenue in relative terms. On the other hand, the net profit margin improved from 12% in 2017 to 13% in 2018 with no impairments during the year and overall increase in EBITDAF of around $ 50 million. As we compare the profit margins with the industry averages, where net profit margin is on a lower side, gross profits are whopping high for Mercury NZ. This is due to the lower cost of renewable energy generation sources and comparatively higher cost of depreciation and tax as to other companies in the industry. Return on assets: It is calculated by dividing the net profit with the average total assets of the 4
Student name – IDFIN600 TX YYYY Assignment –Mercury NZ International company. Mercury NZ demonstrates an increase in return on assets ratio during the year from 3.07% in 2017 to 3.87% in 2018. The improvement in return is backed by increase in net profit during 2018 due to hydro power generation at huge capacity levels. Return on equity: It is calculated by dividing the net profit of the year with the total shareholders’ equity of the company. In line with return on assets, Mercury NZ’s return on equity also improved during 2018. It increased from 5.56% in 2017 to 7.10% in 2018 with increase in net profits and simultaneous decrease in total shareholders ‘equity due to buy-back undertaken by Mercury of $ 50 million during 2018. Comparison to industry averages provide return on assets of Mercury NZ to be at higher levels as compared to return on equity which are at lower sides. This can be understood in a manner that the company incurs depreciation costs on varying levels due to its higher asset base and thus suffers difference in net profits. Also, considering the EBITDAF to evaluate return, Mercury NZ shall overshadow the averages and outshine ahead of its peers. Market ratios are derived to evaluate the movement in share price over the year of the company and that whether it is was over-valued or under- valued. It encompasses ratios such as earnings yield, PE ratio etc. As calculated for Mercury NZ International, an increase in earnings per share and also dividend per share is being observed over the year majorly due to increase in net profits and share buy-backs. The yield on earnings supports the above as it also increased during 2018. The PE ratio for the company calculated on the basis of market price of shares however has declined from 25.21 times in 2017 to 20.15 times in 2018 which can be aligned to earlier over valuation of shares and on decreased shareholders expectation of growth for the next year. Further,thecomparisonofPEratioforthecompanywiththeindustryaveragesclearly demonstrates over valuation of shares. Thus, it can be concluded as Mercury NZ is still at a higher growth pace than its competitors and industry peers. 3.2Efficiency ratios (seeappendixfor calculations) 20182017Industry average Asset turnover0.29 times0.26 times0.26 times Cash return on assets0.06 times0.06 times0.06 times Fixed Asset turnover0.30 times0.27 times-- Efficiency refers to the ability of the company to utilize its resources in order to generate revenue and thereby profits. This is derived through the ratios such as asset turnover, return on assets in form of cash etc. The higher these ratios are, the more efficient the company is. Asset turnover: It is calculated by dividing the net sales generated by the company to the average total assets. Mercury NZ provides for an increase in asset turnover ratio from 0.26 times in 2017 to 0.29 times in 2018 providing for efficient utilization of assets. During the year, the company made acquisition of Tilt renewable categorized as an available or sale investment of $ 130 million and thus led to an overall increase in total assets of $ 94 million during the year. Simultaneously, the sale revenue for the company has also increased by $204 million justifying the increase in asset turnover. In line with total assets turnover, the fixed asset turnover ratio has also increased for the company from 0.27 times to 0.30 times over the year thus establishing the analysis of effective management of resources by Mercury. 5
Student name – IDFIN600 TX YYYY Assignment –Mercury NZ International The industry average has been lower as compared to Mercury’s asset turnover and thus provides for better off position for the company. Cash return on assets: This is a measure of performance derived in relation to industry averages for any company. It is calculated by dividing the cash flow from operations to the average total assets. As calculated, the cash return on assets has remained at 6% for the two years under preview and is in line to the cash returns provided by the industry. The cash flow from operations has remained constant at about $ 370million due to increased tax payment on account of imputation credits for dividend which led to constant cash return on assets. Effect of increase on assets has be minimal on return on assets in form of cash. 3.3Liquidity ratios (seeappendixfor calculations) 20182017Industry average Current ratio0.51:10.91:11.24:1 Quick ratio0.45:10.80:11.17:1 Receivables turnover29 Days25 Days21.75 Days Average collection period47 Days54 Days44 Days Liquidity refers to the ability of the company to repay its short term liabilities timely as and when they become due. It is derived using the ratios such as current ratio and quick ratio. Turnover ratios for receivables also define the flow of cash in the company and thus provide an insight for the liquidity position. Current ratio: It is calculated by dividing the current assets to the current liabilities of a particular year. As calculated, the current ratio of the company has declined over the last two years from 0.91times to 0.51 times providing for a sharp increase in current liabilities vis-à-vis decline in current assets. The decline can specifically be aligned to increase in borrowings from $ 83 million in year 2017 to $ 345 million in year 2018 due to fresh bank funding of $ 91 million and short term commercial papers borrowings for $ 200mn. Quick Ratio: It is calculated by dividing the quick assets to the current liabilities. It has also declined to 0.45 times in 2018 from 0.80 times in 2017 with increase in borrowings and simultaneous decrease in core current assets i.e., cash from $ 30 million to $ 5 million in 2018 due to investing cash outflow and receivables from $240 million to $ 226 million in 2018. Compared to industry averages these ratios are far below and thus poses threat of liquidity for the company.However,consideringtheacquisitionsmadeduringtheyear,theprobabilityof improvement in the coming year is high. The increase in receivables turnover and decline in average collection period are healthy sigs for the company as it indicates cash inflows from operating activities to improve and chances of bad debts to decline. These are although on higher levels as compared to industry averages but are more considerate and better looking. 3.4Gearing ratios 6
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Student name – IDFIN600 TX YYYY Assignment –Mercury NZ International (seeappendixfor calculations) 20182017Industry average* Debt to equity ratio39.71 %33.46 %174.78% Debt ratio21%18%-- Equity ratio54%55%-- Cash debt coverage14%14%-- Interest cover ratio4.53 times3.66 times9.27 Times Gearing refers to the debt capital amount in the total capital funding of the company. It is derived using ratios such as debt to equity, interest coverage, debt ratio etc. It provides a clear overview of the modes of financing i.e., debt or equity being used for funding the assets by the company. The higher these ratios are, the higher leveraged the company is. Debt- equity ratio: It is calculated by dividing the total debt capital i.e., both short term and long term borrowings to the equity capital of the company for a particular year. As calculated, Mercury NZ provides an increase in debt to equity capital during the year 2018. It increased from 33.46% in 2017 to 39.71% in 2018 mainly due to increase in debt capital of short term nature. The company introduced commercial papers of $ 200mn during 2018 along with fresh debt from bank of $ 91 million. Also, buy back of $ 50 million of shares in form of treasury stock declined the equity capital leading to an overall increased debt-equity ratio. With fresh debt capital, comes fresh covenants to be adhered to and thus any increase in debt-equity will have negative consequences for the company. Similar trend is being observed in debt ratio and equity ratio. Where, the debt ratio increased from 18% to 21% in 2018, the equity ratio declined by one basis point during the year. However, considering the industry average for debt equity ratio of 174.78%, Mercury NZ can be regarded in a much safer leverage position and equity oriented firm. The cash debt coverage ratio has remained constant and stood at approximately 14% during the last two financial years. The changes in cash flows and total liabilities did not have much effect on the absolute number due to minimal change in cash flow from operating activities being at $ 371 million in 2018 against $ 372 million in 2017 and total liabilities being at $2805 million in 2018 against $ 2689 million in 2017. Interest coverage ratio: It is calculated by dividing the earnings before interest and tax to the interest expense of the company for a particular period. An improvement in interest coverage is being provided during the year 2018 by Mercury NZ. The ratio increased from 3.66 times in 2017 to 4.53 times in 2018 due to increase in EBIT. As compared to industry averages, the company interest coverage is at lower level however, considering the debt equity ratio at such low against industry trends, the interest coverage of Mercury NZ can be regarded as sufficient and acceptable. *The data for industry averages have been taken from Reuters. 4Recommendations and overall assessment-400 7
Student name – IDFIN600 TX YYYY Assignment –Mercury NZ International Mercury NZ International has been able to demonstrate the financials for year 2018 as better off than its previous year 2017 not only in terms of profitability but also increased asset base through investment in Tilt Renewable. Although the liquidity for the company shrunk in 2018 but is subject to revival with cash inflows next year. The gearing for the company also increased but is still below the industry averages. The efficiency ratios have provided for effective use of resources by the company with return on assets justifying the same. Thus, the year 2018 has been a record making year for the company with highest hydro power generation and 27% increase in profits With the projection of the company for EBITDAF at lower level of $ 515 million in 2019 against % 561 million in 2018, the growth prospects are at question for the company. However, considering such huge asset base and qualifies management personnel, it will succeed in the future but not so near. In spite of dip in prospective financials by the company, no signs of a merger or acquisition prevail through the company nor are understood by any of its recent announcements / activities. The company should focus on reducing its cost of revenue in relation to its revenue as being subject to continuous price movements. Also, it should consider promoting its solar panel installation segment as will generate more revenue and lesser depreciation cost for the company. The political environment in New Zealand is stable in terms of labour-led coalition government since 2017 with only two parties national and labour. The country follows principle of mixed member proportional system and thus the political environment remains less competitive and helpful for the companies. However, factors such as dynamic wholesale pricing, unregulated retail pricing,increasingcustomerchurnlevelsandmostimportantlyclimaticchangesaffectthe performance of the company being based on renewable resources such as water and wind. Considering the financial performance of the company over the last two years and ratio analysis of various factors such as profitability and efficiency, it is advisable to invest in the company. However, with liquidity constraint and lower PE ratio, growth in the company is subject to be on lower side for next 1-3 years. Thus, dividend seeking investors should consider not investing in stockof Mercury,butinvestorswithlongterminterestcanrelyonthecompany’sreturn capabilities. Holding the stock is thus beneficial. 8
Student name – IDFIN600 TX YYYY Assignment –Mercury NZ International 5References/Bibliography 1. MercuryNZ. (2018, August 21). Mercury Website- Annual report 2018. Retrieved November 27, 2018, fromhttps://www.mercury.co.nz/Investors/Results-Reports/Annual-interim-reports.aspx 2. Morningstar. (2018, November 27). MCY Mercury NZ Ltd Stock Quote Price | Morningstar. Retrieved November 27, 2018, fromhttps://www.morningstar.com/stocks/XNZE/MCY/quote.html 3. Reuters. (2018). Mercury NZ Ltd (MCY.NZ) Financials. Retrieved November 27, 2018, from https://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/financial-highlights/MCY.NZ 4. NZ Government. (2018, June 29). Industry Averages. Retrieved November 27, 2018, from https://www.stats.govt.nz/experimental/business-performance-benchmarker 5. NZ Government. (2017). Indicators and snapshots- Social and Political. Retrieved November 27, 2018, from https://www.stats.govt.nz/indicators-and-snapshots/ 6. Bragg, S. (2018, February 14). Cash return on assets. Retrieved November 27, 2018, from https://www.accountingtools.com/articles/cash-return-on-assets.html 7. MercuryNZ. (2018, November 19). Mercury- Investor Road show. Retrieved November 27, 2018, from https://www.mercury.co.nz/Investors/Results-Reports/Presentations.aspx 8. Pelletier, N. (2018, August 21). Mercury's net profit rises 27 percent on record hydro generation. Retrieved November 27, 2018, from https://www.radionz.co.nz/news/business/364584/mercury-s- net-profit-rises-27-percent-on-record-hydro-generation 9
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Student name – IDFIN600 TX YYYY Assignment –Mercury NZ International Appendices – attached Excel Spreadsheet Profitability and Market Ratios - MCY 20182017 Average for Industry Return on Assets (Profit / Average total assets) 234/((6091 + 5997)/2)184 /5997 0.038716082 0.03068200 8 3.87%3.07%3.69% Return on Equity(Profit / Average equity) 234 / ((3286 + 3308)/2)184 /3308 0.070973612 0.05562273 3 7.10%5.56%10.85% Net Profit MarginNet profit / Sales or revenue234/ 1756184/1552 0.133257403 0.11855670 1 13%12%20.70% Gross Profit Margin Gross profit / Sales or revenue753/ 1756716/ 1552 0.42881549 0.46134020 6 43%46%31.12% Expense ratio Expenses (excluding tax) / Net sales1439 / 17561263 / 1552 0.8194760820.81378866 82%81%-- Cash return on sales Net cash flow from operating activity / Sales or Revenue371 / 1756372 / 1552 0.211275626 0.23969072 2 21%24%-- 10
Student name – IDFIN600 TX YYYY Assignment –Mercury NZ International Earnings per share Profit for shareholders / Number of ordinary shares17.02 cents13.37 cents Price earnings ratio Current market price / Earnings per share$342.95 / $17.02 $337.06 / $13.37 20.149825.2102 20.15times25.21times15.81 times Earnings yieldEPS / Share price$17.02 / $342.95 $13.37/ $337.06 0.049628226 0.03966652 8 4.96%3.97%-- Dividends per share Dividends - Special dividends/ No of shares $15.1 cents per share $14.6 cents per share-- (determined) Efficiency Ratios - MCY 20182017 Average for Industry Asset turnoverSales / Average total assets 1756 / ((6091 + 5997)/2)1552 / 5997 0.290536069 0.25879606 5 0.29 times0.26 times 0.26 times Cashflow return on assets Net cash from op activities / Average total assets 371/((6091 + 5997)/2)372/ 5997 0.06138319 0.06203101 6 0.06times0.06times 0.06 times Fixed-Asset Turnover Ratio Sales / Total noncurrent assets1756 / 57941552 / 5670 0.3030721440.27372134 11
Student name – IDFIN600 TX YYYY Assignment –Mercury NZ International 0.30times0.27times-- times Liquidity Ratios - MCY 20182017 Average for Industry Current Ratio Total current assets / Total current liabilities297 / 584327 / 358 0.5085616440.913407821 0.51:10.91:11.24:1 Quick Ratio (Total current assets - Inventory) / Total current liabilities('297-35) / 584('327-39) / 358 0.4486301370.804469274 0.45:10.80:11.17:1 Receivables turnover Credit sales rev / Avg receivables (1756/ ((217 + 231)/2)/100) *365 (1552/231)/ 100*366 28.6133928624.59012987 29 days25 days 21.75 days Average collection period Average receivables x 365 / Net credit sales rev (((217+231)/2) *365) / 1756(231 *365) / 1552 46.5603644654.32667526 47 days54 days44 days Gearing Ratios MCY 20182017 Average for Industry Debt to Equity Total debt/Total equity or Total liabilities/Total equity1305 / 32861107 / 3308 39.733.4174.78% 12
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