This report provides insights into the retail sector of the business for the financial year 2018. It includes information on the number of businesses surveyed, innovation performance, investment areas, and returns from innovation.
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MITS6002 Business Analytics Name. email.Date.Professor. Q1. The CommBank Retail Business Insights Report FYI18. i.According to this report, we notice that the formatting of the insights is appealing. The use of high capturing headers in the pdf formatted paper to represent the key reporting issues makes it captivating to read the whole paper. As depicted by the overview, we already note the location of the business and thus one can be able to get the scope just from the overview of the report. Use of auto-capturing and mind- blowing visual charts and images, graphs make it so much easier to understand the textual part. This strategy helps one to keenly understand the numbers in a deeper analogy. Use of maps and pictures even the more makes the report glowing. We can see that the information provided is for the financial year of 2018 specifying the retail sector of the business. ii.According to CommBank report [1], we take a note of the 2473 business organizations that were under the survey. The sampling size used for analysis is 262 retail business of which the study indicates that about 87% are found in the brackets of either being Active Innovators or Improvers. Further looking at the innovation performance section, we notice that 71% retailers in the multichannel section are all in the Innovation Active Zone. Following this trait, we get to make comparisons and contrasts between the NationalFY18 and ReatilFy18 in terms of the investment areas [1]. Such a comparison can be well depicted by also employing the use of some nice inferential statistics such as hypothesis testing. This will well get the significance of each variable under statistical investigation. The figures show that 48% investment is done in the sales and marketing area and 55% investment is done using on the websites or digital presence [1]. Here we find a marketing strategy that can best be optimal for a new retailer to delve into. There is a revelation that technology plays handy for investment from the chart comparison in the section “Investment in innovation”. Finally, the most crucial part comes in which is the number of returns from innovation. Figures depict that about 80% of the retailers do invest with a high expectation of ROI in a twelve-month period [1]. This helps a new investor be objectivial in the ROI returns and not to make over ambitious plans during the investment periods. We can note that the average investment amount for the retail investment is $101,000 where by there is an average additional earning of $198,000 and nice average return of 1.96 [1]. iii.Abstract In this research paper, we have been looking at the details in retail business especially in the contribution towards the banking sector of the economy through innovations. The main idea in the methodology employed is the use of descriptive analytics with a much delving into the data visualization. As seen in the report, some of the retailers are seen left behind in finding the financial and other relevant benefits arising from the innovations sector [6]. The dynamic nature of the factors influencing the innovations progress have been critically analyzed to find the way different industries will adapt to these factors. There has been in fact a concentration on retail traders making innovations tending to only a few patterns without discovering other key player 1
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opportunities. As seen by the analytics from CommBank reporters, one can get the easiest means of doing advertising basing on the fact that many businesses have to market their innovative strategies in order to attain high profit. On this note, we can see the ROI [6] is highly attributed to the conjugation of high-end factors of the innovation process. This therefore means that the budget making process will rely on activity that pump returns on a short-term basis. In business, we all understand that the underlying policy it to cut on cost as we maximize the saving. Cost-benefit analysis therefore explodes the analytics process. Key words: Data, CommBank, Innovation, ROI, Analytics. iv.In this insights report, reflexive actions have to be taken in order to suggest a design of subjective methods to be done. Use of regression modelling to come up with comparison models between RetailFY18 and NationFY18 would be deemed a high-end process to describe different patterns in the insight report. A recommendation to check the significant variables by setting and testing different hypothesis and claims would be another measure of improving the insight report. Finally, we can also use the classifications models to build easy predictable models that would build the analysis process into meaningful insights. Q2. Regression as a commonly used technique to finding relationships amongst variables. i.Regression analysis can be used in the stock market. It can be used to predict stock based on the times variable and we can add Dummies as variables for the interval months say 11 dummies for month wise data or 3 Dummies for quarterly data. This kind of regression is called a time series regression analysis, which can be used to supplement insights from other time series methods. ii. NameHeightWeight Jenny58115 DanJonso n59115 Amelia62145 Hillary63120 Ava65133 Chloe67135 Lucas68142 2
Evie68140 Trinta71146 Noah72157 iii.Scatter plot . 5860626466687072 120130140150 Relationship Between Weight and Height Height in Inches Weight in Pounds Figure 1. Scatter plot depicting relationship between height and weight. As seen by the above plot, we can comment that there exists a linear relationship between height and weight. The relation is positive in that as weight increases the weight too increases. This implies a strong positive correlation. A correlation matrix can also be constructed to determine the amount of relationship between the two variables. iv.We use the method of least squares to fit the line. Let the independent variable be height while the dependent is weight. Finding the regression Line using Least Squares Method. 3
Height (x) Weight (y)X2Y2X*y 581153364132256670 591153481132256785 621453844210258990 631203969144007560N=10 651334225176898645 671354489182259045 681424624201649656 681404624196009520 7114650412131610366 7215751842464911304 Totals65313484284518351888541 calculating the Slope M 2.5311122 Calculating the Intercept B; -30.4816267 Thus the regression equation becomes Weight = 2.5311122* height -30.4816267 v.Computing the R2value and commenting vi.on the goodness of fit. Calculatin g R- Squared.. Height (x)Weight (y)xbarybarx-xbary-ybar(x- xbar)*(y (x- xbar)^2 (y- ybar)^2 4
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-ybar) 5811565.3134.8-7.3-19.8144.5453.29392.04 5911565.3134.8-6.3-19.8124.7439.69392.04 6214565.3134.8-3.310.2-33.6610.89104.04 6312065.3134.8-2.3-14.834.045.29219.04 6513365.3134.8-0.3-1.80.540.093.24 6713565.3134.81.70.20.342.890.04 6814265.3134.82.77.219.447.2951.84 6814065.3134.82.75.214.047.2927.04 7114665.3134.85.711.263.8432.49125.44 7215765.3134.86.722.2148.7444.89492.84 Total s65313486531348 2.84E- 14-1.1E-13516.6204.11807.6 Numerator516.6 Denominato r607.397 r 0.85051 5 Rsquared 0.72337 5 From the above Rsquared, we can see that about 72.33% of Weight of family member can be accounted for by their height. This is thus a good model. vii.Using Rstudio software, we can use the lm function to get the regression summary. 5
The greens highlight on the above table are the solution to iv and v. We can see that the method of least squares has given the exact solution as the one generated by the software. Q3. Classification and Regression as used in business analytics. i. When we talk about classification, we refer to the idea of finding the classes of variable or sample variables in a dataset. This involves grouping a particular data into the categories where the basis is a particular training set. Looking at prediction, this is a statistical tool that involves making prediction especially over a missing set of items in a dataset. Here, we require the different methods of classification or regression in order to come up with prediction models of missing or unknown items. ii.Types of classification methods or algorithms include: a)Linear classifies such as linear regression, logistic regression, Naïve Bayes Classifiers. b)Decision Trees. c)Neural Networks. d)Random Forest. e)Nearest Neighbors. 6
f)Support Vector Machines. g)Just to mention but a few. iii.The type of network shown is a feedforward neural type of network. Its equation can thus be written in the form of. F(W, X) =∅(∑ 1 2 Xi∗Wi) The inputs are 2 where here they have been represented by Xiinstead of Ii. Neural network mimics the human brain in their operation modes. They represent and algorithm used to recognize different pattern sets in a data. Specifically, they are created in form of nodes and used for deep learning. What a node does is combination of the input from the data with a set of coefficients and their respective weights. Then summation of the input-weight and then passed to another node which then determines the extent of the signal. This act of passing spectrums from one node to another of the same type leads to classification. The most widely being the binary classification that groups in terms of true false. iv.How different classification methods are applied to business analytics. a)We can use Naïve Bayes classifiers to determine the credit card detection in banking and finance sectors. b)We can also employ logistic regression to make come up with predictive models for sales of goods and services in a company. c)K-nearest neighbors can be used by a sales and marketing agent to determine the shortest routes in combination with the decision trees to help them find the situation of company branches. References. [1]Commbank.com.au,2019.[Online].Available: https://www.commbank.com.au/content/dam/commbank/business/pds/retail-business-insights-report-fy18.pdf. [Accessed: 10- Jun- 2019]. [2]"Regression Analysis by Example, 5th Edition",Wiley.com, 2019. [Online]. Available: https://www.wiley.com/en- us/Regression+Analysis+by+Example%2C+5th+Edition-p-9780470905845. [Accessed: 07- Jun- 2019]. 7
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[3]E. Steyerberg, "FRANK E. HARRELL, Jr., Regression Modeling Strategies: With Applications, to Linear Models, Logistic and Ordinal Regression, and Survival Analysis, 2nded. Heidelberg: Springer.",Biometrics, vol. 72, no. 3, pp. 1006-1007, 2016. Available: 10.1111/biom.12569. [4]"Excel 2013 Statistical Analysis #31: Create Discrete Probability Distribution, Calculate Mean and SD",YouTube, 2019. [Online]. Available: https://youtu.be/IQDgmmYXrAI. [Accessed: 04- Jun- 2019]. [5]"Bigdataanalyticsandbusinessanalytics",Taylor&Francis,2019.[Online].Available: https://orsociety.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/23270012.2015.1020891. [Accessed: 07- Jun- 2019]. [6]N. Ardjmandpour, C. Pain, J. Singer, J. Saunders, E. Aristodemou and J. Carter, "Artificial neural network forward modelling and inversion of electrokinetic logging data",Geophysical Prospecting, vol. 59, no. 4, pp. 721-748, 2011. Available: 10.1111/j.1365-2478.2010.00935.x. 8