ASEAN Monetary Union: A Review

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This assignment delves into the complexities of establishing a monetary union within the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN). It requires students to critically evaluate various aspects, including economic integration indicators, currency convergence patterns, and the potential advantages and disadvantages of such a union. Students must analyze relevant research papers and studies to form a well-informed opinion on the feasibility of an ASEAN monetary union.

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Running Head: Multiple Or Single Currency System for ASEAN?
Common Currency System for ASEAN Countries

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Multiple Or Single Currency System for ASEAN? 1
Should ASEAN countries adopt a common currency like Euro?
Asia is emerging as one among the most rapidly growing economies of the world. It has an
intergovernmental association called ASEAN which is the most unified regional grouping in the
entire Asia. Currently, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) has 10 member
countries i.e. Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Brunei, Vietnam, Laos,
Myanmar and Cambodia. The monetary system that is being followed across the ASEAN union
is diversified due to the membership of different countries. Asia’s monetary unit is a group of
currencies of multiple countries. It includes the member countries’ currencies along with the
currencies of some of the other countries. The emergence of idea of having a common currency
for the ASEAN countries can be traced from Asian financial crisis that occurred in 1997. It drove
home the need of greater coordination in the policies among the different economies of Asian
region. After the adoption of euro by the European Union, Asia was also emphasised to have a
system of common currency. But, ASEAN union is quite different from European Union in
varied aspects (Dinga and Vilma 2011). The efforts to shift from multiple currency system to a
common currency system seemed to have hindered due to various significant challenges.
Though the financial crisis in Asia has created a need for effective and appropriate monetary
policy and the coordination between the different exchange rates in the entire region, the
heterogeneous nature of the economies, policies and the regional institutions have prevented the
ASEAN union to take decisive move to adopt a single currency. Unlike European Union, Asia
lacks appropriate and requisite institutions to switch to a common currency union. On paper
there can be various benefits of adopting a common currency by the Association of Southeast
Asian nations. At the same time, it has certain costs or limitations attached to it for the ASEAN
union. Where the costs of this arrangement are associated with the management of
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Multiple Or Single Currency System for ASEAN? 2
macroeconomic level, benefits are often associated with the microeconomic level because of the
transformation of diversified currency system into the common currency is expected to offer gain
in the economic efficiency.
The adoption of a single currency for the entire ASEAN union will contribute to the greater
macroeconomic stability for those participant countries that have a mixed track record in the area
of implementation of monetary policy for their nation before joining the common currency union
(Murray and MoxonBrowne 2013). The another benefit of adopting the common currency
which has been realised is that it would facilitate the seamless trade of goods, services and
investments as well, among the member countries of the ASEAN union, leading to increased
revenue generation for both the countries. As the use of common currency will help in reduction
of transactions costs of conducting the cross border business and it will also remove the volatility
of exchange rates nationwide (Gharleghi, Najla and Benjamin 2015). The implementation of
common currency policy could be seen for the countries that have an uneven record of
inflationary control and patchy exchange rate management as they will be benefited by the
monetary policy formulated by the regional central bank which is more credible. Further, it is an
established fact that if the extent of intra-regional trade is large, there will be the more economic
benefits of having a common currency for a region. Single currency could avoid the trade
disruptions due to fluctuating bilateral foreign exchange rates between the potential participant
countries in the common currency. Therefore, it can be said that common currency promotes the
predictability and lessens the uncertainty. A currency of the country is like its language. As a
unique currency promotes effective communication in between the people, a common currency
will facilitate effective trade and investments between the member countries of ASEAN union.
In the environment of multiple currencies there would be higher transaction costs and other
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Multiple Or Single Currency System for ASEAN? 3
related costs like cost to be incurred in obtaining information about the prices( Lee and Sharon
2012). Macroeconomic stability can also be emphasised as one of the key benefit of the single
currency monetary policy. With the flexible and stable fiscal policy, the participant countries are
less required to use their own monetary policy in response to the economic shocks. Also, there
would be less inflationary pressures for the currency union (Farhi, Pierre-Olivier and Hélène
2011) Furthermore, the benefits of having a single currency include the reduction in the
exchange risk and the stability of prices among the countries (Lee and Azali.2010). The adoption
of currency union can make the ASEAN currency as one among the major currencies across the
world. Additionally, the currency union among the member countries of ASEAN in combination
with the regional integration in the areas of financial services will contribute to strengthening of
banking system thereby enabling them in better provision of their banking services (Fraser
2010). This arrangement will ultimately lead to greater coordination among the banking and
financial systems of the member nations. It will also lead to improved standards for the banking
system of the ASEAN region.
Even when the common currency system has so many benefits of adoption for the ASEAN
union, there are certain key constraints in the practical implementation of such idea. Also, the
sustainment of such monetary system is more difficult than its adoption. The economists argues
that using the system of common currency may lead to losing the scope of setting independent
monetary policies for the respective nations by the member countries( Grace and Sharon 2012).
There are basically four constraints in the adoption of single currency system like Euro. These
are discussed as below:
Diversified degree of economic development of the nations is one of the major causes for
ASEAN countries to disregard the option of adopting a single currency across the union. The

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Multiple Or Single Currency System for ASEAN? 4
level and extent the economic development is quite diversified among the ASEAN countries.
The stages of development differ more significantly in ASEAN countries than the European
Union (Jane et al 2011). The differences in living standards and also the varied economic
maturity of different countries could make it more difficult for the ASEAN union to have
economic integration and it is difficult to realise the benefits of common currency without further
integration. Moreover, when the countries forms a single currency union, they have to give up on
the privilege of having an independent monetary policy and even it cannot use tools such as
interest rates anymore in order to address the cyclical needs of industries that are country specific
or for the financial services(Ngo 2013). So it is in the case of ASEAN countries. If they form a
currency union, the member countries will no more be independent to formulate their own
monetary policies and they will have to adhere to the policies that will be made comprehensively
for the ASEAN union. Since, the economic structure of the participant countries is quite varied;
it would be difficult for the countries to cope up with each other in case of common currency.
Another reason why ASEAN countries must not adopt the common currency system is the weak
financial system of few member countries. After the final crisis in Asia in 1997, it has been
consistently facing the fragile banking and financial system as these are heavily dependent on the
foreign capital to peg their foreign exchange rates (Petr 2012). The weakness in the banking
system is therefore undermining the scope of common currency in the ASEAN countries. Before
adopting the single currency system ASEAN will have to restructure its financial sectors along
with the banking system and it also requires introduction of various reforms in the financial
sectors (Hunter and Krueger 2012). Such initiatives require huge amounts and necessary
planning which is not feasible for Asian countries. Followed by the weakness in the financial and
banking sector, the other reason why the ASEAN union should not form the currency union is
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Multiple Or Single Currency System for ASEAN? 5
the insufficiency of political preconditions. As there is a lack of preconditions for the monetary
cooperation and for the common currency system among the ASEAN countries. From the
European currency union experience it is realised that developing the proper political support
and the establishment of strong institutions for the common currency union is menacing
challenge (Thomas Orawan and Lalana 2010). Further, greater degree of cooperation between
the member countries is required to set up the regional institutions that are necessary for
adopting a common currency for ASEAN and such need of cooperation is greater than need to
support the bilateral pegs between the ASEAN countries. An adoption of the common currency
also demands various institutions like common central bank. The breakout of financial crisis at
the global level and the problems encountered in the initial time of the euro raised the hopes for
the evolution of a single currency in Asia (Wihardja 2013). However, Asia does not seem to be
ready to have the currency integration. There are several limitations that are hindering the
regional currency union. The common factors include regional heterogeneities in the economic
social and institutional aspects. Moreover, the member countries of ASEAN union appear to be
not ready for the convergence on the management of common exchange rate and for the
framework on monetary policies (Shingo and Ogura 2010) further, the Asian region also lacks
regional institutions that can effectively coordinate the exchange rate and monetary policies. The
failure of various European economies in managing their fiscal and monetary health in spite of
having far more homogeneous economies than the ASEAN countries has made the scope of
common currency adoption more distant. More importantly ASEAN do not have a counterpart of
European central bank. Lastly, an inadequacy of mechanisms for the resource pooling at the
regional level would hinder the monetary cooperation across ASEAN countries. In order to adopt
the euro as a single currency European Union had to establish a wide gamut of institutions such
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Multiple Or Single Currency System for ASEAN? 6
as European commission, Central Bank, European council etc. for the purpose of forming the
currency union (Grauwe 2016). It would take huge time to develop such bodies in East Asia as
there is a total absence of such mechanisms and which is the major challenge of adopting the
single currency.
There are various preconditions to the currency union, such as achieving nominal
convergence criteria, fiscal rules, and formulation of regional competitive policy, efforts for
capital mobility and few other moves towards achieving the integration in the labour market.
These were the issues that were duly considered before the European currency union for the
euro. Hence, are required to be taken into consideration before forming the currency union for
the ASEAN countries (Noer and Titis 2010). Before adopting the single currency monetary
union like euro, it is important for Asia to understand the differences in the situations of ASEAN
and that of European Union. Firstly, ASEAN do not have the like focal point as of Germany
which is the largest economy of Europe having the sound track record of the stable
macroeconomic policies. Secondly, Europe is not as much diversified as ASEAN in the areas of
development of economic structures of the Asian countries (Song Kuok and Sayed 2010). Even
on the basis of economic criteria, the few member nations of ASEAS are less suitable for the
formation of currency union than those of European Union. Further, the European monetary
union transition arrangement has shown that the road to common currency is full of obstacles.
After identifying the possible benefits and limitations or cost, it is now necessary to
understand that even without adopting a common currency, greater degree of the economic
integration could be achieved. As it is not feasible for ASEAN countries to adopt the common
currency system, due to various constraints as discussed above, it can consider some other
alternatives of achieving the reasonably closer economic integration even without losing the

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Multiple Or Single Currency System for ASEAN? 7
considerable economic sovereignty. These alternatives include entering into the commercial
agreements and diminishing the short term instability of exchange rate caused by the
interventions that do not control the movement of long term currency. Although adaption of such
alternatives would require the greater coordination than that is required in bilateral relationships
but yet it would certainly amount to safeguarding the economic autonomy of the member nations
to a good extent.
Therefore, it can be concluded that the ASEAN countries must not go for the currency union
i.e. the monetary policy of adopting a single currency like euro. Looking to the general facts like
the geographical direction of trade in ASEAN is vastly diversified and the main currency areas
are the significant trading partners for most of the ASEAN countries (Sylvia 2014). It implies
that the exposures of ASEAN countries’ to the fluctuation among major currencies is quite
higher and yet none of those key currencies are candidates for the common peg (Hyun 2012).
Hence, it is not appropriate for the ASEAN to adopt single currency for the union as a whole. It
should rather continue with the multiple currency system as it is more suitable for the entire
Asian economy and the individual economies of member countries.
References:
Achsani, Noer Azam, and Titis Partisiwi. 2010. "Testing the feasibility of ASEAN+ 3 single
currency comparing optimum currency area and clustering approach." International Research
Journal of Finance and Economics 37: 79-84.
Alvarado, Sylvia. 2014."Analysis of the optimum currency area for ASEAN and ASEAN+
3." Journal of US-China Public Administration 11, no. 12 : 995-1004.
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Multiple Or Single Currency System for ASEAN? 8
Binner, Jane, Shu-Heng Chen, Ke-Hung Lai, Andrew Mullineux, and James L. Swofford.2011.
"Do the ASEAN countries and Taiwan form a common currency area?." Journal of International
Money and Finance 30, no. 7 : 1429-1435.
Blizkovsky, Petr. 2012."Two crises, two responses: adjustment of economic governance in
ASEAN and the European Union." Asia Europe Journal 9, no. 2-4 : 91-106.
Cameron, Fraser.2010."The European Union as a model for regional integration." London:
Council on Foreign Relations.
De Grauwe, Paul. 2016.Economics of monetary union. Oxford university press,
Dinga, Marián, and Vilma Dingová.2011. Currency union and investment flows:
Estimating the euro effect on FDI. No. 25/2011. IES Working Paper
Farhi, Emmanuel, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, and Hélène Rey.2011. Reforming the
international monetary system. CEPR
Gharleghi, Behrooz, Najla Shafighi, and Benjamin Chan Yin Fah. 2015."Financial
integration and common currency area in ASEAN." Journal of Economics, Business and
Management 3, no. 1 : 111-114.
Hunter, W.C., Kaufman, G.G. and Krueger, T.H. eds., 2012. The Asian financial crisis:
origins, implications, and solutions. Springer Science & Business Media.
Kusuma, Dimas Bagus Wiranata, and Arief Dwi Putranto. 2010."Implementation of
optimum currency area criteria and its volatility: case study ASEAN-5+ 3." Bulletin of
Monetary Economics and Banking (Buletin Ekonomi Moneter dan Perbankan) 13, no. 2 :
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Multiple Or Single Currency System for ASEAN? 9
187-214.
Lee, Chin, and M. Azali.2010. "Currency linkages among ASEAN." The Singapore
Economic Review 55, no. 03: 459-470.
Lee, Grace HY, and Sharon GM Koh.2012. "The prospects of a monetary union in East
Asia." Economic Modelling 29, no. 2: 96-102.
Lim, Lee K.2011. "Common currency in East Asia: An analysis of currency
convergence." International Journal of Business Studies19, no. 1 : 53.
Murray, Philomena & Edward MoxonBrowne.2013. "The European Union as a template
for regional integration? The case of ASEAN and its committee of permanent
representatives." JCMS: Journal of Common Market Studies 51, no. 3 : 522-537.
Ngo, Khanh P. 2013."Benefits, Costs, and Feasibility of a Monetary Union for the Association of
Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN)." Michigan Journal of Business 6, no. 1
Rhee, Hyun-Jae. 2012."Testing for the possibility of a monetary union in the ASEAN+ 3
countries: rationality and asymmetric loss functions." Applied Economics Letters 19, no. 3: 261-
268.
Thong, Song Kuok, A. S. Santhapparaj, and Sayed Hossain.2010. "Feasibility of a Single
Currency for the ASEAN-5." International Journal of Business & Accountancy 1, no. 1
Watanabe, Shingo, and Masanobu Ogura. 2010."How far apart are the two ACUs from each
other? Asian currency unit and Asian currency union." Emerging markets review 11, no. 2 : 152-
172.

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Multiple Or Single Currency System for ASEAN? 10
Wihardja, Maria Monica.2013. "Financial Integration Challenges in ASEAN beyond
2015." ERIA Discussion Paper Series 27
Willett, Thomas D., Orawan Permpoon, and Lalana Srisorn.2010. "Asian monetary cooperation:
Perspectives from the optimum currency area analysis." The Singapore Economic Review 55, no.
01 : 103-124.
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