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Delphi Decision-Making Exercise for Future Outcome Likelihood
Added on -2019-09-16
This is a Delphi decision-making exercise for a future outcome likelihood. The first round of the exercise is to be completed, and the topic should be something that both the coordinator and participants care about and know something about. The SLP writeup should include letters to the participants and their first-round responses. Follow the detailed example provided in the Home Page discussion.
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OPM300 Introduction to Operations Management SLP 1Order # 17011737017936Complete the first round of a three-round Delphi decision-making exercise. Before reading further, please be sure you’ve read the discussion about the Delphi process on this Module’s Homepage. It includes information that is not repeated here.Topic:For the sake of simplicity, choose a future outcome that can be expressed as a single-number probability, or likelihood. Examples includeThe likelihood that X will be elected (to some office) in 20##.The likelihood that Y will win the Super Bowl / World Series / NBA Championship in 20##.The percentage of feature films that will consist entirely of computer-generated imagery by the year 20##.The topic should be something that both you and your exercise participantscare about, and also know something about (although you need not be experts).Participants:You will be the coordinator. Select three other persons as participants.Their cooperation will be important, so be sure to choose people you can count on. These can be either family members, close friends, or other students (although not students enrolled inthiscourse. They’ll be busy coordinating their own Delphi exercises.)SLP Assignment ExpectationsAs closely as possible, the SLP should follow the detailed example, which is cited in the Home Page discussion. You may copy and / or adapt verbiage from the example without citing it. (This special dispensation is intended to help move things along.)The SLP writeup should includeThe Letters to the Participants, explaining the project and requesting their assistance.
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