This report examines the impact of the U.S-China trade war on the economy and business environment, focusing on key issues such as intellectual property rights, trade deficit, foreign direct investment, and tariffs on steel and aluminium. It also provides recommendations for improving the situation.
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Table of Contents Table of Contents..................................................................................................................................1 INTRODUCTION.................................................................................................................................2 Free Trade Agreement...........................................................................................................................2 Unilateral trade agreement...............................................................................................................3 Bilateral trade agreements................................................................................................................3 Multilateral trade agreements..........................................................................................................3 CASE....................................................................................................................................................4 KEY ISSUES........................................................................................................................................4 1)Intellectual Property Rights (IPR) and Cyber Theft.....................................................................4 2)Trade Deficit..............................................................................................................................4 3)Foreign Direct Investment (FDI).................................................................................................5 4)Tariffs on Steel and Aluminium..................................................................................................5 CAUSE..................................................................................................................................................6 EFFECT................................................................................................................................................6 RECOMMENDATION.........................................................................................................................7 REFRENCE..........................................................................................................................................8
INTRODUCTION In this report we will study how free trade agreement affect the economy and business environment, by co-relating the factors with the case “U.S-China trade war” and after the complete study we will be recommending some ways by which this situation can be improved Free Trade Agreement It is an agreement in which two or more countries enter to establish a free trade zone, through which trading of goods and services takes place among the member nations, member nations impose common tariff while trading with non-members countries (Thebalance, 2019). There are three types of trade agreements:-
Unilateral trade agreement: It is a situation in which one country implies trade restriction and no other nation retaliate. It is usually applied by the developed nations like The United Stated (Thebalance, 2019). Bilateral trade agreements: an agreement between two countries, in this both the nations agrees to alleviate the trade restrictions, so that business opportunities can be expanded between them. They work on mutual agreement which contain (negotiated tariffs & trade conditions) (Thebalance, 2019). Multilateral trade agreements: -An agreement among three or more countries, it is very difficult to have a mutual concern in this agreement, as each country has its own needs and requirement. It provides a greater competitive advantage to the member countries (Thebalance, 2019). Impact on economies & business environment: (Thebalance, 2019). Pros 1)Free trade allows the nations to depreciate the cost of import and allows the consumer to avail the benefits, which leads to the regular low of currency among the member nations; hence there GDP grows, as one-fourth of the total global production is exported. 2)Provide a new market to the domestic manufacturer for their tariff free products. 3)Raise the living standard of the people of the member nations Cons
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1)Domestic countries that do not produce tariff free products have to suffer; as they cannot compete with the nations that have a lower living standard, hence the company has to windup its operations. 2)Free trade brings a trade war between the companies and the consumers CASE Even though the commercial ties were flowering, the mutual relationship started becoming convoluted in (2017), which acted as a root cause for the trade war between the two nations, as per the perspective of the U.S, the amendments in the trade policies by China were the part of the bilateral agreement between the two nations, China breeched the agreement by not following the below parts of the agreement (Everycrsreport.com, 2018). KEY ISSUES 1)Intellectual Property Rights (IPR) and Cyber Theft: The firms of U.S faced this issue due to inadequate protection of Intellectual Property Rights, while carrying on the business in China a study on theft of America IP stated that 80% of annual economic losses of U.S are accounted by china, according to the report of U.S. Customs and Border Protection, china is the major contributor in counterfeit goods which has affected the economy of U.S adversely(Fas, 2019). 2)Trade Deficit: President Trump has highlighted the issue that there were U.S. bilateral trade imbalances, according to the policy makers of U.S the deficit indicated unfair trade relation,This lead to trade deficit in U.S, the U.S. merchandise trade
deficit with China in 2018 was $419billion (up from $376 billion in 2017), this imbalance showed a negative weight on the scale of U.S because of which its economy showed a declining graph (Fas, 2019). 3)Foreign Direct Investment (FDI): The trade officials of U.S have asked China to liberate its trade policies, so that U.S could increase its export and business operations in china and the agreement for bilateral trade have a balanced impact. The FDI flows of U.S-China were comparatively small as compared to given high level of bilateral trade, despite standards for such flows vary; this fact is as per the report of Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). In (2017) the FDI of china in U.S was $40billion & the FDI of U.S in China was $108billion, because of this imbalance the differences between the countries started happening (Fas, 2019). 4)Tariffs on Steel and Aluminium:OnMarch 1, 2018it was announced bypresident trumpthat the tariffs on import of steel would be imposed at 25% & 10% on aluminium, which affected the china’s import by $34 billion. In response to that china revoked the import contact with U.S and it also raised the tariffs from 15% to 25% on various products of United Stated, this step from both the nations affected their trade relations and also the economy, which can be seen by the fall in import-export between the two nations (Fas, 2019).
CAUSE A) China has the advantage over other countries of having cheap labour, because of which they can manufacture goods effectively and efficiently Que: How does China produces so economically? Ans: A lot of economists stated that the low price is a result of 2 factors: 1)The standard of living in China is low, which grant the organisation to pay low wages to the workers 2)The exchange rate is partially fixed to the dollar. The advantage of cheap labour provided China a monopolistic power because of which the change in policies took place and the trade war started (The Balance, 2019). EFFECT The incident had affected both the nations adversely in the following ways: 1. China has lost its largest export market, as U.S consumers have started consume few Chinese products and also lost its largest FDI share holder (The Balance, 2019). China: - fall in sale of cars by 11.7% & fall in sale of real estate by 3%. (Scmp, 2018). 2.. U.S lost its interest rate controller, China holds the title for being the largest lender to U.S government by buying the treasury bills, which is 28% of total public debt owned by foreign countries, this helped U.S in keeping the interest rate low (The Balance, 2019).
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U.S:- leads to unemployment & shut down of many small scale industries (Scmp, 2019). RECOMMENDATION 1. In our opinion if U.S impose trade protectionism policy, then the trade deficit can be balanced as the consumers will pay for the “Made In America” product, even though the price for the products would increase, but still the flow of currency will take place in the country itself and it will also increase the job opportunities in the country and the standard of living. 2. The companies should stop getting the work outsourced so that the dependency can be decreased and the export can be increased, just to cut down the cost many business organisations get their work outsourced through china and India which actually leads to the unemployment in the nation. 3. Both the nations should have a word with each other and try to figure out an effective solution with the help of WTO as they both are members of the same, so that they can have mutual benefits. 4. U.S must try to neutralise the interest rate by reducing its trade deficit for which it can go with the two options: A. Allow the FDI to be in a proportionate manner and with low formalities along with the subsidies from the government, so that the flow of currency increases from other countries. B. Increase the import of the products and resources at a pocket friendly cost so that the revenue can be generated and deficit can be balanced.
REFRENCE Everycrsreport, (2018),China-U.S. Trade Issues. Accesses 5 April, 2019 from Fas, (2019),congressional research paper. Access 5 April, 2019 from The Balance,(2019),US Trade Deficit With China and Why It's So High. Accesses 5 April, 2019 from Scmp, (2019),US-China trade war could slash almost 1 million jobs from the US economy, new study says, Accesses 5 April, 2019 fromhttps://www.scmp.com/economy/china- economy/article/2185446/us-china-trade-war-slash-almost-one-million-jobs-us- economy Thebalance,(2019),Free Trade Agreements, Their Impact, Types, and Examples,Accesses 5 April, 2019 fromhttps://www.thebalance.com/free-trade-agreement-types-and- examples-3305897 Scmp, (2018),China data shows economic growth slowing as impact of trade war with US intensifies, new study says, Accesses 5 April, 2019 from https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/2174541/china-data-shows- economic-growth-slowing-impact-trade-war-us Ourworldindata, (2018),Trade and Globalization, Accesses 5 April, 2019 from https://ourworldindata.org/trade-and-globalization Smallbusiness, (2018),The Effects of Free Trade, Accesses 5 April, 2019 from https://smallbusiness.chron.com/effects-trade-3842.html