Analysis of Macroeconomic and Microeconomic Factors Affecting Hospitality Industry in Poland
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This report analyzes the economic factors affecting the hospitality industry in Poland, including GDP, unemployment rate, consumption, and prices. It also examines the impact of government policies on investors' decisions and entrepreneurial initiatives.
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Business Economics 6/13/2018
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Business Economics1 Abstract The report is based on the analysis of the economic terms and concepts that can affect the decisions of the investors. The concepts that are discussed include microeconomics and macroeconomics. Macroeconomics is the process of splitting up of the economies that examine the actions of the organization and the individual who are making the decisions related to the allocation of the resources. Along with this, the macroeconomics is one of the important concepts of economics that is required to be analyzed because this reflects the branch of the economies that deals with the structure, behavior and decision making of an economy as a whole. These concepts define the economy of the country for the investors. This is the reason that the investors evaluate the economic factors that can affect the returns from the investment done by them. The investor has decided to make the investment in the Hospitality industry of Poland because this industry is growing and developing fact across the world. The report includes the analysis of the economic concepts and the initiatives that are taken by the government for supporting the hospitality industry.
Business Economics2 Contents Introduction......................................................................................................................................3 Analysis of macroeconomic developments.....................................................................................4 GDP of Poland.............................................................................................................................4 Unemployment rate.....................................................................................................................5 Consumption................................................................................................................................6 Prices............................................................................................................................................7 Analysis of the microeconomic effects............................................................................................8 Poland Hospitality industry.........................................................................................................8 Macroeconomic development affects the hospitality industry....................................................9 GDP affect the Poland hospitality industry.............................................................................9 Unemployment Poland affect the hospitality industry..........................................................10 Consumption Poland affect the hospitality industry..............................................................10 Prices affect the Poland hospitality industry.........................................................................11 Institutional and economic environment.......................................................................................11 Government policies in Poland for the hospitality industry..........................................................12 Government policy affects investors’ decisions and entrepreneurial initiatives.......................12 Conclusion.....................................................................................................................................14 References......................................................................................................................................15
Business Economics3 Introduction The aim of the report is to critically analyze the macroeconomic and microeconomic concepts and the issues or risk that are associated with the wide economy. The angel investor is willing to expand the business in the Eastern European country that is Poland. The sector which is selected by the angel investor for the investment is Hospitality industry. Poland country has been selected for the analysis because the country is developing rapidly due to which there is the possibility of the high turnover within the country. The development is the reason behind the selection of the hospitality industry as in Poland there is a rise in the number of hotels in the major cities and tourist destination in the country. The development of the popular destination will invite the foreign tourists for the visits. Moreover, the investor who is willing to invest the amount in Poland will be able to generate the high revenue. According to the STR global data, the company registered the rise in the revenue by 11% with the ranking among the best indicators in Europe. This is possible because of the high amount of occupancy in the country. The report includes the of the macroeconomic environment factors of the country such as GDP evolution, price level, and many others. Along with this, it shows the impact of the macroeconomic developments on the industry sector. Moreover, the assignment at the end includes the environment of the institutional and economic with the policies of the government. In addition, it shows the effect on investor’s decisions and entrepreneurial initiatives due to the initiatives of the government.
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Business Economics4 Analysis of macroeconomic developments This sector of the report will throw light on the analysis of the macroeconomic development which includes the analysis related to the GDP, consumption, prices, and employment that have changes in the last few years (Stiglitz, 2012). This is the fact that these factor change with the change in the industry. GDP of Poland GDP stands for the gross domestic products which help the investors in evaluating the final goods and services that are produced in the period. This helps the investor to evaluate the economy of the country. The below-given image reflects the details related to the gross domestic products in Poland from the year 2012 to 2017 along with the projections till the year 2022. Last year the GDP of Poland was 542.89 billion US dollars. Considering the analysis, the GDP of the country was low in the year 2015 and 2016 which increased by the year 2017. Moreover, the GDP for the year 2018 is expected to reach 614.19 and high in the coming years (Statista, 2018). (Source: Statista, 2018)
Business Economics5 This shows that there are opportunities for the rise in the GDP which results in the growth and development in the business within the country. Moreover, this reflects the rise in the purchasing power of the country which is the only way through which the people of Poland can spend the amount for consuming the services of hospitality companies. Furthermore, according to the GDP per capita, Poland is the country that acquires the 38thposition out of the 50 countries. Moreover, if talking about the parameters the population of Poland has a low level of affluence comparing it to the 50 countries (Country Economy, 2018). Unemployment rate The unemployment rate is considered as one of the important macroeconomic development elements within the country. Moreover, this reflects the economy of the county and more or less lead to the impact on the investment done by the investors within the country. The unemployment rate in Poland is continuously decreasing July 2017 to April 2018. This rate has fallen to 6.3% in April of 2018 from the percentage of 6.6 in March and in line with the market expectations. The company registered it as the lowest jobless rate from 1990 November (Trading Economics, 2018). This shows that there is a rise in the economy of the country which leads to the rise in the purchasing power of the people present in the country. This will allow them to make use of the premium services that are available within the market.
Business Economics6 (Source: Trading Economics, 2018) This image reflects that by the year 2017 there was high unemployment in Poland but the rise in the development and growth of the country brought the decrease in the unemployment within the country. Consumption The consumption of the product and services is also one of the important factors which are required to be considered while analyzing the macroeconomic development factors. The major consumption factor includes the use of the natural resources because in the hospitality industry numerous natural resources are used by the hotels and resorts.
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Business Economics7 (Source: Statista, 2018) The statistics reflect that the natural gas consumption is increasing in Poland from 2005 to 2016 (in billion cubic meters). In the year 2016, this consumption of the natural gas increase and reached to the 17.3 billion cubic meters (Statista, 2018). This data shows that it is made up of 0.5% of the world’s total natural gas consumption in the particular year. The above image reflects the rise in the usage of the natural resources. Prices The prices are indicated with the help of the CPI (consumer price index) which is one of the important macroeconomic development aspects. CPI refers to as the degree that identifies the weighted average of the prices of a basket of the consumer goods and services which include the healthcare, transportation, foodstuff and many others (Trading Economics, 2018). The annual variation rate of the CPI in Poland was 1.7% in May 2018 which is tenth higher than the month before. Moreover, it has been observed that the monthly variation rate of the CPI has
Business Economics8 been0.2% and along with this, the accumulated inflation in the year 2018 is 0.6% (Country Economy, 2018). (Source: Country Economy, 2018) The above-given image reflects the variation in the CPI of the year 2016 and 2017 in Poland. This is highlighted that there is a rise in the prices of transportation by 2.6% until its inter-annual rate reached the 4.8% (Country Economy, 2018). Analysis of the microeconomic effects This section of the report includes the analysis of the microeconomic factors of the Poland that can influence the hospitality industry and their operations (Friedman, 2017). Poland Hospitality industry The tourism destinations are increasing in Poland due to which there is a rise in the number of hotels in the prime or major cities. This is the fact that there are more than 20 newly planned in
Business Economics9 Warsaw (Herz, 2017). This is observed that there is a rise in the demand of the hotels by the local citizen. According to the STR Global data, the revenue for the last year of Poland hotels increases by 11% which shows the best ranking among the best indicators in Europe (Tore, 2017). The rise in the services of the hotel industry motivates the investors for the investment which results in the expansion of numerous hotels within Poland. Considering the opinion of the Walter Herz analysts, there are presently less than 2.7 thousand of the hotels that are categories in Poland market. In the Poland market, there was a gain of 106 classified hotel facilities (Herz, 2017). Macroeconomic development affects the hospitality industry The macroeconomic developments are one of the important aspects that are required to be considered in the analyses of the economic. The macroeconomic developments include GDP, unemployment rate, consumption and prices and all these components can affect the working of the hospitality industry of the country (Cowing and McFadden, 2015). GDP affect the Poland hospitality industry Gross domestic product analysis reflects that impact of the GDP on the hospitality industry. It is essential for the inventors to analyze the GDP of the country because the GDP leads to the economy of the country. The GDP of Poland is increasing due to which the economy of the rising which leads to the opportunity for the citizen as they can get the rise in the purchasing power. The investors in the hospitality industry like to make investments in the country where they are able to get the best returns. Moreover, this is the fact that every company needs the minimum returns for the survival (Terjesen, Bosma and Stam, 2016). The GDP also affects the economic development of the country due to which the development of the destinations for the tourists which will impact investors for investing the amount.
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Business Economics10 The growth rate of the GDP also results in the strong political component of the country which is essential to be determined because this can affect the investor’s decisions for the country as well as for the industry in which they are looking for the expansion. The productivity of the country can only be analyzed with the help of the GDP. Unemployment Poland affect the hospitality industry The unemployment affects the working of the company that falls under the hospitality industry. The low unemployment reflects that most of the people of the engaged in the activities which lead to the development. If there is high unemployment then there will be a direct impact on the GDP and the economy of the country. Considering the same, the investors of the company don’t like to invest the amount in the country because the development is not taking place in the country (Zientara, Kujawski and Bohdanowicz-Godfrey, 2015). Though, on the other hand, the high unemployment also leads to the issues for the companies who are operating the business under the hospitality industry because they won’t be able to find the skilled and talented employees to whom the company can offer its products (Boella and Goss-Turner, 2013). Consumption Poland affect the hospitality industry The consumption of the natural resource is one of the important aspects that are considered by the companies involved in the hospitality industry. The energy consumption in the Poland is increasing which leads to the negative impact on the investors as they won’t like to make the investment on the place where they are finding the issues related to the environment because this will show that the investors are supporting the energy consumption that is taking place within the organisation (Cingoski and Petrevska, 2018). Along with this, if investors are making decisions for investment then they need to ensure that they make proper strategies for conserving the
Business Economics11 environment and taking the environment safety steps. This is the better option which will help the company in contributing to save the natural resources. Prices affect the Poland hospitality industry The hospitality industry is grooming due to which there is a rise in the services and the facilities that are provided by the companies to their customers. Moreover, these companies make use of technology for innovating effective services that can lead to customer satisfaction. This will make them keep the high prices for the services that they are offering to their customers (Pawlicz and Napierala, 2017). According to the data that has been extracted it has been found that from the last 4 quarters there is a rise in the prices of the hotel rooms. There was a rise in the prices in Lodz by 8.5% and in Warsaw by 8.4%. The prices of the hotel service increase by an average of the both Warsaw and Lodz increase by approx. 4.4% (JLL, 2017). The rise in the prices affects the industry because there is very less number of customers who like to consumer services at the high prices when they are getting the option of services at low prices. Moreover, the purchasing power of the customers is also one of the important determined which is essential to be considered by the company. Institutional and economic environment The institutional and economic environment is two separate and concepts. The institutional environment is referred to as the explanation of the rules and regulations to which organization must ensure in order to take the support and legitimacy (Gómez-Haro, Aragón-Correa, and Cordón-Pozo, 2011). This institutional environment consists of the national structure related to the regulations, adjudication and the policymaking.
Business Economics12 Different from this, economic environment include the external factors that create an impact on the working of the company. In other words, it can be said that these are the issues that lead to the impact on the hospitality industry and the companies that are involved in the hospitality industry. The economic environment includes the social-cultural institutions which include the informal norms (Kirk, 2010). Government policies in Poland for the hospitality industry The government of the country plays a vital role in the industries that contribute in the GDP of the country. The contribution of the tourism economy to the Poland GDP was at the level of the 5-6%. Moreover, this sector in the Poland industry gives the maximum employment to the citizen of the country which results in the rise in the GDP. Moreover, the government of Poland is able to get the annual receipts from the arrivals of the foreign amount to EUR 8-9 billion which is approx. of the half of the inbound receipts. This is the reason the government promotes the tourism sector. The tourism department of Poland is more focused for the development of the infrastructure of the country as this is the way through which they can attract the investors towards the country. According to the report of the European attractiveness presented by the E&Y, in the coming next 3 years, Poland will be the second in Europe who will be considered as the most attractive country for the investment by the investors after Germany. Moreover, the government of the country welcomes the investors who are looking to invest the amount in the hospitality industry of the country. Poland government offer the wide range of the investment incentives. According to the government, they invite the investors to locate their projects in more than 14 Special Economic Zones (SEZ) that is special zones because the economic activities can run in the
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Business Economics13 favorable conditions (Polish Investment & Trade Agency, 2018). This policy is initiated by the government in which the investors get the benefit of the attractive tax exemptions, employment incentives and the well-formed investment lots. Government policy affects investors’ decisions and entrepreneurial initiatives The policy and program that is introduced by the government to help the investors to make the decisions as they evaluate the policies and programs. Poland tourism department is willing to attract new investors because this is the effective way through which they can bring the development in the country. The government of the country not only bring the development in tourism sector but also put the effort to bring the rise in the number of tourists. The investors will be able to make the investment when they will be able to find that there is a flow of the tourist who visits the place. Moreover, the investors also consider the local people as the tourist because they help the companies in generating the revenue. The entrepreneurial those are willing to start the business in the hospitality industry in Poland (Kuratko, 2016). Though, there might be some of the restrictions from the government side on the hospitality industry related to the tax due to which they might not be willing to make the investment within the country. The government of Poland welcome the entrepreneurial activities and make some initiatives so that they can bring the new ideas that can support the economy of the country. In addition, the government contributes to the development of the economy which is one of the factors due to which the investors and entrepreneurs make the decisions for the business in the hospitality industry of Poland.
Business Economics14 Conclusion In the end, it can be concluded that Poland is the best place for the angel investors to make the investment. The investors will be able to make the revenue and better returns because it has been found that the hospitality industry in Poland is grooming which is possible because of the positive economic aspects. The report includes the analysis of the major economic element which reflects the positive aspect due to which the Poland hospitality industry can be improved. The market analysis reflects that there are many more destinations are doing to develop which the visitors like to visit. This is the main reason due to which the investors should invest in the Poland market because this market can ensure the best returns due to a high number of visitors. The report also includes the analysis of the policies of the government that can affect the decisions taken by the investors and the new entrepreneurs who are willing to start the business. The investors who are willing to invest in the industry of Poland ensure that they evaluate and analyze all the economic aspects of their impact on the industry.
Business Economics15 References Boella, M. and Goss-Turner, S. (2013)Human resource management in the hospitality industry: A guide to best practice. New York: Routledge. Cingoski, V. and Petrevska, B. (2018) Making hotels more energy efficient: the managerial perception.Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja,31(1), pp.87-101. Country Economy (2018)Poland CPI Consumer Price Index[Online]. Available from: https://countryeconomy.com/countries-cpi/poland[Accessed on 13thJune 2018] Country Economy (2018)Poland GDP - Gross Domestic Product[Online]. Available from: https://countryeconomy.com/gdp/poland[Accessed on 13thJune 2018] Cowing, T.G. and McFadden, D.L. (2015)Macroeconomic modeling and policy analysis: Studies in residential energy demand. Elsevier. Friedman, L.S. (2017)The microeconomics of public policy analysis. Princeton University Press. Gómez-Haro, S., Aragón-Correa, J.A. and Cordón-Pozo, E. (2011) Differentiating the effects of the institutional environment on corporate entrepreneurship.Management Decision,49(10), pp.1677-1693. Herz, W. (2017)Hotel Industry In Poland Is Booming[Online]. Available from: http://www.outsourcingportal.eu/en/hotel-industry-in-poland-is-booming[Accessed on 13thJune 2018]
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Business Economics16 JLL (2017)The market for investment land in Poland[Online]. Available from: http://www.jll.pl/poland/en-gb/Research/The%20market%20for%20investment%20land%20in %20Poland.pdf[Accessed on 13thJune 2018] Kirk, D. (2010)Environmental management for hotels. New York: Routledge. Kuratko, D.F. (2016)Entrepreneurship: Theory, process, and practice. Boston: Cengage Learning. Pawlicz, A. and Napierala, T. (2017) The determinants of hotel room rates: an analysis of the hotel industry in Warsaw, Poland.International Journal of Contemporary Hospitality Management,29(1), pp.571-588. Polish Investment & Trade Agency (2018)Why Poland[Online]. Available from: https://www.paih.gov.pl/why_poland[Accessed on 13thJune 2018] Statista (2018)Natural gas consumption in Poland from 2005 to 2016 (in billion cubic meters) [Online]. Available from:https://www.statista.com/statistics/703670/natural-gas-consumption- poland/[Accessed on 13thJune 2018] Statista (2018)Poland: Gross domestic product (GDP) at current prices from 2012 to 2022 (in billion U.S. dollars)[Online]. Available from:https://www.statista.com/statistics/263588/gross- domestic-product-gdp-in-poland/[Accessed on 13thJune 2018] Stiglitz, J.E. (2012) Macroeconomic fluctuations, inequality, and human development.Journal of Human Development and Capabilities,13(1), pp.31-58. Terjesen, S., Bosma, N. and Stam, E. (2016) Advancing public policy for high‐growth, female, and social entrepreneurs.Public Administration Review,76(2), pp.230-239.
Business Economics17 Tore, O. (2017)Poland’s hospitality industry continues its growth in 2017[Online]. Available from:https://ftnnews.com/accommodation/33280-poland-s-hospitality-industry-continues-its- growth-in-2017.html[Accessed on 13thJune 2018] Trading Economics (2018)Poland Consumer Price Index (CPI)[Online]. Available from: https://tradingeconomics.com/poland/consumer-price-index-cpi[Accessed on 13thJune 2018] Trading Economics (2018)Poland Unemployment Rate[Online]. Available from: https://tradingeconomics.com/poland/unemployment-rate[Accessed on 13thJune 2018] Zientara, P., Kujawski, L. and Bohdanowicz-Godfrey, P. (2015) Corporate social responsibility and employee attitudes: evidence from a study of Polish hotel employees.Journal of Sustainable Tourism,23(6), pp.859-880.