This report provides an overview of the project budget, social and economic rationale, key statistics, funding mechanism, and key stakeholders. It also includes a risk analysis and mitigation plan for the Sydney Metro Northwest project.
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Running head: PROJECT RISK FINANCE AND MONITORING Project Risk Finance and Monitoring Name of Student Name of University Author Note
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1 PROJECT RISK FINANCE AND MONITORING Table of Contents Part A: Project Overview.....................................................................................................2 1. Overall Budget.............................................................................................................2 2. Social and Economic Rationale...................................................................................2 2.1. Project Benefits.....................................................................................................3 2.2. Drawbacks............................................................................................................4 3. Key Statistics...............................................................................................................4 3.1. Scope and Size......................................................................................................4 3.2. Budget and Estimated Cost...................................................................................4 3.3. Time Required to Complete the Project...............................................................5 3.4. Key Construction Elements..................................................................................5 3.5. Environmental Costs or Benefits..........................................................................5 4. Funding Mechanism....................................................................................................5 5. Key Stakeholders.........................................................................................................6 Part B: Risk Analysis...........................................................................................................7 Part C: Risk Mitigation Plan..............................................................................................13 References..........................................................................................................................16
2 PROJECT RISK FINANCE AND MONITORING Risk Analysis and Mitigation Plan Part A: Project Overview The project of Sydney Metro Northwest is taken into consideration for analyzing the risk analysisandmitigationoftherisksassociated.TheSydneyMetroNorthwestprojectis associated with delivery of eight railway station and space for car parking for 4000 commuter (Sydneymetro.info. 2019). The project aims in delivering a automated metro rail project in Australia. This part of the report will provide a brief overview of the overall budget of the project,socialandeconomicrationaleoftheproject,keyprojectstatisticsandfunding mechanism associated with the project. The key statistics and the budget details of the project is discussed in the following paragraphs. 1. Overall Budget The set budget of the chosen project is $6.30bn. The entire project budget is allocated for the set tasks of the project. A contract of $1.15 billion was provided to the CPB John Holland Dragados (CPBJHD) on June 24. $340 million contract was awarded to Impregilo-Salini Joint Venturewhile$3.7billioncontractoperationswasgiventoNorthwestRapidTransit (Gharehbaghi and Sagoo 2016). The budget allocated for the project involves the entire designing, constructional and operational activities. 2. Social and Economic Rationale The chosen project aims in development of 8 railway stations and parking space for 4000 commuter for Sydney. The chosen project is the initial stage of Sydney metro project and it aims
3 PROJECT RISK FINANCE AND MONITORING in delivering a fully automated metro rail system in Australia (Liu and Liu 2017). The Sydney metro rail project offers a large number of economic and social benefits. 2.1. Project Benefits The Sydney Metro Northwest Project has certain economic and social benefit. The major benefits are as follows- 1. The project aims in delivering and developing a metro rail system, in Australia which is fully automated. 2. A public transport service, which is reliable will be delivered in that particular region of Sydney. The Sydney Northwest Area has largest number of car ownership (Bliucet al.2017). The project aims in delivering car parking services to 4000 commuter as well. 3. One of the most significant societal benefits of Sydney Metro rail project is that it looks after the safety of the customer (Cunningham and Strong 2017). In order to ensure customers’ safety, more than 230 cameras are installed in the tunnel. The cross passages of the metro rail project are wide enough for the wheel chairs. 4. In order to ensure additional safety, the cross passages will have a self-closing sliding door. 5. The lifts associated with the project is designed in such a manner that it is able to evacuate passengers on stretchers. 6. The proposed project has certain economic benefits as well (Brinkmann, Pearson and Nye 2017). This is because in this particular project, 2.8 million tonnes of crushed rock that is was generated as a result of tunneling activity was reused
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4 PROJECT RISK FINANCE AND MONITORING 7.Theproposedprojecthasclearvisionofensuringdeliveryofasustainable infrastructure that will demonstrate improvements in environmental, economic and social aspects 2.2. Drawbacks There drawbacks associated with the project are as follows (Birdsall 2015)- 1. The size and the specifications of the project increases project complications. 2. Since the proposed project is quite complex, there is schedule risk associated with the project. 3. Key Statistics This section of the report provides an overview of the key information associated with the project. 3.1. Scope and Size The project aims in delivering a sustainable infrastructure project, completion of which will provide economic improvements, environmental improvements and social improvements throughout the chosen project (Nyeet al.2017). The project will be delivering eight new railway stations after the completion of the project. The project has both societal and economic benefits which are discussed in the section above. The project is a large scale project and is aimed to be delivered this year. 3.2. Budget and Estimated Cost
5 PROJECT RISK FINANCE AND MONITORING The project is an ongoing project with an estimated budget of $6.30 billion. The estimatedcostoftheprojectinvolvesthecontractualcost,constructionalcostandthe infrastructural cost as well. 3.3. Time Required to Complete the Project The project is an ongoing project and it is in its finishing stage (Larson and Gray 2017). The project is currently in testing phase and the project is expected to open in May 2019. The project started in the year 2013. 3.4. Key Construction Elements The key constructional elements associated with the implementation of the project involves delivery of a commuter service with trains running in every four minutes (Marcelino- Sádabaet al.2014). A public transport service will be delivered as a part of the chosen, which is reliable. Apart from the delivery of the metro rail service, the project aims in delivery of 4000 commuter car parking spaces. 3.5. Environmental Costs or Benefits This sustainable project addresses the major environmental issues associated with similar types of project (Kerzner and Kerzner 2017). The crushed rock that was generated as a part of the tunneling activity could have adversely affected the environment. However, 100 percent of 2.8 million tonnes of the crushed rock that was generated was used in the project work. 4. Funding Mechanism
6 PROJECT RISK FINANCE AND MONITORING Theprojectisasocietalinfrastructureprojectandthereforethegovernmenthas committed to fund the project. The project is a part of country’s biggest public transport project that aims in connecting city centers around suburbs. 5. Key Stakeholders The main stakeholders associated with the project are as follows- 1. CPBJohn Holland Dragados 2. Impregilo-Salini 3. Northwest Rapid Transit 4. State Government 5. Daily passengers
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7 PROJECT RISK FINANCE AND MONITORING Part B: Risk Analysis This section of the report identifies the major risks and issues associated with the chosen project. The project is currently ongoing and it is set to complete this year. However, there were major risks and issues associated with this public infrastructure project (Carvalho and Rabechini Junior 2015). The size and the complexity of the chosen project added to the identified project risks. The risk assessment and the management process of the chosen project will be based on the PMBOK risk management framework. The risk management knowledge area of PMBOK is mainly based on 7 processes which are as follows- 1. Planning of Risk Management process 2. Risk Identification 3. Performing the Qualitative Analysis of the Risk 4. Performing Quantitative Analysis of the Risk 5. Risk Response Planning 6. Implementing Risk Response 7. Monitoring the risk On analyzing the risks and issues associated with the chosen project, all the above mentioned points will be considered (Ramos 2018). The project team of the chosen project had planned the risk management of the project prior to the implementation of the project, which
8 PROJECT RISK FINANCE AND MONITORING helped in efficient management of the risk. The project reports of similar infrastructural project were analyzed to identify the risk trends in the project. A qualitative and quantitative risk management framework is utilized to identify the majorrisksrelatedtotheproject.Thedatarelatedtoqualitativeriskidentificationare represented in form of the probability impact table below- RisksDescriptionProbability/LikelihoodImpact/ Severity Design RisksThe project is quite complexand thereforeitis essentialtoprovide aneffectiveproject design(McWilliam and Cutcliffe 2018). Considering the size oftheproject,any issueintheproject designcouldhave resultedinproject failure. HighHigh Schedule RisksTheprojecthas schedule risks as it is a large sized project (KhanandLauria HighHigh
9 PROJECT RISK FINANCE AND MONITORING 2018).Theproject aims in development ofeightrailway stationandcar parkingspacesand therefore, it might be difficult to plan and scheduleanentire project in the project initiation phase. Operational RisksTheSydneymetro NorthwestProject involves development of eight new railway stations, which might result in certainoperational risks. HighMedium Scope ChangeThechangeinthe scope of the project canresultinrisks related to operations and control (Johriet MediumMedium
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10 PROJECT RISK FINANCE AND MONITORING al.2018). Safety ImplicationsSafetyofthe customersorthe dailycommutersis oneofthemost important aspects of thisproject.Any issuesinsafety implicationsofthe customercanresult in project failure LowHigh Environmental aspects The project is to be implemented in such awaythatthe environmental issues areacknowledged. Anyenvironmental risksshouldbe mitigatedwithhigh priority. One of the basic clauses of the project is to ensure environmental MediumMedium
11 PROJECT RISK FINANCE AND MONITORING sustainability As a part of quantitative risk analysis method, two individuals associated with the particular project are interviewed. The respondents were asked about the most significant risk they have faced in the project. It has been observed that the schedule risk and the operational risk are the major risks related to the project. On basis of the risks identified a risk matrix is developed which is mentioned as follows- RiskAssessment Matrix ACCEPTABLETOLERABLEGENERALLY UNACCEPTABLE NOT LIKELYEnviornmental Aspects and Scope ChangeSafety Implications POSSIBLEOperational RiskDesign Risks PROBABLEScope ChangeHIGHSchedule Risks SCALE OF SEVERITY SCALE OF LIKELIHOOD Figure 1: Representing the Risk Matrix for the Identified Risks
12 PROJECT RISK FINANCE AND MONITORING The structure of risk matrix is as follows- RiskAssessment Matrix ACCEPTABLETOLERABLEGENERALLY UNACCEPTABLE NOT LIKELYLOWMEDIUMMEDIUM POSSIBLELOWMEDIUMHIGH PROBABLEMEDIUMHIGHHIGH SCALE OF SEVERITY SCALE OF LIKELIHOOD Figure 2: A standard Risk Matrix The risks in Figure 1 is plotted in the matrix as per their severity and probability of occurrence.
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13 PROJECT RISK FINANCE AND MONITORING Part C: Risk Mitigation Plan This section of the report will be analyzing the risks identified in the section above. The risk associated with the project have been identified on basis of the qualitative and quantitative risksidentificationprocess. Theassessmentof the risksare basedon the PMBOKrisk management framework. The previous section of the report identifies six most significant risk associated with the Sydney Metro Northwest project. A risk matrix is generated in order to rank the risk on basis of the likelihood of its occurrence and its probability. Since the particular project is an ongoing project, it is quite essential to identify the risk mitigation plan for the identified risk. The risk mitigation plan can significantly help in reducing the impact of the risk on normal execution of a project. Design Risk:one of the major risks related to the Sydney Metro Northwest project is the design risk. The project is a large scale project that aims in delivery of railway station along with parking of cars for 4000 commuters (Chan 2018). The project aims in improving the daily commute service and that makes this project a high priority project. Design risk is ranked as a risk of high probability and high severity risk as occurrence of this risk can largely impact the schedule, budget and successful implementation of project as well. It becomes necessary to identify the mitigation approach for the design risk related to Sydney Metro Northwest project in to ensure that the chosen project is delivered as per the schedule. The design risk is this project is mitigated by hiring a project design team who have experience in similar infrastructure projects. One of the basic aspects of the Sydney metro rail project is that a reliable public transport service is to be delivered. Securing an effective design
14 PROJECT RISK FINANCE AND MONITORING of the project is therefore necessary (Loveet al.2019). The risk mitigation approach chosen for this particular risk isrisk transfer.The design risk is transferred to the design team of the project to ensure that a working project design is prepared. The Sydney Metro Northwest project did not face any significant design risk as of now. A well-structured project design helped in implementation of the project in an effective manner. Schedule Risk:Another major risk associated with the project is schedule risk. Since it is a high priority project, the likelihood of occurrence of this risk is quite high. The schedule risk related to this project can be mitigated by planning the implementation of the project activities in accordance to the resources available and time available for the project. In this particular project, each activity is completed as per plan, which helped in mitigation of the schedule risk associated with the project. The project management team of the Sydney Metro northwest project ensured that the project is completed as per the planned schedule. The schedule risk associated with this project is therefore mitigated by following therisk controlapproach. Operational Risks:The Sydney metro Northwest project is associated with certain operational risks. Since the infrastructure project is associated with daily commute service, the operational risks is quite common. The severity of the identified operational risks is also high in this project and therefore, identification of the mitigation approach is necessary. The operational risk is mitigated in this project by ensuring effective supervision and control of the project activities. Scope Change:one of the most significant risk associated with any construction project is change in project scope. Since the project is a large scale project the probability of occurrence of this risk was high as well. The risk of scope change was managed by identifying the exact project requirements prior to the drafting of project charter. The Sydney metro northwest project was
15 PROJECT RISK FINANCE AND MONITORING considered to be the first stage of metro project and therefore, it has a high risk of scope change. Therefore, the approach chosen for mitigation of this risk isrisk avoidanceapproach. Safety Implication:Another major risk associated with the chosen project is related to safety implications. Since the project promised to deliver an infrastructure service that will look after the safety of the customers, the risks related to safety implication is needed to be controlled. The risk mitigation approach that is identified for this risk isrisk control.The risks of safety implicationiscontrolledbyensuringthroughsupervisionineachphaseofproject implementation. EnvironmentalAspects:Theinfrastructureprojectisassociatedwithcertainmajor environmental risks. However, in this particular project, the environmental risks are mitigated by re-usingthemajorityofthewastesgeneratedthroughtunnelingactivities.This,the environmental risks in the project is minimized.
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16 PROJECT RISK FINANCE AND MONITORING References Birdsall, M., 2015. From Metro and Light Rail to Trains and Trams: Exploring Sydney, Australia's Expansive Public Transit Initiatives.Institute of Transportation Engineers. ITE Journal,85(11), p.31. Bliuc, R., Kitson, M.C., Lee, C.H., Miller, T., O'Halloran, B., McLaughlin, V., Hsi, J., Candeepan, C. and Somasundaram, M., 2017. Sydney Metro Northwest-Design and construction of the underground stations. In16th Australasian Tunnelling Conference 2017: Challenging Underground Space: Bigger, Better, More(p. 144). Engineers Australia. Brinkmann, S.M., Pearson, M.S. and Nye, E.J., 2017. Sydney Metro Northwest-Design and constructionoftheNorwestandCastleHillpedestrianunderpass.In16thAustralasian Tunnelling Conference 2017: Challenging Underground Space: Bigger, Better, More(p. 160). Engineers Australia. Carvalho, M.M.D. and Rabechini Junior, R., 2015. Impact of risk management on project performance: the importance of soft skills.International Journal of Production Research,53(2), pp.321-340. Chan, S., 2018. Railway engineering-how to monitor integration of multiple systems. InCORE 2018: Conference on Railway Excellence(p. 117). Railway Technical Society of Australasia (RTSA); Technical Society of Engineers Australia. Cunningham, M.D. and Strong, S., 2017. Anchor technology and automated drilling rigs for tunnel fit-out at Sydney Metro North West, Sydney. In16th Australasian Tunnelling Conference 2017: Challenging Underground Space: Bigger, Better, More(p. 414). Engineers Australia.
17 PROJECT RISK FINANCE AND MONITORING Gharehbaghi, K. and Sagoo, A., 2016. Environmental Implications of the Sydney Metro: A Case Study.InternationalProceedingsofChemical,BiologicalandEnvironmentalEngineering (IPCBEE),97(3), pp.15-21. Johri, P., McGann, T.J., Venn-Brown, D.C. and Zou, R., 2018. Introducing Sydney's fully automated metro rolling stock. InCORE 2018: Conference on Railway Excellence(p. 641). Railway Technical Society of Australasia (RTSA); Technical Society of Engineers Australia. Kerzner, H. and Kerzner, H.R., 2017.Project management: a systems approach to planning, scheduling, and controlling. John Wiley & Sons. Khan, S. and Lauria, F.P., 2018. The Sydney metro Skytrain cable stayed bridge. InAustralian Structural Engineering Conference: ASEC 2018(p. 489). Engineers Australia. Larson, E.W. and Gray, C.F., 2017.Project management: The managerial process. McGraw-Hill Education. Liu, L.X. and Liu, L., 2017, September. Evidence on Innovation in Public-Private Partnership Project. InEuropean Conference on Innovation and Entrepreneurship(pp. 375-383). Academic Conferences International Limited. Love, P.E., Sing, M.C., Ika, L.A. and Newton, S., 2019. The cost performance of transportation projects: The fallacy of the Planning Fallacy account.Transportation Research Part A: Policy andPractice,122,pp.1-20.
18 PROJECT RISK FINANCE AND MONITORING Marcelino-Sádaba, S., Pérez-Ezcurdia, A., Lazcano, A.M.E. and Villanueva, P., 2014. Project riskmanagementmethodologyforsmallfirms.Internationaljournalofproject management,32(2), pp.327-340. McWilliam, S. and Cutcliffe, D., 2018. Digital starting blocks: The Sydney Metro experience. InCORE 2018: Conference on Railway Excellence(p. 388). Railway Technical Society of Australasia (RTSA); Technical Society of Engineers Australia. Nye, E.J., McHugh, C., Ockwell, T., Tennakoon, N. and Kitson, M.C., 2017. Sydney Metro Northwest-Design and construction of the service facility shafts. In16th Australasian Tunnelling Conference 2017: Challenging Underground Space: Bigger, Better, More(p. 152). Engineers Australia. Ramos,C.,2018.Requirementsmanagement-how110,000requirementsaremanagedon Northwest Rapid Transit. InCORE 2018: Conference on Railway Excellence(p. 514). Railway Technical Society of Australasia (RTSA); Technical Society of Engineers Australia. Sydneymetro.info. 2019.Sydney Metro Northwest Project Overview | Sydney Metro. [online] Availableat:https://www.sydneymetro.info/northwest/project-overview[Accessed18Apr. 2019].