This article discusses the project risk, finance and monitoring of the New Sydney City Deals. It includes identification of the case, size and scope of the project, benefits, expected difficulties, risk assessment analysis, and list of key stakeholders.
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Running head: PROJECT RISK, FINANCE AND MONITORING Project Risk, Finance and Monitoring University Name Student Name Authors’ Note
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2 PROJECT RISK, FINANCE AND MONITORING Table of Contents Solution to Part A.......................................................................................................................2 Solution to Part B.......................................................................................................................7 Solution to Part C.....................................................................................................................13 References................................................................................................................................16
3 PROJECT RISK, FINANCE AND MONITORING Solution to Part A Identification of the case: The project case selected for the current study is the “The New Sydney City Deals”. The Western Sydney City Deal can be considered to be a partnership between Australian Government, NSW Government and regional governments of the Blue Mountains, Camden, Campbelltown, Fairfield, Penrith, Wollondilly, Hawkesbury and Liverpool. Overall budget In essence, the City Deal has the plan for development of future planning along with streamlined procedures for presenting new homes. This can help in meeting expectations of the community of regional character, appropriate design along with accessibility to services as well as transport. As per the federal government, it is a $30 million housing package that includes “The Western Sydney Housing Package”. In essence, it is anticipated that around 184500 homes will be required over the subsequent 20 years with the NSW government to generate five along with 20 year targets of housing. In actual fact, this liveability package is said to entail a $150 million investment in various community facilities as well as amenities (Nsw.gov.au2018). Size and scope of the project with discussion on aims and objectives The Australian government along with the NSW governments have come together with regional governments in assenting on a set of commitments (Nsw.gov.au2018). This can unlock opportunities in specifically education, employment as well as business for the entire Western City and its people. The scope of the current project at a glance includes the following:-
4 PROJECT RISK, FINANCE AND MONITORING - Realising the 30 minute city by means of delivering the project of North South Rail Link -Generating 2, 00,000 jobs by way of supercharging both Aerotropolis as well as agribusiness precinct as channels (Nsw.gov.au2018). -Skilling all the residents in this region and initiating all the Aerospace Institute (Bessis 2015) -Respecting and at the same time building on regional character by means of $150 million Liveability Program -Coordination and innovation by means of a Planning Partnership -Getting on with the process of delivering for the Western Parkland City with tri-level governance (Nsw.gov.au2018). -Speedy bus service relating Liverpool, Campbelltown as well as Penrith together with the Aerotropolis by opening of airport Rationale for the project including benefits The Australian as well as NSW governments have specific plans for handling growth as well as delivering infrastructure in the cities. The policy settings include smart cities plan and the Western City District Plan. The potential for Western Sydney along with its people over the subsequent 10 years to 20 years can be considered to be really limitless (Nsw.gov.au2018). Essentially, at the core of the potential is necessarily a new city, upheld by construction of new Western Sydney Airport that will link the entire region along with the people of the region Western Sydney to the whole world. In essence, this investment is said to create world class opportunities of jobs and superior quality of life (Hillson and Murray-Webster 2017). This project on Western Sydney City deal has a strong focus on particularly liveability, and this can benefit all the resident as well as business for many generations to come. In addition
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5 PROJECT RISK, FINANCE AND MONITORING to this, there remains a strong commitment from both the Federal as well as the State Government to operate together to concentrate on regional communities as well as local communities. This will generate more connected along with sustainable Western City that mightprovetobebeneficialfortheeightgovernmentareasengaged,countingthe Hawkesbury. Therefore, the benefits can be hereby presented below: - Connectivity: This city deal can help in connecting the Western City thorugh road, rail, aviation as well as digital infrastructure (Nsw.gov.au2018). -Employment opportunity: This project can help in generation of employment and building the exclusive opportunity of specifically the Western Sydney Airport to drive investment as well as growth in employment (Hillson and Murray-Webster 2017). -Development of skills as well as education: The current project necessarily takes up coordinated approach towards development of education and sharpening of skills (Hillson and Murray-Webster 2017). Essentially, particular training programs are undertaken to make certain that different individuals have the opportunity to equip themselves with the requisite skills to acquire advantage of considerable employment opportunities. -Planning as well as Housing: A particular package of reform across the entire spectrum of planning can enhance housing supply along with affordability (Luhmann 2017) -Liveability as well as environment: Operating together to make certain that Western City is a nice place to reside in, where there is a inclusive culture that welcomes different communities and celebrate diverse natural assets (Luhmann 2017) -Governance: This reflects a shared vision and reveals the plan for implementation for the project on Western City.
6 PROJECT RISK, FINANCE AND MONITORING Any expected difficulties or drawbacks Theexpecteddifficultiesinthisprojectincludeproblemsinunderstandingtheexact definition of the set goals of the project. Sometimes the people involved in the project might start the project without distinct objectives, a particular direction along with a prepared plan. In case if the goals as well as objectives of the project are not properly defined, then in that case the project might fail (Hillson and Murray-Webster 2017). Therefore, the entire team involved in the process need to be clear regarding the roles, accountabilities along with deliverables right from the beginning. Again, another expected difficulty in the project development process is the establishment of unrealistic deadlines. It can be seen that majority of the projects fail owing to unrealistic deadlines that are unachievable and are driven by enumerated business necessities (Lam 2014). Scope creep is yet another difficulty that might perhaps be faced. Essentially, this can put different project managers as well as team members in a difficult spot since unpredictable or else new alterations can necessarily direct the way towards project failure (Hopkin 2017). There are lot of little alterations that are as bad as one big change. Insufficient team skill is also another expected difficulty. Majority of the times, the members of the team are assigned on their availability and there are contingencies that can affect availability of the project (Glendonet al.2016). In case if members of the team are not skilled or else trained adequately to satisfy the challenges and perform assigned tasks, it can position various development projects in a hazardous spot.
7 PROJECT RISK, FINANCE AND MONITORING List of key stakeholders, groups or individuals involved in the project -Individuals that reports to different customers -Sponsors both internal and external -Upper management as well as executives -Human Resources -Workforce outside the project team Solution to Part B Risk Assessment Analysis Principles outlined in the Project Management Body of Knowledge include risk management, communicationmanagement,humanresourcemanagement,qualitymanagement,cost management, time management, scope management and integration management. As rightly indicated byMcNeilet al.(2015), risk assessment can be considered to be qualitative, quantitative as well as semi-quantitative. For the purpose of the present study, qualitative assessment for supporting further analysis of quantitative, but can also deliver information required for risk evaluation. Essentially, one of the most common mechanisms for qualitative risk analysis is necessarily the impact probability matrix (Careyet al.2016). In this two different variables are in actual fact risk component. In particular, actual technique/process of this mechanism is the assignment of specific scores for assessment of likelihood and influence of risk categories. The first step includes setting the impact on a specific scale ranging between 1 and 5 (Careyet al.2016). Impact Analysis: The authorities responsible for undertaking the project on developing the “The New Sydney City Deals” cam carry out the impact analysis. In addition to this,
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8 PROJECT RISK, FINANCE AND MONITORING magnitude of influence ranges between very high, high, medium, low and insignificant. The implication of the impact can be illustrated is as presented below: Thereafter, the governing unit of the project can consider defining probability of occurrence of risk. The likelihood level with implications of the score can be assigned to the activities involved in the project (Verneret al.2014).The subsequent step is to ascertain exposure to risk directing values in a table as is presented below: Based on the steps mentioned in the risk assessment procedure, impact analysis for then current project can be analysed herein:
9 PROJECT RISK, FINANCE AND MONITORING Risk Matrix Severity/ProbabilityCatastrophicMarginalCriticalNegligible CertainExtremeExtended delaysin stagesof completion ofthe tasks- High ExtremeHigh LikelyExtremeLocalised concern regarding the housing package that has no influence onlong term feasibility- High HighExtreme PossibleExtremeModerateMinor Operational disruptions, Internal dispute- High Low UnlikelyExtremeModerateFinancial Loss -Low Sustained worsening
10 PROJECT RISK, FINANCE AND MONITORING inworking conditions- Low RareSerious injury to the people involvedin theproject (high) Low This risk matrix can be considered to be a widespread tool for analysis of risk. In essence, this can be used to ascertain risk size and whether or not identified risk can be adequately controlled (Bommeret al.2015). As per the matrix drawn above, probability as well as severity of incidents can be evaluated using the matrix. Serious injury caused to the people involved in the project can be referred to as rare but at the same time catastrophic. Again, sustained poor working conditions are negligible and unlikely at the same time. Minor Operational disruptions along with internal dispute in the corporation can be considered to be possible event and at the same time possible. Again, the events of Localised concern regarding the housing package that has no influence on long term feasibility is said to have marginal as well as likely effects (Glendonet al.2016). In addition to this, serious injury to the individuals involved in the project can be regarded to be rare and catastrophic at the same time. Other processes of assessment of risk include the following: Root Cause Analysis:In addition to this, authority responsible for the current project can consider undertaking the root cause analysis (RCA). In this regard, risks associated to the
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11 PROJECT RISK, FINANCE AND MONITORING project can be analysed using safety based root cause analysis, analysis of failure, production based analysis, system based analysis as well as process based analysis.Thorough study of the project under consideration shows that there is risk involved as regards the occupation health of the workforce that gets involved in the process (Acemogluet al.2015). In addition to this, failure analysis can be utilized in assessment of different technological systems that can be linked to reliability along with maintenance of the project under consideration. Detailed analysis reflects that Production based root-cause analysis shows that there is risk associated to the field or area of quality control for particularly construction and development of the smart city deals (Reardon et al.2017). There are necessarily industrial concerns and quality concerns and quality control issues associated to tasks involved in the process of developing the housing package. Additionally, process based root-cause analysis also helps in evaluating business processes engaged in the tasks of the projects (Bessis 2015). Finally, the system based intricate system aids in the process of analysing previous areas that required amendments and the amended considered to correcting the detected areas, management of risk along with analysis of systems. Failure Modes and Effect Analysis (also simply referred to as FMEA): Management of the project under deliberation can consider carrying out risk analysis utilizing the tool of FMEA (Hewitt 2014). This is necessarily a technique that can be utilized for identification of the ways in which diverse components, procedures or else systems can fail to satisfy intention of thedesign.Thistoolhelpsindetectingthefollowingaspectsoftheprojectunder consideration: - All the probable failure modes of different parts of the identified system
12 PROJECT RISK, FINANCE AND MONITORING -Analysis of the effects or else impacts of these identified failures on the entire system under deliberation (Haimes 2015) -Evaluation of various mechanisms of the failure -Evaluation of the ways to avoid the failures and mitigate the influences of the detected failures on the entire system Evaluation of risks related to project reveals that there are risks related to financial loss. Therefore, to a certain extent there is apprehension regarding the financial success of the firm. In this regard, it can be said that potential financial loss can be said to be a root cause of risk in the area under consideration (Renn 2017). In addition to this, human factors can also be found to be an important factor that can lead to certain detected risks. For example, potential injury to the workforce involved in the project can also be considered to be root cause of risk. In addition to this, legal compliance can again be regarded as a root cause of the legal risks. Essentially, breaches to specified regulations to various confirmed regulations stipulated by diverse authorities are also a risk factor under the fundamental factor of legal compliance. Thereafter, operational functionalities are another root aspect that might lead to various operational disruptions and can be defined as a risk (Acharyaet al.2017). Further, it can be hereby added that adverse influences that of negative reputation can be regarded to be risk. Therefore, reputational risk can be considered to be a root cause of deterioration of the brand equity of the organization under consideration.
13 PROJECT RISK, FINANCE AND MONITORING Solution to Part C Risk Mitigation Plan and Strategy The management of the project can consider the following options that include the following: - Assuming and accepting- Acknowledging the entire existence of a specific identified risk and make a deliberate decision to accept the same without involving special efforts to control the recognized risk (Luhmann 2017). In this case, approval of the particular project or else leaders of the program are essential. In this case, management responsible for the Western Sydney City Deal can consider the conventional costs, project schedules along with specified performance parameters. In this case, the identified risks can be characterised as influence to mission performance resulting from decreased technical performance or else capability (Hillson and Murray-Webster 2017). Therefore, development of a comprehension of the impacts of the risks can help in understanding the state of affairs. This option of assuming and accepting can be ultimately selected as this can help users in deciding whether accepting the consequences of a particular risk is at all acceptable. Essentially, this can present the vulnerabilities that affect diverse risk, counter specific dimensions that can be carried out and several residual risk that might perhaps take place. In this way, management of Western Sydney City Deal can understand the costs in respect of both time as well as money. - Avoiding: management of the project can consider adjustment of various requirements of the program else wise constraints for the purpose of elimination or reduction of various identified risks (Bromileyet al.2015). In essence, this kind of adjustment can necessarily be accommodated by means of alteration in the process of financing, scheduling or technical
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14 PROJECT RISK, FINANCE AND MONITORING necessities. In this regard, it can be said that working collaboratively can help in attaining a collective understanding implications of the risk (Lam 2014). In essence, this can help in understanding projections of specific schedules adjustments required to lessen the risk related to the project Western Sydney City Deal (particularly, risks related to maturity of technology or supplementary development to enhance performance). -Controlling: Implementation of actions for the purpose of minimization of the influence or else likelihood of the identified risk can be said to the process of controlling the detected risks (Hopkin 2017). This can help in controlling various identified risks by undertaking analysis of different options of mitigation. For instance, one alternative is to utilize a commercially available potential in place of the contractor developed option. For the purpose of developing alternatives for the purpose of controlling risks in the current program, they can seek out various probable solutions for identical risk situations (Glendonet al.2016). At the time of considering specific solutions, management can take care in the process of evaluating any architectural alterations required along with their implications. -Transfer: Management of the firm can take into account reassignment of organizational liability, accountability along with authority to yet another stakeholder that is willing to accept overall risk identified in the task. In thiscontext, it can be hereby said that reassignment of the liability for identified risk zone to yet another organization can be considered to be a viable option for averting the risks (McNeilet al.2015). The authority accountable for then Western Sydney City Deal can transfer the risk when the risk identified engages a narrow specialised expertise that is not commonly discovered in the own program. However, transferring a specific identified risk to yet another organization can lead to dependencies along with lack of control.
15 PROJECT RISK, FINANCE AND MONITORING -Watch: Management of the project under consideration can consider adequate monitoring of the entire environment for diverse alterations that might affect overall nature or else impact of identified risks.
16 PROJECT RISK, FINANCE AND MONITORING References Acemoglu, D., Ozdaglar, A. and Tahbaz-Salehi, A., 2015. Systemic risk and stability in financial networks.American Economic Review,105(2), pp.564-608. Acharya, V.V., Pedersen, L.H., Philippon, T. and Richardson, M., 2017. Measuring systemic risk.The Review of Financial Studies,30(1), pp.2-47. Bessis, J., 2015.Risk management in banking. John Wiley & Sons. Bommer,J.J.,Crowley,H.andPinho,R.,2015.Arisk-mitigationapproachtothe management of induced seismicity.Journal of Seismology,19(2), pp.623-646. Bromiley,P.,McShane,M.,Nair,A.andRustambekov,E.,2015.Enterpriserisk management: Review, critique, and research directions.Long range planning,48(4), pp.265- 276. Carey, S.C., Colaresi, M.P. and Mitchell, N.J., 2016. Risk mitigation, regime security, and militias: Beyond coup-proofing.International studies quarterly,60(1), pp.59-72. Glendon, A.I., Clarke, S. and McKenna, E., 2016.Human safety and risk management. Crc Press. Glendon, A.I., Clarke, S. and McKenna, E., 2016.Human safety and risk management. Crc Press. Haimes, Y.Y., 2015.Risk modeling, assessment, and management. John Wiley & Sons. Hewitt, K., 2014.Regions of risk: A geographical introduction to disasters. Routledge. Hillson, D. and Murray-Webster, R., 2017.Understanding and managing risk attitude. Routledge.
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17 PROJECT RISK, FINANCE AND MONITORING Hopkin,P.,2017.Fundamentalsofriskmanagement:understanding,evaluatingand implementing effective risk management. Kogan Page Publishers. Lam, J., 2014.Enterprise risk management: from incentives to controls. John Wiley & Sons. Luhmann, N., 2017.Risk: a sociological theory. Routledge. McNeil, A.J., Frey, R. and Embrechts, P., 2015.Quantitative risk management: Concepts, techniques and tools. Princeton university press. NSWGovernment.2018.WesternSydneyCityDeal.[online]Availableat: https://www.nsw.gov.au/improving-nsw/projects-and-initiatives/western-sydney-city-deal/ [Accessed 23 Apr. 2018]. Reardon, M.J., Van Mieghem, N.M., Popma, J.J., Kleiman, N.S., Søndergaard, L., Mumtaz, M., Adams, D.H., Deeb, G.M., Maini, B., Gada, H. and Chetcuti, S., 2017. Surgical or transcatheter aortic-valve replacement in intermediate-risk patients.New England Journal of Medicine,376(14), pp.1321-1331. Renn, O., 2017.Risk governance: coping with uncertainty in a complex world. Routledge. Verner, J.M., Brereton, O.P., Kitchenham, B.A., Turner, M. and Niazi, M., 2014. Risks and risk mitigation in global software development: A tertiary study.Information and Software Technology,56(1), pp.54-78.