This document discusses the process of project selection, cost management, funding detection, and implementation methods in project risk, finance & monitoring. It also analyzes the share price performance of Apple Inc. and evaluates the free cash flow conditions and net present value of the project.
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Running head:PROJECT RISK, FINANCE & MONITORING Project Risk, Finance & Monitoring Name of the Student: Name of the University: Author’s Note: Course ID:
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1 PROJECT RISK, FINANCE & MONITORING Table of Contents Executive Summary:........................................................................................................................2 Part A:..............................................................................................................................................2 i) Process of Project Selection:........................................................................................................2 ii) Method of Cost management:.....................................................................................................3 iii) Detecting the Funding’s:............................................................................................................3 iv) Identifying the implementation and winding up methods:.........................................................4 Conclusion and recommendations:..................................................................................................5 Part B:..............................................................................................................................................5 a. Analyzing the share price performance of Apple Inc. and detect whether the organization has intention for an IPO:........................................................................................................................5 bi. Evaluating the free cash flow conditions of the project:............................................................7 bii. Net present value of the project:................................................................................................8 biii. Analyzing whether Apple Inc. should investment in the project:............................................9 biv. Detecting why ordinary shares are the cheapest way to finance the business and evaluate performance of the company if bond was used to finance the project:...........................................9 References and Bibliography:........................................................................................................10
2 PROJECT RISK, FINANCE & MONITORING Executive Summary: The assessment aims in evaluating the process that can be used by the organization such as Apple Inc. to improve their project selection method and adequately support their future activities. Moreover, in the evaluation of all the relevant information has been conducted about the project management conditions, which can be used by Apple Inc. to effectively improve its project selection process and in turn increase their revenue generation capability. Part A: i) Process of Project Selection: The project selection process needs to be activated for each and every organization, as it eventually help them to select the adequate level of investment option that can support their future endeavors. Therefore, Apple Inc. should relatively use adequate selection process for adequately identifying the most appropriate investment option that can support its future growth prospects. From the analysis, it could be identified thatApple Inc. should use investment appraisal techniques such as profitability index, net present value,internal rate of return, payback period and equivalent annual annuity formula for identifying the financial viability of a project. The above investment appraisal techniques are relatively used by maximum of the technological sector companies, as it help them to analyze and detect the most valuable investment option that can support their revenue generation capability. The investment appraisal techniques have been an adequate instrument in the selection process of development projects that can allow companies to eradicate losses and generate higher revenue from operations. Major
3 PROJECT RISK, FINANCE & MONITORING industries in the technological sector such as Canon and Samsung are relatively using the investment appraisal techniques for supporting their project selection process as it helps in segregating the viable investment options with non-viable ones (Lock 2018). ii) Method of Cost management: One of the best methods that are used by organizations in the current era is the cost management techniques, which allows them to minimize the level of excessive expenses and maximize the income that could be generated from operations. The cost management is relatively related to methods such as time management, cost tracking, and budget planning, which is essential for companies to effectively improve its productivity and reduce excessive damage on theiressentialresources.AppleInc.canadequatelyutilizetheabove-mentionedcost management methods for managing the overall expenses of the project and identified all the relevant resources that will be needed for commencing the project. Therefore, with the help of adequate cost tracking measures Apple Inc. can detect the level of expenses that is required in a particular project and select the best possible investment option, which might reduce the negative impact on its financial capability. The time management process can also help Apple Inc. to analyze the current operational capability of the project, which can be, improve for reducing the efficiency and maximizing their level of productivity. Hence, the adoption of Cost Management techniques would eventually allow Apple Inc. to improve the current functionality of the selected project and maximize the income from investment (Avkiran, Ringle and Low 2018).
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4 PROJECT RISK, FINANCE & MONITORING iii) Detecting the Funding’s: Majorly there are two types of financing that is needed by Companies associated with technological sector, as it would eventually help in supporting the relevant projects that are available for investment. The two types of financing that is available to organizations are equity finance and debt Finance, which eventually allow the organization to acquire the required level of investments that could support the future activities and projects. One of the major equity financing is from equity share issue or preference shares issue that can be conducted by the organizations to acquire the required funding for their projects. This type of funding will directly require adequate planning and needs excessive time to support the public offering process and the acquisition of relevant capital from the issue. The second major financing method that can be used by Apple Inc. is by issuing debt, which is in form of bonds or bank loans that can be gathered quickly than the share issue process. Thus, it can be identified that the equity financing method is the most preferable in option for Apple Inc., as it would reduce the probability of insolvency that might occur due to high level of accumulation by the organization (Hopkin 2018). iv) Identifying the implementation and winding up methods: From the relevant analysis, it could be identified that adequate validity of the overall assumptions that has been made for the particular project needs to be evaluated by the organization. This analysis of the assumption is essential as managers can manipulate the overall project viability for securing their Investments for the company. The hands detecting the implementation of the overall project would eventually allow Apple Inc. to identify the viability of the investment and the assumptions that were made for future projections before initiating the
5 PROJECT RISK, FINANCE & MONITORING project. The non-identification of adequate verification for the assumptions would directly hamper the investment capital of the organization. The project is round up only after the completionoftheoveralltenureof theinvestment,whichisdetectedduringtheinitial stages.During this process the organization is able to sell all the properties and other components of the project to gather all the relevant to Salvage value that can support the cash inflow of the project. There is relatively low damage to the environment as after completion of the project the companydoes not reshape the land and building, where only the machineryand other components of the project is sold (Kumar, Jindal and Velaga 2018). Conclusion and recommendations: The above mentioned project selection process and other cost measurement process can be used by Apple Inc., to improve their current operational capability and reduce the excessive expenditure onunattended job activities. from the relative valuation it could be identified that in Apple Inc. should use adequate investment appraisal techniques to identify the risk levels that is involved in each project and make relevant decisions to support its future operations and growth prospects. Part B: a.AnalyzingthesharepriceperformanceofAppleInc.anddetectwhetherthe organization has intention for an IPO: The case study analysis has relatively revealed That share price decline of Apple Inc was due to the reduction in its overallforecasted earnings, due to the use of discount to conduct
6 PROJECT RISK, FINANCE & MONITORING relevant sales. Therefore, the management of Apple Inc. has no plan for issuing shares in the capital market in near future, as a company has adequate capital to support its operations and future endeavors. The drastic decline of share price was due to the deduction in anticipated income by $9 billion to $5 billion. Due to the decline in the overallanticipated revenues the analyst as a relatively reviewed the overall share price of Apple Inc. to be overvalued which will be reduced to accommodate the decline in its overall revenue generation capability. The organizations raise capital from equity only when they need extensive funds for future development and progress, as it directly allow the management to acquire the required level of funding’s to support their operations. However, the analysis has directly indicated that share companies use the equity capital method for reducing their debt obligations and protect the insolvency conditions. Figure 1: Apple Inc. share price movement during 2019 (Source: Finance.yahoo.com 2019)
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7 PROJECT RISK, FINANCE & MONITORING The surprise performance of Apple Inc. can be identified from the above figure, which directly indicates about the share price trend of the organization. From the relevant analysis, it could be identified that the overall share price of the company has been increasing until May, where rapid decline in share value is witnessed, due to the announcement of discounted products sold in Apple Store to boost the level of sales for the last quarter. The information of discounted product has relatively reduced the level of share price value of Apple Inc., from the levels of 210 to 173.30 in one month period. Thus, it could be anticipated that the share price of the organization will further decline, due to the dissatisfaction of the investors regarding the decisions made by the management. bi. Evaluating the free cash flow conditions of the project: Particulars01 to 34 ∆NR$ 54,00,000.0$ 18,00,000.0 ∆OpEx$ 10,80,000.0$3,60,000.0 ∆EBITDA$ 43,20,000.0$ 14,40,000.0 ∆D&A$ 22,50,000.0$7,50,000.0 ∆EBIT$ 20,70,000.0$6,90,000.0 (1-t)$0.7$0.7 ∆NOPAT$ 14,49,000.0$4,83,000.0 ∆D&A$ 22,50,000.0$7,50,000.0 ∆CFO$ 36,99,000.0$ 12,33,000.0 ∆CapEx$ -50,00,000.0 Working Cap$-30,000.0$30,000.0 Salvage Value$ 20,00,000.0 ∆FCF$ -50,30,000.0$ 36,99,000.0$ 32,63,000.0 The free cash flow calculations are directly conducted in the above table, which helps in understanding the level of income and expenses that would be incurred by the project of the
8 PROJECT RISK, FINANCE & MONITORING period of four years.Moreover, the analysis has directly indicated that Investments in the project work directly provide positive cash inflow of $ 3.699 million in first three years and $3.263 million at year 4. However, the analysis directly indicated that the overall initial investments that is required for the project is relatively at the levels of $5.03 million. This directly suggests that the overall income from the project is relatively higher in comparison to the initial investment that has been conducted in year zero.Titarenko, Hasnaoui and Titarenko (2018) stated that with the help of free cash flow organizations are able to use investment appraisal techniques for detecting the financial viability of the project. bii. Net present value of the project: YearsFCFDis-rateDis-cash flow Year 0$ -50,30,000.01.0$ -50,30,000.0 Year 1$ 12,33,000.00.9$ 11,20,909.1 Year 2$ 12,33,000.00.8$ 10,19,008.3 Year 3$ 12,33,000.00.8$9,26,371.1 Year 4$ 32,63,000.00.7$ 22,28,672.9 NPV$2,64,961.4 The net present value has been calculated in the above table, which directly represents the confinement of 10% cost of capital that has been taken into consideration for evaluating the financial prospects of the project. From the relevant analysis, it could be identified that the project is viable, as the NPV value is positive, which directly indicates that Apple Inc. can adequately acquire the required level of revenues in the long run with the accommodation of the project. The net present value has directly discounted all the future cash flows that would be
9 PROJECT RISK, FINANCE & MONITORING presented by the project, as it help in projecting the overall present value of cash inflows which is subtracted from the initial investment. In this context,Heldman (2018) stated that Investment appraisal techniques directly allow companies to identify financial viability of a project by using time value of moneyand comparing the present value of the future cash flows with the initial investment. biii. Analyzing whether Apple Inc. should investment in the project: After analyzing the overall net present value and free cash flow of the project it could be identified that Apple in should comments with the proposed project as it would eventually help in generating high level of revenues in the long run. The relevant, analysis directly indicated that the investment appraisal techniques and cash inflows of the proposed project a relatively adequate, where the cash flows in future a relatively higher than the initial investment that will be conducted by apple Inc. Hence, the management should commence with the project to improve with productivity and profitability in the process. biv. Detecting why ordinary shares are the cheapest way to finance the business and evaluate performance of the company if bond was used to finance the project: After analyzing the different forms of Finance that is conducted for a business it could be identified that, equity financing is considered to be the cheapest finance that is provided to an organization. With the help of equity financing, organizations are able to adequately acquire the required level of capital without out increasing their commitment to provide adequate returns for finance cost on yearly basis. Dividends are the only cost that is associated with equity financing, which can be payable by the organization only if adequate profits are acquired during the
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10 PROJECT RISK, FINANCE & MONITORING financial year. Moreover, if bondFinance is used for Commencing the project then the overall cost of capital can increase from 10%, where is it needs to be restricted within 12% as the project will not be available after the restricted value. References and Bibliography: Ardia, D., Bluteau, K., Boudt, K. and Catania, L., 2018. Forecasting risk with Markov-switching GARCH models: A large-scale performance study.International Journal of Forecasting,34(4), pp.733-747. Avkiran, N.K., Ringle, C.M. and Low, R., 2018. Monitoring transmission of systemic risk: Application of PLS-SEM in financial stress testing.The Journal of Risk,20, pp.83-115. Carstens, H., Xia, X. and Yadavalli, S., 2018. Measurement uncertainty in energy monitoring: Present state of the art.Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews,82, pp.2791-2805. Chen, H.L., 2018. Supply chain risk’s impact on corporate financial performance.International Journal of Operations & Production Management,38(3), pp.713-731. Chen, Y.S., Wu, C., Chu, H.H., Lin, C.K. and Chuang, H.M., 2018. Analysis of performance measuresincloud-basedubiquitousSaaSCRMprojectsystems.TheJournalof Supercomputing,74(3), pp.1132-1156.
11 PROJECT RISK, FINANCE & MONITORING Fernando, Y., Walters, T., Ismail, M.N., Seo, Y.W. and Kaimasu, M., 2018. Managing project success using project risk and green supply chain management: A survey of automotive industry.International Journal of Managing Projects in Business,11(2), pp.332-365. Finance.yahoo.com.2019.YahooisnowpartofOath.[online]Availableat: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL?p=AAPL [Accessed 5 Jun. 2019]. Heldman, K., 2018.PMP: project management professional exam study guide. John Wiley & Sons. Heldman, K., 2018.Project management jumpstart. John Wiley & Sons. Hopkin,P.,2018.Fundamentalsofriskmanagement:understanding,evaluatingand implementing effective risk management. Kogan Page Publishers. Kumar, L., Jindal, A. and Velaga, N.R., 2018. Financial risk assessment and modelling of PPP based Indian highway infrastructure projects.Transport Policy,62, pp.2-11. Lock, D., 2018.The essentials of project management. Routledge. NazariChamaki,F.,Jenkins,G.P.andHashemi,M.,2019.SocialImpactBonds: Implementation,Evaluation,andMonitoring.InternationalJournalofPublic Administration,42(4), pp.289-297. Parker, D.W., Dressel, U., Chevers, D. and Zeppetella, L., 2018. Agency theory perspective on public-private-partnerships:internationaldevelopmentproject.InternationalJournalof Productivity and Performance Management,67(2), pp.239-259.
12 PROJECT RISK, FINANCE & MONITORING Titarenko, B., Hasnaoui, A. and Titarenko, R., 2018, June. Risk management system model for construction projects. InIOP Conference Series: Materials Science and Engineering(Vol. 365, No. 4, p. 042019). IOP Publishing. Trad, A. and Kalpić, D., 2018. The Business Transformation and Enterprise Architecture Framework:TheFinancialEngineeringE-RiskManagementandE-LawIntegration. InRegaining Global Stability After the Financial Crisis(pp. 46-65). IGI Global.