The article provides an analysis of two investment proposals for Desklib. It explains the risk, return, liquidity, time value of money, market demand and investor profiling. The conclusion suggests that the choice of investment plan depends on the risk acceptance and financial objectives of the investor.
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ANALYZING THE CASE STUDY Mr. Edward has a total fund of SGD 1.5 million which he wants to invest. He is interested in two proposals. Proposal 1: In this proposal Mr. Edward has to invest in Company Y which specialises in the marketing of investments in energy related assets such as oil fields and gas extractions. The maximum period for investment recommended is 5 years. The expected rate of return is 3% which is payable quarterly. Investors have the option to roll-over their investments either only the principle or principle along with the return paid for the previous quarter. The minimum investment amount is SGD 50000. Proposal 2:In this proposal, Mr. Edward has to invest his fund with Bank Z ltd in a discretionary investment management account. The growth potential is at a rate of 5% -15% p.a. Mr. Edward’s funds will be invested in a diversified portfolio comprising of 10% local stock, 10% cash deposit and foreign currencies, 70% bonds and 10% of foreign stocks including US, EU and Japan.The minimum fund investment accepted for such an account is SGD 1 million and has no minimum investment time period except if the investor wants to terminate the Discretionary Investment Management account a minimum of 1 month is required as the notice period. ANALYSIS OF PROPOSAL 1 AND PROPOSAL 2 RISK AND RETURN Return is the gain or loss from an investment in a particular period depending on the amount of risk taken by the investor. Low risk signifies low return and high risk is associated higher return potential. Therefore, risk and return are directly proportional to each other. Proposal 1 has a fixed return of 3% per quarter which means 12% p.a. Proposal 2 has a variable return. The return varies between 5% to 15%. Now 5% return means a low return which means that the risk associated with it is also low. In proposal 2, the bank is investing Mr. Edward’s fund in different proportions such as 70% for bond, 10% for local security, 10% for cash deposits and 10% for foreign securities. If Mr. Edward is a risk evader then he will choose a safer, low risk plan. If we consider bonds as government bonds, then we can say that bonds are the safest to invest. This means that the bonds have the lowest risk amongst the 4. In that case, we can assume that the bonds have the lowest rate of return which means bonds will have a return of 5%. If we assume that the other 3 have a high risk then the maximum rate of return possible is 15%. Now let us compare the rate of return of proposal 2 with proposal 1. SGD 12 is the return earned if SGD 100 is the fund for a year at the rate of 12% in proposal 1. In proposal 2, the return earned from local security, cash deposit and foreign security in a year if the total fund is
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considered to be SGD 100 would be SGD 1.5 each which makes it SGD 4.5. Now, to be equal to proposal 1, the return earned from the bonds should be (12-4.5)= SGD 7.5 which means that bond should have a rate of 10.71% p.a. But since bond is considered to be a low risk option, therefore, it is not possible to have high return on bond. Thus, the total earning from proposal 2 can be considered to be lower than proposal 1. Here, proposal 2 is at a low risk situation for that reason the earing is also low. Where as Proposal 1 is at a high risk scenario so the return is also high. If Mr. Edward is a risk taker then he should choose proposal 1. Where as, if he is a risk evader, if he wants his money to be safe then he should choose a low risky proposal i.e. Proposal 2. LIQUIDITY As per the case, Proposal 1 has a five year investment locking period. That is the fund invested by Mr. Edward would be locked for 5 years in Y company. Where as, in proposal 2, the investment locking period is only 1 month. Mr. Edward can terminate his account by giving a notice 1 month prior. Therefore, Proposal 2 is more liquid than Proposal 1. TIME VALUE OF MONEY Time value of money means that any money or fund available at present has a higher value than the same amount available at a future date since there is an opportunity cost such as a potential gain on interest associated with the money. If the annual return is higher than the inflation index then the inflation index needs to be considered. But if the annual return and inflation index are equal then over a period of time the return does not hold any importance. Since inflation is present, therefore the value of money diminishes over a period of time. This will effect the proposal 1. Compounding value of interest after 5 years will be an absolute figure and not a real figure. The real figure must be based on its present inflation index. MARKET DEMAND AND SUPPLY Market demand and supply is a very important decision in case of local stock. Demand and supply affects the local stock. To invest in stocks, Mr. Edward has to be a risk taker or should be able to bear risk. INVESTOR PROFILING Investor profiling is an important process in choosing the most suitable investment for any investorasitidentifieshisuniquecharacteristicsandrequirements.Whileprofilingthe investment for Mr. Edward the above factors should be considered. The risk, return, liquidity, time value of money, market demand as explained above should be considered.
CONCLUSION The answer to which proposal should be chosen depends on the risk acceptance and the financial objectives of Mr. Edward. A general rule is that if the risk tolerance is low, the amount of fund that should be alloted to the fixed assets should be high (Hagstrom, 2013). This means that if Mr. Edward is not a risk taker but a risk evader than he should not choose a proposal that envolves some kind of risk (Gitman, Smart & Joehnk, 2009). Here, in proposal 1 the minimum investment amount is only SGD 5000 but for proposal 2 it is 1 million. Proposal 2 is at a low risk than proposal 1. So if Mr. Edward is not ready to risk his fund then he should choose proposal 2 and vice versa. (Keir, Sawyer & Tissot, 2012).
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