This report analyzes the impact of changes in inflation, employment, and unemployment over the GDP of a country using quantitative data analysis. Findings suggest that employment has a positive impact on GDP, while high unemployment results in a decline in GDP. It is necessary for countries to increase employment opportunities to increase GDP.
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Quantitative Data Analysis Report
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TABLE OF CONTENTS INTRODUCTION...........................................................................................................................3 MAIN BODY...................................................................................................................................3 Research problem........................................................................................................................3 Literature review.........................................................................................................................3 Dataset relating to the chosen problem.......................................................................................4 Quantitative analysis...................................................................................................................4 Visualisation of data from quantitative analysis.........................................................................6 Findings and conclusion..............................................................................................................8 CONCLUSION................................................................................................................................9 REFERENCES..............................................................................................................................11
INTRODUCTION Quantitative data analysis is being referred to as the method wherein the research problem is solved with help of numeric information and facts and figures. For analysis of any of the problem it is very essential that quantitative analysis is undertaken as it provides accurate and precise information relating to the problem. In the present case the analysis of changes in different factors and its impact over the GDP of country will be outlined. Along with this, the different literature relating to the research problem will be outlined. MAIN BODY Research problem For the country to be successful it is necessary that they have good GDP that is Gross Domestic Product. This is necessary for the reason that when the country will be having good amount of GDP then this implies that working efficiency of country is good. There are many different factors which affects the GDP of the economy like inflation, employment rate, unemployment rate and many other different types of factors affecting the working efficiency of country. "To analyse the impact of changes in inflation, employment and unemployment over GDP of country”. This is the major research problem which will be discussed in the following report. This is pertaining to the fact that in case GDP of country will not be increasing then this will be affecting the growth and development of country (Victor and et.al., 2021). Hence, the study will analyse that what impact is created by changes in the other factors like inflation, unemployment and others over GDP of economy. Literature review In accordance to the views ofSingh (2018)the GDP that is Gross Domestic Product is being referred to as the measure of value added with the production of goods and services within the country. It outlines and measures the income earned by the country with the production made. The evaluation of GDP for measuring the success of the economy is very important. The reason behind this fact is that it outlines the fact that how much is the size of economy and how well it is performing. The GDP of the country is the indicator of good health of the economy because in case GDP is high then it implies that economy is working in better manner.
On the other hand,Sahnoun and Abdennadher (2019)argues that there are many different factors which affects the high GDP. All these factors are other economic indicators of economy only which affects GDP of country to a great extent. the reason underlying this fact is that there are other forces as well in the economy which can affect the working of economy to a great extent. hence it is essential for economy to evaluate other factors as well and try to manage and increase the GDP. What is Unemployment? (2022)articulates that unemployment is the major factor which can cause change in the GDP or the economy. The unemployment is a situation wherein individual who are capable but not having job or are unable to find appropriate job. This the factor which affects the GDP of the economy to a great extent. This is because of the reason that when people will not be having job then they will be unproductive and as a result of this they will not be adding to the GDP. Hence, this can result in decline in GDP of the economy. Along with thisSu and et.al., (2021)states that inflation can also affect the level of GDP of any economy. The reason underlying this fact is that when inflation will be high then consumer will be buying less product and as a result of this there will be low buying and selling. Also, in response to this there will be less production which will ultimately result in decline in overall GDP of economy. Hence, the inflation also affects the level of GPD of any economy. on the contradictory noteHaldane (2018)articulates the fact that employment is another factor which affects the GDP but in positive manner. This is because of the reason that when the employment increases then this will result in more jobs within the economy. Hence, this in turn result in increase in money flow within the economy and ultimately increases GDP of economy. This is particularly because when people will be having money then they will spend it in different areas like clothing, food, entertainment and others. Hence, this will result in increase in the economy’s GDP and will result in growth and development of the overall economy. Dataset relating to the chosen problem Data attached in excel Quantitative analysis Descriptive statistics GDPInflationEmploymentUnemployment Mean0.420831.8541775.34.37083
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Standard Error1.149180.182370.132420.08815 Median0.451.975.34.3 Mode0.40.874.44 Standard Deviation5.629810.893440.648740.43186 Sample Variance31.69480.798240.420870.1865 Kurtosis10.18171.26724-0.8187-1.0849 Skewness-0.69330.746310.03440.36212 Range373.72.41.4 Minimum-19.40.774.13.8 Maximum17.64.476.55.2 Sum10.144.51807.2104.9 Count24242424 With the evaluation of the descriptive statistics it is evaluated that average GPD for the UK economy for the time duration of 2016- 2021 is 0.42. whereas the average inflation for the same period is 1.85 and average employment is 75.3 and unemployment is 4.37. With this it is clear that the GDP of the economy is low and the other factors affect the GDP of the economy. Correlation GDPInflationEmploymentUnemployment GDP1 Inflation0.057331 Employment-0.20990.32031 Unemployment0.28352-0.4758-0.92031 The correlation outlinesthe level of relation being present between two or more variables. The correlation between GDP and inflation is 5.73 % which is very low and it can be implied that the change in inflation causes less change in GDP. Along with this, the employment is negatively correlated with GDP as increase in employment adds to the GDP positively (Tenzin, 2019). On the other hand, the unemployment is 28.35% correlated which outlines the facts that it affects the GDP to some extent as compared to other factors as well. Regression Regression Statistics Multiple R0.41922 R Square0.17574 Adjusted R0.0521
Square Standard Error5.48118 Observations24 ANOVA dfSSMSF Significance F Regression3128.11342.70441.421430.26597 Residual20600.86630.0433 Total23728.98 Coefficients Standard Errort StatP-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0% Intercept-447.58393.15-1.13850.26838-1267.7372.513-1267.7372.513 Inflation2.13341.547341.378750.1832-1.09435.3611-1.09435.3611 Employment5.147584.789931.074670.29532-4.84415.1392-4.84415.1392 Unemployment12.9127.749631.666140.11127-3.253429.0774-3.253429.0774 With the analysis of the regression it is clear that the R that is correlation among all the factors is 41.9 % which is moderately correlated. This states that all the variables that is GDP, inflation, employment and unemployment are moderately correlated with one another. Along with this the R square is 17.5 % and this implies that any change in independent factor will be cause a 17.5% change within the dependent factor. Further with the significance value it is clear that the null hypothesis is accepted rejecting the alternate. The reason underlying this fact is that significance value is 0.26 which is higher than the standard that is 0.05 (Krušković, 2020). Hence, it can be implied that there is not any significant relation being present in GDP and other factors like employment, unemployment and inflation. Visualisation of data from quantitative analysis GDP and Inflation
With the analysis of the above graph it is clear that when inflation in high then the GDP of economy is stable. Further when inflation declined then the GDP of the economy also declined and further with increase it also started increasing. This states that both the element that is GDP and inflation are moving within the same direction. GDP and Employment With the analysis of the graph it is clear that both GDP and employment are related with one another. Both the variable is moving in the same direction and in same pattern that is both are stable since 2016 till 2021. GDP and Unemployment
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By evaluating the above chart, it is clear that the unemployment and GDP are connected with one another. Since 2016 both were stable and after 2019, unemployment started to increase and as a result of this GDP started to decline (Haldane, 2018). Further when the unemployment wasstablethentheGDPofeconomystartedtoincrease.Thisimpliesthatwhenthe unemployment increases then GDP declines and it means that GDP is mostly affected by the unemployment. Findings and conclusion With the above analysis it is analysed that GDP is very important for the economy in order to measure the economy and its success. In case the GDP of the country is not growing then this will be affecting the working efficiency of the whole economy. Hence, for this it is necessary that the all the other economic factors must be considered while analysing the GDP. The reason pertaining to this fact is that when the GDP of the company will be growing then this will be improving the overall working efficiency. In support of thisPanigrahi and et.al., (2020)stated that GDP is an important factor which help the economy in analysing its performance. also, the GDP assist country in analysing and comparing its performance with other economies and standards. This is necessary because of the reason that GDP outlines the size of economy and on this basis the comparison can be undertaken in proper and effective manner. Hence, this will provide a common base for comparison and to find out the deviations for improvement. This is essential for the reason that
this comparison will help economy to evaluate that how much they need to improve in order to improve and develop. Along with this, the above analysis also assisted in evaluating the fact that when the unemployment will be more then this will negatively affect the GDP. The reason underlying this fact is that when there will be high unemployment within the economy then many people will not be having money (Seth, John and Dalhatu, 2018). Hence, this will result in less flow of money within the economy and simultaneously the transaction will be low. This will result in decline in GDP of the economy and it will not grow in proper and effective manner. For this,Ramzan (2021)articulated the fact that country must effectively work in increasing employment opportunities within the country. The reason underlying this fact is that when more employment opportunities will be present in the economy then this will be beneficial for the economy. Hence, providing of different employment opportunities in the economy will help the country to increase the GDP. The reason is that when more people will be employed then they will be having money and will spend within the economy. Hence, as a result of this income of other sectors of economy will be increased and resultantly it will be increasing the overall GDP of the economy as well. Further with the finding it was also analysed that the GDP is a good indicator for measuring the health of the economy. This is because of the reason that it outlines the overall income or the earning of the whole country from the different sectors. Hence, it is necessary for the country to work over the GDP and try to increase it continuously. CONCLUSION In the end it is concluded that the use of quantitative analysis tool is important for the analysis of any research problem. The reason underlying this fact is that the use of quantitative tool provides for more precise and accurate information relating to the problem. The above analysis outlined that GDP is affected by many factors both in positive and negative manner. The discussion inferred that employment causes a positive impact over the GDP because employment result in increase in GDP. On the other hand, the discussion also stated that high unemployment results in the decline in GDP. Thus, it is necessary for countries to increase the employment opportunities so that GDP also increases.
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REFERENCES Books and Journals Haldane, A. G., 2018. How monetary policy affects your gross domestic product.Australian Economic Review.51(3). pp.309-335. Haldane, A., 2018. How monetary policy affects your GDP.Finch Lecture at the University of Melbourne, April.10. p.2018. Krušković, B., 2020. Exchange Rate Targeting Versus Inflation Targeting: Empirical Analysis of the Impact on Employment and Economic Growth.Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice.9(2). pp.67-85. Panigrahi, S. and et.al., 2020. Effects of Inflation, Interest, and Unemployment Rates on Economic Growth: Evidence from ASEAN Countries.ABAC Journal.40(2). Ramzan,M.,2021.ImpactofInflationandUnemploymentonEconomicGrowthof Pakistan.European Journal of Business and Management Research.6(4). pp.282-288. Sahnoun, M. and Abdennadher, C., 2019. Causality between inflation, economic growth and unemployment in North African countries.Economic Alternatives.1. pp.77-92. Seth, A., John, M. A. and Dalhatu, A. Y., 2018. The impact of unemployment on economic growthinNigeria:Anapplicationof autoregressivedistributedlag(ARDL)bound testing.Sumerianz Journal of Business Management and Marketing.1(2). pp.37-46. Singh, R., 2018. Impact of GDP and inflation on unemployment rate:" A study of Indian Economy in 2011–2018”.International journal of management, IT and Engineering.8(3). pp.329-340. Su, C. W. and et.al., 2021. COVID-19 pandemic and unemployment dynamics in European economies.Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, pp.1-13. Tenzin,U.,2019.Thenexusamongeconomicgrowth,inflationandunemploymentin Bhutan.South Asia Economic Journal.20(1). pp.94-105. Victor,V.andet.al.,2021.FromaRecessiontotheCOVID-19Pandemic:Inflation– Unemployment Comparison between the UK and India.Economies.9(2). p.73. Online WhatisUnemployment?2022.[Online].Availablethrough: <https://corporatefinanceinstitute.com/resources/knowledge/economics/unemployment/>