Economic Growth of China and Major Challenges Faced
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This document discusses the economic growth of China and the three major challenges it faces today. It explores the environmental challenges, demographic challenges, and the impact of COVID-19 on China's economy. Additionally, it evaluates how globalization generates demand for resources and hinders development.
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Questions.........................................................................................................................................1 1. Economic growth of China and what are the three major challenges which China facing today............................................................................................................................................1 2. Evaluate that how globalization generate demand for resources which contribute to the likelihood of war and hinder development..................................................................................4 REFERENCES................................................................................................................................7
Questions 1. Economic growth of China and what are the three major challenges which China facing today China's economy expanded significantly faster than in the post - independence period and prevented large global shocks for even the most part. From 1979 to 2018, China's yearly real GDP growth was 9.5 per cent. It indicated that every 8 years on averages China has been able to boost the output of its economy in absolute terms. The global economic slowdown that started in 2008 had a considerable effect on china (Current Challenges which China Face,2020). In early 2009, China's media announced that 20 million migrant workers had arrived home after losing their jobs following the global financial crisis and that actual GDP growth plummeted to 6.8 per cent year-on-year in the fourth quarter of 2008. The Chinese government replied by introducing an economic stimulus plan of $ 586 billion, primarily aimed at financing infrastructure and easing monetary policy to boost bank lending. Figure1Chinese Annual Real GDP Growth: 1979-2018 Above statistics represent the GDP growth of China from 1979 to 2018, it is clearly observed that after 2008 financial crises, GDP rate decrease and take enough time as well as 1
efforts to overcome. Chinese government build several strategies to overcome the situations and improve their economy as well. Environmental challenges: China's economic growth framework has underscored because ofheavy industrial expansion in China, and much of it is energy-intensive and heavily polluting (Buzarnescu and Ilie, 2018). Pollution levels in China are starting to crumble, posing significant health threats for the people. In order to encourage fast economic development, the Chinese Government also neglects its own environmental regulations. The following events and studies provide an example of China's environmental problems. 2018 report through ExxonMobil expected that globalcontribution of China isapproximately 60 per cent ofCO2 emission growth from 2000 to 2016. Its emissions would exceed the cumulative US and EU CO2 levels by 2025. In2017,OECD study put China's air pollution safety costs at $ 1.4 trillion in 2015, equal to 7.8 per cent of its GDP. In 2015 report,the Rand Corporation reported it from 2000 to 2010; Chinese air pollution losses (in terms of environmental effects and reduced productivity) were equivalent to 6.5 per cent of GDP per year. The loss as a proportion of GDP of water contamination and land depletion was also calculated at an extra 2.1% and 1.1% respectively(Kasradze and Zarnadze, 2019). A string of major blasts took place on 12thaugust, 2015, in several chemical-containing warehouses in the Chinese seaport of Tianjin, taking the lives of countless people that are around 163. Any press outlets have criticized the tragedy for inadequate policy implementation of environmental legislation. Some in China, for example, had already questioned why hazardous chemicals were stored so near to populated neighbourhoods and also have expressed concern about the large extends of environmental pollution in the location that may have usually results from the blasts. The U.S. Embassy in Beijingtracks and records air pollution in China based on air quality index of particulates (established by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency) deemed to be a health problem, stated that air quality in Beijing varied from "unhealthy" to "hazardous" (based on 24-hour exposure) for a number of the days in January 2013 and recovered in a few days. Demographic Challenges: Numerous economists argue that China's demographic reform isstartingtohaveaconsiderableeffectonchina,especiallyitsone-childpolicy whichimplemented in 1979. For example, as per a research by the McKinsey Global Institute, the birth-rate for China fell from around 5.8 children per woman in 1964 to 1.6 in 2012.This is 2
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now affects the density of the Chinese workforce. The presence of a massive and unemployed population was a major factor for the growth ofChina's economic since it first implemented structural reforms. A very large workforce indicates that people in China had direct exposure to an almost infinite flow of low-cost labour, which assisted many companies to be more financially viable. It turnsto boost consumption and investment. Some analysts argue that China is starting to lose its superiority over labor(Kutz, 2018). The density of its population as per the age(ages 16 to 59) reached its peak at 925 millionin 2011, and then fell to 897 millionin 2018 for seven consecutive years as per the government of China. Theyare preparing to reduce the working-age population to 830 millionby 2030 and to 700 millionby 2050. If these estimates prove true, the working-age Chinese population may drop by 225 people (2011- 2050). The one-child policy of China has contributed to a increasingly ageing population. As per the Brookings Institute, China currently has 180 million populations over 60 years of ageand by 2020 that could exceed 240 million and 360 million by 2030. Over the age of 60,population share could reach 20 percent by 2020, and 27 percent by 2030 (Sampurna, 2018). Declining workforceandincreaseintheelderlypopulation,Chinesegovernmentwillface severalchallenges to boost the productivity as well asefficiencyof workers andmaximizing their spending on healthcare and other services. Hukou (household registration) system also continues to pose challenges gotChinesegovernment. COVID – 19:Pandemic COVID-19 is an enigmatic virus that hops from a wild creature possibly a snake or pangolineto humans on a wet market in center Wuhan. Since then it has went on a rampage from around globe, saddening nearly 2.5 million and killing about 170,000, which has led the Chinese government to ban wild animals from rearing which selling. It is not as easy as pushing a button to make China's economy recover again (COVID-19,2020). Containment steps to avoid COVID-19 from dissemination mean that thousands of employees are stuck further away from industries. The rescue center-in-place measures applicable to half of the human race have also disrupted production. Because of the ballooning demand for Chinese exports, factories which reopened were required to lower or even close production again. It is the current issue which Chinese government face and it is not only affect the economy of China but also affect the world economy. 3
2. Evaluate that how globalization generate demand for resources which contribute to the likelihood of war and hinder development Globalization isused to define how economies, individuals and industries around the globe have become more integrated, as factors such as innovation, trade, media and international finance make it feasible for products, resources, things and thoughts to transcend conventional borders and territories(Sinha and Sengupta, 2019). Globalization delivers both advantages and threats which can provide massive opportunity for thegrowth to improve a lot of people's quality of life. Government spending is the over time rise in the volume of products and services an economy produces. That mean difference in the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) or Gross National Product (GNP) is traditionally calculated. Those two metrics, which are somewhat different in measurement, equal the sums charged for the goods and services that a nation has generated. A economy that produces $9,000,000 in products and services in 2010 and then generates $9,090,000 in 2011 has a cumulative rate of economic growth of 1 per cent in 2011 as an indicator of calculating economic development. Many in support of globalization speculate that there will be a broader variety of goods, services, technology, drugs and information available, and that such innovation would have the opportunity to encourage considerably greater customer base. This means greater revenue and trade volumes, higher GDP growth rates, and greater control of people and government structures by the creation of extra wealth and money. These effects of globalization are seen as functional, offering the greatest possible incentives for the vast number of individuals. Globalization contribute in creating resources but it also hinder the development due to such factors like, globalization was related to increasing income and capital inequality. The rising rural andurban division in nations such as China, India and Brazil is testimony of this. This contributes to political and social conflicts, as well as financial uncertainty which will hinder development(Karakaya, 2018). Many of the poorest people in the world don't have access to advanced technologies and public amenities. Powerful energy and food demand has brought about a big increase in commodities prices. Inflation in commodity prices (called agflation) has put millions of the poorest people of world into at significant risk. Regional systems are more intertwined and interrelated becausethis raises the likelihood of contagion, i.e. an global occurrence that comes back to influence them elsewhere in the globe. Irreversible disruption to ecosystems, habitat destruction, erosion, 4
biodiversity depletion and concerns of a global water crisis afflict millions of its most vulnerable in the world. International trade has expanded, but trade deficits are still increasing. Many nations have significant trade surpluses and these disparities build tensions and incentives to implement defensive measures and modern methods of import regulation. The enormous potential of the Gulf of Guinea provides possibilities for investment to the country. Some of its wealth, such as oil, coal, and forestry, tend to draw substantial investments whilst others, such as natural gas, could be utilized to their maximum extent if required investment was made(Benson and et.al., 2018). However, the Gulf of Guinea faces several threats, both exogenous and endogenous, until it can take full advantage of its riches. Some of these concerns come from the disproportionately poor institutions and government, pointed out by highly stylized evidence that contribute to the risks of "natural resource trap" and may fuel the "Paradox of Plenty" myth. Those potential possibilities generate great uncertainty among large oil-consuming nations' legislators, particularly the US, China, Japan, and the EU. Countries have conducted significant energy policy assessments in recent times and have all reach the same conclusion.Market forces themselves can no long be counted on to fulfil critical national energy needs, and the State will now accept a much-increasing responsibility to carry out this role. The trend would be that the customernationsarenowimplementingmilitary,commercial,diplomaticandpolitical interventions in order to ensure a stable supply of oil to keep their economies running. Demand of oil increases from the countries such as US, Japan and European Union (EU), these are all possible because of the globalization. It is true that globalization create the demand of resources which required by the other developing or developed countries to improve their economy or satisfy the need of industries. The Gulf of Guinea is blessed with plenty of natural resources that can lead to global development if properly handled. The area has large mineral deposits, such as diamond and gold. Guinea Gulf Countries, including Angola, Congo Republic, Equatorial Guinea, Nigeria, Cameroon, Gabon, and Chad are oil producers, and are projected to become major energy suppliers(Colliat and et.al., 2018). The Gulf of Guinea geological location provides a major strategic benefit for the production of crude. Nonetheless, given its close proximity to the world's major oil users, North America and Western Europe, the Gulf of Guinea profits from the lack of small transportation channels between the country and other places around the world known as choke points. Big sections of the world's crude oil travel through 5
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these choke points for marine transportation. Many of these waterways are pathways on oil tankers for significant flows of crude. The shallowness of the chokepoints, though, renders them vulnerable to blockades, pirate attacks, and collisions in ships. Guinea's Gulf is totallyfree of such risks. Globalization is beneficial for the Gulf of Guinea country because they have several natural resources and it has huge demand in the work. So the statement is true that globalization create demand of resources but in addition, it also become hinder for the development of other countries because they are totally depended on them for such specific resources. If supply of goods stopped from the country than it majorly impact the economy who is the suppliers of it. It also generate issues related to the inequality of wealth, generate threat for the countries and it further impact of their economic growth and production. 6
REFERENCES Books & Journals Benson, N. U. and et.al., 2018. New ecological risk indices for evaluating heavy metals contamination in aquatic sediment: A case study of the Gulf of Guinea.Regional Studies in Marine Science.18. pp.44-56. Buzarnescu, S. and Ilie, L. G., 2018. Socialist Market Economy-China in the Face of History: IdeologicalStereotypes,PraxeologicalCliches,HistoricalInertia.Rev.Universitara Sociologie, p.8. Colliat, J.L. and et.al., 2018. April. Formation and development of seabed trenching from subsea inspectiondataofdeepwaterGulfofGuineamoorings.InOffshoreTechnology Conference. Offshore Technology Conference. Karakaya, S., 2018. Globalization and contentious politics: A comparative analysis of nonviolent and violent campaigns.Conflict management and peace science.35(4). pp.315-335. Kasradze, T. and Zarnadze, N., 2019, January. Challenges of Economic of Georgia: Good and Bad Economic Growth. In17th International Conference on Social Sciences Murcia, 8-9 March 2019(p. 157). Kutz, F. M., 2018.Motivation and disadvantages of entering Chinese startup clusters-Based on the example of the German Mittelstand(Doctoral dissertation). Sampurna, R. H., 2018. IS CHINA A THREAT TO INDONESIA: A DISCOURSE ANALYSIS OFMAJORINDONESIANNEWSPAPERS’COVERAGEONTHECHINA ISSUES.JISPO: Jurnal Ilmu Sosial dan Ilmu Politik.8(1). pp.209-231. Sinha, A. and Sengupta, T., 2019. Impact of natural resource rents on human development: What is the role of globalization in Asia Pacific countries?.Resources Policy.63. p.101413. Online COVID-19.2020.[Online].AvailableThrough: <https://time.com/5824599/china-coronavirus-covid19-economy/> CurrentChallengeswhichChinaFace.2020.[Online].AvailableThrough: <https://www.everycrsreport.com/reports/RL33534.html#_Ref366159479> 7