Role of Reserve Bank of Australia in Determining and Implementing Monetary Policies
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This paper discusses the role of the Reserve Bank of Australia in determining and implementing monetary policies aimed at levels of inflation, employment, and investment. It also explains the main objectives of monetary policy, functions of money and the Reserve Bank of Australia.
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Economics1 ECONOMICS By Name Course Instructor Institution Location Date
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Economics2 Introduction The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is the sole institution responsible for maintenance of a stable macroeconomic environment. The bank monitors levels of inflation, unemployment, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), consumption, and exchange rates and initiates mechanisms that seek to ensure that business environment is sustainable (Bernanke, Antonovics & Frank, 2015). The bank aids the Australian government by ensuring working to create an enabling environment for government plans and projects. The Reserve Bank Act 1959 provides the selection of a board of directors and outlines its roles and responsibilities. The board is the organ of the RBA that is responsible for establishing bank policies except those related to payment systems (Reserve Bank of Australia, n.d). The board ensures that monetary and banking policies present utmost optimum benefits to the People of Australia. It consists of nine members namely; Governor, His deputy, Treasury Secretary, and six non-executive members. The Board meets eleven times annually except in February to discuss Australian macroeconomic environment and propose macroeconomic policies which are then implemented by the bank. This paper discusses the role of the Reserve Bank of Australia in determining and implementing monetary polies aimed levels of inflation, employment, and investment. The first part highlights factors considered by RBA in adjusting macroeconomic variables. In addition, the objectives of monetary policies, importance of money, and roles of the Australian central bank are discussed. Finally, the study highlights reasons why the central bank has maintained the cash rate constant for two years. Question 1. Why RBA considers Domestic and Global Indicators in making monetary policy decisions
Economics3 Inflation is the general rise in price levels in an economy. High rates of inflation reduces the purchasing power of households and the entire economy since prices of goods and services rise (Bos, 2014). Monetary policies and fiscal policies are the available tools used by RBA in controlling inflation. The amount of money in circulation in an economy affects the level of prices such that the higher the money supply, the greater the levels of inflation (Egan & Gumaraes, 2018). The reserve bank of Australia’s main monetary policy tool is the cash rate. Cash rate is interest rate on overnight loans traded in the money market. The cash rate works by influencing the general behavior of borrowers, lenders, and amount of prevailing investment activities which ultimately impact inflation levels. Normally, before the RBA board sits, the department of economic analysis presents them with a macroeconomic analysis report that highlights macroeconomic patterns locally and internationally. According to RBA’s November monetary policy report, the Board decided to retain the cash rate at 1.5% considering the economic environment locally in Australia and internationally. The cash rate is not determined arbitrarily. The decisions are based on factual historical patterns, current information, and predicted patterns of the macroeconomic variables. The board identified global economic expansion, decline in Chinas economic growth, decline in global inflation, appreciation of US dollar as reasons that influenced its decision to retain the cash rate. Locally, the RBA considers the rate and direction of economic growth so as to align its macroeconomic policies with country economic targets. The RBA board considers inflation levels and economic activity in Australia while determining the appropriate cash rate. Whenever inflation is high, the RBA is triggered to raise the cash rate. A high cash rate influences commercial banks to raise interest rates on loans which limits demand and lending growth (Eiteman, Stonehill & Moffett, 2016). Normally, individuals’
Economics4 consumption of loans decline when lending rates are high. Money supply in the economy declines and therefore, reducing the levels of inflation. When inflation is low, the RBA might be triggered to lower the cash rate which influences lenders to lower interest rates. Reduced interest rates increases demand for loans which increases economic activity and economic growth (Hong & Li, 2017). Money supply in the economy will increase stabilizing inflation around the required rate. The RBA as an agent of the government is tasked with the role of adjusting macroeconomic variables to support government targets of full employment and economic growth which is achieved by a keeping the cash rate low. The world financial environment has become interlinked and hence the Australian economy does not operate in isolation. Therefore, RBA has to consider global macroeconomic indicators in deciding the appropriate. The objectives of the cash rates are more domestic although impact is felt both locally and internationally. In July 2018, the RBA set the cash rate at an historic low (Reserve Bank of Australia, 2018). Similarly, in China, United States, United Kingdom, the interest rates were at historic lows. Australia exports its products to other countries including China and the United States while it imports some. Therefore, changes in foreign exchange rates is significantly of interest to Australia. The country is determined to enhance the strength of the Australian Dollar relative to the US dollar and other commonly traded currencies. Question 2:Explain the main objectives of monetary policy. List and describe the main functions of money and the Reserve Bank of Australia. The main goals of monetary policies is to maintain price stability, full employment, economic growth, and welfare of Australian citizens. The RBA has set a medium term inflation target between 2 and 3 percent. Successfully maintaining inflation rates within the target ensures that the value of the Australian dollar is stable which promotes sustainable economic growth.
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Economics5 The price stability in the economy ensures that the purchasing power of households in appropriate enabling them to spend and save for the future. Governments are responsible form enhancing absorption of its citizens in to the job market through employment. Australia like other countries uses monetary policies to control the level of unemployment. Therefore, a significant objective of monetary policies is the achievement of full employment locally. According to Keynesian economists, the rate of inflation in a country is inversely proportional to the rate of unemployment on the assumption that all other factors affecting employment remain constant (Ehrenberg & Smith, 2016). The maintenance of stable levels of inflation in Australia spurs economic growth witnessed through increased investments. The increase in investments demands for the expansion of the work force leading to increased employment. Deflation characterized by a decline in money supply reduces economic growth and reduces demand of labor. This results to an increase in the rate of unemployment in the economy.
Economics6 Functions of money Initially, there was no money. People transacted goods for goods in what was known as barter trade. However, trade advanced with time leading to the introduction of money in form of coins and paper and now virtual money. It is a medium of exchange since people can trade their goods and services in return of money (Gopinath, Helpman & Rogoff, 2014). The traders, both buyer no longer need to have double coincidence of wants as it was in barter trade. It is also a unit of account since almost all products and services possess a monetary value. This function has facilitated costing, accounting, and planning. The relative cost of products can now be established easily. Money is also a store of wealth because individuals can keep their wealth in form of money. Money is the most liquid asset and hence the most convenient way of storing wealth. Many people set aside a portion of their income as savings future investment or retirement plans. Owners of perishable products might decide to convert them to money and hence it is a store of value (Miller & Benjamin, 2017). Finally, money as a standard of deferred payments. It facilitates future payments such as hire purchase, mortgage and credit facilities. The future payment is in most cases conducted paying in to consideration changes in the value as a result of inflation. Payment of salaries and debt obligations are made possible using money. Functions of Reserve bank of Australia The RBA is an important entity that manages the financial and economic affairs of Australia. The bank is the sole issuer of the Australian currency. It conducts the printing, release, and controlling the level of money supply in the economy.
Economics7 The RBA is the financial and economic advisor of the government of Australia. The state relies on counsel from the RBA board and organs. The bank employs highly experienced economic analysts who can be relied upon to offer counsel to the government on financial issues. The bank manages and controls the country’s gold and foreign reserves at levels that ensure that ensure that the Australian dollar remains strong relative to foreign currencies. The RBA is the government banker. The government holds an account with the bank allowing it to make deposits and payments. It is also the banker’s bank facilitating some financial transactions between commercial banks (Othman et. al, 2017). Commercial banks can borrow from the RBA when they have exhausted all other available avenues. The RBA supervises banking in Australia. It licenses commercial banks and creates policies that promote a stable and efficient financial system. Question 3:On 7-August-2018, the Governor of the RBA, Dr Philip Lowe, decided to leave the official cash rate unchanged at 1.50 percent as house prices continue to fall. Why did the RBA keep the cash rate unchanged for the last 2 years? Justify your answer with reasons and evidence. The reserve bank of Australia’s main monetary policy tool is the cash rate which is the interest rate for overnight loans. Commercial banks borrow cash from each other to meet their customer cash demands in what is known as overnight loans. The cash rate together with other factors determines the interest rates set by commercial banks and other lenders. In August 2018, RBA retained the cash rate at 1.5% (Reserve Bank of Australia, n.d). The RBA noted that as per its objective of promoting the welfare of individuals, the board decided to protect vulnerable
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Economics8 holders of loans from economic shocks. Raising the cash rate could have reduced the disposable income of households which reduces their purchasing power. Secondly, the period from April to July 2018 was characterized by a decline in the cost of housing. Noting the importance of affordable housing to the people of Australia, the RBA decided to retain the cash rate since its increase could exert pressure on the country’s housing market triggering a rise in housing costs. The largest housing markets in Australia are the large cities of Melbourne and Sydney. Also, the June consumer price index was below the target placed by the reserve bank of Australia influencing RBA to retain the cash rate to avoid triggering greater inflation. Consumer sentiment measures the opinion of consumers regarding the economic health of the country. The sentiment during the period was characterized by dissatisfaction among the member of the public. Citizens felt the impact of high prices of fuel, weak wages, and declining cost of housing. Finally, Noting the RBA’s objective of ensuring full employment. The RBA decided to retain the cash rate at 1.5% to promote economic growth which boosts employment. Question 4:Illustrate and explain using the money market equilibrium model and monetary transmission mechanism how an increase in the cash rate from 1.5% to 2% would help to keep inflation within the target rate, and how a further decrease from 1.5% to 1 % in the cash rate would help to stimulate the economy. The diagram below shows the relationship between cash rate and loanable funds. Loanable funds influence the amount of money in circulation in the economy which resultantly affect inflation, economic growth, and unemployment rate.
Economics9 Increasing the cash rate from 1.5% to 2% increases the cost of mortgages and other loans. Households and businesses will reduce consumption of loans reducing the supply of money in the economy. The impact of this would be a decline in inflation, economic growth, and employment. Household consumption will decline since people would have less cash to spend. Most would prefer to work with their income only. Business investments would decline because businesses would work with less debt because of high cost of loans leading to shrinking of GDP (Phaneuf & Requite, 2016). The housing market would also shrink because few investors would find the market lucrative. Reducing the tax rate to 1% would prompt lenders to reduce interest rates on loans. There would be an increased borrowing which increases household consumption and business investment. The supply of money circulating in the economy will be greater triggering a rise in inflation rates. The rise in business investment increases Australia’s gross domestic product. The housing market will also attract greater investment leading to its expansion.
Economics10 In particular, discuss the effect on household consumption, business investment, GDP, inflation and housing market. Describe the circumstances in which the RBA Board might increase the cash rate. The RBA lastly increased cash rate in November 2010. Increasing cash rate is similar to increasing interest rates on loans. High consumer prices resulting from prevailing terms of trade might influence the RBA to raise cash rate so as to curb further increase in consumer prices. The RBA is responsible for keeping the value of the Australian currency strong relative to other currencies. Higher exchange rates night trigger RBA to increase cash rate so as reduce money in circulation and as a result leading to strengthening of the local currency. When the RBA predict a likely expansionary shock resulting from high trade terms, it considers raising cash rate. Hyperinflation my lead to reduced purchasing power of customers which increases unemployment and welfare of citizens. Question 5:Define economic growth. What are the determinants of long-run economic growth? Economic growth is the increase in a country’s productive capacity measured by the percentage change in the gross domestic product. Long-run economic growth is sustainable economic growth. Productivity growth is the proportion of economic output to corresponding economic inputs. When firms produce more of products, they benefit from economies of scale which facilitate them to lower the cost of production. Demographic changes affect economic growth. The age structure of a society determines the dependency ratio. The lower the dependency ratio, the higher the prospects of economic growth (Ehrenberg & Smith, 2016). The pattern of age structure of citizens affects employment.
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Economics11 When the youthful population is huge, the country can utilize their energy and innovative capabilities in spearheading development. However, a population dominated by unemployed youth promotes crime which might curtail economic growth. The availability of vast natural resources in the economy promotes sustainable growth since it can be exploited in to the future. Labor force participation is defined as amount of labor available in an economy. When development is high, more people would be absorbed in to the labor market. This promotes exchange of ideas and innovative ideas which support the economy’s path towards economic growth. Is the historically low interest rate of 1.50 percent (from August 2016 until the August 2018) sustainable to achieve long-run economic growth? Yes. The historically cash rate of 1.5 percent maintained by Reserve Bank of Australia for 2 years supported long-run economic growth. The rate fulfilled the RBAs objective of full employment, price stability, and economic growth (Reserve Bank of Australia, n.d). Specifically, the RBA aimed at boosting economic growth in the country by enabling it to boom as it diversified away from dependence on mining. The rate also maintained unemployment low by creating opportunities for youth to get employed. The RBA noted a decline in wages growth although the rate was expected to rise in the long run. Low cost of loans promotes economic growth since investment loans are affordable for investors. Conclusion The reserve bank of Australia considers both domestic and international macroeconomic factors when deciding on the appropriate cash rate in their monthly monetary policy meetings. Past, present and projections of domestic macroeconomic information such as economic growth, unemployment rates, and foreign exchange rates enable the board to select appropriate cash rate
Economics12 that promotes its objectives of fostering economic growth, full employment, and economic stability. Globalization and international trade has also made financial systems interlinked such changes in interest rates, trade policies, and economic growth in United States, Europe, China among other countries affects macroeconomic indicators in Australia. The RBA’s role is to promote macroeconomic policies by seeking to enable the country achieve full employment, economic growth, and stability. Long-run economic growth is determined by a country’s demographic factors, labor force participation, and productive capacity.
Economics13 References Bernanke, B., Antonovics, K. & Frank, R., 2015.Principles of macroeconomics.New York: McGraw-Hill Higher Education. Bos, D., 2014.Public enterprise economics: theory and application(Vol. 23). Elsevier. Eiteman, D.K., Stonehill, A.I. and Moffett, M.H., 2016.Multinational business finance. Pearson Higher Ed. Egan, M. & Gumaraes, 2017. The single market: Trade barriers and trade remedies.JCMS: Journal of Common Market Studies,pp. 294-311. Ehrenberg, R.G. and Smith, R.S., 2016.Modern labor economics: Theory and public policy. Routledge. Gopinath, G., Helpman , E. & Rogoff, K., 2014.Handbook of international economics.New York: Elsevier. Hong, G.H. and Li, N., 2017. Market structure and cost pass-through in retail.Review of Economics and Statistics,99(1), pp.151-166. Miller, R.L. and Benjamin, D.K., 2017.Economics of macro issues. Pearson. Othman, A., Sari, N.M., Alhabshi, S.O. and Mirakhor, A., 2017. Macroeconomic Policies and Risk Transfer. InMacroeconomic Policy and Islamic Finance in Malaysia(pp. 37-51). Palgrave Macmillan, New York. Phaneuf, D. J. & Requite, T., 2016.A course in environmental economics: theory, policy, and practice.Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
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Economics14 Reserve Bank of Australia (2009) Statement by Glenn Stevens, Governor: Monetary Policy [online]. Available from:https://www.rba.gov.au/media-releases/2009/mr-09-28.html[Accessed 10 October 2018]. Reserve Bank of Australia (no date) About the RBA [online]. Available from: https://www.rba.gov.au/about-rba/[Accessed 10 October 2018) Reserve Bank of Australia (no date) Monetary Policy [online]. Available from: https://www.rba.gov.au/monetary-policy/[Accessed 10 October 2018) Reserve Bank of Australia (2018) Media and release [online]. Available from: https://www.rba.gov.au/media-releases/2018/mr-18-17.html [Accessed 10 October 2018]