Regression Analysis, Hypothesis Testing, Statistical Inference and Confidence Intervals
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This article covers Statistical Inference and Confidence Intervals, Hypothesis Testing, and Regression Analysis. It includes solved assignments, essays, and dissertations with a detailed explanation of each topic. The subject, course code, course name, and college/university are not mentioned.
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Regression Analysis Hypothesis Testing Statistical Inference and Confidence Intervals
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TABLE OF CONTENTS SECTION 1: STATISTICAL INFERENCE AND CONFIDENCE INTERVALS........................2 Question 1....................................................................................................................................2 a) Construct 95% and 99% CI.....................................................................................................2 b) Construct 90% and 95% CI.....................................................................................................3 c) Sample size needed during 90% CI.........................................................................................4 SECTION 2: HYPOTHESIS TESTING.........................................................................................5 Question 2....................................................................................................................................5 a) Hypothesis...............................................................................................................................5 b) Risk associated with Type 1 and Type 2 errors.......................................................................5 Question 3....................................................................................................................................6 SECTION 3: REGRESSION ANALYSIS......................................................................................7 1. Regression analysis..................................................................................................................7 2. Summary in PPT......................................................................................................................8 3. Regression equation to determine predicted value..................................................................8 4. Graph of residual against the predicted value..........................................................................9 REFERENCES..............................................................................................................................10
SECTION1:STATISTICALINFERENCEANDCONFIDENCE INTERVALS Question 1 a) Construct 95% and 99% CI Sample mean = 49.50 standard deviation = 9.50 Sample = 80 For 95% confidence level Step 1: Identify the value of CI at 95% through Z score = 1.96 Step 2: Apply the formula Z * standard deviation /√sample = 1.96 * 9.50 /√80 =18.62 / 8.94 = 2.08 Step 3: In order to determine the lower end of a range, subtract the step 2 from mean (Jiang and et.al., (2021) . = 49.50 – 2.08 = 47.42 Step 4: For upper range, add the value obtain from step 2 with the mean = 49.50 + 2.08 = 51.58 Thus, the CI for 95% = (47.42, 51.58) For 99% CI
Step 1: In order to determine the value of 99% CI, the value of Z score has been used = 2.576 Step 2: Applying the formula of Z score = 2.576 * 9.50 /√80 = 24.472 / 8.94 = 2.73 Step 3: For identifying the lower end of CI, subtract the value get from above step from mean = 49.50 – 2.73 = 46.77 Step 4: In order to determine upper end of CI, add the value of CI with mean = 49.50 + 2.73 = 52.23 Therefore, the CI for 99% is (46.77, 52.23) b) Construct 90% and 95% CI Here sample will be 80 but, number who bought an item for supporter’s apparel is 20 so n will be 20/80 = 0.25 Further, the calculation is as mentioned below by applying all the above stages. For 90% CI Here, the value of Z is 1.64 = 1.64 * 9.50 /√0.25 = 15.58 / 0.5 = 31.16 For lower end = 49.50 –31.16 = 18.34 For upper end = 31.16 + 49.50
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= 80.66 Thus, CI for 90% (19.54, 79.46) For 95% CI Here, the value of 95% is 1.96 Thus, to determine the value apply the formula, = 1.96 * 9.50 /√0.5 =18.62 / 0.5 = 37.24 For lower end, = 49.50 – 37.24 = 12.26 For upper end, = 49.50 + 37.24 = 86.74 Thus, the value of CI for 95% is (12.26 , 86.74) c) Sample size needed during 90% CI Sample mean = 3 Standard deviation = 8.50 Z score = 90% = 1.645 At 90% CI Z = observed value (x) – mean of a sample / standard deviation 1.645 = x – 3 / 8.50 1.645 * 8.50 = x – 3 13.98 = x – 3 13.98 + 3 = x 16.98 = x
At 99% CI 2.576 = x – 3 / 8.50 2.576 * 8.50 = x – 3 21.896 = x – 3 21.896 + 3 = x 24.896 = x The value of sample size changes when the results are generated by using 99% CI such that at 95% Confidence interval, the value of sample is 16.98 whereas at 99% CI, it changes by 24.896. This is because the value of z score is varying at different level of interval. SECTION 2: HYPOTHESIS TESTING Question 2 a) Hypothesis H0 (Null hypothesis): There is no association between the mean values of improvement in symptoms and effectiveness of new vaccines. H1 (Alternative hypothesis): There is an association between the mean values of improvement in symptoms and effectiveness of new vaccines. b) Risk associated with Type 1 and Type 2 errors The risk associated with the Type 1 error is such that it occurs when null hypothesis is rejected, even though it is true. Therefore, in the context of testing new vaccines, it will be sale even though the chances of improvement are lower (Campbell, 2021). Thus, during this time, company knows that there is no association between the effectiveness of new vaccine and improvements. However, in the type 2 error, it has been identified that null hypothesis is accepted when the results are not in favor of stated hypothesis. This is recognized as a false negative where there is an improvement identified within a respondent, but still the effectiveness of a new vaccine does not identify.
Question 3 At 0.05 level of significance One-Sample Statistics NMeanStd. Deviation Std. Error Mean Waiting time204.23101.52066.34003 One-Sample Test Test Value = 5 tdfSig. (2-tailed)Mean Difference 95% Confidence Interval of the Difference LowerUpper Waiting time-2.26219.036-.76900-1.4807-.0573 At 0.10 level of significance One-Sample Statistics NMeanStd. Deviation Std. Error Mean Waiting time204.23101.52066.34003 One-Sample Test Test Value = 5 tdfSig. (2-tailed)Mean Difference 90% Confidence Interval of the Difference LowerUpper
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Waiting time-2.26219.036-.76900-1.3570-.1810 Discussion:From the above, it has been analyzed that there is no change identified when the level of significance changes and this in turn signifies that there is an evidence that a mean waiting time is less than 5 minutes. As a result, alternative hypothesis is accepted over other and this in turn signifies that average number of waiting time is less than 5 minutes among the selected respondents. Also, there is change in the confidence interval number when run T-test by 90% level of significance. SECTION 3: REGRESSION ANALYSIS 1. Regression analysis H0 (Null hypothesis): There is no statistical difference between the mean value of years of education and winning. H1 (Alternate hypothesis): There is a statistical difference between the mean value of years of education and winning. Model Summary ModelRR SquareAdjusted R Square Std. Error of the Estimate 1.958a.918.90559.39510 a. Predictors: (Constant), Yearsofeducation ANOVAa ModelSum of Squares dfMean SquareFSig. 1Regression238520.8331238520.83367.612.000b Residual21166.66763527.778
Total259687.5007 a. Dependent Variable: winning b. Predictors: (Constant), Yearsofeducation Coefficientsa ModelUnstandardized Coefficients Standardized Coefficients tSig. BStd. ErrorBeta 1(Constant)1735.000147.89311.731.000 Yearsofeducation-89.16710.844-.958-8.223.000 a. Dependent Variable: winning 2. Summary in PPT Slide 1
Slide 2 3. Regression equation to determine predicted value In order to predict the value for 15 years, use the formula Y = a + bx, Here, a is constant and b is the value of unstandardized coefficient of error i.e. years of education. By applying the formula, the value is as mentioned below: y = 1735 + (-89.167) x y = 1735 + (-89.167) *15 y = 1735 – 1337.50 y = 379.5 Therefore, the winning on TV games shows will be 379.5 or 380 approx for 15thyear.
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4. Graph of residual against the predicted value 200300400500600700800900 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 f(x) = − 2.29836206224206E-18 x + 3.21940628989137E-15 Winnings Residual Plot Winnings Residuals RESIDUAL OUTPUT Observation Predicted Years of education Residual s 111.24669-0.24669 214.851990.148014 312.79182-0.79182 415.367030.632972 510.731650.268351 615.882070.11793 712.276770.723225 814.85199-0.85199
REFERENCES Books and Journals Campbell, M. J. (Ed.). (2021).Statistics at square one. John Wiley & Sons. Jiang,Z.andet.al.,(2021).AMonteCarloStudyofConfidenceIntervalMethodsfor GeneralizabilityCoefficient.EducationalandPsychologicalMeasurement, 00131644211033899.