Relationship between the Stock Market and the Economy
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This article explores the relationship between the stock market and the economy, discussing the concept of inflows and outflows of productivity, factors that increase and decrease market values of firms, and the cyclical pattern and imperative factors of the stock market.
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Running head:RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE STOCK MARKET AND THE ECONOMY Relationship between the Stock Market and the Economy Name of the student: Name of the University: Author’s Note
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1RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE STOCK MARKET AND THE ECONOMY Table of Contents Concept of inflows and outflows of the productivity in the market..........................................2 Factors that increase and decrease market values of the firms..................................................3 Cyclical patter and Imperative factors of stock market.............................................................4 References..................................................................................................................................6
2RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE STOCK MARKET AND THE ECONOMY Concept of inflows and outflows of the productivity in the market In a common phase Productivity is defined as the ration between output volume and input volume. This measures how efficiently the capital or the labour has been used in an economy to produce a certain level of output (Koepke, 2019).Productivity growth includes an important element for modelling the productive capacity of economies. It allows in determining the capacity utilisation. This in turn allows one to gauge the position of economies in the business cycle andallows to forecast economic growth or economic downfall. Production capacity has been used to recognise demand and inflationary pressures coming from the economic factor. The input to the productivity refers to the capital and labour input which, makes the output strong.The inflow and out flow of the productivity refers to the concept of investment into the country economy. Capital flow is the movement of assets from the country to the abroad. This happens when the investors does not believes in country’s economy. This happens when the foreign and domestic investors sell of their holdings into particular country as the nation’s economy does not prove to be strong. In this phase the investors believes that the better opportunity exists in the abroad. This reduces the domestic production. With the reduction in the investment into nation the domestic capital gets reduced and result of which the productivity of the nation gets reduced.However with the increase in the investment helps in earning productivity into the nation as this increases the capital investment and stimulates the gross domestic production in to the country.This results in inflow of the productivity as the GDP gets increased with the increase in investment (Jones & Klenow, 2016). This reflects a strong economy where the stock price reflects the strong capital investment. However with the improvement in the stock market makes the economy stronger and increases the inflow of the investment or the capital gets increased through which the capital investment gets increased and result of which the productivity gets increased and the \inflow of the productivity happens.The role of the capital inputs, is an
3RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE STOCK MARKET AND THE ECONOMY appropriate measure of the flow of productive services which can be drawn from the cumulative stock of past investments. With the discrimination in the capital investment as an input element the productivity gets affected. Factors that increase and decrease market values of the firms There are mainly three factors that determine the market value of a firm. The market value of the firm is defined as the market value of the stock. The three factors are supply and demand, financial performance and broad economic trend. Supply and demand: Traditionally there is an inverse relation in between supply and demand. However this has been believed that stock price gets increased if there are more buyers than sellers present into the market. The company’s valuation depends on the valuation of the stock in the capital market. Hence with the increase in the stock price the company value automatically gets increased into the market. With having the concept of Bid-ask system for buying a stock the Bid refers to the bid price which is the highest price of the stock at which the buyers are willing to buy the stock. This happens when the market demand for the stock is high and the supply of the stock is low. This makes the value of the company high into the market. However with the inverse situation the price gets reduced and the seller gets ready to sell their stock at ask which means at lower price. This makes the company’s valuation low into market. Financial performance: This has been often referred that he stock price gets increased with the increase in the demand; however the demand for the stock gets increased due to the company’s performance. If the company earns more or the company reflects profitability towards the investors the
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4RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE STOCK MARKET AND THE ECONOMY company’s stock gets attracted more to the investors for buying the stock. In this way the company’s value gets increased to the investors (Qiu, Shaukat & Tharyan, 2016). Broad economic trend: A specific business trend that the company deals with in the macroeconomic picture. Stock price always gets affected by the macro economy condition. This includes the performance of the economy as a whole or of a nation. It becomes harder for a company to earn money during the time of rescission. This makes the company’s value low into the capital market. In this situation demand for the stock gets reduced and supply become high as the company realises a slow or rigid growth rate during this time. Some may fail to perform into market and may realise loss (Fernald & Inklaar, 2018). Cyclical patter and Imperative factors of stock market Cyclical pattern: Cyclical patter refers to the business patter or a trend of a stock price for a longer period. This reflects a stocks increase or decrease of the price over a long period of time. This refers to the performance of that stock over a long time (Stratimirović et al., 2018). This generates a pattern of performance where the performance prediction can be done. This reflects a general business cycle of the stock. The cyclical pattern helps in formulating technical analysis through evaluating trend of the performance. The cyclical pattern helps the company to analyse their own performance in the stock market. The investors follow this pattern to identify the portfolio return on investment. However the cyclical patter has been used for the decision making on an investment. This reflects a market trend or a trend of a stock performance
5RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE STOCK MARKET AND THE ECONOMY Imperative factors of stock market: The imperative factors in the stock market refer to the identificationoftheprofitabilitythecompany’svaluationintothestock market.The imperative factors are the direct element of putting effect on the stock price (Sharif, T., Purohit & Pillai, 2015). The imperative factors are the: Economics: A country’s economy determines the stock performance. This includes the impact on the macro economy such as interest rate,inflation or economic condition on the stock price. Political:withthestrongpoliticalenvironmentandwithinagovernmentsupportive environment the stock price realises less volatility. However the government initiatives also make impact on the stock price. Market Psychology: this depends on the human being. The market realises boom while the buyers want to buy more stock. Alternatively, there are also periods of panic when almost every investor is scrambling to sell (Arthur, 2018).
6RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE STOCK MARKET AND THE ECONOMY References Arthur, W. B. (2018). Asset pricing under endogenous expectations in an artificial stock market. InThe economy as an evolving complex system II(pp. 31-60). CRC Press. Fernald, J. G., & Inklaar, R. (2018). Does Disappointing European Productivity Growth Reflect a Slowing Trend? Weighing the Evidence and Assessing the Future. Jones,C.I.,&Klenow,P.J.(2016).BeyondGDP?Welfareacrosscountriesand time.American Economic Review,106(9), 2426-57. Koepke, R. (2019). What drives capital flows to emerging markets? A survey of the empirical literature.Journal of Economic Surveys,33(2), 516-540. Qiu, Y., Shaukat, A., & Tharyan, R. (2016). Environmental and social disclosures: Link with corporate financial performance.The British Accounting Review,48(1), 102-116. Sharif, T., Purohit, H., & Pillai, R. (2015). Analysis of factors affecting share prices: The case of Bahrain stock exchange.International Journal of Economics and Finance,7(3), 207-216. Stratimirović, D., Sarvan, D., Miljković, V., & Blesić, S. (2018). Analysis of cyclical behavior in time series of stock market returns.Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation,54, 21-33.