Impact of Macroeconomic Factors on Company Performance
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This report analyzes the impact of macroeconomic factors on the financial performance of a chosen company. It also provides recommendations for improvement and discusses different investment appraisal techniques.
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REPORT ON ECONOMICS
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The report summarise about impact of macro and micro factors on chosen company's performance.Inadditionfinancialperformanceofcompanyisanalysedandsuitable recommendations are given so that deficiencies can be enhanced. The end part of report summarise about different investment appraisal techniques.
Table of Contents EXECUTIVE SUMMARY.............................................................................................................2 1.0 INTRODUCTION.....................................................................................................................4 2.0 Identify and evaluate the impact of economy on business organisations..................................4 2.1 Supply and demand of goods................................................................................................4 2.2 Micro factors.........................................................................................................................5 2.3 Macro factors........................................................................................................................6 3.0 Financial information of the organizations................................................................................8 3.1 Profitability Ratios................................................................................................................8 3.2 Liquidity ratio........................................................................................................................9 3.3 Leverage Ratio....................................................................................................................10 3.4 Efficiency Ratio..................................................................................................................11 4.0 Investment Appraisal Techniques..........................................................................................12 4.1 Payback Period...................................................................................................................12 4.2 Net Present Value................................................................................................................13 4.3 Internal Rate of Return........................................................................................................14 4.4 Accounting Rate of Return..................................................................................................15 5.0 CONCLUSION........................................................................................................................16 6.0 RECOMMENDATIONS.........................................................................................................17 REFERENCES..............................................................................................................................18
1.0 INTRODUCTION The term economics is a key aspect of external which has a significant impact on financial performance of business entities (Persson and Tabellini, 2016). In the project report a company has been chosen that is Mother care plc. This company is a British retailer that provides products for expectant mothers and for children up to 8 years. It is listed on London stock exchange. In January 2019, Mother care plc faced that about 79 stores in UK, refused to take products from them. The reason of this lower sales was increasing in online sales and increased competition. 2.0 Identify and evaluate the impact of economy on business organisations. 2.1 Supply and demand of goods. Principle of supply and demand: Principle of supply- The supply can be defined as amount of goods and services are available to customers. It is based on a principle which is that keeping other factors constant, a raise in prices may lead to increase in supplied quantity. In the aspect of above mother care plc, if price of their products will raise then supply of products will also increase vice versa.
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Principle of demand- In the economics, demand can be defined as quantity of goods and services which consumers like and able to buy at different prices during a particular time frame. Principle of demand states that if prices of goods and services will increase then demand will decrease, vice versa. In the aspect of above company, if they will decrease prices of products then demand will raise. Elasticity of demand and supply- Elasticity of demand- It is defined as a variation in price of a product which affects the demand. This is computed by % change in quantity demanded by % change in a variable on that demand depends. Elasticity of supply- This is defined as % change in prices to % change in quantity supplied of a particular commodity. 2.2 Micro factors. The micro factors have a significant impact on companies financial performance. In the aspect Mother care company, these factors can affect in such manner: Impact of immigration- In the case when there is no immigration then labour rate will be higher and if there will be immigration then labour rate will fall down. In the aspect of above company, they can be affected from this factor if rate of labour will fluctuate due to higher immigration.
Number of job increases- In addition, if number of jobs increases at the time of immigration then labour force will be agree to do job at lower rate (Sahlins, 2017). In the Mother care company, they can fulfil their vacant posts in the case when there is immigration. 2.3 Macro factors. Along with the micro factors, macro factors also affect companies performance. This is so because:Unemployment- This is a key factor of an economy that can impact to financial performance of companies. It is so because in a nation if unemployment rate will higher then this will be difficult for corporations to provide jobs to freshers and attract more number of customers because of lack of source of income. Along with demand of goods will also lower. Below data of unemployment of UK in last three years is mentioned which can affect above chosen company: YearUnemployment rate 20164.9 20174.4 20184.1
201620172018 3.6 3.8 4 4.2 4.4 4.6 4.8 54.9 4.4 4.1 Unemployment rate This chart shows that unemployment rate is decreasing and it will make a positive impact on Mother-care company's performance. It is so because if people will have jobs then they will demand for more products. GDP growth rate- This is also a key element of economy which can affect companies performance. It is so because if growth rate will lower then companies will not be able to do more expand and investment. In the aspect of above company, they are affected from this factor because growth rate of UK has been decreased in some years that is presented below: YearGDP growth rate 20161.90% 20171.80% 20181.40%
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201620172018 0 0 0 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.021.90%1.80% 1.40% GDP growth rate Inflation rate- This is rate which can impact companies performance negatively if there is higher fluctuation (Gilman, 2018). In the aspect of UK's economy, this can be find out that their inflation rate is higher after year 2016 and as a result above company affected from this. YearInflation rate 20160.70% 20172.70% 20182.50%
201620172018 0 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 Inflation rate 3.0 Financial information of the organizations 3.1 Profitability Ratios It is one of the branch of financial metrics that is used to evaluate the earning ability of the company in comparison to revenue. It also helps in measuring company's performance for the specific duration. Gross profit ratio: It is profitability ratio which is calculated by the organizations to identify operational performance of the business. It shows the relationship between gross profit or net profit of the company. Its calculation mentioned below along with the formula: Formula: Gross Profit Ratio = Gross Profit / Net Sales * 100 Calculations: Items2016 (£'m)2017 (£'m)2018 (£'m) Gross Profit60.258.834 Net Sales682.3667.4654.5 Gross Profit Ratio8.82 %8.81 %5.19 %
123 0 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.18.82%8.81% 5.19% Gross Profit Ratio Interpretation: The chart shows that gross profit ratio of company is decreasing in all three years. Such as in year, 2016 this was of 8.82% that became of 5.19% in last year. It is so because their gross profits are decreasing with huge margin in all three years. 3.2 Liquidity ratio This ratio used to calculate the debtor's ability in order to pay off their short term obligations and it is only when company have enough liquidity. In order to measure liquidity of business operations, company calculate different ratios such as current ratio or quick ration. Current ratio: This ratio calculate to identify the resources and its ability to perform their task or able to meet with short term obligations (Shiller, 2017). It is calculated by dividing current assets with current liability and its ideal ratio is 2:1. Formula: Current Ratio = Current Assets / Current Liability Calculations: Items2016 (£'m)2017 (£'m)2018 (£'m) Current Assets203.6178.2151.6 Current Liability145.8136.2134.4 Current Ratio1.391.301.12
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123 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.61.391.3 1.12 Current Ratio Interpretation: On the basis of current ratio of company, this can be find out that it is not in ideal form which is 2:1 times. The graph shows that current ratio of company is decreasing in all three years. Like in year 2016, it was of 1.39 times that became of 1.3 times. It is so because of higher value of liabilities. 3.3 Leverage Ratio This ratio used to calculate the proportion of debt in comparison to equity or any other capital. There are various ratios which business used to calculate such as shareholders equity or debt to equity. Debt ratio: It is financial ratio which is required to calculate for the identification of total debt and its ability to pay off which helps in measuring company's leverage (Redding and Rossi- Hansberg, 2017). Ideal ratio is 1:1, so company should focus on maintaining ideal ratio for the effective performance. Formula: Debt Ratio = Total Liabilities / Total Assets Calculations: Items2016 (£'m)2017 (£'m)2018 (£'m) Total Liabilities258.3266.4263.1 Total Assets347.4347.8276.7
Debt Ratio0.740.760.85 123 0.65 0.7 0.75 0.8 0.85 0.9 0.740.76 0.85 Debt Ratio Interpretation: On the basis of above presented graph, this can be interpreted that debt ratio of company is increasing in a significant manner which is not a good sign. Like in year 2016, it was of 0.74 that raised and became of 0.76 in year 2017. This is so because of higher liabilities in all three years. 3.4 Efficiency Ratio It is another financial metrics where organizations use this ratio which indicate total expenses in comparison to the revenue of the company for the period. Management try to minimise this ratio so they can generate more profit or get higher growth. Assets turnover ratio: This ratio used to measure company's revenue in comparison to total value of assets (Rodrik, 2018). Those organizations have low profit margin, it founded that they have high assets turnover. Calculation based on Mother care plc which mentioned below: Formula: Assets Turnover Ratio = Net Sales / Average Total Assets Calculation: Items2016 (£'m)2017 (£'m)2018 (£'m) Net Sales682.3667.4654.5 Average Total Assets278.2347.6312.25
Assets Turnover Ratio 2.451.922.09 123 0 1 2 32.45 1.922.09 Assets Turnover Ratio Interpretation: On the basis of above presented chart, this can be find out that assets turnover ratio of this company is fluctuating in all years. Such as in year 2016, it was of 2.45 times that reduced and became of 1.92 times. While in next year 2018, it raised and became of 2.09 times. This shows that company is unable to generate consistent return on assets. Working Notes: Average Total Assets = (Beginningassets + Ending assets ) / 2 2016= ( 6910 + 6908 ) / 2 = 6909 2017= ( 7115 +347.8 ) / 2 = 7012.5 or 7013 2018= (347.8+ 7115 ) / 2 = 7332 4.0 Investment Appraisal Techniques In this section of report, calculation based on Imad's luxury Ltd which has three different opportunities. By using investment appraisal technique, managers have to make decisions that in which products company should invest. Comparison will be based on different aspect such as NPV, IRR, ARR or Payback period. Its calculation mentioned below: 4.1 Payback Period It is one of the most effective method of capital budgeting which refer to the time which is taken by the organizations to recover their initial investment (Eichholtz, Kok and Quigley, 2013). Basically it means, in how much time company will recover their invested amount in particular project. Lower the payback period is beneficial for the organizations or managers can
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make quick decisions on the basis of it. By using this method, managers of Imad's luxury Ltd able to make judgement that which product the need to produce or sell in the market. Payback Period: YearProduct 1CCFProduct 2CCFProduct 3CCF Year 080,000-150,000-80,000- Year 135,00035,00030,00030,00040,00040,000 Year 235,00070,00045,00075,00040,00080,000 Year 340,000110,00075,000150,00020,000100,000 Year 450,000160,00075,000225,00025,000125,000 Formula: Payback Period = Year + Unrecoverable cost / cash flow during the year Product 1= 2 + ( 10000 / 40000 ) =2.25 years Product 2 =3 years. Product 3 =2 years. 4.2 Net Present Value NPV is the another method of capital budgeting which is used to evaluate investment proposal and how effective or beneficial it is for the company (Camerer et.al, 2016). Basically it is the difference between present value of cash inflow or present value of cash outflow. Higher NPV means investment is profitable for the company. Management will adopt this method to evaluate their investment and make further decisions accordingly. Formula: NPV = Present Value of Cash Inflow – Present Value of Cash Outflow Product 1: YearProduct 1Present Value @ Dis Cash FlowPresent Value @ Dis Cash Flow
4250000.683170750.41010240 NPV21,523-1,920 4.3 Internal Rate of Return This method helps in identifying return of investment which is taken by the organizations for the purpose of maximising their earnings (Ciaian, Rajcaniova and Kancs, 2016). At the time of making decisions regarding investment, managers will compare different projects on the basis of high IRR that is beneficial as well as profitable for the company. If IRR is high, then it will be selected and if low then rejected. Imad's luxury Ltd follow this technique to make their decisions regarding selection of product which they has to select to manufacture or sell. Formula: Product 1: IRR= 10 + {44,947 / [ 44,947 - (-3559)]} * ( 35 – 10) = 10 + {0.926 * 25} = 10 + 23.15 =33.15% Product 2: IRR=10 + {22,037 / [ 22,037 - (-14,178)]} * ( 20 – 10) = 10 + {0.608 * 10} = 10 + 6.08 =16.08%
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Product 3: IRR=10 + { 21,523 / [ 21,523 - (-1,920)]} * ( 25 – 10) = 10 + { 0.918 * 15 } = 10 + 13.77 =23.77% 4.4 Accounting Rate of Return It is the financial ratio which is used for capital budgeting but it does not consider the time value of money. Basically it is the return which is calculated on the basis of net income of the project. It help in comparing different project and managers will consider the higher return project on the basis of ARR. Formula: ARR = Average Net Profit / Initial Investment * 100 Initial Investment Average Net ProfitWorkingsARR Product 1800004000040000 / 8000 * 10050 Product 21500005625056250 / 150000 * 10037.5 Product 3800003125031250 / 80000 * 10039.06 Workings: Product 1Product 2Product 3 160000 / 4225000 / 4125000 / 4 Average Net profit:400005625031250 Comparison of three different products by using investment appraisal techniques: ProductPPNPVIRRARR 12.2544,94733.1550 2322,03716.0837.5 3221,52323.7739.6
On the basis of above comparison it has been evaluated that Imad's luxury Ltd should produce Product 1 and sell in the market because it will provide higher returns. Such as NPV of this products is 44,947, payback period is 2.25 years which means company recover their initial investment in this period. IRR is 33.15 and ARR is 50 that is maximum from among three products. Company will decided to manufacture Product 1 that is more beneficial as well as profitable for the organizations. After that, 3rdproduct is most suitable which has more attractive returns. But, among three opportunities Product 1 is most suitable or profitable for Imad's luxury Ltd. 5.0 CONCLUSION From the above discussion it has been concluded that, there are various factors which affect the business and its operational profit. Such as micro or macro factors which includes mitigation of workers, unemployment, growth etc. In addition, with the help of financial analysis managers able to understand the financial position as well as performance in the market. Its analysis will helps making strategies or perform accordingly to improve productivity as well as profitability. 6.0 RECOMMENDATIONS Onthebasisofabovementionedfinancialperformanceofcompany,below recommendation are needed to be followed by company: Mother care company should focus on minimising cost of sales so that their gross profit may increase. As well as company should try to increase their current assets so that their liquidity position can be improve. Company should focus on enhancing their operations and activities so that their turnover ratios can be improve. Along with company must align their policies and plans with consideration of macro and micro factors.
REFERENCES Books and journal: Persson, T. and Tabellini, G., 2016.Political economics. Cambridge, MA: MIT press. Sahlins, M., 2017.Stone age economics. Routledge. Gilman, C.P., 2018. Women and economics. InInequality in the 21st Century(pp. 31-33). Routledge. Shiller, R.J., 2017. Narrative economics.American Economic Review,107(4), pp.967-1004. Redding, S.J. and Rossi-Hansberg, E., 2017. Quantitative spatial economics.Annual Review of Economics,9, pp.21-58. Rodrik, D., 2018. Populism and the Economics of Globalization.Journal of international business policy,1(1-2), pp.12-33. Eichholtz, P., Kok, N. and Quigley, J.M., 2013. The economics of green building.Review of Economics and Statistics,95(1), pp.50-63. Camerer, C.F., Dreber, A., Forsell, E., Ho, T.H., Huber, J., Johannesson, M., Kirchler, M., Almenberg, J., Altmejd, A., Chan, T. and Heikensten, E., 2016. Evaluating replicability of laboratory experiments in economics.Science,351(6280), pp.1433-1436. Ciaian,P.,Rajcaniova,M.andKancs,D.A.,2016.TheeconomicsofBitCoinprice formation.Applied Economics,48(19), pp.1799-1815.
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Risk management is a foundational element considered by the business entity when developing any plans that contribute to the company's sustainability and progress. Risk management is meant to recognize the potential ambiguity and its determination to what degree it may impact the operations of the company. A higher risk factor is regarded and then efforts are made to resolvefromlowerriskangle.Thefundamentalconceptunderlyingriskmanagementis recognise and minimize the impactsof unexpected events that can adversely affect the operations of the company. From above report it has been articulated that Risk may emerge from finance market volatility, pressures from government or labor unions, danger from program failure, legal responsibilities, loan repayment, and other natural causes. Effective managing risk is therefore possible if the company has correctly measured the organizational environment as well as its external work environment that involves supervisors, administrators, workers, competitor's strategies, technological advancements.