1REPORT ON ECONOMIC PROGRESS IN SINGAPORE Table of Contents Introduction......................................................................................................................................2 Current Event...................................................................................................................................2 GDP Highlights...............................................................................................................................3 Labour Market Analysis..................................................................................................................4 Price Movements.............................................................................................................................5 Conclusion.......................................................................................................................................6 Reference.........................................................................................................................................7
2REPORT ON ECONOMIC PROGRESS IN SINGAPORE Introduction Singapore has been a strong country economically and to keep the good economic conditionitisnecessarytoimplementeffectivepoliciesregularly.Therefore,thorough information and analysis is required to make effective policies. Therefore, the report discusses and analyses the important aspects of economy of the country. The aspect that the report focuses on are a current event that affecting the country economically, economic indicators like gross domestic product, labour market with special emphasis on employment and movements in price level. Therefore, the report discusses about the economic progress in Singapore to help the government to devise effective policies. Current Event Many events are occurring or has occurred recently in Singapore but the event that has acquired the most important status is the outbreak of Corona virus. It is more appropriate to state the event as a national issue as it is spreading fast. So far the number of people diagnosed with Corona virus is 58 (The Star Online 2020). Experts are afraid that the outbreak of the disease might take the form of an epidemic considering the case of Corona virus in China. It is estimated that the economic impact of Corona virus outbreak is going to be worse than the SARS pandemic occurred in 2003. The impact would be on the tourism sector and there would be huge fall in number of tourist travelling to Singapore in near future. As per a report by the DBS Group Holdings, there will be less tourists visiting Singapore this year and the number of fall in tourists could be 1 million. Such a big fall in number of tourist will possibly lead to loss spending in the sector worth $1 billion (South China Morning Post 2020). Therefore, such a loss of revenue would hurt the economy of Singapore. In addition to that, the government of Singapore is going to announce economic package to encounter and alleviate the problem of Corona virus outbreak
3REPORT ON ECONOMIC PROGRESS IN SINGAPORE in the coming budget (The Strait Times 2020). Therefore, loss in income and rise in spending is going to affect the economy adversely with fall in economic growth. (250 words) GDP Highlights Figure 1: GDP growth rate in Singapore Source: (Created by the Author) GDP growth rate is an important economic indicator and thus its study is important. From figure 1, it can be observed that there had been several instance where the country had faced negative growth in GDP (Tan 2016). The data of GDP growth rate since 1980 show that there had been 3 years in which the country had faced negative GDP growth rate and they were 1985, 1998 and 2001. However, the cause of negative GDP growth rate had been different in different years. The cause of negative GDP growth rate in 1985 was recession (Eatonet al.2016). Again, negative GDP growth happened in 1998 and it was due to the Asian Financial Crisis. In 2001, the economy of Singapore faced negative GDP growth again and that happened due to decline in electronic industry and dot-com bust. (150 words) 19751980198519901995200020052010201520202025 -4% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% GDP Growth Rate Year GDP Growth Rate (%)
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4REPORT ON ECONOMIC PROGRESS IN SINGAPORE Labour Market Analysis Figure 2: Distribution of employment in Singapore Source: (Created by the Author) Figure 2 shows the employment distribution in major industries in Singapore and they are manufacturing, construction, services and others. After studying the figure, it can be observed that service industry provides the maximum percentage of employment to the employed residents of the country (Hsia and Chau 2018). Then comes the manufacturing industry but the percentage is significantly lower than the service industry. At the third position comes the construction industry as per the amount of employment provided by the sector to the employed residents of the country. The employment share for others is so low that the bar of the sector is almost not visible in the figure. The amount of employed residents that worked in service industry in Singapore in 2008 was 76%. In the case of manufacturing industry, the amount was 17%. In the construction industry, the amount was 6% and in other sectors, the amount is only 1%. Employment percentage in 2018 has increased for services industries only. The percentage of residents employed worked in the service sector has been 84%. On the other hand, the 20082018 0.0 500.0 1,000.0 1,500.0 2,000.0 2,500.0 Employed residentsManufactruingConstruction ServicesOthers Year Employment (in thousand)
5REPORT ON ECONOMIC PROGRESS IN SINGAPORE manufacturing industry experienced the maximum amount of percentage decline in employment in 2018 in comparison to 2008, which is 27%. Price Movements Figure 3: Inflation rate in Singapore Source: (Created by the Author) In figure 3, the inflation rate of Singapore from February 2017 to October 2019 has been shown. It is evident from the figure that the even though the inflation rate is not high but there is an upward trend and due to that, the inflation rate increased for 0.2% in February 2017 to 1.4% in October 2019 (Brunnermeier and Sannikov 2016). However, it should be noted that the inflation rate shown in the figure is monthly inflation rate. The inflation rate that occurred in October 2019 in Singapore is due to housing and utilities, food, food servicing services, communication, miscellaneous good and services and education (Clark, Ghosh and Hanes 2018). However, the contribution of communication service in raising the inflation rate in Singapore in October 2019 is the highest. 2017 Feb 2017 Apr 2017 Jun 2017 Aug 2017 Oct 2017 Dec 2018 Feb 2018 Apr 2018 Jun 2018 Aug 2018 Oct 2018 Dec 2019 Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jun 2019 Aug 2019 Oct 0.00% 0.20% 0.40% 0.60% 0.80% 1.00% 1.20% 1.40% 1.60% Months Inflation rate (%)
6REPORT ON ECONOMIC PROGRESS IN SINGAPORE Conclusion The above discussion about economy of Singapore with special emphasis on current event, GDG, labour market and price level it can be inferred that the country has been performing well with few number of disturbances in the economy. However, the recent outbreak of Corona virus has put the economy of Singapore at stake and it is estimated that the outbreak is going to take a toll on the economy of the country. Therefore, immediate and effective governmental policies are required to encounter the current problem.
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7REPORT ON ECONOMIC PROGRESS IN SINGAPORE Reference Brunnermeier, M.K. and Sannikov, Y., 2016. On the optimal inflation rate.American Economic Review,106(5), pp.484-89. Clark, A., Ghosh, A. and Hanes, S., 2018. Inflation expectations in Singapore: A behavioural approach.Macroeconomic Review,17(1), p.89. Eaton,J.,Kortum,S.,Neiman,B.andRomalis,J.,2016.Tradeandtheglobal recession.American Economic Review,106(11), pp.3401-38. Hsia, R. and Chau, L., 2018.Industrialisation, employment and income distribution: A case study of Hong Kong. Routledge. South China Morning Post. (2020).Coronavirus: Singapore braces for economic hit with ‘strong’ spendingpackage.Availableat: https://www.scmp.com/news/asia/southeast-asia/article/3050208/coronavirus-singapore-braces- economic-hit-strong-spending. Tan, A.H., 2016. Economic prospects of Singapore. InSINGAPORE 2065: Leading Insights on Economy and Environment from 50 Singapore Icons and Beyond(pp. 213-218). TheStarOnline.(2020).EightnewCovid-19casesdetectedinSingapore. Availableat: https://www.thestar.com.my/news/regional/2020/02/14/eight-new-covid-19-cases-detected-in- singapore. The Straits Times. (2020).Budget next week will include 'strong' package to counter coronavirus fallout: Lawrence Wong. Available at: https://www.straitstimes.com/business/economy/budget- next-week-will-include-strong-package-to-counter-coronavirus-fallout.