This report discusses the statistical analysis of weather data on humidity, including descriptive analysis methods and calculations using mean, median, mode, and standard deviation. It also provides forecasts for the humidity on the 15th and 20th day. The data is based on the humidity of Bradford.
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TABLE OF CONTENTS INTRODUCTION...........................................................................................................................1 1) Arrangement of Data into table...................................................................................................1 2) Presentation of Data.....................................................................................................................1 3) Calculation of mean, median, mode and standard deviation.......................................................2 Mean...........................................................................................................................................2 Median.........................................................................................................................................3 Mode............................................................................................................................................4 Standard Deviation.......................................................................................................................4 Range...........................................................................................................................................4 4. Forecast and Calculation of M & C.............................................................................................5 Calculation of M..........................................................................................................................5 Calculation of C...........................................................................................................................5 Forecasting the humidity on 15th and 20th day...........................................................................6 CONCLUSION...............................................................................................................................6 REFERENCES................................................................................................................................7
INTRODUCTION The report will be discussing the statistical analysis of weather data on humidity.This will be representing descriptive analysis methods used by the experts. For measuring the data descriptive analysis using mean, median, mode, standard deviation and range method. The report is based on the data of humidity of Bradford. Predictions have been in the report using regression methods. The report will provide understanding of the above concepts using calculations. 1) Arrangement of Data into table YearHumidity 31/12/1985% 01/01/2090% 02/01/2087% 03/01/2080% 04/01/2088% 05/01/2090% 06/01/2078% 07/01/2084% 08/01/2082% 09/01/2097% 2) Presentation of Data Chart on Humidity of Brad ford 1 31/12/2019 01/01/2020 02/01/2020 03/01/2020 04/01/2020 05/01/2020 06/01/2020 07/01/2020 08/01/2020 09/01/2020 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 85%90%87% 80% 88%90% 78% 84%82% 97% Humidity
Line Chart on Humidity in Bradford 3) Calculation of mean, median, mode and standard deviation In analysing the data descriptive statistics is an essential tool used by the analysts and experts at the initial level. The tools is used widely as it provides the basic level of information to identify the the direction towards which variable is heading. The methods involved in calculation are mean, median, mode and standard deviations. Mean Mean refers to the tool which is used by the experts and analysts in their research for analysing the provided data properly. This is among one of the essential tool that is used in the descriptive statistics. It calculates the average performanceof variable (Holcomb, 2016). The given mean table represent that the mean value is 86.10% of humidity reflecting the average humidity of in Bradford during ten days is around 86.10%. If the humidity level of the Bradford increases beyond the given level in table will increase the average humidity. Mean YearHumidity 2 31/12/2019 01/01/2020 02/01/2020 03/01/2020 04/01/2020 05/01/2020 06/01/2020 07/01/2020 08/01/2020 09/01/2020 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 85%90%87% 80% 88%90% 78%84%82% 97% Humidity
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31/12/1985% 01/01/2090% 02/01/2087% 03/01/2080% 04/01/2088% 05/01/2090% 06/01/2078% 07/01/2084% 08/01/2082% 09/01/2097% Number of observations10 Sum861.00% Mean (861/10)86.10% Median Median is used for classifying the data sets into two parts and this makes the analysis simple and easy. Big data could be analysed using this method. The median value of given data set of humidity is 89%. The value of the median represents that it will be declining slowly sut again shows a fluctuating increase. So this could be said that median helps in analysing the data related to any variable. Median YearHumidity 31/12/1985% 01/01/2090% 02/01/2087% 03/01/2080% 04/01/2088% 05/01/2090% 06/01/2078% 07/01/2084% 08/01/2082% 09/01/2097% Mid Point (10/2)5 M= (88% + 90%) / 289% 3
Mode Mode refers to the values that is repeating maximum number of times in the data field. In the present data set of humidity, figure representing maximum number of times is 90% Therefore, it can be said that the mode is 90% in humidity data. Mode is used by the analysts to identifythetrends that is being repeated number of times in the given data set (George and Mallery, 2016). Standard Deviation Standard deviation refers to tool indicating the variations occurring between the variable values. In the below table standard deviation is calculated to 0.054. The deviation between variables is not high (Young and Wessnitzer, 2016). On this analysis it could be interpreted that variables have not much deviations from mean value. Standard Deviation YearHumidityX^2 31/12/190.850.7225 01/01/200.90.81 02/01/200.870.7569 03/01/200.80.64 04/01/200.880.7744 05/01/200.90.81 06/01/200.780.6084 07/01/200.840.7056 08/01/200.820.6724 09/01/200.970.9409 Total8.617.44 Standard Deviation5% SQRT ( 7.44/10)-(8.61/10)^2) SQRT (0.744 – 0.741) SQRT (0.003) 0.054 4
Range Range refers to tool used for indicating the differences between the minimum and maximum values in a given data set. 97 is the maximum value in given data set and and 78 is the minimum value (McCarthy and et.al., 2019). Range refers to difference between two values that is 97 minus 78 is 19. The values of variable is not moving in higher data rangeRange statistics. 2019. 4) Forecast and Calculation of M & C Calculation of M Calculation of M YearHumidityXx*yX^2 31/12/190.8510.851 01/01/200.921.84 02/01/200.8732.619 03/01/200.843.216 04/01/200.8854.425 05/01/200.965.436 06/01/200.7875.4649 07/01/200.8486.7264 08/01/200.8297.3881 09/01/200.97109.7100 Total8.615547.52385 m = NΣxy – Σx Σy / NΣ x^2 – (Σx)^2 Y = mX + c M = 10(47.52)-(55*8.61) / ((10*385)-55^2)) M = (475.52- 473.55) / (3850 – 3025) M = 1.65 / 825 M = 0.002 or 0.20% Calculation of C c = Σy – m Σx / N 5
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9-(0.002*55)/10 (9-0.11)/10 8.89/10 0.889 Forecasting the humidity on 15thand 20thday Forecast for 15thday Y = Mx + c 0.002*15+0.889 0.919 Forecast for the 20thday Y = Mx + c 0.002*20+0.889 0.929 Humidity during the 15thday will be 91.9% where on the 20thday it would be 92.9%. Interpreting the above data it could be analysed that the humidity will be increasing in Bradford in the coming time. For making the predictions for future period equation of mX + c is used (Norman, Mello and Choi, 2016). Value of m on calculation is coming to 0.002 and the value of c is 0.889. Value of X is changing in both the events. The value obtained is 91.9 when the value taken is 15 and 92.9 is obtained on calculating the value taking 20. CONCLUSION The above study shows that the descriptive statistics is of great importance for the analysts. Users of this tool can develop an basic understanding about the variables in appropriate manner. Descriptive analysis is also used by business firms for making systematic analysis of the data using the tools. Thus carrying out the about research it could be concluded that the humidity level of Bradford in coming years will be increasing. 6
REFERENCES Books and Journals Holcomb, Z.C., 2016.Fundamentals of descriptive statistics. Routledge. George, D. and Mallery, P., 2016. Descriptive statistics. InIBM SPSS Statistics 23 Step by Step(pp. 126-134). Routledge. McCarthy, R.V. and et.al., 2019. What Do Descriptive Statistics Tell Us. InApplying Predictive Analytics(pp. 57-87). Springer, Cham. Norman, C., Mello, M. and Choi, B., 2016. Identifying frequent users of an urban emergency medical service using descriptive statistics and regression analyses.Western Journal of Emergency Medicine,17(1), p.39. Young, J. and Wessnitzer, J., 2016. Descriptive statistics, graphs, and visualisation. InModern statistical methods for HCI(pp. 37-56). Springer, Cham. Online Range statistics. 2019. [Online]. Available through:<https://explorable.com/range-in-statistics>. 7