This document provides study material on Research Methods including regression analysis, tests for weak form efficiency, and empirical discussions. It also includes descriptive statistics and model summary. Find solved assignments, essays, and dissertations on Research Methods at Desklib.
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Running head: Research Methods Research Methods Name of the Student Course Id: Course Name:
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1 Research Methods Table of Contents Introduction................................................................................................................................2 Part I: Regression analysis.........................................................................................................2 Regression analysis....................................................................................................................2 Step 3: Empirical Discussions....................................................................................................4 1) Report resulting......................................................................................................................4 2) Description of the results.......................................................................................................6 3. Discussion of findings relating with relevant literature.......................................................11 4.Optional Opportunity for Individual Initiative.....................................................................11 Part II: Tests for Weak Form Efficiency..................................................................................12 Step 2: Tests of Weak Form Efficiency...................................................................................13 Reference list............................................................................................................................16
2 Research Methods Introduction In the above diagram, the statistical analysis has been done taking the data on the CEO and other variables in the form of𝑅𝑂𝐴𝑖is the return on assets % for firmi; 𝑆𝑖𝑧𝑒𝑖is measured by the log of firmi’s total assets;𝜎𝑖is the volatility measured by the daily return standard deviation (%),𝑐𝑒𝑜𝑡𝑒𝑛𝑖is the years as CEO with company I, 𝐹𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑖is a dummy variable, = 1 if CEO is female, = 0 otherwise. The study is aiming in developing the regression among the independent and the dependent variable so that the correlation can be determined. Part I: Regression analysis Regression analysis SUMMAR Y OUTPUT Regression Statistics Multiple R0.690194931 R Square0.476369043 Adjusted R Square0.422200324 Standard Error0.263262748 Observatio ns65 ANOVA dfSSMSF Significance F Regression6 3.65700059 90.6095 8.79 4172 8.06933E- 07
4 Research Methods Table 1: Regression analysis Step 3: Empirical Discussions The required regression equation that has been used for this purpose of development of better description of the model is 𝑌𝑖=𝛼+𝛽1𝑅𝑂𝐴𝑖+𝛽2𝑆𝑖𝑧𝑒𝑖+𝛽3𝜎𝑖+𝛽4𝑐𝑒𝑜𝑡𝑒𝑛𝑖+𝛽5𝐹𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑖+𝛽6𝐹𝑜𝑟𝑒𝑖𝑔𝑛𝑖+𝜀𝑖 where:𝑌𝑖is thelog salaryfor CEOi;𝑅𝑂𝐴𝑖is the return on assets % for firmi;𝑆𝑖𝑧𝑒𝑖is measured by the log of firmi’s total assets;𝜎𝑖is the volatility measured by the daily return standard deviation (%); 𝑐𝑒𝑜𝑡𝑒𝑛𝑖is the years as CEO with company i;𝐹𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑖is a dummy variable, = 1 if CEO is female, = 0 otherwise.𝐹𝑜𝑟𝑒𝑖𝑔𝑛𝑖is a dummy variable, = 1 if CEO is foreign, 0 otherwise. 1) Report resulting Statistics HighLowClose_AAdjClose NValid1412111502 Missing4884904915010 Mean108.4285714 3 105.2500000 0 110.3636363 6 107.0000000 0 7727560.16 Median109.5000000 0 105.5000000 0 110.0000000 0 107.0000000 0 6974100.00 Std. Deviation4.8152687555.9715233324.2490640683423024.714 Range14.00000015.00000015.000000.00000025660000 Minimum101.00000098.000000103.000000107.0000002217600 Maximum115.000000113.000000118.000000107.00000027877600 Table 2: Descriptive statistics for21st century fox Company In the above table the stock prices of the company21st century fox has been considered in order to determine the stock prices and the relationship that this value is going to have on the model that has been determined. The ad close variable has been renamed name
5 Research Methods of the variable daily stock price of the company over a span of two years. The above table is showing the fact that the variable is having a mean of 105.25 and the median and standard deviation is having huge difference. The huge gap among the median and standard deviation is alerting about the presence of the huge level of outlier. Since the daily stock prices has been considered here, thus it has been assumed that presence of seasonality in the data set is varying the outcome. Descriptive Statistics AdjClose Valid N (listwise) NStatistic502502 RangeStatistic23.329 MinimumStatistic94.655 MaximumStatistic117.985 SumStatistic52882.426 MeanStatistic105.343 Std. Error.247 Std. Deviation Statistic5.528 VarianceStatistic30.564 SkewnessStatistic.092 Std. Error.109 KurtosisStatistic-.868 Std. Error.218 These descriptive statistics are important apart from the R-squared and adjusted R- squared in the sense that it will help in understanding the situation in which the adjusted close is standing. The descriptive statistics will be showing the skewness and kurtosis that the variable is having.
6 Research Methods Figure 1: Histogram on the variable Adjusted Close (Source: Created by author) Theabovediagramisshowingthattheabovevariableisshowinganormal distribution. Through this diagram, it is highly skewed in nature. From the above regression table, the R-square is showing the values of0.476369043 and the adjusted R-square is around 0.422200324. More or less, the R square is taking some redundant variables that is not making any kind of impact on the development of model taking the return of assets as the dependent variable and other variables in the form of tenure of the CEO, the growth of the firms and many more. 2) Description of the results The above equation of the linear regression is claiming that log salary of the CEO is the dependent variable that is depending entirely on the factors like rate of return of the asset, tenure of the CEO, size of the firms, volatility that is involved in the daily data of the stock prices of the company. Model Summary
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7 Research Methods ModelRR Square Adjusted R Square Std. Error of the Estimate 1.690a.476.422.26326 a. Predictors: (Constant), femaleceo, foreignceo, roa, ceotenure, volatility, firmsize Table 3: Model summary The R-square is showing .476 and adjusted R-square is .422. The above is showing that taking the variable log salary as the dependent variable and takingfemaleceo, foreignceo, roa, ceotenure, volatility, firmsize as the independent variables. Both the R-square and the adjusted R-squared is very close to each other and the presence of the random or outliers is not affecting the model. Coefficientsa Model Unstandardized Coefficients Standardized Coefficients tSig.BStd. ErrorBeta 1(Constant)3.118.30110.358.000 roa-.005.006-.100-.907.368 firmsize.096.029.3813.349.001 volatility-.013.003-.459-4.294.000 ceotenure.002.007.031.312.756 foreignceo.087.075.1251.148.256 femaleceo-.363.139-.254-2.604.012 a. Dependent Variable: logCEOPAY Table 4: Coefficients of the variables (Source: Created by Author) The above table is one of the important deductions in the whole model. In the model, the two factors foreign CEO and the female CEO are two dummy variables that are categorical in nature. The above table is showing the degree and direction of the independent variables that arehavingonthedependentvariables.Throughthevaluesofthecoefficients,the
8 Research Methods development of the model is possible. Putting the values of the coefficients, the equation will be quite similar with the given equation. LogCEOPAY(Y) = 3.118-0.005(𝛽1)ROA+0.096(𝛽2)Size- 0.013(𝛽3)volatility+0.02(𝛽4)ceoten+0.087(𝛽5)foreign ceo-0.363(𝛽6)femaleceo The above equation is literally claiming that the log ceopay is depending negatively with the variables roa, volatility and female ceo. The return of the assets, volatility measured by the standard deviation and on the female ceo. This means, the development of the payment of the Ceo is not depending on the return of the assets that the firm is investing in the business. The coefficients of the independent variables is very small. From the above generated model, it can be stated that there are some other variables that is actually determining the logarithm of the salary of the CEO that is not included in the model. Coefficientsa Model Unstandardized Coefficients Standardized Coefficients tSig.BStd. ErrorBeta 1(Constant)1.624.5462.976.004 leverage.002.003.082.727.470 ceoage.014.008.1861.661.102 boardindependence.015.004.4173.594.001 ceoduality-.487.229-.245-2.123.038 a. Dependent Variable: logCEOPAY Table 5: Coeffient of other variables that could have been included (Source: Created by Author) In the above table, all the coefficients except the ceo duality variable is having positive coefficients on the development of the log salary of the ceo variable. Looking into this table, it can be concluded that it may be nature of the given data serries the coefficients of the variables are not having that much level of high coefficient variable. Through the development of these two tables are claiming that in both the tables, the variables are significant in nature. Through the development of the significant variables, the model will be
9 Research Methods able to ignite the development of the business that will help in prediction of the variables. Through the development of better benefits that the most of the companies will be able to predict the future consequences that will not only improve the development of the model. The model though is not depicting the dependence among the variables, as the R-squared values and the adjusted R-squared values is not going past 0.5-1. The value of both R-squared and adjusted R-squared are well below the standard measure of the correlation coefficient. On the other hand, the development of these two variables are not helping in the development of the better and effective modelling. Through the development of the resource utilisation, it is possibleforthedevelopmentofanunbiasedmodelthatwillnotonlyincreasethe development of the model and will be helping in the effective predictions. In most of the regression, it is assumed that all the variables will be highly significant in nature and the variables will be giving highly
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10 Research Methods Correlations logCEOPA Yroafirmsizevolatilityforeignceofemaleceo logCEOPA Y Pearson Correlation1-.057.493**-.396**.310*-.249* Sig. (2-tailed).651.000.001.012.045 N656565656565 roaPearson Correlation-.0571-.300*-.364**.069.070 Sig. (2-tailed).651.015.003.587.580 N656565656565 firmsizePearson Correlation.493**-.300*1-.003.412**-.112 Sig. (2-tailed).000.015.980.001.374 N656565656565 volatilityPearson Correlation-.396**-.364**-.0031-.082-.120 Sig. (2-tailed).001.003.980.518.343 N656565656565 foreignceoPearson Correlation.310*.069.412**-.0821.028 Sig. (2-tailed).012.587.001.518.826 N656565656565 femaleceoPearson Correlation-.249*.070-.112-.120.0281 Sig. (2-tailed).045.580.374.343.826 N656565656565 **. Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed). *. Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed). Table 6: Correlation matrix of the given dependent and independent variable. (Source: Created by Author) The variable volatility and the female Ceo is though having negative correlations but are highly significant in nature that too at 99% of the confidence level. On the other hand, the variables that are having single star is significant at 95% of the confidence level. This is one of the important dedications that is claiming that in spite of having negative correlations, these variables are having high impact on the development of the model. However, the model is having some kind of variables that is not allowing the model to have better R-square.
11 Research Methods 3. Discussion of findings relating with relevant literature Carroll(2017) opined that in order to determine the development of the model, it is important to consider the variable at first that are going to have significant impact on the mode. It has been opined that making the regression model effective in nature will definitely bring in effective innovations. Through the development of better regression model, it is important to indulge better techniques of sample collection that will increase the probability of having better R-squared and adjusted R-squared. Through the development of this regression analysis, it will be possible for the statistical analysis to introduce better model development. According to Chatterjeeand Hadi(2015), the development of the regression analysis will take on the development of variables that will not only lie within the significant values but will also increase the development of the authenticity of the model. The regression analysis will not only induce the development of the eternal strength and will highlight the dependence of the independent variables on the dependent variable. On the other hand, it is important to integrate variables in the model having the identification that will increase the model verification. Through the identification of the variables it is important to increase the resource of the modelling of data. As opined byDarlingtonand Hayes(2016), in order to find the regression analysis and linear model is helpful for the development of correlation coefficient is important in the sense that through the development of the correlation coefficient it is important for the statisticians to indulge the development of the business by predicting the variable. 4.Optional Opportunity for Individual Initiative In order to discuss about the CEO compensations, it is important to include some of the important variables in the sense that through the development of better model, it is important to introduce the benefits that the most of the CEO will be taking as part of the individual initiative that will help in the development of the return through the development of the business. In order to increase the model development of ceo salary, it is important to undertake certain variables that will not only increase the development of the model but will also indulge the development of ceo salary. Through the development of better innovation technologies. Through the development of the model, it is important for the involvement of
12 Research Methods better introduction of regression that will not only increase the resources utilisation but will also indulge the formation of the modules taking the variables that will be indulging the development of variables like education of the CEO, working experience of the CEO, the working technologies that has been invented by the CEO. Through the development of the business, the company is indulging the development of business and these variables will definitely improve the models so that the development of the regression become easy that will be able to define the development of better innovations. Part II: Tests for Weak Form Efficiency Descriptive Statistics N Rang e Minim um Maxim umSumMean Std. Deviat ion Varia nceSkewnessKurtosis Statis tic Statis tic Statisti c Statisti c Statis tic Statis tic Statisti c Statist ic Statis tic Std . Err or Statis tic Std . Err or Rt50110.76-5.295.469.75.01951.1516 1 1.326-.225.10 9 3.326.21 8 Valid N (listwi se) 501 Table 7: Summary Statistics for the Rt variable (Source: Created by Author) 𝑅𝑡=𝑌𝑡−𝑌𝑡−1/𝑌𝑡−1 × 100 is the required formula that is being used for the development of the Rt variable. The Rt variable is showing the return of the investment. Yt is the adjusted closing stock price at the time period of t and Yt_1 is the adjusted closing stock price in the time period of t_1. Through the development of this kind of model, it is possible to know the return and will be able to predict the future consequences of the time series model. Time series is also a part of the linear regression that takes the time into consideration.
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13 Research Methods Through the development of the time series the determination of the lag variable is possible to calculate so that the seasonal adjustments can be easily made. Step 2: Tests of Weak Form Efficiency 1)Descriptive Statistics and return distributions Descriptive Statistics N Rang e Minim um Maxim umSumMean Std. Deviat ion Varia nceSkewnessKurtosis Statis tic Statis tic Statisti c Statisti c Statis tic Statis tic Statisti c Statist ic Statis tic Std . Err or Statis tic Std . Err or Rt_150010.76-5.295.467.56.01511.1486 5 1.319-.229.10 9 3.376.21 8 Rt50110.76-5.295.469.75.01951.1516 1 1.326-.225.10 9 3.326.21 8 Valid N (listwi se) 500 Table 7: Summary Statistics for the Rt and Rt_1 variable (Source: Created by Author) 2) Autoregressive (AR) Model Correlations RtRt_1 Pearson Correlation Rt1.000-.070 Rt_1-.0701.000 Sig. (1-tailed)Rt..060
14 Research Methods Rt_1.060. NRt500500 Rt_1500500 Model Summaryb ModelR R Square Adjusted R Square Std. Error of the Estimate Change Statistics Durbin- Watson R Square Change F Changedf1df2 Sig. F Change 1.070a.005.0031.14974.0052.4221498.1202.000 a. Predictors: (Constant), Rt_1 b. Dependent Variable: Rt ANOVAa Model Sum of SquaresdfMean SquareFSig. 1Regression3.20213.2022.422.120b Residual658.3064981.322 Total661.508499 a. Dependent Variable: Rt b. Predictors: (Constant), Rt_1 Coefficientsa Model Unstandardized Coefficients Standardized Coefficients tSig. 95.0% Confidence Interval for B BStd. ErrorBeta Lower Bound Upper Bound 1(Constant ) .018.051.350.727-.083.119 Rt_1-.070.045-.070- 1.556 .120-.158.018
15 Research Methods a. Dependent Variable: Rt In the above figure, the𝑅𝑡=𝛼+𝛽𝑅𝑡−1+𝜀𝑡and putting the values from the above table, it can be claimed that the𝑅𝑡=0.018-0.070𝑅𝑡−1. There existing negative correlation among these two variables. Walt Disney Descriptive Statistics Mean Std. DeviationN Rt.01691.15138500 Rt_1.01511.14865500 Correlations RtRt_1 Pearson Correlation Rt1.000-.070 Rt_1-.0701.000 Sig. (1-tailed)Rt..060 Rt_1.060. NRt500500 Rt_1500500 Model Summaryb ModelR R Square Adjusted R Square Std. Error of the Estimate Change Statistics Durbin- Watson R Square Change F Changedf1df2 Sig. F Change 1.070a.005.0031.14974.0052.4221498.1202.000 a. Predictors: (Constant), Rt_1 b. Dependent Variable: Rt
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17 Research Methods ANOVAa Model Sum of SquaresdfMean SquareFSig. 1Regression3.20213.2022.422.120b Residual658.3064981.322 Total661.508499 a. Dependent Variable: Rt b. Predictors: (Constant), Rt_1 Coefficientsa Model Unstandardized Coefficients Standardized Coefficients tSig. 99.0% Confidence Interval for B Collinearity Statistics B Std. ErrorBeta Lower Bound Upper BoundToleranceVIF 1(Constant ) .018.051.350.727-.115.151 Rt_1-.070.045-.070- 1.556 .120-.186.0461.0001.000 a. Dependent Variable: Rt In the above figure, the𝑅𝑡=𝛼+𝛽𝑅𝑡−1+𝜀𝑡and putting the values from the above table, it can be claimed that the𝑅𝑡=0.018-0.070𝑅𝑡−1. There existing negative correlation among these two variables. Conclusion The wholes study has seen the development of statistics, using two companies Walt Disney and 21stCentury Fox. The study has defined the development of the ARIMA model and the linear model taking the lag variable. On the other hand, the development ofbetter technologies will bring in involvement of better designs that will definitely increase the development of better policy formation. The whole study is important in showing the relationship among the daily stock prices of two companies.Various linear regressions has been done and empirical results has been calculated.
18 Research Methods Reference list Carroll, R.J., 2017.Transformation and weighting in regression. Routledge. Chatterjee, S. and Hadi, A.S., 2015.Regression analysis by example. John Wiley & Sons. Darlington, R.B. and Hayes, A.F., 2016.Regression analysis and linear models: Concepts, applications, and implementation. Guilford Publications. Dimos, C. and Pugh, G., 2016. The effectiveness of R&D subsidies: A meta-regression analysis of the evaluation literature.Research Policy,45(4), pp.797-815. Fox, J., 2015.Applied regression analysis and generalized linear models. Sage Publications. Galling, B., Roldan, A., Hagi, K., Rietschel, L., Walyzada, F., Zheng, W., Cao, X.L., Xiang, Y.T.,Zink,M.,Kane,J.M.andNielsen,J.,2017.Antipsychoticaugmentationvs. monotherapyinschizophrenia:systematicreview,meta‐analysisandmeta‐regression analysis.World Psychiatry,16(1), pp.77-89. Gechert, S., 2015. What fiscal policy is most effective? A meta-regression analysis.Oxford Economic Papers,67(3), pp.553-580. Harrell Jr, F.E., 2015.Regression modeling strategies: with applications to linear models, logistic and ordinal regression, and survival analysis. Springer. Hayes, A.F., 2017.Introduction to mediation, moderation, and conditional process analysis: A regression-based approach. Guilford Publications. Hui, F.K., 2016. boral–Bayesian ordination and regression analysis of multivariate abundance data in R.Methods in Ecology and Evolution,7(6), pp.744-750. Levine, H., Jørgensen, N., Martino-Andrade, A., Mendiola, J., Weksler-Derri, D., Mindlis, I., Pinotti, R. and Swan, S.H., 2017. Temporal trends in sperm count: a systematic review and meta-regression analysis.Human reproduction update,23(6), pp.646-659. Onrust, S.A., Otten, R., Lammers, J. and Smit, F., 2016. School-based programmes to reduce and prevent substance use in different age groups: What works for whom? Systematic review and meta-regression analysis.Clinical Psychology Review,44, pp.45-59. Silverman, B.W., 2018.Density estimation for statistics and data analysis. Routledge.