Risk Management Technique for Investors at DBS Bank
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This research paper concentrates on the risk management techniques adopted by investors at the DBS bank of Singapore and how such technique helps in mitigating the risk.
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Running head: RISK MANAGEMENT TECHNIQUE FOR INVESTORS AT DBS BANK Risk management technique for investors at DBS bank Name of the Student Name of the University Author Note
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1 RISK MANAGEMENT TECHNIQUE FOR INVESTORS AT DBS BANK Table of Contents Chapter 1: Introduction:.............................................................................................................2 1.1 Introduction..........................................................................................................................2 1.2 Background of the study......................................................................................................2 1.3 Background of company......................................................................................................3 1.4 Rationale of study................................................................................................................3 1.5 Research aim........................................................................................................................4 1.6 Research objective...............................................................................................................4 1.7 Research questions...............................................................................................................4 1.8 Structure of study.................................................................................................................4 1.9 Conclusion............................................................................................................................5 Chapter 2: Literature review......................................................................................................5 2.1 Introduction..........................................................................................................................5 2.2 Uncertainty and risk.............................................................................................................6 2.3 The process of risk management..........................................................................................6 2.4 Summary............................................................................................................................13 Chapter 3: Research methodology...........................................................................................14 3.1 Introduction........................................................................................................................14 3.2 Research approach.............................................................................................................14 3.3 Justification of research approach......................................................................................14 3.4 Research design..................................................................................................................14 3.5 Justification of research design..........................................................................................15
2 RISK MANAGEMENT TECHNIQUE FOR INVESTORS AT DBS BANK 3.6 Sampling strategy:..............................................................................................................15 3.8 Instruments of collecting data............................................................................................15 3.9 Procedure of collecting data...............................................................................................15 3.10 Gantt chart........................................................................................................................16 3.11 Ethical considerations......................................................................................................16 3.12 Data analysis....................................................................................................................17 Chapter 4: Discussion, Evidence and analysis.........................................................................17 4.1 Introduction........................................................................................................................17 4.2 Presentation of data............................................................................................................18 4.3 Analysis of data..................................................................................................................19 4.4 Limitations of proposed study............................................................................................20 4.5 Dissemination.....................................................................................................................20 Chapter 5: Conclusion and Recommendation..........................................................................21 5.1 Conclusion and Findings....................................................................................................21 5.2 Scope for future study........................................................................................................21 Reference list:...........................................................................................................................23 Appendix:.................................................................................................................................28 Chapter 1: Introduction:
3 RISK MANAGEMENT TECHNIQUE FOR INVESTORS AT DBS BANK 1.1 Introduction Management of risk has become very significant in the light of dynamic operating environment and growing complexities of business of banking sector. Investors are exposed to various types of market risks for investing in the stocks of bank. Risk management has become one of the main functions of the service of bank that consist of risk identification and controlling that keep the risk at an acceptable level. The basic objective of managing risks pertains to investors and shareholders by optimizing the capital funds and maximizing the profits that ensures long-term solvency position of business (Westbomet al.2018). This particularresearch paper concentrateson the risk managementtechniquesadoptedby investors at the DBS bank of Singapore and how such technique helps in mitigating the risk. 1.2 Background of the study The performance and nature of the performance of financial system in the country must be judged in relation to the development at individual level. The principal reason for transferring saving and fund to the private enterprise such as companies who are in need of capital for productive investment is provided by the financial system. An efficient financial system helps in channeling the resources to the activities that helps in generating highest return for using the funds (Zhang 2017). Investors are offered with a variety of short and long-term instruments via the formal and well-performed financial market. They are able to make adequate and reasonable decision about the rewards and risk of investing the funds with the help of qualified financial intermediaries. Risk management in banking sector is defined as the logical development for executing a plan to tackle with the potential losses. Generally, the practices of managing the risk in banking sector are to manage the exposure of investors to the losses or risk. Financial risk management is the activity of monitoring the financial risk and managing the impact of their risk. It is required to test the relationship between risk and
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4 RISK MANAGEMENT TECHNIQUE FOR INVESTORS AT DBS BANK return and analyze the inter dependency and correlation between such variables (Mensah and Premaratne 2017). 1.3 Background of company DBS bank is a leading financial and banking services corporation headquartered in SingaporethatwasearlierknownasdevelopmentbankofSingaporeLimited.The organization is well placed as partner to capture the opportunities across the region. Since the focus of bank is on the market of Asia, the organization is exposed to risks concentration within the region. Risks at DBS are effectively assessed by relying on specialist knowledge of industry segments and regional markets. The approach to risk management at DBS comprises of three building blocks including policies, risk methodologies and system, process and report (Dbs.com 2019). The risk methodology used by the bank is VaR (Value at risk) Model that helps in computation of potential losses of risk position due to movement of movement of market in accordance with given level of confidence over a specified time horizon. It is a model used by the bank, which is based on historical simulation with a holding period of one day. The exposure to market risk is limited and monitored by using an average of potential loss beyond a given level of confidence. The predictiveness of the VaR model is verified by conducting the back testing with makes a comparison between the positions at the close of each day with profit and loss arising from position of the next business day (Dbs.com 2019). 1.4 Rationale of study It is essential for investors to evaluate the risks associated with their investment to create relationship between return and risk. Undertaking this research paper helps in ensuring that there is sufficient basis of analysis for ensuring that loss generated from investment does not exceed the acceptable boundaries. In addition to this, the importance of model of risk
5 RISK MANAGEMENT TECHNIQUE FOR INVESTORS AT DBS BANK management as a tool of mitigating risk is essential for the purpose of investment. In order for investors to have best portfolio of investment, it is essential to evaluate the risks pertaining to their overall investment. 1.5 Research aim The aim of research is to identify suitable technique for management of risk for the investors of DBS bank. 1.6 Research objective The objective of research is to identify the most appropriate technique of managing risks associated with investment for investors of DBS bank. In addition to this, the research paperalsointendsto evaluatetheappropriatenessandmeasuresof riskmanagement technique for investors using the model of CAPM and VaR. 1.7 Research questions How the application of CAPM determines the effectiveness of risk management at DBS bank? What is the impact of risk management technique of VaR on investors? 1.8 Structure of study For gaining a better understanding of the overall research study, the whole research paper is divided into several chapters that are segregated further.
6 RISK MANAGEMENT TECHNIQUE FOR INVESTORS AT DBS BANK 1.9 Conclusion The first chapter presentedan introductoryapproach to the research paper by outlining the objectives and aims of research. This also includes a brief introduction on the company selected and the risk methodology used by company for managing the risk. Researcher has also provided rationale for conducting this research paper. Chapter 2: Literature review 2.1 Introduction This chapter deals with the in depth study of several theories and model used by investors related to risk management. It sets out the conceptual framework and determines the relationship between risk and uncertainty of investment. Literature review also provides theoretical framework on the models of risk management. This section also outlines the importance and theories associated with model of VaR and CAPM. Chapter1IntroductionChapter2LiteraturereviewChapter3ResearchMethodologyChapter4Chapter5ConclusionandRecommendations
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7 RISK MANAGEMENT TECHNIQUE FOR INVESTORS AT DBS BANK 2.2 Uncertainty and risk Risk can be defined in number of ways and the term risk and uncertainty are the two common techniques in the risk management literature. Uncertainty is the occurrence and non- occurrence of outcome because the probability of their occurrence is not known. Uncertainty is related with the imperfect information and poor knowledge whereas risk is attributable to situations with well-defined boundaries and considerable data (Abdoh and Varela 2018). The difference between uncertainty and risks is widely acknowledged in the literature and these terms are used interchangeably. For the purpose of review, the focus is on the management of risk by investors at DBS bank. 2.3 The process of risk management There are several definitions of risk management in literature and it is defined as a systematic approach that helps in setting the best course of action under uncertainty situations by the assessment, identification, understanding, communication and acting on risky issues. Management of risk is a disciplined and structured approach that has purpose of managing and evaluating the uncertainties faced by aligning the process, technology, strategy and knowledgeoforganization.Processofriskmanagementincludealltheprocessand regulations of organization for the assessment, identification, control and analysisof the potential risk along with supervision of efficiency and profitability of the measures that have been taken. There are two approaches to the analysis of risk, which include qualitative and quantitative analysis. Aconsiderableportionofresearchininvestmentmanagementisdevotedto understand how the investors evaluate the riskiness of return and securities are associated with risks. The discipline of finance has developed much theory about the management of risk and its usefulness in assessing return. The capital asset pricing model (CAPM) provides
8 RISK MANAGEMENT TECHNIQUE FOR INVESTORS AT DBS BANK an initial framework for assessing the relationship between expected return and risk of an investment. This particular model is widely used in the application for evaluating the performance of managed portfolios and estimating the cost of capital for firms. The tradeoff between the risks and return generated by the assets is well explained the CAPM because the risk of an asset is measured as the covariance of the return of one assets with the overall market return. The model is based on the prediction that there is a linear relation between the expected return of any two assets and the covariance of the return of the assets with the return generated on the market portfolio. There are two types of risks associated with each assets and such risk include diversifiable risk and non-diversifiable risk. The reason why CAPM is attractive amongst investors is that it offers intuitively appealing and powerful predictions regarding the measurement of the relationship between the expected return and risk and measurement of risk alone. It ideally depicts how the price of securities are set by the financial market and ultimately determining the return on the capital investment. The model provides a methodology for quantification of risk and translation of such risk into expected return on equity (Sutrisno and Nasri 2018). In an attempt to develop, financial managers mostly use the usefulness of computation of cost of equity and for supplementing their own techniques and judgment, such model. However, the application of the model continues to generate, but now it is rather applied as the course to manage investment. The portfolio model on the assets that is weighed in the mean variance portfolios provides an algebraic condition. The algebraic declaration is transformed by the CAPM model into a testable declaration and between the relationship between expected return and risk by identifying efficient portfolios. CAPM relies on the theoretical market portfolio that comprise of all assets such as foreign stocks and real estate. CAPM is tested and analyzed
9 RISK MANAGEMENT TECHNIQUE FOR INVESTORS AT DBS BANK that represents market portfolio by using stock market index. The mathematical expression of CAPM is depicted as E (Rf)= Rf+βj(Rm- Rf) where, E (Rf) is the expected return on security Rfis the risk free rate βjis the beta of security Rmis the market return The above equitation indicates a linear relationship between return and risk. The basic version of CAPM comes with a number of simplifying assumption that is listed below. The decision horizon of all investors is identical and the variance and means of the distribution of one period of return on the assets over the common horizon period. The capital assets market composed of risk averting investors and all the investors have expected utility of one period terminal wealth maximizes. Such investors are able to make optimal decisions based on the standard deviation and mean of the terminalwealththatisassociatedwithseveralavailableportfolios(Laneand Rosewall 2015). Theopportunitiesofportfolioandexpectationofinvestorsarehomogenous throughputthemarket.Thishastheimplicationthattherearesameportfolio opportunities for all investors and the standard deviation and expected return provided by various portfolios is viewed in the same manner (Kim and Su 2018). It is assumed that all the assets are infinitely invisible which makes the capital market perfect. The information is costless and taxes and transaction costs are equally
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10 RISK MANAGEMENT TECHNIQUE FOR INVESTORS AT DBS BANK available for everyone. In addition to this, all the investors are offered with same lending and borrowing rate. While making investment portfolios, liquidity is regarded as the driver in influencing the price of stocks. It was founded by the study that the data is explained in a better manner with the help of liquidity adjusted CAPM as against the standard CAPM. Furthermore, it was evident that there is weaker influence of the level of liquidity and importance of liquidity risk over market risk. The pricing of liquidity risk in the Australian market was analyzed using the data exploring the impact of several measures of liquidity risk on the stock return using the CAPM model that is liquidity adjusted (Graceet al.2015). The study strongly evident the co movement between market illiquidity and stock return, market illiquidity and market return, market illiquidity and individual stock illiquidity. Many scholars have studies the capital asset pricing model and have came out with different and mixed results. One of the studies conducted on the Greek stock market came with findings that did not support the basic statement of the model that is the validity of high return and high risk was proved wrong. For some years, the findings generated better results but the model was not supported overall. Another study conducted on the model identified that the exact return generated by the assets could not be explained using the CAPM. The return was significantly negative that arises as a result of instability and it is a known fact that the returns of stock is influenced the instability of market (Ajibolaet al.2015). However, the time series of stock return is forecasted by the instability of the stock. The association between the beta coefficient and the signs of market return and the beta coefficient is studies by one author for the stocks listed on one of the stock exchanges. CAPM was viewed as the additional return on the portfolio of market. It was also determined
11 RISK MANAGEMENT TECHNIQUE FOR INVESTORS AT DBS BANK that the cross sectional difference of additional expected returns on the stocks is seen as a measure of risk of assets and is totally captured by the value of beta (Cornellet al.2017). It is believed that using the CAPM intends to satisfy the investors in two ways that is in terms of risk associated with the security and for the time value of money. The risk free rate is denotation of the fact that the investors are compensated for investing the money over a period of time. For the additional risk undertaken by the investors, they are provided with the risk premium for comportment. The validity of the model has been tested by conducting a number of studies and the model has not always been supported by the result (Magnani and Zucchella 2018). It was founded by one of the empirical studies that the model results in moderating the statistical problems arising from the measurement errors in the estimates of beta. In addition to this, it was also ascertained by the author that the relation between beta and average return is very close to the linear and any portfolio have higher (lower) returns having (higher) lower value of betas (Alshomalyet al.2018). It was forecasted using the model that there is linear relationship between the expected return on assets above the risk free rate and non-diversifiable risk that is measured by the beta value of security. Some of the empirical evidence supported that there exists linear and positive relationship between the risk and expected return. It was found that the concept of CAPM is valid and both the return and risk are integrated into the market. Research conducted on some of other stock exchange such as Athens stock exchange that the volatility is positively related to return as indicated by significant and positive risk premium. In one of the study that was conducted on eight Taiwanese industries discovered that there is a mix influence of returns of stock due to conditional volatility (Iosrjournals.org 2019). Nevertheless, it was found that only the coefficient with negative returns are significant and such negative risk premium is suggestive of the fact that for holding risky stocks investors are penalized. It is indicated by most of the researches on the stock market that they have the characteristics of higher return
12 RISK MANAGEMENT TECHNIQUE FOR INVESTORS AT DBS BANK and higher risk. During the last decade, the interest of investors in the emerging markets was exploded because because of the quest for further international diversification and higher return (Pätäri and Leivo 2017). Some other auditors have ascertained that the wrongness of basic assumption might be due to lack of observed support for the model. It is observed from the most of the tests of CAPM that assumes that the good alternative to return on market portfolio is the return on the broad market indices (Kim and Su 2018). However, not all the assets do detent by these types of market indexes in the economy such as capital. The regularity of the statement rejected the competence of mean variance and in one of the study where the model was applied on the different sets that are of high risk and low risk. It was found that the data with low risk set are reliable with the CAPM and high risks set data are not compatible with the model. Consequently, it was decided that the actual return computed by the model is not the results of the capital asset pricing model as they cannot determine the actual position, which is difficult to rely on, by the investors. The argument is maintained with the help of results of some other study that single risk factor cannot completely determine the return generated (Alqisie and Alqurran 2016). However, many of the findings of research indicate that the model of CAPM generates correct and accurate results, but with the time the results presented by the model was outperformed by some other accurate tools. VaR Model VaR is the most commonly used method for quantifying the market risk associated with the portfolios of bank. The potential loss arising from the market value of portfolio is expressed using a probabilistic indicator by considering an established confidence interval. There are three different methods that can be used for determining VaR that is parametric,
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13 RISK MANAGEMENT TECHNIQUE FOR INVESTORS AT DBS BANK historical simulation method and Monte Carlo method (Neslihanogluet al.2017). It is implied by the parametric method that the normal distribution is followed by daily return of assets. On other hand, the values of past hypothetical data are quantified by historical simulation method without making any assumption of the relation to return distribution. Under Monte Carlo method, the scenarios for future prices based on the correlation and volatility of the assets from past data is generated (Gao and Yang 2018). The performance of VaR was studied for emerging markets where the extreme value of the daily return was estimated. The results presented strong argument there are different characterizes for daily returns for the left and right tail distribution. Another study included the multivariate extreme values in the model and it was proved that quality of estimation regardingthefluctuationsoffinancialmarketmightimproveforthedatawithhigh frequencies (Malik and Shah 2017). 2.4 Summary A detailed elaboration on the model used for measuring the risk by investors has provided the researcher with enough information on the suitability and effectiveness of the model. The mixed views presented from the findings of different studies conducted would assist research in deducing the fact from the current study that has to be analyzed. Chapter 3: Research methodology 3.1 Introduction This particular chapter outlines the research approach, research design, tools and methods of collecting the data along with the manner in which the data has been analyzed.
14 RISK MANAGEMENT TECHNIQUE FOR INVESTORS AT DBS BANK The methodology of research is an important area in the whole research paper as the main objective of conducting the research and the method is addressed. 3.2 Research approach The research is conducted for determining the suitability of the risk management technique used by the investors at DBS bank. In this research paper, researcher has employed an empirical study approach to research. It is so because the use of one particular risk management technique that is CAPM has been identified and the validity and implications of the model is checked with the help of data collected (Fernandez 2015). 3.3 Justification of research approach The empirical study and deductive approach has been selected because the findings have to be related with the analysis of views from literature. 3.4 Research design Under the present study, the research has implemented a descriptive and quantitative research design. Since, the main interest of researcher is solely analyzing the topic of interest, it is considered suitable to adopt descriptive approach. 3.5 Justification of research design The researcher has adopted a theory-based approach that is created by gathering, collecting and presenting the collected data. In addition to this, the adoption of quantitative research design has helped researcher to have statistical conclusions for collecting the actionable insights (Linnenlueckeet al.2017).
15 RISK MANAGEMENT TECHNIQUE FOR INVESTORS AT DBS BANK 3.6 Sampling strategy: The researcher has adopted the technique of non-probabilistic sampling for selecting the sample for conducting research. Under this sampling, the judgmental sampling method has been adopted where the sample is selected based on the credibility and knowledge of researcher. Therefore, only such organizations have been selected which the researcher feel to have the right fit. However, the results of research can be influenced by the ore conceived nation of researcher, which is regarded as the downside to this method of sampling (Mensah and Premaratne 2017). The study incorporates two other companies as a sample other than the stock of DBS bank, Singapore. Sample banks include OCBC bank and UBOH bank and the return of the respective stocks have been compared against the return of the index. 3.8 Instruments of collecting data The researcher has collected secondary data for the purpose of analysis. Secondary data are the data, which has already been published and have sourced for analyzing it to test the validity of the model chosen. Therefore, the research conducted for analyzing the topic under consideration is basically the secondary research. 3.9 Procedure of collecting data This section takes into account the procedure for collecting the secondary data pertaining to the topic of interest. Such information is sourced from the annual reports of the companies under analysis that is published from the respective websites. In addition to this, data has also been sourced from some other financial websites such as Bloomberg and yahoofinance.com. 3.10 Gantt chart Main activity1stweek2ndweek and4thweek5thweek and7thweek
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16 RISK MANAGEMENT TECHNIQUE FOR INVESTORS AT DBS BANK 3rdweek6thweek Selectionofthe topic Determining the objectivesof researchusing thespecific model Conductingthe reviewof literature Selectionof appropriate research technique Collectingthe dataand analysis Findingsand recommendation 3.11 Ethical considerations Researcher has attempted to perform the research under the strict guidance of ethics and no such actions have been taken that intends to disrupt the legal proceedings while carrying out research work. While collecting the data and information about the organization, it was ensured that the ownership of the original data is acknowledged. Any data in the form of hard copy collected by researchers have kept in the locked cabinets and soft copies being kept as encrypted files. The secondary analysis has been conducted in a way to ensure that the further analysis of the data that is conducted is appropriate.
17 RISK MANAGEMENT TECHNIQUE FOR INVESTORS AT DBS BANK 3.12 Data analysis The proposed method of analyzing the data is that the return generated from each of the sample stocks is compared with that of the market index. In addition to this, the relevance of the CAPM model is tested by evaluating the return by incorporating the value of beta. The quantitative technique is employed for interpreting the collected data and the stability of beta testing is done under the model of CAPM. The model assumptions have been detected as frontier for capitalizing the risk as per the return in accordance with the risk level. Chapter 4: Discussion, Evidence and analysis 4.1 Introduction In this chapter, the data collected has been presented and the analysis of the collected data has been performed by using the appropriate risk management technique. The closing price of three stocks and the price of index are presented for a time of four years and until date. Returns generated by each of the stock have been computed and based on the closing price, the expected returns of the stocks was computed according to the CAPM. In addition to this, computation of market premium is done as the difference between risk free rate and expected return of the market index that is STI index multiplied by beta of respective stocks. 4.2 Presentation of data The table presented below depicts the computation of value of beta of three different stocks that is beta of DBS bank, OCBC and UOBH bank. Researcher has taken the help of Excel to compute the value of beta by using CAPM beta formula. Coeffici ents Standard Error t StatP-valueLower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0% Intercept-0.001214-0.68913-0.00195-0.00195
18 RISK MANAGEMENT TECHNIQUE FOR INVESTORS AT DBS BANK 0.00048 8787 1680.40256 9052 00390.00293 2781 52070.00293 2781 5207 XVariable 1 0.10704 3697 0.033327 448 3.21187 8017 0.00240 8629 0.03995 9024 0.17412 8369 0.03995 9024 0.17412 8369 Coeffici ents Standard Error t StatP-valueLower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0% Intercept0.00296 9218 0.003252 919 0.91278 5643 0.36611 4642 - 0.00357 8568 0.00951 7004 - 0.00357 8568 0.00951 7004 XVariable 1 1.08409 9645 0.089288 679 12.1415 1292 6.00457 E-16 0.90437 0856 1.26382 8433 0.90437 0856 1.26382 8433 Coeffici ents Standard Error t StatP-valueLower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0% Intercept- 0.00012 9641 0.007049 434 - 0.01839 0296 0.98540 7031 - 0.01431 9416 0.01406 0134 - 0.01431 9416 0.01406 0134 XVariable 1 - 0.02626 7849 0.193498 412 - 0.13575 2271 0.89260 9462 - 0.41575 9952 0.36322 4254 - 0.41575 9952 0.36322 4254 It can be observed from the table that the value of beta for the stock of DBS bank is 0.1 and that of OCBC and UOBH bank is 1.08 and -0.03 (Bloomberg.com 2019). The negative value of beta coefficient implies that the return generated by stock is opposite to the market return.
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19 RISK MANAGEMENT TECHNIQUE FOR INVESTORS AT DBS BANK Particulars DBS BANK OCBC BANK UOBH BANK Market Return6.88%6.88%6.88% Beta0.111.08(0.03) Risk free rate2.04%2.04%2.04% CAPM2.56%7.29%1.91% 4.3 Analysis of data The underlying principle of CAPM is that there is a linear relationship between the beta and return of stocks and the return generated by stocks is explained by the reliability of beta coefficient. From the table presented above, it can be observed that the stock of OCBC bank has higher beta value that is the beta coefficient of stock is more than the market with beta coefficient of 1. On other hand, the beta coefficient of UOBH bank is negative indicating lower return generated by stocks compared to market. The expected return of stock of OCBC bank is higher than the market return. The expected return generated by the stocks of DBS bank is lower than the market return because the value of beta coefficient is less than the market beta value (French 2018). When looking at the expected return of the stocks of UOBH bank having negative beta coefficient. This implies that if the market return were moving upwards, then the return generated by the stock would move downward. Therefore, from the analysis of the presented data, it can be inferred that the expected return of stock of DBS bank is lower than OCBC bank. 4.4 Limitations of proposed study One of the main limitations of this research paper is that the research work is confined to few of the banks of Singapore. That is the focus of research is on the technique used by investors of banking sector and hence this would create difficulty in generalizing the results
20 RISK MANAGEMENT TECHNIQUE FOR INVESTORS AT DBS BANK to some other sector. Most of the limitations are limited to the approach of empirical study in general and particularly to the set of data and methodology implemented. It is recommended by the CAPM that the market portfolio in the test should combine all the assets; however, it is not possible to bring all the worldwide assets in one portfolio. In order to arrive at results that are more accurate conducted using the CAPM should be obtained based on investigation of many stocks that is grouped into portfolios. Since the sample of the study under consideration was small, instead of using portfolio beta, individual stock beta has been used. Furthermore, there might be some measurement errors because of short observation period and small sample size. 4.5 Dissemination The findings generated from the research paper would be disseminated through public media such as media coverage. In addition to this, for dissemination of information to broad audiences, a visually appealing and concise is through research briefs and brochures. A regular newsletter summarizing the findings of research can also be considered as an ideal way for dissemination. Chapter 5: Conclusion and Recommendation 5.1 Conclusion and Findings The paper intended to study the expected return of the stocks of DBS bank to investors in the light of CAPM. It is indicated by the literature review that for explaining the risk return trade off, the original version of CAPM is not adequate. The validity of CAPM has been examined in the application of the stocks of banks of Singapore and verification of the theory that higher risk is associated with higher value of return has been examined. The study tested the effectiveness of beta in determining the return generated by stocks and was
21 RISK MANAGEMENT TECHNIQUE FOR INVESTORS AT DBS BANK ascertained that for all the stocks, beta was a significant factor. However, the value of beta was not fully capable of explaining the return on stocks. Some of the findings resulted from the analysis of empirical results are listed below: The variation in value of beta coefficient causes variation in the value of expected returns of stocks. A higher value of beta generates higher expected returns and vice versa. The magnitude of beta is significantly affected by coefficient of correlation between the market return and stock. In the entire scenario, the market premium was positive. The returns of stock are determined by factors other than the systematic risk and beta cannot be regarded as the only source for determining return generated to stocks. 5.2 Scope for future study The research topic is considered very crucial in the field of financial management and investment. It has been found that beta is not the only factor determining the expected on the stock and there is little support for the basic hypothesis of theory that higher return is associated with higher value of beta that is higher risk. Therefore, for determining the return generated by the stocks, there is a need to conduct further research using different model and risk management techniques. Reference list: Abdoh,H.andVarela,O.,2018.CompetitionandexposureofreturnstotheC- CAPM.Studies in Economics and Finance,35(4), pp.525-541.
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22 RISK MANAGEMENT TECHNIQUE FOR INVESTORS AT DBS BANK Ajibola, A., Kunle, O.A. and Prince, N.C., 2015. Empirical proof of the CAPM with higher orderco-momentsinNigerianstockmarket:theconditionalandunconditionalbased tests.Journal of Applied Finance and Banking,5(1), p.145. Alqisie, A. and Alqurran, T., 2016. Validity of Capital Assets Pricing Model (CAPM) (EmpiricalEvidencesfromAmmanStockExchange).JournalofManagement Research,8(1), pp.207-223. Alshomaly, I., Masa’deh, R.E. and AqabaBranch, J., 2018. The Capital Assets Pricing Model &ArbitragePricingTheory:PropertiesandApplicationsinJordan.ModernApplied Science,12(11). Beltrame, F., Caselli, S. and Previtali, D., 2018. Leverage, Cost of capital and Bank valuation.Journal of Financial Management, Markets and Institutions,6(01), p.1850004. Bloomberg.com.,2019.Bloomberg-Areyouarobot?.[online]Availableat: https://www.bloomberg.com/markets/rates-bonds [Accessed 3 Apr. 2019]. Cornell, B., Hsu, J. and Nanigian, D., 2017. Does Past Performance Matter in Investment Manager Selection?.Journal of Portfolio Management,43(4), p.33. Dbs.com.,2019.[online]Availableat: https://www.dbs.com/annualreports/2017/pdfs/governance-and-risk-management/DBS-AR17- 71-91.pdf [Accessed 3 Apr. 2019]. Faisal, S.M., Khan, A.K. and Al Aboud, O.A., 2018. Estimating Beta (β) Values of Stocks in theCreationofDiversifiedPortfolio-ADetailedStudy.AppliedEconomicsand Finance,5(3), pp.89-99. Fernandez, P., 2015. CAPM: an absurd model.Business Valuation Review,34(1), pp.4-23.
23 RISK MANAGEMENT TECHNIQUE FOR INVESTORS AT DBS BANK French, J., 2016. Estimating Time-Varying Beta Coefficients: An Empirical Study of US and ASEAN Portfolios. InThe Spread of Financial Sophistication through Emerging Markets Worldwide(pp. 19-34). Emerald Group Publishing Limited. French, J., 2017. The one: A simulation of CAPM market returns.The Journal of Wealth Management,20(1), pp.126-147. French, J., 2018. Market moods: an investor sentiment event study.foresight,20(5), pp.488- Gao, Y. and Yang, X., 2018, June. A Study on the Relationship Between CAPM and China Stock Market. In2018 2nd International Conference on Management, Education and Social Science (ICMESS 2018). Atlantis Press. Grace, M.F., Leverty, J.T., Phillips, R.D. and Shimpi, P., 2015. The value of investing in enterprise risk management.Journal of Risk and Insurance,82(2), pp.289-316. Iosrjournals.org., 2019. [online] Available at: http://iosrjournals.org/iosr-jbm/papers/Vol17- issue4/Version-2/B017421022.pdf [Accessed 3 Apr. 2019]. Joshi, H., 2017. Constructing international equity portfolio for BRIC nations using modified global CAPM returns.Abhigyan,35(1), pp.25-35. KHAN, A., TARIQ, Y.B. and KHAN, M.K., 2016. MODERN PORTFOLIO THEORY: A REVIEW OF LITERATURE.Journal of Global Economics, Management and Business Research, pp.45-52. Kim, K.S. and Su, Y., 2018. Reexamination of estimating beta coefficient as a risk measure in CAPM.The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business,5(1), pp.11-16. Lane, K. and Rosewall, T., 2015. Firms’ investment decisions and interest rates.Reserve Bank of Australia Bulletin. June quarter, pp.1-7.
24 RISK MANAGEMENT TECHNIQUE FOR INVESTORS AT DBS BANK Linnenluecke, M.K., Chen, X., Ling, X., Smith, T. and Zhu, Y., 2017. Research in finance: A review of influential publications and a research agenda.Pacific-Basin Finance Journal,43, pp.188-199. Mackaya, W. and Haque, T., 2016. A study of industry cost of equity in Australia using the Fama andFrench5 Factor modelandthe CapitalAsset PricingModel (CAPM):A pitch.Accounting and Management Information Systems,15(3), p.618. Magnani, G. and Zucchella, A., 2018. Uncertainty in entrepreneurship and management studies:asystematicliteraturereview.InternationalJournalofBusinessand Management,13(3), pp.98-133. Malik, I. and Shah, A., 2018. Single stock futures and their impact on risk characteristics of the underlying stocks: A dynamic CAPM approach.South Asian Journal of Management Sciences,12(1), pp.46-68. Malik, I.R. and Shah, A., 2017. The impact of single stock futures on market efficiency and volatility:AdynamicCAPMapproach.EmergingMarketsFinanceandTrade,53(2), pp.339-356. McNeil, A.J., Frey, R. and Embrechts, P., 2015.Quantitative Risk Management: Concepts, Techniques and Tools-revised edition. Princeton university press. Mensah, J.O. and Premaratne, G., 2017. Dependence patterns among Asian banking sector stocks: A copula approach.Research in International Business and Finance,41, pp.516-546. Miffre, J., 2016. Long-short commodity investing: A review of the literature.Journal of Commodity Markets,1(1), pp.3-13. Negrea, B. and Toma, M., 2017. Dynamic CAPM under ambiguity—An experimental approach.Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance,16, pp.22-32.
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25 RISK MANAGEMENT TECHNIQUE FOR INVESTORS AT DBS BANK Neslihanoglu, S., Sogiakas, V., McColl, J.H. and Lee, D., 2017. Nonlinearities in the CAPM: Evidence from developed and emerging markets.Journal of Forecasting,36(8), pp.867-897. Pätäri, E. and Leivo, T., 2017. A closer look at value premium: Literature review and synthesis.Journal of Economic Surveys,31(1), pp.79-168. Ramiah, V., Xu, X. and Moosa, I.A., 2015. Neoclassical finance, behavioral finance and noise traders: A review and assessment of the literature.International Review of Financial Analysis,41, pp.89-100. Ruhani, F., Islam, M.A.I. and Ahmad, T.S.T., 2018. Theories Explaining Stock Price Behavior: A Review of the Literature.International Journal of Islamic Banking and Finance Research,2(2), pp.51-64. Sutrisno,B.andNasri,R.,2018,October.IsMoreAlwaysBetter?AnEmpirical Investigation of the CAPM and the Fama-French Three-factor Model in Indonesia. Inn International Conference on Economics, Business and Economic Education(pp. 454-468). Syarif, D.H., Wahyudi, S. and Muharam, H., 2017. Applying an international CAPM to herdingbehaviourmodelforintegratedstockmarkets.JournalofInternational Studies,10(4), pp.47-62. Syarif, D.H., Wahyudi, S. and Muharam, H., 2017. Applying an international CAPM to herdingbehaviourmodelforintegratedstockmarkets.JournalofInternational Studies,10(4), pp.47-62. Westbom, E., Seteánszki, E., and Harish, S. 2018. Performance analysis of the Swedish Pension Fund Market using CAPM.
26 RISK MANAGEMENT TECHNIQUE FOR INVESTORS AT DBS BANK Xiao, Y., Faff, R., Gharghori, P. and Min, B.K., 2017. The Financial Performance of Socially ResponsibleInvestments:InsightsfromtheIntertemporalCAPM.JournalofBusiness Ethics,146(2), pp.353-364. Zhang, L., 2017. The investment CAPM.European Financial Management,23(4), pp.545- 603.
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