This article explains the concept of risk perception & analysis, its parameters, and the feasibility of the risk matrix. It also discusses the risk assessment for natural hazards and the challenges associated with the risk matrix.
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Running head: RISK PERCEPTION & ANALYSIS RISK PERCEPTION & ANALYSIS Name of the Student Name of the University Author Note
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1RISK PERCEPTION & ANALYSIS Answer to Question number 1: a) Risk is stated as a situation that involves exposure to unwanted critical scenario. It can be of multiple type one of such is the uncertainty based risk. The discussed risk originates due to uncertain scenario that is caused around unexpected or unwanted events. The crucial impact of this risk is that it is very unpredictable in nature and the damage caused by them is also very high. Additionally, even after identification of the risk it is very difficult to manage uncertainty risk. Some prominent example of uncertainty risk is damage done by fire, natural disasters, flood & others; financial difficulty due to economic crisis of the country, associated bank, associated business and others; loss of major customer or supplier; legal issues and others. b) The parameters that could be taken in consideration to explain the risk are the uncertainty, level of damage and difficult to mitigate. UNCERTAINTY: The uncertainty that is the unpredictability that associates itself with the risk is one of the most prominent parameter that it offers gives it prominence over other risks. LEVEL OF DAMAGE: The level of damage that is associated with this risk are very high and hence makes the discussed factor more prominent then others. DIFFICULT TO MITIGATE: The difficulty associated in mitigating the risk is also very prominent. The risk is difficult to mitigate because of its uncertain nature. c)The parameter that can be used to compare uncertainty risk with others are: MITIGATION FEASIBILITY: The discussed risk cannot be mitigated unlike other risks but the organisation can prepare to counter its after effects and can be compared with other risks to identify the after effects.
2RISK PERCEPTION & ANALYSIS SUSTAINABILITY:The discussed risk like other risk affects the sustainability of the organisation and can be compared with other risks to measure its effects. Answer to Question number 2: a) The risk assessment for the natural hazards needs to be done and for which it is important to understand the geographical domain of the construction in progress and plan accordingly. For earthquake prone zones the construction should be earthquake resistant, for flood the buildings should be cited adequate attention for the water resistant quality. The discussed moves will ensure the safety of the construction. The uncertainty risk is uncertain of time & place and cannot be predicted but the construction may be prepared for it. Adopting the discussed measure along with the emergency management plan will offer a perception of safety. b) Risk matrix has emerged as one of the most prominent tool for assessing the risk. It assesses the risk with two variables in consideration the first being the probability of the risk and the severity of the risk. Both the variables are plotted against each other to determine the risk level of different factors that are associated with a project. The critical value of the risk matrix assessment could be understood by the fact that it defines the level of risk and depending upon the likelihood and severity of occurrence of the risk; the management team can devise strategy to mitigate the risk or counter its after affect. The idea of risk matrix is that it is able to categorise the risk according to the severity of the risk involved and it can be used to cite proper focus on the risk that needs more attention and which needs less. The idea is feasible because in case of uncertainty risk the risk such as natural disaster can cite more severe effect than the economic downturn. The
3RISK PERCEPTION & ANALYSIS economic downturn will affect the productivity & sustainability of the organisation while the natural disaster will cite adverse effects on the organisational operations as well as will pose significant threat to the associated stakeholders. Hence, it is would be justified to state that the idea of risk matrix as a form of assessment is feasible. The above made discussion has cited witness to the fact that risk matrix is crucial in risk assessment according to the level of severity. Though another matter that needs to be discussed before claiming the feasibility of the risk matrix is the challenges that are associated with the risk matrix. The first most prominent challenge associated with the risk matrix is that it is only a catalyst in risk management and mitigation strategy and not the absolute solution. Another notable fact is that the risk matrix is not free errors and one of the most prominent of them is the assigning of higher rating to quantitatively small risks. Hence, the discussion above can be used to justify that risk matrix is not the absolute solution for risk management because it assists partially in the job of risk management. Hence, the discussions above can be summarised to state that risk matrix has proved itself to be viable for assessing the risk according to their severity but they are not the absolutely mandatory as part of the risk management strategy. However, as part of the risk assessment and management strategy the discussed tool can offer advantage but it cannot be relied upon and so the feasibility of risk matrix is a conflicting in nature. It depends upon the management team and their approach towards the risk matrix.
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4RISK PERCEPTION & ANALYSIS Bibliography: Andréasson, S. and McCambridge, J., 2017. Uncertainty, Risk, Norms, and Evidence: The INEBRIA Position Statement.Journal of studies on alcohol and drugs,78(2), pp.333-334. Business.gov.au.(2017).Typesofrisks.[online]Availableat: https://www.business.gov.au/info/run/risk-management/types-of-risks[Accessed28May 2018]. Hsu, W.K.K., Huang, S.H.S. and Tseng, W.J., 2016. Evaluating the risk of operational safety fordangerousgoodsinairfreights–Arevisedriskmatrixbasedonfuzzy AHP.Transportation research part D: transport and environment,48, pp.235-247. Lu, L., Liang, W., Zhang, L., Zhang, H., Lu, Z. and Shan, J., 2015. A comprehensive risk evaluation method for natural gas pipelines by combining a risk matrix with a bow-tie model.Journal of Natural Gas Science and Engineering,25, pp.124-133. Nelson, S.C. and Katzenstein, P.J., 2014. Uncertainty, risk, and the financial crisis of 2008.International Organization,68(2), pp.361-392.