Securities Analysis: Evaluating Macro Plc's Net Profit and Holding Period Return
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This report analyzes Macro Plc's net profit and holding period return compared to competitors, as well as financial tools such as intrinsic values, WACC, and financial leverage ratios.
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Securities Analysis
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TABLE OF CONTENTS INTRODUCTION...........................................................................................................................1 MAIN BODY..................................................................................................................................1 Assessing Macro’s net profit and holding period return.............................................................1 Calculation of holding period return (HPR)................................................................................1 Calculation of the intrinsic value of Macro’s shares through dividend discount model.............3 Calculating intrinsic value of Macro’s bonds..............................................................................3 Calculation of Macro’s capital structure......................................................................................4 Calculating Macro’s total market value as well as its weighted average cost of capital.............5 Calculating required return on Macro’s shares............................................................................6 CONCLUSION................................................................................................................................6 REFERENCES................................................................................................................................7
INTRODUCTION Security analysis implies for the evaluation of tradable financial instruments which can be classified in terms of debt and equity. By making evaluation of the securities investors can assess the firm which is offering higher returns and thereby would become able to take profitable investment decisions. The present report is based on the case situation of Macro Plc which is the publicly traded general retailer and listed on London stock exchange such as FTSE 100. In this, report will shed light on the expected holding return and net profitability aspect of Macro Plc in against to the competitors such as kingfisher, Next Plc, M&S, ASOS andInchcape. Besides this, report will provide deeper insight about the financial tools such as intrinsic values, WACC and financial leverage ratios. MAIN BODY Assessing Macro’s net profit and holding period return Net profit after tax98 Closing price17.85 Opening price14.37 Dividend0.78 Closing price + dividend18.63 (Closing price + dividend) - opening price4.26 Holding period return26.97% Calculation of holding period return (HPR)
HPR = (Income + Ending Value - Beginning Value) / Beginning Value Net profit after tax = net profit – tax liability Net pro fit aft er taxClosing price Open ing price Divid end Closi ng price + divid end (Closi ng price + divide nd) - openi ng price Hold ing perio d retur n Next667 4849.01 (Share prices of Next Plc,2017)72901.05 4850. 06 - 2439. 9 - 33.4 7% Marks and Spencer Group407 339.11 (Share prices of M&S Plc,2017) 452.4 00.07 339.1 8 - 113.2 2 - 25.0 3% Inchcape184 688.2 (Share prices of Inchcape Plc,2017)7850.14 688.3 8 - 96.62 1 - 12.3 1% FTSE 1007,142.83 6,274 .05 7,142 .83 868.7 8 13.8 5% Interpretation: The above depicted table shows that net margin after tax or profitability aspect of NEXT Plc was good over others. By applying the above depicted formula, it has found that in the period of HPR offered by Next plc to the investors is high as compared to others. During the period of 2016, HPR of Macro Plc accounts for 26.97% respectively. On the basis of tabular presentation, it can be stated that HPR of Macro Plc was also good in against to M&S, Inchcape and FTSE 100. Mean or average return Standard deviationCo-variance Macro Plc16.112.470.0016 Next 5230.7 651.0
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Marks and Spencer Group 347.5 36.6 Inchcape 661.9 31.1 FTSE 100 6,473.5 406.2 Calculation of the intrinsic value of Macro’s shares through dividend discount model Intrinsic value of shares = D1 / r - g Year Dividen d per share (in £) Discounting factor @ 2% Present value of dividen d 10.780.980393.88 20.7840.961173.77 30.7840.942323.66 40.780.923853.55 Intrinsic value per share14.86 Interpretation:Outcome of dividend discount model shows intrinsic value of Macro’s shares account for£14.86 respectively which is lower as compared to the closing price of share to a great extent. Calculating intrinsic value of Macro’s bonds ParticularsFigures Par value£100 Maturity5 years coupon rate4% yield to maturity (5-year3%
annual-coupon government bonds) Computation of intrinsic value Year Interest amount per bond (in£) Discounting factor @ 3% (United Kingdom Rates & Bonds,2017) Presen t value of interes t 140.9713.88 240.9433.77 340.9153.66 440.8883.55 540.8633.45 Intrinsic value per bond18.32 Calculation of Macro’s capital structure Financial leverage ratios Debt ratio ParticularsFormulaTotal liabilitiesTotal assetsOutcome Debtratio= Total liabilities / total assets Next Plc20182330.87 M&S847650311.68 Inchcape30374381.69 Equity ratio
ParticularsFormulaTotal equityTotal assetsOutcome Equity ratio = Total equity / total assets (Financial leverage ratios, 2017) Next Plc3122330.13 M&S34455031.68 Inchcape13444381.31 Capital gearing Debt equity ratio ParticularsFormulaLong term debtShareholders’ equity Outcome Macro PlcSolvency ratio = long term debt / shareholders equity 41250.03 Next Plc6153121.97 M&S17273445.50 Inchcape2891344.22 By doing analysis, it has been identified that, in the year of 2016, debt equity ratio of Macro Plc was lower as compared to the ideal ratio and competitors. Moreover, as per the ideal ratio business unit issue 2 equities in against to 1 debt. In contrast to this, debt-equity ratio of Macro Plc accounted for .03:1 which shows that solvency position of the company was not sound in 2016. Thus, for developing effectual capital structure firm should keep in mind ideal ratio such as .5:1 while taking decision in relation to raising funds. Calculating Macro’s total market value as well as its weighted average cost of capital Total market value of equity = 125*4.25 = 531.25 million WACC= ((E / V) * Re) + [((D / V) * Rd) * (1 - T)] ParticularsFigures Market valueof the company'sequity(E)125 million Market valueof the company'sdebt(D)4 million
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TotalMarket Valueof the company (E + D)129 million Cost of equity (Re)2% Cost of debt (Rd)4% Tax rate30% WACC((125/129) * 0.02) + [((4/129) * .04) * (1- .30)] WACC.019 + 0009] = .0199 or 2% Calculating required return on Macro’s shares Required rate of return = risk free rate + (Rm * beta value) Companies / particulars BetaRFRR(M)Required rate of return (in %) Macro Plc0.82%2.52.02 M&S1.022%2.82.87 Next Plc0.752%2.51.90 Inchcape1.232%33.10 CONCLUSION From the above report, it has been concluded that required rate of return offered by Macro Plc is lower as compared to the rival firm such as M&S & Inchcape. Besides this, it can be inferred that capital or financial structure of Macro Plc is not sound. Thus, for developing suitable structure and enhance the profitability of firm Macro Plc is required to comply with idea ratio.
REFERENCES Online Financialleverageratios.2017.[Online].Availablethrough: <https://www.myaccountingcourse.com/financial-ratios/financial-leverage-ratios>. [Accessed on 29thOctober 2017]. SharepricesofInchcapePlc.2017.[Online].Availablethrough:< https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/quote/INCH.L/>. [Accessed on 29thOctober 2017]. SharepricesofM&SPlc.2017.[Online].Availablethrough:< https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/mks.l?ltr=1>. [Accessed on 29thOctober 2017]. SharepricesofNextPlc.2017.[Online].Availablethrough:< https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/quote/NXT.L/ >. [Accessed on 29thOctober 2017]. UnitedKingdomRates&Bonds.2017.[Online].Availablethrough: <https://www.bloomberg.com/markets/rates-bonds/government-bonds/uk >. [Accessed on 29thOctober 2017].