This text provides statistical analysis for various scenarios including hypothesis testing, ANOVA, t-tests and more. It explains the significance of p-value and critical values and how to draw conclusions from data.
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Question 1 (a)Null hypothesis H0: Hair colour and regional promotions are independent. (b)Alternative hypothesis H1: Hair colour and regional promotions are dependent. (c)The Type I error for this test is 5% which implies that there is a 0.05 probability that a true null hypothesis may be rejected. This implies that even if statistical analysis suggests that the complaints are valid, there is a 5% chance that the complaints may not be valid and the same needs to be considered. (d)The Type II error for this test would refer to a situation when the null hypothesis is indicated to be true when it is false. For the company, it would describe a situation when even though the allegations or complaints may be rejected but they may be valid. Hence, this error needs to be minimised. (e)Critical value of the test statistic Chi square test statistic would be appropriate measured for the present case. Degree of freedom = (n-1) (r-1) = (4– 1) (6-1) = 15 Level of significance = 0.05 The critical value of the chi square statistic = 24.9957 (f) The calculated value of test statistic 1
Sum of all the chi-square calculation values would be the chi-square statistic. Calculated value of chi square statistic = 47.0367 (g) The p value for this would be based on the degree of freedom and chi-square statistic. Degree of freedom = (n-1) (r-1) = (4 – 1) (6-1) = 15 The p value = 0.00 The p value represents the probability that a chi-square statistics would have 15 degree of freedom which is more extreme than 47.0367. Further, if the p value is lesser than level of significance then the rejection would be incurred for null hypothesis. (h) The p value is lower than level of significance (0.00<<0.05) and therefore, the null hypothesis would be rejected and alternative hypothesis would be accepted. Therefore, the Hair colour and regional promotions are dependent. 2
(i) It is apparent that regional promotions seem to be linked to colour and hence a thorough review of these promotions need to be conducted with focus on performance so as to make necessary changes. Also, a strict action must be taken against those managers who have discriminated. Question 2 (a)NullhypothesisH0:Distributionofdemographicsoftotalsalesforceandregional promotions are independent. (b)Alternative hypothesis H1: Distribution of demographics of total sales force and regional promotions are dependent. (c)The Type I error for this test is 5% which implies that there is a 0.05 probability that a true null hypothesis may be rejected. This implies that even if statistical analysis suggests that discrimination has been observed, there is a 5% chance that the company should not be accused by ACLU with regards to practising discrimination. (d)The Type II error for this test would refer to a situation when the null hypothesis is indicated to be true when it is false. For the company, it would describe a situation when even though the allegations or complaints may be rejected but they may be valid. As a result, the company should conduct an internal enquiry even if ACLU rejects the discrimination charges. (e)Expected number of promotions Expected frequency Total number of promotions = 400 3
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(f)Critical value of test statistic Chi square test statistic would be appropriate measured for the present case. Degree of freedom = (n-1) (r-1) = (2 – 1) (6-1) = 5 Level of significance = 0.05 The critical value of the chi square statistic = 11.070 (g)Calculated value of test statistic Calculated value of chi square statistic = 0.2948 (h)The p value for this would be based on the degree of freedom and chi-square statistic. Degree of freedom = (n-1) (r-1) = (2 – 1) (6-1) = 5 The p value = 0.997 The p value represents the probability that a chi-square statistics would have 5 degree of freedom which does not exceed than 0.2948. Further, if the p value is lesser than level of significance then the rejection would be incurred for null hypothesis. 4
(i)The p value is higher than level of significance (0.997<<0.05) and therefore, the null hypothesiswouldnotberejectedandalternativehypothesiswouldnotbeaccepted. Therefore, distribution of demographics of total sales force and regional promotions are independent. (j)Based on the above, it is apparent that no action is required to be undertaken with regards to regional promotions being biased. However, considering the possibility of Type II error, any future allegation in this regards should be looked into promptly. Question 3 (a)Null hypothesis H0: Quarterly sales and region are independent. (b)Alternative hypothesis H1: Quarterly sales and region are dependent. (c)The Type I error for this test is 5% which implies that there is a 0.05 probability that a true null hypothesis may be rejected. This implies that even if the statistical analysis indicates that the quarterly sales are determined by region, the same should be verified with additional measures such as pilot studies. (d)The Type II error for this test would refer to a situation when the null hypothesis is indicated to be true when it is false. For the company, it would describe a situation when even though statistical analysis may indicate no relation between region and sales, but still such a relationship may exist and thus the company should be receptive to the idea if any favourable data does arise. (e)Critical value of test statistic Chi square test statistic would be appropriate measured for the present case. Degree of freedom = (n-1) (r-1) = (4 – 1) (4-1) = 9 Level of significance = 0.05 The critical value of the chi square statistic = 16.9189 (f) The calculated value of test statistic 5
Sum of all the chi-square calculation values would be the chi-square statistic. Chi Square statistic = 3.2510 (g) The p value for this would be based on the degree of freedom and chi-square statistic. Degree of freedom = (n-1) (r-1) = (4 – 1) (4-1) = 9 The p value = 0.9535 The p value represents the probability that a chi-square statistics would have 9 degree of freedom which is more extreme than 3.2510. Further, if the p value is lesser than level of significance then the rejection would be incurred for null hypothesis. 6
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(k)The p value is higher than level of significance (0.9535>0.05) and therefore, the null hypothesis would not be rejected and thus, alternative hypothesis would not be accepted. Therefore, Quarterly sales and region are independent. (l)Since, no particular region makes a higher contribution to quarterly sales, hence all the regions should be given equal importance by the Vice President in terms of resources and attention. (j) The two regions that are most likely to be different are NE and SE. Question 4 (a)Null hypothesis H0:μMewtwo=μMew (b)Alternative hypothesis H1:μMewtwo<μMew (c)The two sample t test for equal variance is the appropriate test to check the validity of the claim. (d)The Type I error for this test is 5% which implies that there is a 0.05 probability that a true null hypothesis may be rejectedHence, this highlights that even though statistical analysis may suggest that Mewtwo is the tougher opponent, but there is a 5% chance that the conclusion drawn is incorrect. (e)The Type II error for this test would refer to a situation when the null hypothesis is indicated to be true when it is false. Thus, it might be possible that even though it might be indicated thatMewtwo is not the tougher opponent, it is possible that this is indeed the case. (f)Rejectionregioncanbecomputedusingthecriticalvalue.Consideringthegiven information, the rejection region would be for t<-1.68. (g)Test statistic (for right tailed hypothesis test) 7
The t stat = -1.86, the one tail p value is 0.03 and hence, the null hypothesis would be rejected. (h) Based on the above analysis, in the future I would choose Mew over Mewtwo as the opponent considering that the latter is tougher than the former and hence would require greater effort. (i) Considering that Mew is a less tougher opponent, I would like Mew more. Question 5 The summary statistics of the given sample data is indicated below. Based on the above, it is apparent that the amount of skew is quite negligible and also no outlier seems to be present in the data which indicates that the sample is normally distributed. Also, it is noteworthy considering the sample value that the underlying data is continuous which rules out 8
discrete probability distributions such as binomial and discrete. Thus, with reasonable confidence it can be stated that the underlying population is highly likely to be normally distributed only. Question 6 (a)Null Hypothesisμ2007−μ2008=0 Alternative hypothesis:μ2007−μ2008≠0 Assuming level of significance = 0.05 The p value is lower than level of significance and hence, reject null hypothesis and hence, sufficient evidence are present to conclude that market peaked in 2007 as compared with in 2008. (b)In 2010 the market had returned to 2006 Null Hypothesisμ2010−μ2006=0 Alternative hypothesis:μ2010−μ2006≠0 9
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Assuming level of significance = 0.05 The p value is lower than level of significance and hence, reject null hypothesis and hence, sufficient evidence are present to conclude that market peaked in 2010 as compared with in 2006. In 2011 the market had returned to 2006 Null Hypothesisμ2011−μ2006=0 Alternative hypothesis:μ2011−μ2006≠0 10
Assuming level of significance = 0.05 The p value is higher than level of significance and hence, cannot reject null hypothesis and hence, sufficient evidence are not present to conclude that market peaked in 2011 as compared with in 2006. (c)Market increase from 1995 to 2007 Null Hypothesisμ2011−μ1995=0 Alternative hypothesis:μ2007>μ1995 11
Assuming level of significance = 0.05 The p value is higher than level of significance and hence, cannot reject null hypothesis and hence, sufficient evidence are not present to conclude that market peaked in 2007 as compared with in 1995. Question 7 (a)Average closing prices for each association in the year 2009 (b)Test: ANOVA single factor 12
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The p value = 0.00 (lower than alpha = 0.05) which indicates that any of the average statistically difference from the rest of the associations. (c)Test: Two sample t test assuming unequal variances The p value (two tailed) = 0.3690 (higher than alpha = 0.05) which indicates that there is not statistically difference present between Boulder and South Metro. (d)Test: Two sample t test assuming unequal variances 13
The p value (two tailed) = 0.0257 (lower than alpha = 0.05) which indicates that there is statistically difference present between Aurora and Douglas/Elbert. (e)Test: Two sample t test assuming unequal variances The p value (two tailed) = 0.000 (lower than alpha = 0.05) which indicates that there is statistically difference present between South Metro and Denver Metro. (f)Test: Two sample t test assuming unequal variances 14
The p value (two tailed) = 0.3155 (Higher than alpha = 0.05) which indicates that there is not statistically difference present between South Metro and Denver Metro. 15