This report explores the application of statistics in the business decision-making process. It covers topics such as population parameter, sample statistic, descriptive statistics, inferential statistics, nominal scale, ordinal scale, primary data source, and secondary data source.
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STATISTICS FOR BUSINESS
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TABLE OF CONTENTS TABLE OF CONTENTS................................................................................................................2 INTRODUTION..............................................................................................................................1 QUESTION 1..................................................................................................................................1 a. Population Parameter and the sample statistic.........................................................................1 b. Descriptive Statistics and Inferential Statistic.........................................................................1 c. Nominal Scale and Ordinal Scale............................................................................................1 d. Primary Data Source and the Secondary Data Source.............................................................2 QUESTION 2..................................................................................................................................2 a)..................................................................................................................................................2 b)..................................................................................................................................................3 c.).................................................................................................................................................3 QUESTION 3..................................................................................................................................3 a)..................................................................................................................................................3 b)..................................................................................................................................................4 c)..................................................................................................................................................4 d)..................................................................................................................................................4 QUESTION 4..................................................................................................................................4 a)..................................................................................................................................................4 b)..................................................................................................................................................5 c)..................................................................................................................................................5 d)..................................................................................................................................................5 QUESTION 5..................................................................................................................................5 a)..................................................................................................................................................5 b...................................................................................................................................................6 CONCLUSION................................................................................................................................6 REFERENCES................................................................................................................................7
INTRODUTION Statistics is an important tool used by the business for efficient business decision making process. It helps the business to deal with the uncertainties by making forecasts about the cyclic, seasonal and general economic fluctuations. It helps the business in making sound decisions by making accurate estimates on the costs, prices, demand, sales etc. It helps the business in planning on basis of effective predictions and assumptions. Present report will provide about the application of concepts of statistics. This will enhance the understanding of statistical concepts. QUESTION 1 a.Population Parameter and the sample statistic Parameter is defined as the number describing population and where the statistics is defined as number which describes sample. Parameter refers to the value which describes the characteristics of the entire population like population mean. As it is not possible to measure the entire populationthereforethe real valuecould not be identifiedasa parameter.These parameters are generally unknowable. For example average height of the adult women in US is parameter having exact value but it is not known. Static is the characteristics of the sample. When the samples are collected it standard deviation and mean are also calculated, this is known as sample statistics(Holland And et.al., 2017). Inferentialstatisticsallowsusingthesamplestatisticsformakingtheconclusionsabout population. b. Descriptive Statistics and Inferential Statistic Descriptive statistic gives information describing the data in some of the manner. Graphical representation of the data an another method used in descriptive analysis. for instance, pet shop sells dogs, cats, fish and birds. If in total 100 pets are sold out of which 40 were dogs. Then the description of pet’s sold data could be 40% are dogs. It provides easier and faster method of making comparisons between the various data sets. Inferential Statistics makes the inferences for the population using data drawn from population. Rather than selecting entire population for gathering data, sample or the samples from millions of the residents are collected and inferences about entire population could be made using sample 1
c. Nominal Scale and Ordinal Scale Nominal and Ordinal scale are the two parameters of variable measurement scale. The measurement scales have significance in the questionnaires and surveys, polls and subsequent statistics analysis. Difference between the two has considerable impact over market research methods because of information and details they are required to offer. Nominalscaleisusedforindicatingthecategories.Thecategorieshavethe corresponding number allotted for the analysis of the collected data. For instance ethnicity, gender and hair colour of any person may be considered as nominal scale data. Ordinary Scale data over other hand involve arrangement of information the specific order which means in comparison of one another & ranking each parameter. Example after receiving the services from a shop customers are asked for filling kiosk survey over the scale 1 to 5 about the experience(Dasí, Montesinos and Murgui, 2016). The data will be evaluated on the basis of mainly two scales of variables that are ratio and interval. d. Primary Data Source and the Secondary Data Source. Primary data is obtained freshly for first time using personal evidence or experiences for the research. It is also known as first hand information and raw data. Primary sources of data are less accurate and are required to go number of tests and examination. Secondary data is second hand data which is already recorded and collected by the research for their personal studies and not for use of current research. Secondary sources of data are censuses, government publications, articles, books, journals and many more. Primary sources of data are less accurate and where the secondary data are more reliable and accurate. Data in primary sources is much are more specific for the researcher and have direct supervision where secondary data have less supervision over the data. Primary data collection is much expensive as compared with the secondary data source as it is collected all new. QUESTION 2 a) Row Labels Count of Population 0.6-3.121 3.1-5.69 5.6-8.19 8.1-10.64 10.6-13.13 2
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18.1-20.62 23.1-25.61 35.6-38.11 Grand Total50 Class intervalsFrequency Frequenc y in % 0.6-3.12142% 3.1-5.6918% 5.6-8.1918% 8.1-10.648% 10.6-13.136% 18.1-20.624% 23.1-25.612% 35.6-38.112% Grand Total50100% Histogram 0.6-3.13.1-5.65.6-8.18.1-10.610.6- 13.118.1- 20.623.1- 25.635.6- 38.1 0 5 10 15 20 25 Population Total b) Skewness refers to the measure of symmetry and more precisely lack of symmetry. Distribution or the data set is said to be symmetric if the data to left and to right of centre point. In the present case distribution is skewed to right as the highest bars are seen to the left in the 3
graph ((Cheng And et.al., 2020). There is skewness as the different in population between the different cities is very high. c.) From the above table it could be observed that among the 50 cities 21 cities have population between the range of 0.6 – 3.1 million. This reflects 41% of the cities have population ranging between this. There are 9 cities in both where the population is between the 3.14 – 5.6 millions and also the same number of cities has population between 5.6 -8.1 million. It could also be observed that there is only one city having the population between 23.1 – 25.6 & 35.6 – 38.1 millions. QUESTION 3 a) Joint Probability is shown by the table below : 12Total (Female) 1395291686 (Male) 2323355678 Total718646 N = 1364 Probability using the formula P (X = x, Y = y) = X=x, Y = y / N 12Total (Female) 10.28960.21330.5029 (Male) 20.23680.26030.4971 Total0.52640.47361 b) Probability that the randomly selected respondent is female = 686 / 1364 = 0.5029 c) Conditional probability P( Y= 1/ X= 1) = P ( Y=1, X = 1) / P (x =1) = 0.2896 / 0.5264 P( Y= 1/ X= 1) = 0.5758 4
d) Let F denote the event that respondents is female and A denote event that respondent uses social media as well as other websites to voice the opinions about the television programs. Two events are said to be independent of incidence of the one events will not be affecting probability of other event(Morrison And et.al., 2019). On the other where the incidence of the event affect probability of other event then the events are said to be dependent. In the given question A & F are dependent as the incidence of being a female will be affecting the probability of her using the social media to raise voice for television program. QUESTION 4 a) P( x > 30,400) = P(z > (30,400 – 20000) / 8000 = 1 – P ( z < 1.3) = 0.0968 = 9.68% b) P ( x < 15600) = P ( z < (15600 – 20000) / 8000 = 29.12% c) Maximum of middle 95% Z = (x –μ) /σ ( x- 20000) / 8000 = 1.96 X = 35,679.71 Minimum of middle 95% ( x – 20000) / 8000 = - 1.96 X = 4320.29 d) P( x > 32240) = 1- P ( z < (32240 – 20000) / 8000) = 0.063 5
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Therefore 189 represent 6.3% of total number of students, means the total number of students graduated from the university are 32,240 QUESTION 5 a) Given (x–μ) / σ μ=502 σ = 100 n = 90 Central limit theorem : When sample size is big ( more than 30), then sampling distribution of sample meanx̅is normal. Since sample size of 90 is at least 30. Then as per the theorem sampling distribution of sample meanx̅is normal approximately. Sampling distribution of sample mean have mean and standard deviationσ/√n Z-value is sample mean that is decreased by population mean, divided by standard deviation Z = x̅ -μ / σ / √n Z = +- 10 / 100 / √90+- 0.95≅ Determining probability using the table P = P( -10 < x̅ -μ < 10) = P ( - 0.95 < z< 0.95) = 1 – 2P ( z < -0.95 ) = 1 – 2 (0.1711) = 0.6578 b. μ=515 σ = 100 n = 90 Z – value is sample mean decreased by population mean and divided by standard deviation. Z = x̅ - μ / σ / √n Z = +- 10 / 100 / √90≅+- 0.95 6
Determining probability using the table P = P( -10 < x̅ -μ < 10) = P ( - 0.95 < z< 0.95) = 1 – 2P ( z < -0.95 ) = 1 – 2 (0.1711) = 0.6578 Probability is same as in part ( a) of the ques. CONCLUSION From the above report it could be identified that the statistics is very useful for the business. it helps the business in making plans for the business by analysing the present situation and making probable forecast about the future. This helps the business in achieving growth and success. 7
REFERENCES Books and Journals Holland, D. And et.al., 2017. Estimating phenotypic polygenicity and causal effect size variance fromGWASsummarystatisticswhileaccountingforinflationduetocryptic relatedness.BioRxiv. p.133132. Dasí,R.M.,Montesinos,V.andMurgui,S.,2016.Governmentfinancialstatisticsand accountinginEurope:isESA2010improvingconvergence?.PublicMoney& Management.36(3).pp.165-172. Morrison,J.Andet.al.,2019.Mendelianrandomizationaccountingforcorrelatedand uncorrelatedpleiotropiceffectsusinggenome-widesummarystatistics.BioRxiv. p.682237. Cheng, Q. And et.al., 2020. MR-LDP: a two-sample Mendelian randomization for GWAS summary statistics accounting for linkage disequilibrium and horizontal pleiotropy.NAR Genomics and Bioinformatics.2(2). p.lqaa028. 8