Stock Valuation Models for JB Hi Fi and Harvey Normal Holdings Limited
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This article discusses the stock valuation models for JB Hi Fi and Harvey Normal Holdings Limited using discounted cash flow and price earning models. It includes future cash flows, terminal value calculation, equity value, number of shares, and value per stock.
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Stock Valuation Models JB Hi Fi Limited Discounted Cash Flow Model Two Staged Model First Stage Amounts in AU$ million Discounted Cash Flows Model20182019202020212022 Future Cash Flows( Leveraged) $ 211.25 $ 231.23 $ 235.45$ 236.05$ 269.32 Discounting Rate @ 8.55%0.9210.8490.7820.7200.664 Present value of Cash Flows $ 194.61 $ 196.24 $ 184.08$ 170.01$ 178.70 Total Present Value $ 923.64 r= 8.55%Cost of Equity, Yahoo Finance, 2018 g= 2.8%10 year Government Bond Rate Second Stage Terminal Value Calculation(FCF2022 x ( 1+ g))/ (r-g) (269.32x (1+ 2.8%))/ (8.55%-2.8%) Terminal Value $ 4,814.97 Present Value of Terminal Value(4814.91/(1+8.55%)^5) $ 3,194.81 Equity Value Total Present Value of FCF + Discounted Terminal Value Equity Value of Company$
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4,118.45 Number of Shares(Annual Report, 2018) (in million)115.8 Value per Stock Equity Value/ Outstanding Number of Shares$35.57 Price Earning Model: EPS(Annual Report, 2018)$ 2.01 PE Ratio(Yahoo Finance, 2018)12.42 Share ValuePE Ratio x EPS$24.96 Harvey Normal Holdings Limited Discounted Cash Flow Model: Two Staged Model First Stage Amounts in AU$ million Discounted Cash Flows Model20182019202020212022 Future Cash Flows( Leveraged) $ 419.00 $ 411.00 $ 443.09$ 325.07$ 350.45 Discounting Rate @ 8.55%0.9210.8490.7820.7200.664 Present value of Cash Flows $ 386.00 $ 348.80 $ 346.42$ 234.13$ 232.53 Total Present Value $ 1,547.88 r= 8.55%Cost of Equity, Yahoo Finance, 2018 g= 2.8%10 year Government Bond Rate Second Stage Terminal Value Calculation(FCF2022 x ( 1+ g))/ (r-g)
(350.45x (1+ 2.8%))/ (8.55%-2.8%) Terminal Value $ 6,265.44 Present Value of Terminal Value(6265.44/(1+8.55%)^5) $ 4,157.21 Equity Value Total Present Value of FCF + Discounted Terminal Value Equity Value of Company $ 5,705.09 Number of Shares(Annual Report, 2018) (million)1114.73 Value per Stock Equity Value/ Outstanding Number of Shares$5.12 Price Earning Model EPS(Annual Report, 2018)$ 0.34 PE Ratio (Yahoo Finance, 2018)10.10 Share Value PE Ratio x EPS$3.40
References: Harwey Norman. (2018).Annual Report: 2018. Retrieved from: http://clients.weblink.com.au/news/pdf2/02027865.pdf JB Hi Fi. (2018).Annual Report: 2018. Retrieved from:http://member.afraccess.com/media? id=CMN://3A498121&filename=20180813/JBH_02008547.pdf Simplywall. St. (2018). An Intrinsic Calculation For Harvey Norman Holdings Limited (ASX:HVN) Shows It’s 27.53% Undervalued. Retrieved from: https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/retail/asx-hvn/harvey-norman-holdings-shares/news/ an-intrinsic-calculation-for-harvey-norman-holdings-limited-asxhvn-shows-its-27-53- undervalued/https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/retail/asx-jbh/jb-hi-fi-shares/news/an- intrinsic-calculation-for-jb-hi-fi-limited-asxjbh-shows-its-35-83-undervalued/ Simplywall. St. (2018). An Intrinsic Calculation For JB Hi-Fi Limited (ASX:JBH) Shows It’s 35.83% Undervalued. Retrieved from:
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