1 OBJECTIVE:The aim of the present lesson is to enable the students to understand the meaning, definition, nature, importance and limitations of statistics. “A knowledge of statistics islike a knowledgeof foreign language of algebra; it may pr ove of use at any time under any circumstance”.............................................Bowley. STRUCTURE: 1.1Introduction 1.2Meaning and Definitions of Statistics 1.3Types of Data and Data Sources 1.4Types of Statistics 1.5Scope of Statistics 1.6Importance of Statistics in Business 1.7Limitations of statistics 1.8Summary 1.9Self-Test Questions 1.10Suggested Readings 1.1 INTRODUCTION For a layman, ‘Statistics’ means numericalinformation expressed in quantitative terms. This information may relate to objects, subjects, activities, phenomena, or regions of space. As a matter of fact, data have no limits as to their reference, coverage, and scope. At the macro level, these are data on gro ss national product and shares of agriculture, manufacturing, and services in GDP (Gross Domestic Product). SUBJECT: BUSINESS STATISTICS COURSE CODE: MC-106AUTHOR:SURINDER KUNDU LESSON: 01VETTER:DR. B. S. BODLA AN INTRODUCTION TO BUSINESS STATISTICS
2 At the micro level, individual firms, howsoever small or large, produce extensive statistics on their operations. The annual repo rts of companies cont ain variety of data on sales, production, expenditure , inventories, capital em ployed, and other activities. These data are often field data, collectedby employing scientific survey techniques. Unless regularly updated, such data are theproduct of a one-timeeffort and have limited use beyond the situation that may have called for theircollection. A student knows statistics more intimately as a subject of study like economics, mathematics, chemistry, physics, and others. It is a discipline, which scientifically deals with data, and is often described as the science ofdata. In dealing with statistics as data, statistics has developed a ppropriate methods of collec ting, presenting, summarizing, and analysing data, and thus consists of a body of these methods. 1.2MEANING AND DEFINITIONS OF STATISTICS In the beginning, it may be noted that the word‘statistics’ is used rather curiously in two senses plural and singular. In the plural sense, it refers to a set of figures or data. In the singular sense, statistics refers to the whole body oftools that are used to collect data, organise and interpret them a nd, finally, to draw conclusions from them. It should be noted that both the aspects ofstatistics are important if the quantitative data are to serve their purpose. If statistics, as a subject, is inadequate and consists of poor methodology, we could not know the right procedure to extract from the data the information they contain. Similarly, ifour data are defective orthat they are inadequate or inaccurate, we could notreach the right conclusions even though our subject is well developed. A.L. Bowleyhas defined statistics as: (i) statistics is the science of counting, (ii) Statistics may rightly be called the science of averages, and (iii) statistics is the science of measurement of social organismregarded as a whole in all its mani-
3 festations.Boddingtondefined as: Statisticsis the science of estimates and probabilities. Further,W.I. Kinghas defined Statistics in a wider context, the science of Statistics is the method of judging collective, natural or social phenomena from the results obtained by the analysis or enumeration or collection of estimates. Seligmanexplored that statistics is a science that deals with the methods of collecting, classifying, presenting, comparing and interp reting numerical data collected to throw some light on any sphere of enquiry.Spiegaldefines statistics highlighting its role in decision-making particularly under uncertainty, as follows: statistics is concerned with scientific method for collecting,organising, summa rising, presenting and analyzing data as well as drawing valid co nclusions and making reasonable decisions on the basis of such analysis. According toProf. Horace Secrist, Statistics is the aggregate of facts, affected to a markedextent by multiplicity of causes, numerically expressed, enumerated or estimated according to reasonable standards of accuracy, collected in a systematic manner for a pre- determined purpose, and placed in relation to each other. From the above definitions, we can highlightthe major characteristics of statistics as follows: (i)Statistics are the aggregates of facts. It means a single figu re is not statistics. For example, national income of a country for a single year is not statistics but the same for two or more years is statistics. (ii)Statistics are affected by a number of factors.For example, sale of a product depends on a number of factors such as its price, quality, competition, the income of the consumers, and so on.
4 (iii)Statistics must be reasonably accurate.Wrong figures, if analysed, will lead to erroneous conclusions. Hence, it is nece ssary that conclusions must be based on accurate figures. (iv)Statistics must be collected in a systematic manner.If data are collected in a haphazard manner, they will not be reliable and will lead to misleading conclusions. (v)Collected in a systematic manner for a pre-determined purpose (vi)Lastly, Statistics should be placed in relation to each other. If one collects data unrelated to each other, then such datawill be confusing and will not lead to any logical conclusions. Data should be comparable over time and over space. 1.3 TYPES OF DATAAND DATA SOURCES Statistical data are the basic raw material of statistics. Data may relate to an activity of our interest, a phenomenon, or a problemsituation under study. They derive as a result of the process ofmeasuring, counting and/or observing. Statistical data, therefore, refer to those aspects of aproblem situation that can be measured, quantified, counted, or classi fied. Any object subject phenomenon, or activity that generates data through this proc ess is termed as a variable. In other words, a variable is one that shows a degree of variability when successive measurements are recorded. In statistics, data are classified into two broad categories: quantitative data and qualitative data. This classification is base d on the kind of characteristics that are measured. Quantitative dataare those that can bequantified in definite units of measurement. These refer to characteristics whose successive measurements yield quantifiable observations. Depending on thenature of the variable observed for measurement, quantitative data can be further categorized as continuous and discrete data.
5 Obviously, a variable may be a continuous variable or a discrete variable. (i)Continuous datarepresent the numerical valuesof a continuous variable. A continuous variable is th e one that can assume any value between any two points on a line segment, thus representing an interval of values. The values are quite precise and close to each other, yet distinguishably different. All characteristics such as weight, length, height, thickness, velocity, temperature, tensile strength, etc., represent continuousvariables. Thus, the data recorded on these and similar other characteristic s are called continuous data. It may be noted that a continuous variable assumes the finest unit of measurement. Finest in the sense that it enables measurements to the maximum degree of precision. (ii)Discrete dataare the values assumed by a discrete variable. A discrete variable is the one whose outcomes are m easured in fixed numbers. Such data are essentially count data. These are derived from a process of counting, such as the number of items possessing ornot possessing a certai n characteristic. The number of customers visiting a departmental store everyday, the incoming flights at an airport, and the defective items in a consignment received for sale, are all examples of discrete data. Qualitative datarefer to qualitative characteristicsof a subject or an object. A characteristic is qualitative in nature whenits observations are defined and noted in terms of the presence or abse nce of a certain attribute in discrete numbers. These data are further classified as nominal and rank data. (i)Nominal dataare the outcome of classification into two or more categories of items or units comprising a sample or a population according to some quality characteristic. Classification of students according to sex (as males and
6 females), of workers according to skill (as skilled, semi-skilled, and unskilled), and of employees according to the level ofeducation (as matriculates, undergraduates, and post-graduates), a ll result into nominal data. Given any such basis of classification, it is always possible toassign each item to a particular class and make a summation ofitems belonging to each class. The count data so obtained are called nominal data. (ii)Rank data, on the other hand, are the resu lt of assigning ranks to specify order in terms of the integers 1,2,3, ..., n. Ranks may be assigned according to the level of performance in a test. a contest, a competition, an interview, or a show. The candidates appearing in an interview, for example, may be assigned ranks in integers ranging from I ton, depending on their performance in the interview. Ranks so assigned can be viewed as the continuous values of a variable involving performance as the quality characteristic. Data sources could be seen as of two type s, viz., secondary and primary. The two can be defined as under: (i)Secondary data:They already exist in some form: published or unpublished - in an identifiable secondary source.They are, generally, available from published source(s), though not necessarily in the form actually required. (ii)Primary data:Those data which do not alread y exist in any form, and thus have to be collected for the first time from the primary source(s). By their very nature, these data require fresh andfirst-time collection covering the whole population or a sample drawn from it. 1.4 TYPES OF STATISTICS There are two major divisions of statistics such as descriptive statistics and inferential statistics. The termdescriptive statisticsdeals with collecting, summarizing, and
7 simplifying data, which are otherwise quiteunwieldy and voluminous. It seeks to achieve this in a manner that meaningfulconclusions can be readily drawn from the data. Descriptive statistics may thus be seen as comprising methods of bringing out and highlighting the latent characteristics present in a set of numerical data. It not only facilitates an understand ing of the data and systematic reporting thereof in a manner; and also makes themamenableto further discussion, analysis, and interpretations. The first step in any scientific inquiry isto collect data relevant to the problem in hand. When the inquiry relates to physical and/or biologic al sciences, data collection is normally an integral part of the experime nt itself. In fact, the very manner in which an experiment is designed, determinesthe kind of data it would require and/or generate. The problem of identif ying the nature and the kindof the relevant data is thus automatically resolved as soon as the design of experiment is finalized. It is possible in the case of physical sciences. Inthe case of social sciences, where the required data are often collected through aquestionnaire from a number of carefully selected respondents, the problemis notthat simply resolved. For one thing, designing the questionnaire itself is a critical initial pr oblem. For another, the number of respondents to be accessed for data collection and the criteriafor selecting them has their own implications and importance fo r the quality of results obtained. Further, the data have been collected, these are assembled, organized, and presented in the formof appropriate tables to make themreadable.Wherever needed, figures, diagrams, charts, and graphs are also used for better presentation of the data. A useful tabular and graphic presentation of data will require that the raw data be properly classified in accordance with the objectives of investigation and the relational analysis to be carried out..
8 A well thought-out and sharp data classification facilitates easy description of the hidden data characteristics by means of a variety of summary measures. These include measures of central tendency, dispersion, skewness, and kurtosis, which constitute the essential scope of descriptive statistics. Th ese form a large part of the subject matter of any basic textbook on the s ubject, and thus they are bein g discussed in that order here as well. Inferential statistics, also known as inductive statistics, goes beyond describing a given problem situation by means of collecting, summarizing, and meaningfully presenting the related data. Instead, it consis ts of methods that are used for drawing inferences, or making broad generalizations , about a totality of observations on the basis of knowledge about a part of that totality. The totality of observations about which an inference may be drawn, or a gene ralization made, is cal led a population or a universe. The part of totality, which is obs erved for data collection and analysis to gain knowledge about the population, is called a sample. The desired information about a given population of our interest; may also be collected even by observingall the units comprisingthe population. This total coverage is called census. Getting the desi red value for the population through census is not always feasible and practical forvarious reasons. Apart from time and money considerations making the census operationsprohibitive, observing each individual unit of the population with refe rence to any data characteri stic may at times involve even destructive testing. In such cases,obviously, the only recourse available is to employ the partial or incomplete information gathered through a sample for the purpose. This is precisely what inferential st atistics does. Thus, obtaining a particular value from the sample information and using it for drawing an inference about the entire population underlies thesubject matter of inferential statistics. Consider a
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