1GAME THEORY Table of Contents Answer to 1......................................................................................................................................2 Answer to 2......................................................................................................................................3 Reference list...................................................................................................................................6
2GAME THEORY Answer1 Data suggests that the economic power has been started shifting from the developed countries of the USA and Europe to the developing countries of China, Brazil and India since the last decade. The overwhelming presence of the multilateralism and dynamism are considered as the causes of this change in the international economic power. During 2000, China’s economy was around one eighth of the USA economy. However, the situation has been started changing since the early of 2010. China has exhibited a dramatic change owing to improvement in the exogenous economic factors including foreign direct investment, dumping price and devaluation of the exchange rate. On this account, China’s growth is expected to surpass the growth of the USA economy by 2030. The anti-immigration policy adopted by the USA government can cut down the employability of the country (Athukorala 2017). Moreover, the increasing tariff rate further discourages the foreign traders to trade with the USA exporters. This will bring regressive impact on the earnings of the USA economy. In response, the USA economy will lose its international market size. As per the researchers, the Chinese economy might be advanced by 50% more than the USA economy. China has been successful to continue its strong position in the international economy due to steady reliance on the capital investment and exports. This has resulted in the improvement in the domestic consumption level and contraction in the import demand. Answer 2 It has been observed that the USA and China have initiated the trade war more than a year ago. Over the last year several goods have been imposed by high tariff rate. This has caused a loss of billions of dollars (Berthouet al. 2018). The unfair trade practice including the dumping polices and adoption of fixed exchange rate of China is considered as the source of its explosive
3GAME THEORY growth in the international export market. The fixed exchange rate makes the Chinese products and services cheap in the export sector undermining the currency value of China. This aggravates the trade deficit condition of as the USA economy as the consumption of the USA goods gets declined with respect to the international market (Swanson 2018).On the contrary, the USA government has been accused of hiding the trade policy to the international market. In this way, the USA strives to hold the economic power in the international market. The intention behind the tariff imposition makes the imported goods expensive for the USA customers. Therefore, the people will consume more domestic goods and services. China is considered as one of the largest importers of the USA economy (Hosain and Hossain 2019). Hence, the income of the Chinese economy will receive detrimental impact from the imposed tariff rate. In retaliation, the Chinese government has also decided to impose restrictions on the USA exported goods. The China’s tariff rate for the American product varies from 5% to 25%. This increasing tariff rate has further aggravated the international oil price as 5% levy has been imposed on the USA crude oil as a consequence of the trade battle. Answer 3 As the China’s trade pattern is not clear to the international market, the imposition of tariff seems a best option as to curb the China’s international market share. In this regard, China retaliates against the USA by hiking the tariff rate for the USA products. This trade conflict can be considered as the part of prisoners` dilemma of the game theory. The expectation from the USA government to China is to adopt the floating exchange rate instead of the fixed exchange rate (E-International Relations 2020). Therefore, the price of the Chinese product will not remain cheap as compared to the USA product. This will enhance the competitive structure of the international market. On the other hand, the Chinese government will want to know the secret
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4GAME THEORY strategy of the USA’s trading pattern. In this way, both the countries attain to achieve their optimal outcomes. However, the certain theory asserts that betterment of China is not possible without deteriorating the outcome of the USA. This may cause either preventive war or preemptive strike between these two countries. The objective of the preventive war is to counter the growth of the competitors and the prremptive strike refers to preempt the competitor’s retaliating power. As USA economy is hegemonic in nature, the Chinese economy is expected to face a relatively huge loss as a result of the trade war. However, the data states that, the trade deficit of the USA has been aggravated more than 10% as compared to China in the last year (Tankersley and Bradsher 2018).
5GAME THEORY Reference list Athukorala, P.C., 2017. China’s evolving role in global production networks: Implications for Trump’s trade war. China’s New Sources of Economic Growth: Human Capital, Innovation and Technological Change, 2, pp.363-388. Berthou, A., Jardet, C., Siena, D. and Szczerbowicz, U., 2018. Quantifying the losses from a global trade war. Banque de France ECO Notepad, 19. E-International Relations. (2020).Transcending the Security Dilemma in International Relations. https://www.e-ir.info/2012/11/18/transcending-the-security-dilemma-in-international-relations/ Hosain,M.D.andHossain,M.S.,2019.US-Chinatradewar:Wasitreallynecessary?. International Journal of Business and Economics, 4(1), pp.21-32. Swanson, A., 2018. US and China Expand Trade War as Beijing Matches Trumpʼs Tariffs. Tankersley, J. and Bradsher, K., 2018. Trump hits China with tariffs on $200 billion in goods, escalating trade war. New York Times.