Analysis of Unleaded 91 Fuel Prices in Victoria on August 22, 2018
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Added on 2023/05/29
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The analysis highlights the non-normal distribution of Unleaded 91 fuel prices in Victoria on August 22, 2018 with negative skew. Median is suggested as a measure of central tendency and IQR as a measure of dispersion.
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Introduction The Unleaded 91 fuel prices on August 22, 2018 for the Melbourne, Victoria need to be analysed using the sample data comprising of 80 observations. The statistical techniques that would be deployed in the process are descriptive statistics and not inferential statistics considering that the objective is to obtain a summary of the given sample data and not to derive population characteristics. The given data consists of numerical values indicating that the underlying data is quantitative which implies that various measures of dispersion and central tendency can be obtained. Analysis The histogram highlighting the price distribution of Unleaded 91 prices as on August 22, 2018 in Victoria is as highlighted below. Even though the shape of the above histogram tends to resemble a bell shaped curve but the shape of the above distribution is not symmetric. This is because the left tail to the mean is longer than the right tail which is a symbol of the asymmetric shape. The presence of
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asymmetric shape is a clear indicator of skew being present in the given data. Considering that an essential requirement for normal distribution is that skew ought to be zero, hence it can be concluded that the given distribution of Unleaded 91 prices do not obey a normal distribution.It seems likely based on the above histogram that leftward skew or negative skew is present which opens the possibility of presence of outliers on the left side. This implies the potential of mean being skewed and hence the middle value for the fuel prices would be best captured through median.Also, in relation to measuring the underlying dispersion in the sample data, using standard deviation would not be appropriate and instead IQR (Inter-Quartile Range) is preferable since the extreme values do not have impact on IQR. The summary statistics for the given sample data are listed as follows. The negative skew presence is confirmed from the skew in the summary statistics listed above. The average (mean) price for Unleaded 91 in Victoria on the given day comes out as 144.03 cents per litre.The corresponding median price is 144.60 cents per litre which implies that 50% of the sample observations had price less than or equal to this value. As
stated above, owing to negative skew, median would be more representative of the central tendency in comparison to mean of the sample data. Various indicators of dispersion reflect that data has very small variation. The best measure is IQR which is only 3.25 cents and implies that the middle 50% of the Unleaded 51 prices tend to vary within 3.25 cent range only. Conclusion The analysis above indicates the non-normal distribution of Unleaded 91 prices in Victoria on August 22, 2018 with the presence of negative skew. The suitable measure therefore for highlighting the central tendency of the sample data is median (144.6 cents per litre). The sample data dispersion is quite low and best represented using IQR which has a value of 3.25 cents only.