Valuation Models in Venture Capital: Analysis and Application to Oxford Instruments Venture

This report analyzes two major valuation models in venture capital and their application to the case study of Oxford Instruments Venture. It explains the terms explicit forecast period and terminal value and includes calculations to determine the present value of the venture and the percentage of ownership required to give up for investment.

ENT6A5
ENTRE-
PRENEURSHIP
FINANCE AND
VENTURE CAPITAL

Table of Contents
INTRODUCTION ..........................................................................................................................3
TASK ..............................................................................................................................................3
Explanation the two valuation models in venture capital,their assumptions and applications...3
Define the terms..........................................................................................................................4
Application of the Venture Capital Methods..............................................................................6
Present Value of Oxford Instruments Venture when firm wants 30 % compound annual rate of
return...........................................................................................................................................8
Determination of % of ownership it have to loose in order to venture capitalist firm................8
CONCLUSION ...............................................................................................................................9
REFERENCES..............................................................................................................................10

INTRODUCTION
Venture capital is a important mode of obtaining financing for new established businesses
to satisfy their capital requirement. It is all about finance provided by the venture capitalists who
not only provided funds to the companies but also manage them in order to develop into
economic benefits (Bakos and et.al, 2019). This report presents critical analysis of two major
valuation models in venture capital along-with their assumptions and applications to the case
study of “Oxford Instruments Venture”. Two significant terms: Explicit forecast period and
Terminal or horizon value are thoroughly explained with the graph. Further, report includes
application of VC method to determine the value of Oxford Instruments at the end of 3 years.
Some important calculations are also done in order to determine present value of Oxford
Instruments Venture and % of ownership it required to give up for its investment.
TASK
Explanation the two valuation models in venture capital,their assumptions and applications
When a company valuing as a going concern there are three methods which is used by
industry. They are as follow-
 DCF analysis
 Comparable company analysis
 Precedent transactions
These models are used in investment banking, equity research, private equity, corporate
development and merger and acquisitions. In this case study a venture capitalist firm wants to
invest in Oxford Instruments venture and comparable its value with Imperial research group so
that venture is used market approach. In this approach Comparable analysis and discounted cash
flow models are included (Bollaert and et.al, 2021).
1. Comparable Analysis- It is also called public market multiples and trading multiples.
Under this method the investors are able to compare the current value of a business to
other similar business. This information helps to determine the company value and
calculate ratios. This method is based on some assumptions they are as follow:
 Growth rate always stable.
 The company uses some ratio such as price earning ratio, enterprise value to sales, price
to book and price to sales.

 Earning value of the share is assume as of comparable firm.
Application- In this case the venture wants to invest in Oxford Instruments venture and compare
value of its company with Imperial research group, they use price earning ratio to determining
the value of its company and earning value and price of share are taken of Imperial research
group.
2. Discounted cash flow- It is another model to determine the value of its company. It is an
intrinsic value approach where the value of an investment based on its expected future cash flow.
This model is used by investors to take decision for acquiring a company or buying a stock
(Gompers, P.A., 2022). There are some assumptions when using discounted cash flow method
they are as:
 Discount rate is used as comparable firm.
 The time value of money assumes that a dollar today is worth more than in future.
 This method is used only when a person paying money in present with expectations of
receiving more money in the future.
Application- In this case the venture invest the money in Oxford Instruments venture with
expectation of receiving profit in upcoming years. Discount rate is assume as Imperial Research
Group.
Define the terms
Explicit forecast period- It is a period of projecting cash flows when the company is
valued by discounted cash flow model. There is no fixed duration of the forecast period,
choosing a forecast period of 10 years. The value of the company can be determined by two
methods (Langley and et.al, 2020).
1. In the first method is to assume that the firm will be liquidated in the horizon year and
estimate the value of its assets in that year.
2. In second method is to assume that the firm will continue to grow up to infinity after the
horizon year that is used constant growth formula.

In the above graph shows that the company will continue till 10 years and the income
generates 1 to 3 years nil and in the fourth year Oxford instruments arise income 13.182 million
up to ten ten years.
Terminal or horizon value- It is also called continuing value because it is the value of
security at some future date beyond which more precise cash flow projection is not possible.
The terminal value calculation estimates the value of the company after the forecast period. It is
calculated the difference between discount rate and terminal growth rate is divided by the last
cash flow forecast (Maroufkhani and et.al, 2018). There are two components-
1. Forecast period- In this method the time period is to assume 3 to 5 years for a normal
business.
2. Terminal value- This method assumes the business will continue to generate free cash
flow at perpetuity.
Year1 Year2 Year3 Year4 Year5 Year6 Year7 Year8 Year9 Year10
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Column 1

The above graph shows that the business will continue till 5 years and income generates nil up to
three years after that the income is 13.182 million for next 2 years.
Application of the Venture Capital Methods
To determine the value of the Oxford Instruments at the end of three years, there are
some calculations presented by applying the venture capital methods which are as follows:
Cash Flow method
In this method, with the help of rate of return and expected cash flow present value of the
overall firm is determined (Martínez-Climent and et.al, 2018). In the given case study,
information is given regarding expected cash flow at the end of fourth year. It is expected that
the Venture will not have a profit until the year four when net income will be of $13.182
Millions.
Further information is given regarding the comparable firm “Imperial Research Group”
about its share price, net income of the last year and outstanding shares of the firm. With using
these informations, we can calculate income per outstanding share which is as follows:
= $6,000,000/1,500,000
=$4 per share
Rate of return can be calculated as follows:
R= $4/ $60*100
Year1 Year2 Year3 Year4 Year5
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Column 1

= 6.67%
Now, present value of the cash flows can be calculated as follows:
=$ 13.182 Million/ (1+0.0667)3
=$ 10.860615 Million
Assuming that the annual rate of return of the comparable firm will be accurate and most
similar to the annual rate of return of own firm present value of the Oxford Instruments is
calculated.
Fair Price method
In this method, valuation of the firm is determined on the basis of fair market value of the
outstanding shares of the firm (Velt and et.al, 2018). Fair market value of each of outstanding
shares is determined with the help of share price of the shares and net income per share of the
firm. In the given case, there is no information regarding no. of outstanding shares and their
share prices. Therefore, using the data of the comparable firm fair prices of the outstanding
shares can be determined which is as follows:
= $ 60 per share/ $ 4 per share
= $ 15 per share
Therefore fair price of the outstanding shares is $ 15 per share of “Imperial Research Group”.
Assuming that the similar shares are outstanding for the Oxford Instruments, its total market
value can be determined:
= 1,500,000 Shares * $ 15 per share
= $ 22,500,000.
Market Price method
In this method, valuation of the overall firm is determined on the basis of market price of
the outstanding shares. Assuming outstanding shares of Oxford Instruments is similar to its most
comparable firm which is 1,500,000 and share market price is of $ 60 per share. Value of the
firm will be determined as follows:
=1,500,000 shares * $ 60 per share
= $90,000,000.

Present Value of Oxford Instruments Venture when firm wants 30 % compound annual
rate of return
Earlier rate of return is assumed similar of the annual rate of return of most comparable
firm that is Imperial Research Group. But now firm wants to have a 30% compound annual rate
of return on similar instruments so now the overall present value of Oxford Instruments will be
determined as follows:
= $ 13.182 Million/ (1+0.30)3
= $ 6,000,000.
The total present value of the venture Oxford Instruments will be of $ 6 million. Rate of
return have a inverse relationship with the value as higher will be the rate, lower will be the
value or vice-versa. It can be seen from the above calculations, when the rate of return is used as
of the comparable firm which is 6.67% annually, the overall value of the venture is of $
10.860615 Million and when annual rate is used as 30% the overall value of the firm determined
of $ 6 Million. There is a reduction in the value with 4.860615 million which is almost 45%.
therefore it can be said that annual rate of return and value have a inverse relationship which is
when one is higher the other will be lower and vice-versa.
Determination of % of ownership it have to loose in order to venture capitalist firm
To obtain funding in the form of venture capital, ventures required to offer a certain
percentage of the ownership. This can be either in only share of outstanding shares or in
combination with debt bonds or loan of the ventures (Wang and Wu 2020). Venture capitalist
firms would invest with a long term time horizon mindset usually. This investment in equity of
the firm would help the venture capitalist to involve in management participation to grow. This
creates a solid long term finance base for the ventures for future growth.
In the given case, in order to obtain investment of $ 30 million in the firm, Oxford
Instruments have to loose a fixed percentage of ownership which can be determined as follows:
Where the firm's market value is of $ 90 Million as per above calculation, out of it $ 30 Million
is obtained through the venture capitalist firm. Thus % of ownership given to them will be:
= $ 30 Million/ $ 90 Mllion
= 33.33%.

That shows that in order to obtain its $ 30 Million firm will have to loose 33.33% to the
venture capitalist firm.
CONCLUSION
In the above report, two major valuation model is described along-with required
assumptions and their application to the given case study. Explicit forecast period and terminal
value related to the venture's discounted cash flow valuation is also explained with their
respective graph showing the case study data. Further some calculations are also performed in
order to determine value of the Oxford Instruments and percentage of ownership it have to give
up to the venture capitalist firm.

REFERENCES
Books and Journals
Bakos and et.al, 2019. Funding new ventures with digital tokens: Due diligence and token
tradability. NYU Stern School of Business.
Bollaert and et.al, 2021. Fintech and access to finance. Journal of corporate finance, 68.
pp.101941.
Gompers, P.A., 2022. Optimal investment, monitoring, and the staging of venture capital. In
Venture Capital (pp. 285-313). Routledge.
Langley and et.al, 2020. Crowdfunding cities: Social entrepreneurship, speculation and solidarity
in Berlin. Geoforum, 115. pp.11-20.
Maroufkhani and et.al, 2018. Entrepreneurial ecosystems: A systematic review. Journal of
Enterprising Communities: People and Places in the Global Economy.
Martínez-Climent and et.al, 2018. Financial return crowdfunding: literature review and
bibliometric analysis. International Entrepreneurship and Management Journal, 14(3).
pp.527-553.
Velt and et.al, 2018. The entrepreneurial ecosystem and born globals: The Estonian context.
Journal of Enterprising Communities: People and Places in the Global Economy.
Wang, R. and Wu, C., 2020. Politician as venture capitalist: Politically-connected VCs and IPO
activity in China. Journal of Corporate Finance, 64. pp.101632.