This report examines the financial performance of Virgin Atlantic for the period of 5 years. It includes liquidity ratios, profitability ratios, and long-term and financial stability analysis.
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Table of Content Executive Summary.........................................................................................................................3 Financial Analysis...........................................................................................................................4 Liquidity Ratio & Efficiency.......................................................................................................4 Current ratio.............................................................................................................................5 Quick ratio................................................................................................................................5 Cash ratio..................................................................................................................................5 Profitability ratios........................................................................................................................6 Gross margin profit..................................................................................................................6 Operating profit margin............................................................................................................6 Net profit margin......................................................................................................................6 Return on equity.......................................................................................................................7 Return on assets........................................................................................................................7 Long-term and Financial Stability...............................................................................................7 Debt to equity ratio...................................................................................................................7 Evaluation of Industry Sector..........................................................................................................7 SWOT Analysis...............................................................................................................................9 Virgin Atlantic Strengths.............................................................................................................9 Virgin Atlantic Weaknesses.........................................................................................................9 Virgin Atlantic Opportunities......................................................................................................9 Virgin Atlantic Threats..............................................................................................................10 Share Valuation.............................................................................................................................10 Financial and Non-Financial Factors.............................................................................................11 Asset based.................................................................................................................................11 Earnings based (including multiple of EBITDA method).........................................................11 Cash flow based.........................................................................................................................11 Dividend based...........................................................................................................................11 Suitable Governance Structure with referring to external auditor role..........................................12 Summary & Conclusion................................................................................................................12 References......................................................................................................................................13
Executive Summary The objective of this report is to examine the financial performance of Virgin Atlantic which is operating as the private airline company in Australia for the period of 5 years ranges from 2018 to 2022. This report also examines the industry sector in which Virgin Atlantic is operating along with the performance of three listed companies which are Ryan Air, British Airways and Jet 2 PLC. This report also examines the internal analysis of the company by implementing the SWOT analysis of the company in which the relative strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats of the company has been examined along with the pre and post share valuation for IPO. In this report, the financial and non-financial factors are also examined that could have potential impact on the valuation of the company along with Suitable Governance Structure with referring to external auditor role. Lastly, this report ends with the conclusion which highlights the important findings of this report
Financial Analysis Ratios20182019202020212022% Change Industry Change Gross profit margin 9.00%8.24%8.00%4.50%2.00%-76%-70% Operatin gprofit margin 3.00%2.75%2.20%3.80%4.00%33%200.00% Net profit margin 9.00%8.24%4.00%5.50%6.00%-33%-55% ROE5.00%4.58%3.00%15.00%28.00%460%1533% ROA99.00%90.59%42.00%65.00%79.00%-20%-21% Current ratio 70.00%64.05%33.00%80.00%85.00%21%23% Quick ratio 45.00%41.18%35.00%52.00%62.00%38%41% EPS569.00%520.64%550.00%580.00%5.00%-99%-100% Dividend pay 1450.00 % 1326.75 % 1187.00 % 1505.00 % 1518.00 % 5%5% Cash ratio 31.00%28.37%15.00%42.00%49.00%58%65% Debtto equity 22.00%20.13%28.00%35.00%52.00%136%162% Liquidity Ratio& Efficiency Many different liquidity metrics may be used to calculate whether or not a farm has enough liquid assets to pay its short-term financial commitments.
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Current ratio The current ratio is a measure of an organization's short-term liquidity and shows how likely it is that it can pay its liabilities as they come due. To get the ratio, divide the total cash andshort-terminvestmentsofacorporationbythesumoftheratio'svalues.Current Commitments of Virgin Atlantic: A Case Study The company's current ratio will not be able to support claims that it can meet short-term obligations after 2022, since it will have declined dramatically from 2019. Over the course of the next four years, from 2018 to 2022, Virgin Atlantic's current ratio will rise from 0.7 times to 0.85 times, an increase of 21%. Alternatively, the Current Ratio of Industry has improved by 23% since January, surpassing Virgin Atlantic's Current Ratio by a wide margin (Mika, 2021). Quick ratio How quickly a corporation can pay off its short-term debts is shown by the fast ratio. Only readily available assets, such as cash and short-term marketable investments, are included, together with receivables and current liabilities. The corporation will be unable to satisfy its short-term commitments since the quick ratio is projected to fall between 2019 and 2022. During the four-year span of 2019–2022, Virgin Atlantic's quick ratio will improve from 0.45 times to 0.62 times, an increase of 38%. However, Industry's fast ratio has improved by 41% since January, surpassing Virgin Atlantic's quick ratio in that time. Cash ratio The cash ratio may be used as an indication of the Virgin Atlantic Company's financial stability. It is calculated by dividing a company's current obligations by its liquid assets (cash and marketable securities). In 2019, the cash ratio improved, but it will go worse in 2020 and 2022, leaving insufficient funds to meet current obligations. From 2018 to 2022, Virgin Atlantic's cash ratio will improve from 0.31 times to 0.0.49 times, an increase of 58%. But Industry's cash ratio has improved by 65%, making it more alluring than Virgin Atlantic's cash ratio. Asset Turnover Ratio
If an entity wants to know how efficiently a firm can convert its deployed assets into cash flow, it might do worse than to look at its asset turnover ratio. In 2019, Virgin Atlantic PLC's asset turnover ratio is 0.45, and it falls to 0.365 in 2022. Falling ratios point to inefficient use of resources, which might be translated into lower profits for the company. Inventory Turnover The inventory turnover ratio (ITR) is expected to rise from its 2019 level of 1.7991 to 2022's level of 1.973. Gains in this ratio point to improved efficiency in the company's inventory-to-cash cycle. Only through making the most of all of a company's assets and resources is maximum efficiency possible. Even if the inventory turnover ratio has increased, the efficiency with which assets are turned around has decreased. Profitability ratios Gross margin profit With a higher profit margin, Virgin Atlantic is able to put more of its revenue toward paying operational expenses. Since 2019, the gross margin has been cut by 76%. Industry's gross profit margin, on the other hand, has dropped by 70%, demonstrating that it is far higher than Virgin Atlantic's. Operating profit margin Operating profit margin for Virgin Atlantic is calculated by dividing EBIT by sales (TDR). The percentage of operating profit made in 2022 was higher than the previous year. Between 2019 and 2022, Virgin Atlantic managed to boost its operating profit margin from 3% to 4%, representing an increase of 33% over the course of four years. Operating profit margin of Industry has climbed by 200%, whilst Virgin Atlantic's has only increased by 100%, indicating that neither margin is very enticing. Net profit margin Indicative of the company's financial strength, Virgin Atlantic's net profit margin rises between 2019 and 2022. For the four-year span of 2019–2022, Virgin Atlantic's net profit margin will fall from 9% to 0.0.49 times revenue, a decline of 33%. Since the net profit margin of Industry has
likewise dropped by 55%, it is clear that neither the net profit margin of Virgin Atlantic nor the net profit margin of Industry are very appealing. Return on equity This ratio, which is derived by dividing net income by shareholder's income, indicates the rate of return on the investment in the company's shares and has improved for Virgin Atlantic from 2018 to 2022. The four-year span from 2018 to 2022 has seen a 460% growth in Virgin Atlantic's Return on Equity (ROE), from 5% to 28%. While Virgin Atlantic's ROE is low, Industry's ROE has improved by 1533 percent, making it a more appealing investment than Virgin Atlantic's ROE. Return on assets Considering that return on assets is derived by dividing net income by total assets, a higher return on assets for Virgin Atlantic from 2018 to 2022 indicates a more successful firm. By most measures of liquidity, the company's financial health was better in 2019 than it is now (2022), when it lacks the cash and current assets required to meet its immediate needs. On the other hand, year-over-year growth in both return on assets and return on equity may be observed in the profitability ratios, indicating that the business is growing more profitable. Increases in the company's rate of return on equity are more evidence of this. From 2018 to 2022, Virgin Atlantic's return on assets will fall from 99% to 79%, a decline of 20%. Although the Return on Assets for Industry has declined by -21%, Virgin Atlantic's ROA is more appealing. Long-term and Financial Stability Debt to equity ratio By 2022, Virgin Atlantic's debt to equity ratio will have climbed by 136% from its current level of 42%. By contrast, the debt-to-equity ratio for the industry as a whole has risen by 162%, indicating that Virgin Atlantic's ratio is more appealing. Evaluation of Industry Sector
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The United Kingdom is home to the world's second-largest aircraft manufacturing hub and has the world's third-largest avionics network. Nearly 1,000,000 UK jobs, either directly or indirectly, are supported by the aviation industry, which has a turnover of over £60 billion and contributes over £22 billion to UK GDP (Rendahl, 2012). To that end, the aircraft manufacturing sector in the United Kingdom generates £26 billion in goods per year and £3.5 trillion in global market potential over the next two decades. The sector employs over 100,000 highly skilled native English speakers and provides innovation and research with significant downstream benefits for the wider UK economy (Dempsey, 2021). In this analysis, we focused on three of Virgin Atlantic's main competitors: Stream 2 PLC, Ryan Air, and English Aviation Routes. The aircraft is second only to easyJet in terms of fleet size and passenger volume among UK-based transporters. In January of 2011, British Airways and Iberia merged to become the International Airlines Group (IAG), a holding company with its headquarters in Madrid, Spain. When looking at annual revenue, IAG is the second largest airline alliance in Europe and the third largest in the world. It is traded on the London Stock Exchange and is included in the FTSE 100 File. English Aviation Routes is the largest travel company, earning $1 billion in a single aircraft route in a single year (Anna, 2014). After a series of nationalizations in the early 1970s, the English government established the English Aviation Routes Board in 1974 to coordinate the efforts of the English Abroad Aviation Routes Partnership, the English European Aviation Routes, and the Cambrian Aviation Routes and Upper East Carriers (BA). On March 31st, 1974, four different airlines merged to become English Aviation, establishing a standard for the company's route structure. It celebrated its centenary in 2019 and has several forerunner companies to thank for that. When the Moderate Party privatized BA in February 1987, the company had been in state hands for over 14 years (Racculia, 2014). Ryan AirBRITISH AIRWAYSJet 2 PLC REVENUE2,382.0810,618.993,852.20 Profit Before Tax253.381,198.71848.308
ReturnonCapital Employed 9.58%12.98%57.17% Net Profit Ratio4.74%5.77%19.16% Gross Profit Ratio12.46%38.63%34.20% OperatingProfit Ratio 5.77%6.90%19.88% British Airways invests in physical infrastructure whereas Jet 2 PLC depends on a "predominantly leased airline fleet," thus their asset bases couldn't be more different. Given that Ryan Air has an 8.6 percent operational margin and Jet 2 PLC has a 6.7 percent operational margin, it's possible that Ryan Air's much lower gross profit margin (9.58 percent) compared to BRITISH AIRWAYS' (12.97 percent) and Jet 2 PLC's (57.17 percent) indicates a different categorization of expenses (Amit, 2021). SWOT Analysis Virgin Atlantic Strengths 1.One possible way to determine if Virgin Atlantic has the upper hand is to examine the company's core competencies. Real assets, such as money and shares, and intangible ones, such as brand recognition and trustworthiness, might be considered when valuing a brand's assets. 2.Virgin Atlantic's infrastructure and management are reliable and sturdy. 3.When it comes to luxury travel, many affluent passengers consider Virgin Atlantic to be their best choice because of the excellent service they have received. 4.More than 5 million people were transported in a single year. 5.One of the largest English airlines, Virgin Atlantic, serves more than 35 countries all over the globe. 6.Richard Branson has put in a lot of time and effort to develop a leading business and create a remarkable brand. 7.Widespread recognition as the ultimate luxury plane Virgin Atlantic Weaknesses
1.A company's vulnerabilities are the parts of its operations that could need the most work. Where the company fails or where it faces strong competition, it faces challenges (Reuters, 2021). 2.As a result of intense competition, Virgin Atlantic is unable to increase its market share. 3.Not enough of an overall impact is made, especially when it comes to the development of economies. Virgin Atlantic Opportunities 1.Any company may improve its public profile in order to attract a wider audience and focus more resources on its core mission. It is possible to find potential brand openings in a variety of forms, such as new markets, enhanced products, refined communication, etc. 2.When it comes to international and local significance, Heathrow Terminal stands at the top of the list. 3.Use its prominence for expansion across the world. 4.There is room for expansion of the plane's worldwide reach between the two paths and the concerns (Reuters, 2021). Virgin Atlantic Threats The risks an organisation confronts are the things that might have an undesirable effect on the company's core mission. A rise in competition, a shift in government direction, the introduction of a new product or administration, and so on are all examples of things that might undermine an initiative. 1.Increases in the price of gasoline and revisions to aviation regulations and standards. 2.Work expenses for Virgin Atlantic might affect the company's bottom line. 3.Competition on the European market is heating up. Share Valuation Price Band for Virgin Atlantic plc Shares
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Valuation methodPrice per shareMarket capitalization £m £ Asset based valuation5.9225295.919 P/E ratio method26.45041,322.52 Earnings yield method49.68722,484.36 Cash flow valuation46.60752,330.58 Dividend yield method48.47182,423.59 Dividend valuation method46.46332,323.17 Multiple of EBITDA41.91072,095.64 The conservative estimate of 1,322.52 m is impacted by accounting regulations and discounting the potential for future commerce. This value is insufficient for the IPO price. It's possible that the P/E ratio and earnings yield techniques may provide a different result for Virgin Atlantic private limited, given that its performance is above average. As a result, maybe the prices are too cheap right now (Rozenbaum, 2014). Thecashflowvaluationmethodinvolvesforecasting,whichentailsthestandard uncertainty surrounding such endeavours. The estimated cost of capital can be off. Both the dividend yield and dividend value methods are susceptible to inaccurate assumptions about the market and the company's rivals, as well as unreliable estimates of dividend growth for the future. Financial and Non-Financial Factors The following economic and social variables may have a bearing on the market price of Virgin Atlantic shares: Asset based Common examples of accounting guidelines are asset revaluations and depreciation schedules. Evaluate the pros and cons of leasing vs. buying the item altogether (Rozenbaum, 2014).
Earnings based (including multiple of EBITDA method) Distinguish between asset lease and outright purchase, and think about depreciation and other accounting alternatives. Taxes, especially tax losses and deferred tax provisions, and their effect on finances and the law Cash flow based Evaluate the pros and cons of asset leasing vs buying an asset outright from the perspectiveofcashflow.Capitalstructure,gearing,andinflationaryinterestratesand Involvement of other members of the group in noncommercial activities and expenses Dividend based The dividend policy as it is now; the aforementioned variables influencing profitability that might reduce dividend payments Shares Issued and Outstanding Going Forward and Historically (Arcelia, 2014).Value will be affected by the risk profiles and capital structures of comparable enterprises used to calculate the cost of capital. Dividend-based valuation takes into account the potential impact of the same factors that affect earnings-based valuation: the economy, competition, and regulation. It will also depend on the dividend policy and the number of shares that might be issued in the future, such as uncancelled treasury shares (Rozenbaum, 2014). Suitable Governance Structure with referring to external auditor role Corporate governance is the "system by which companies are led and governed," as defined by the Financial Reporting Council (FRC), with implementation standards varying per listing type. (Bloomberg, 2022). The airline and Virgin Occasions are owned by Virgin Atlantic Restricted, a holding company that is 51% owned by the Virgin Group and 49% owned by Delta Air Lines. On a management level, it is independent from the other Virgin-branded airlines. The Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) has issued CAA Type a Working Licenses to both Virgin Atlantic Aviation Routes Restricted and Virgin Atlantic Worldwide Restricted, allowing them to transport passengers, cargo, and mail using aircraft with at least 20 seats under the name Virgin Atlantic Aviation Routes Restricted (Andrea, 2022). Given that Virgin Atlantic secret restricted is predicted to have a market valuation of more than £700k, the company will likely become
public and be run down on the primary market, rendering it subject to the Divulgence and Straightforwardness Rules and the UK Corporate Administration Code. Summary & Conclusion Virgin Atlantic Private Limited is a formidable rival in the airline industry since it continuously outgrows both the industry as a whole and its main rivals, while simultaneously maintaining a healthy profit margin. Ryan Air and British Airways both have worse profit margins than Virgin Atlantic Private Limited. Working capital expenditures made to support growth in sales have hampered the conversion of EBITDA to operational cash flow. Virgin Atlantic private limited must renegotiate the conditions of its intercompany debt and ensure it has the money to launch as a separate company before going public. It's probable that the IPO prospectus may call for pro forma facts to be included in order to show performance outside of the current group structure. To maximise returns for ABF and give investors hope that Virgin Atlantic private limited's share price would rise as a consequence of the company's newfound ability to do business online, the IPO price should be set at the high end of the valuation range, or £2.4 billion. This price strategy is justified by the company's growth and market share.
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References Amit (2021).Virgin Atlantic mulls IPO as company looks to post-Covid future. [online] Hindustan Times. Available at: https://www.hindustantimes.com/business/virgin-atlantic- mulls-ipo-as-company-looks-to-post-covid-future-101628355695911.html [Accessed 28 Dec. 2022]. Andrea (2022).ALERTS FOR RUMOURED VIRGIN ATLANTIC IPO. [online] Hargreaves Lansdown. Available at: https://www.hl.co.uk/free-guides/virgin-atlantic-ipo-alerts [Accessed 28 Dec. 2022]. Anna (2014). ‘Virgin Atlantic Airways v. Zodiac Seats’.IIC - International Review of Intellectual Property and Competition Law, 45(3), pp.352–353. doi:10.1007/s40319-014- 0199-6. Bloomberg (2022).Bloomberg - Are you a robot?[online] www.bloomberg.com. Available at: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-09-29/branson-s-virgin-atlantic-slows- ipo-to-focus-on-u-s-restart. Dempsey, H. (2021). Virgin Atlantic plans London stock market listing.Financial Times. [online] 8 Aug. Available at: https://www.ft.com/content/bc759a50-5e0e-4a23-9034- 03b13ecda942. Keay, A.R. (2012). Accountability and the Corporate Governance Framework: From Cadbury to the UK Corporate Governance Code.SSRN Electronic Journal. doi:10.2139/ssrn.2143171. Mika (2021).Virgin Atlantic slows IPO to focus on US resumption - report. [online] ch-aviation. Available at: https://www.ch-aviation.com/portal/news/108302-virgin-atlantic-slows-ipo- to-focus-on-us-resumption-report [Accessed 28 Dec. 2022]. Racculia, N. (2014). VC Specialization Improves IPO Performance.The Journal of Private Equity, p.140819045930004. doi:10.3905/jpe.2014.2014.1.038. Rendahl, P. (2012). ASSET-BASED UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE*.International Economic Review, 53(3), pp.743–770. doi:10.1111/j.1468-2354.2012.00699.x.
Reuters (2021). Virgin Atlantic delays IPO plan until early 2022 -source.Reuters. [online] 30 Sep. Available at: https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/virgin-atlantic- delays-ipo-plan-until-early-2022-source-2021-09-30/#:~:text=LONDON%2C%20Sept %2030%20(Reuters) [Accessed 28 Dec. 2022]. Rozenbaum, O. (2014). EBITDA Disclosure and Overinvestment in Capital.SSRN Electronic Journal. doi:10.2139/ssrn.2543934.